scholarly journals Periodic repolarization dynamics for prediction of mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Cheng ◽  
M Cai ◽  
X Liu ◽  
N Zhang ◽  
R Jin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Prediction of death is the philosopher's stone of arrhythmology. The electrophysiology has proven to be an important tool to predict the risk of death. Periodic repolarization dynamics (PRD) is a novel electrocardiographic marker that indicates the sympathetic effect on repolarization. PRD qualifies the low-frequency oscillations of cardiac repolarization instability using high-resolution 12 channel 24-h Holter recording. Several studies showed that PRD was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. However, the prediction value of PRD has not been established. Purpose To evaluate the prediction value of PRD as an approach of risk stratification that selects patients at a higher risk of death. Methods We conducted electronic searches of MEDLINE (PubMed), Embase, Cochrane Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Science Citation Index Expanded, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry platform (ICTRP) and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to January 9th, 2020. We also screened for relevant abstracts from conferences including ACC Annual Scientific Sessions, ESC Congress and Annual Congress of the EHRA for the last five years (2014–2019). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and secondary outcome was cardiac mortality. We included study with large sample size while more than one study were found based on the same originated population. We extracted data from included studies and reported pooled outcomes as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidential intervals (CI) for time-to-event outcomes using DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. We did statistical analyses using Stata version 12.0 and R version 3.6.1. Results 5 studies including 6758 patients met all selection criteria for our meta-analysis. Follow-up period ranged from 20.4 to 75.1 months. Among 5 studies, 3 studies considered PRD as dichotomous variable and the cut-off value was 5.75 deg2, while 2 studies considered PRD as continuous variable and coefficient was expressed in standardized units (increase per standard deviation). We did subgroup analysis according to the type of variable because of heterogeneity. There was a significant higher risk of all-cause mortality in PRD ≥5.75 deg2 patients compared with PRD <5.75 deg2 patients (HR 2.37, 95% CI 1.77–3.17). As for continuous variable, increased PRD was a predictor for all-cause death (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.14–1.42) (Figure). The cardiac mortality was significantly increased in patients with PRD ≥5.75 deg2 vs PRD <5.75 deg2 (HR 3.06, 95% CI 1.66–5.65). Increased PRD was associated with cardiac mortality in continuous variable subgroup (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.21–1.48) (Figure). Conclusion Our findings suggest PRD is a significant predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. PRD provides new additional electrophysiological indicator for risk stratification until further investigations are available. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily S. Heilbrunn ◽  
Paddy Ssentongo ◽  
Vernon M. Chinchilli ◽  
Anna E. Ssentongo

AbstractBackgroundOver 1 billion individuals across the globe experience some form of sleep apnea, and this number is steadily rising. Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) can negatively influence one’s quality of life and potentially increase the risk of mortality. However, this association between OSA and mortality has not been comprehensively and thoroughly explored. This meta-analysis was conducted to conclusively estimate the risk of death for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in OSA patients.Study Design4,613 articles from databases including PUBMED, OVID & Joana Briggs, and SCOPUS were comprehensively assessed by two reviewers (AES & ESH) for inclusion criteria. 28 total articles were included, with 22 of them being used for quantitative analysis. Pooled effects of all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and sudden death were calculated by utilizing the metaprop function in R Statistical Software and the random-effects model with appropriate 95% confidence intervals.ResultsAnalysis on 42,032 individuals revealed that those with OSA were twice as likely to die from cardiac mortality compared to those without sleep apnea (HR= 1.94, 95%CI 1.39-2.70). Likewise, individuals with OSA were 1.7 times as likely to die from all-cause sudden death compared to individuals without sleep apnea (HR= 1.74, 95%CI 1.40-2.10). There was a significant dose response relationship between severity of sleep apnea and incidence risk of death, where those with severe sleep apnea wereConclusionsIndividuals with obstructive sleep apnea are at an increased risk for all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. Further research related to appropriate interventions and treatments are necessary in order to reduce this risk and optimize survival in this population.Key MessagesWhat is the key question?Are individuals with sleep apnea at an increased risk for cardiovascular mortality and sudden death?What is the bottom Line?Sleep apnea is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality and sudden death, with a dose response relationship, where those with severe sleep apnea are at the highest risk of mortality.Why read on?This is the first systematic review and meta-analyses to synthesize and quantify the risk of mortality in those with sleep apnea, highlighting important directions for future research.Prospero Registration IDCRD42020164941


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 2490
Author(s):  
Giulio Francesco Romiti ◽  
Bernadette Corica ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip ◽  
Marco Proietti

Background: In patients with COVID-19, cardiovascular complications are common and associated with poor prognosis. Among these, an association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and COVID-19 has been described; however, the extent of this relationship is unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the epidemiology of AF in COVID-19 patients and its impact on all-cause mortality. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed and reported according to PRISMA guidelines, and a protocol for this study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021227950). PubMed and EMBASE were systematically searched for relevant studies. A random-effects model was used to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Overall, 31 studies were included in the analysis, with a total number of 187,716 COVID-19 patients. The prevalence of AF was found to be as high as 8% of patients with COVID-19 (95% CI: 6.3–10.2%, 95% prediction intervals (PI): 2.0–27.1%), with a high degree of heterogeneity between studies; a multiple meta-regression model including geographical location, age, hypertension, and diabetes showed that these factors accounted for more than a third of the heterogeneity. AF COVID-19 patients were less likely to be female but more likely older, hypertensive, and with a critical status than those without AF. Patients with AF showed a significant increase in the risk of all-cause mortality (OR: 3.97, 95% CI: 2.76–5.71), with a high degree of heterogeneity. A sensitivity analysis focusing on new-onset AF showed the consistency of these results. Conclusions: Among COVID-19 patients, AF is found in 8% of patients. AF COVID-19 patients are older, more hypertensive, and more likely to have a critical status. In COVID-19 patients, AF is associated with a 4-fold higher risk of death. Further studies are needed to define the best treatment strategies to improve the prognosis of AF COVID-19 patients.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Monil Majmundar ◽  
Ashish Kumar ◽  
Rajkumar P Doshi ◽  
Palak shah ◽  
Mariam Shariff ◽  
...  

Introduction: The effect of anemia on outcomes in Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) patients is not well-established. Some previous studies have shown increased mortality and hospitalizations in HFpEF patients with anemia. Hypothesis: We hypothesize that anemia affects all-cause mortality and hospitalization in HFpEF patients. Methods: A review of literature for studies comparing outcomes in HFpEF with and without anemia was done in PubMed, MEDLINE, and EMBASE databases through June 1st, 2020. The standard definitions of HFpEF and anemia were used for inclusion criteria. Two investigators extracted the study data independently. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality. The secondary outcome was all-cause hospitalizations. We used the PM estimator of Tau with Knapp-Hartung adjustment to pool adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). P curve analysis was used to assess publication bias. R version 3.6.2 was used for all statistical analyses. Results: Seven studies (23,424 patients) were included in the final analysis. Anemia in patients with HFpEF was associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality [HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.17-1.55]. Additionally, anemia in HFpEF patients was associated with higher rates of all-cause hospitalization [HR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.03-1.44]. P curve analysis for all-cause mortality didn’t report publication bias or P hacking (Figure) . Conclusions: Anemia in HFpEF patients was associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalizations compared to HFpEF patients without anemia.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin C. Maki ◽  
Meredith L. Wilcox ◽  
Mary R. Dicklin ◽  
Rahul Kakkar ◽  
Michael H. Davidson

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease is an important driver of the increased mortality associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Higher left ventricular mass (LVM) predicts increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and total mortality, but previous reviews have shown no clear association between intervention-induced LVM change and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in CKD. Methods The primary objective of this meta-analysis was to investigate whether treatment-induced reductions in LVM over periods ≥ 12 months were associated with all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Cardiovascular mortality was investigated as a secondary outcome. Measures of association in the form of relative risks (RRs) with associated variability and precision (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were extracted directly from each study, when reported, or were calculated based on the published data, if possible, and pooled RR estimates were determined. Results The meta-analysis included 38 trials with duration ≥ 12 months: 6 of erythropoietin stimulating agents treating to higher vs. lower hemoglobin targets, 10 of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors vs. placebo or another blood pressure lowering agent, 14 of modified hemodialysis regimens, and 8 of other types of interventions. All-cause mortality was reported in 116/2385 (4.86%) subjects in intervention groups and 161/2404 (6.70%) subjects in control groups. The pooled RR estimate of the 24 trials ≥ 12 months with ≥ 1 event in ≥ 1 group was 0.72 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.91, p = 0.005), with little heterogeneity across studies. Directionalities of the associations in intervention subgroups were the same. Sensitivity analyses of ≥ 6 months (31 trials), ≥ 9 months (26 trials), and > 12 months (9 trials), and including studies with no events in either group, demonstrated similar risk reductions to the primary analysis. The point estimate for cardiovascular mortality was similar to all-cause mortality, but not statistically significant: RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.15. Conclusions These results suggest that LVM regression may be a useful surrogate marker for benefits of interventions intended to reduce mortality risk in patients with CKD.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kinoshita ◽  
K Hashimoto ◽  
K Yoshioka ◽  
Y Miwa ◽  
K Yodogawa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recent guidelines have stated that reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is the gold standard marker for identifying patients at risk for cardiac mortality. Although reduced LVEF identifies patients at an increased risk of cardiac arrest, sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs) occur considerably more often in patients with relatively preserved LVEF. Current guidelines on SCD risk stratification do not adequately cover this general population pool. Several noninvasive electrocardiographic (ECG) risk stratifiers that reflect depolarization abnormality, repolarization abnormality, and autonomic imbalance have been evaluated so far. With current therapeutic advances using new medicines or devices, an LVEF is often preserved in patients with structural heart disease (SHD). However, the usefulness of noninvasive ECG markers for risk stratification in such a patient population has not yet been elucidated. Purpose This study aimed to assess clinical indices and ECG markers based on 24-hour Holter ECG recordings for predicting cardiac mortality in patients with SHD who have left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) but relatively preserved LVEF. Methods In total, 1,829 patients were enrolled into the Japanese Multicenter Observational Prospective Study (JANIES study). In this study, we analyzed data of 719 patients (569 men, age 64±13 years) with SHD including mainly ischemic heart disease (65.8%). As ECG markers based on 24-hour Holter recordings, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT), ventricular late potentials, and heart rate turbulence (HRT) were assessed. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoint was fatal arrhythmic events. Results During a mean follow-up of 21±11 months, all-cause mortality was eventually observed in 39 patients (5.4%). Among those patients, 32 patients (82%) suffered from cardiac causes such as heart failure and arrhythmia. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjustment for age and LVEF, documented NSVT (hazard ratio=2.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38–5.76, P=0.005) and abnormal HRT (hazard ratio=2.31, 95% CI: 1.15–4.65, P=0.02) were significantly associated with the primary endpoint. These two ECG markers also had significant predictive values with the secondary endpoint. The combined assessment documented NSVT and abnormal HRT improved predictive accuracy. Conclusion This study demonstrated that combined assessment of documented NSVT and abnormal HRT based on 24-hour Holter ECG recordings are recommended for predicting future serious events in SHD patients who have relatively preserved LVEF. Acknowledgement/Funding Grants-in-Aid (21590909, 24591074, and 15K09103 to T.I.) for Scientific Research from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technol


PLoS ONE ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. e0136174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinlin Zhang ◽  
Qingqing Zhu ◽  
Li Zhu ◽  
He Jiang ◽  
Jun Xie ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (24) ◽  
pp. 1499-1506
Author(s):  
Ulf Ekelund ◽  
Jakob Tarp ◽  
Morten W Fagerland ◽  
Jostein Steene Johannessen ◽  
Bjørge H Hansen ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo examine the joint associations of accelerometer-measured physical activity and sedentary time with all-cause mortality.MethodsWe conducted a harmonised meta-analysis including nine prospective cohort studies from four countries. 44 370 men and women were followed for 4.0 to 14.5 years during which 3451 participants died (7.8% mortality rate). Associations between different combinations of moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) and sedentary time were analysed at study level using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and summarised using random effects meta-analysis.ResultsAcross cohorts, the average time spent sedentary ranged from 8.5 hours/day to 10.5 hours/day and 8 min/day to 35 min/day for MVPA. Compared with the referent group (highest physical activity/lowest sedentary time), the risk of death increased with lower levels of MVPA and greater amounts of sedentary time. Among those in the highest third of MVPA, the risk of death was not statistically different from the referent for those in the middle (16%; 95% CI 0.87% to 1.54%) and highest (40%; 95% CI 0.87% to 2.26%) thirds of sedentary time. Those in the lowest third of MVPA had a greater risk of death in all combinations with sedentary time; 65% (95% CI 1.25% to 2.19%), 65% (95% CI 1.24% to 2.21%) and 263% (95% CI 1.93% to 3.57%), respectively.ConclusionHigher sedentary time is associated with higher mortality in less active individuals when measured by accelerometry. About 30–40 min of MVPA per day attenuate the association between sedentary time and risk of death, which is lower than previous estimates from self-reported data.


Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 138 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad T Ayub ◽  
Muhammad S Khan ◽  
Sagar Ranka ◽  
Muhammad Ishaq ◽  
Muhammad F Khalid ◽  
...  

Introduction: Ventricular ectopy after exercise, due to parasympathetic activity, predicts an increased risk of death in population-based cohorts. We sought to examine the composite risk of all cause mortality in patients with premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) in the early recovery phase of stress testing. Methods: PubMed, Medline & EMBASE were queried for all English language articles from 1993 to 2017. The primary outcome was incidence of all cause mortality in patients with frequent PVCs during recovery phase (RPV) of stress testing. Frequent PVCs were defined as the presence of seven or more ventricular premature beats/min, frequent ventricular couplets, ventricular bigeminy or trigeminy, or any other form of ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation. Meta-analysis of the main outcome was performed using a weighted random effects model. Results: A total of four observational studies including 38765 patients were retrieved. Data for 2065 patients with RPV was pooled. A comparative analysis of PVC vs Infrequent/Non-PVC group showed a calculated risk ratio for all cause mortality of 1.8 (95% CI 1.36-2.38; p=0.001). I 2 statistic for heterogeneity testing was 82.8% (Fig.1). Conclusion: Frequent premature ventricular contractions during early recovery phase of stress testing are associated with increased all cause mortality as compared to patients with infrequent or no PVCs.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
laith A derbas ◽  
Raed Qarajeh ◽  
Anas Noman ◽  
Mohammed Al Amoodi ◽  
Ala Mohsen ◽  
...  

Background: Multiple observational studies have shown that positive T wave in lead AVR (PTAVR) on 12-lead electrocardiogram is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes including death. We sought to review the literature and conduct a meta-analysis to estimate the risk of mortality in patients with PTAVR. Methods: We searched multiple databases to investigate the association between PTAVR and risk of death. Studies that reported adjusted odds ratio (OR) or hazards ratio (HR) of the association between PTAVR and risk of death (all cause or cardiovascular mortality) were included. We used inverse variance approach to pool adjusted OR /HR and it’s 95 % confidence interval using a random effects model meta-analysis. Results: Out of 140 relevant studies, 17 studies were eligible. Twelve studies reported all-cause mortality and enrolled 4,122 patients, 1976 (47.9%) were males. PTAVR was associated with a significant increase in all-cause mortality, with a pooled adjusted OR 2.44, 95% CI [1.76-3.39], heterogeneity I 2 = 86%. Five studies reported cardiovascular mortality and enrolled 31,713 patients, 27,628 (87.1%) were males. PTAVR was associated with a significant increase in cardiovascular mortality, with a pooled adjusted OR 2.34, 95% CI [1.82-3.0], heterogeneity I 2 = 68%. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that PTAVR is significantly associated with a higher risk of death from any cause as well cardiovascular mortality. Lead AVR, an often neglected lead, should be carefully interpreted as it may provide important prognostic information. Further studies are warranted to examined the prognostic value of PTAVR in risk stratification when added to existing cardiovascular risk scores.


2009 ◽  
Vol 111 (2) ◽  
pp. 311-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alisdair D. S. Ryding ◽  
Saurabh Kumar ◽  
Angela M. Worthington ◽  
David Burgess

Background The prognostic role of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) measurement before noncardiac surgery is unclear. The authors therefore performed a meta-analysis of studies in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery to assess the prognostic value of elevated BNP or N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP) levels in predicting mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction). Methods Unrestricted searches of MEDLINE and EMBASE bibliographic databases were performed using the terms "brain natriuretic peptide," "b-type natriuretic peptide," "BNP," "NT-proBNP," and "surgery." In addition, review articles, bibliographies, and abstracts of scientific meetings were manually searched. The meta-analysis included prospective studies that reported on the association of BNP or NT-proBNP and postoperative major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) or mortality. The study endpoints were MACE, all-cause mortality, and cardiac mortality at short-term (less than 43 days after surgery) and longer-term (more than 6 months) follow-up. A random-effects model was used to pool study results; funnel-plot inspection was done to evaluate publication bias; Cochrane chi-square test and I testing was used to test for heterogeneity. Results Data from 15 publications (4,856 patients) were included in the analysis. Preoperative BNP elevation was associated with an increased risk of short-term MACE (OR 19.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] 13.18-29.65; P < 0.0001), all-cause mortality (OR 9.28; 95% CI 3.51-24.56; P < 0.0001), and cardiac death (OR 23.88; 95% CI 9.43-60.43; P < 0.00001). Results were consistent for both BNP and NT-proBNP. Preoperative BNP elevation was also associated with an increased risk of long-term MACE (OR 17.70; 95% CI 3.11-100.80; P < 0.0001) and all-cause mortality (OR 4.77; 95% CI 2.99-7.46; P < 0.00001). Conclusions Elevated BNP and NT-proBNP levels identify patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery at high risk of cardiac mortality, all-cause mortality, and MACE.


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