Association of oral contraceptives and tubal ligation with risk of early natural menopause

Abstract STUDY QUESTION What is the association of oral contraceptives (OCs) and tubal ligation (TL) with early natural menopause? SUMMARY ANSWER We did not observe an association of OC use with risk of early natural menopause; however, TL was associated with a modestly higher risk. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY OCs manipulate hormone levels, prevent ovulation, and may modify the rate of follicular atresia, while TL may disrupt the blood supply to the ovaries. These mechanisms may be associated with risk of early menopause, a condition associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and other adverse health outcomes. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION We examined the association of OC use and TL with natural menopause before the age of 45 years in a population-based study within the prospective Nurses’ Health Study II (NHSII) cohort. Participants were followed from 1989 to 2017 and response rates were 85-90% for each cycle. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS Participants included 106 633 NHSII members who were premenopausal and aged 25-42 years at baseline. Use, duration and type of OC, and TL were measured at baseline and every 2 years. Menopause status and age were assessed every 2 years. Follow-up continued until early menopause, age 45 years, hysterectomy, oophorectomy, death, cancer diagnosis, or loss to follow-up. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs adjusted for lifestyle, dietary, and reproductive factors. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE Over 1.6 million person-years, 2579 members of the analytic cohort experienced early natural menopause. In multivariable models, the duration, timing, and type of OC use were not associated with risk of early menopause. For example, compared with women who never used OCs, those reporting 120+ months of OC use had an HR for early menopause of 1.01 (95% CI, 0.87-1.17; P for trend=0.71). TL was associated with increased risk of early menopause (HR = 1.17, 95% CI, 1.06-1.28). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION Our study population is homogenous with respect to race and ethnicity. Additional evaluation of these relations in more diverse populations is important. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS To our knowledge, this is the largest study examining the association of OC use and TL with early natural menopause to date. While TL was associated with a modest higher risk of early menopause, our findings do not support any material hazard or benefit for the use of OCs. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) The study was sponsored by UO1CA176726 and R01HD078517 from the National Institutes of Health and Department of Health and Human Services. The work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. The authors have no competing interests to report. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER N/A

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Prediabetes, Diabetes, and the Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in a Japanese Working Population: Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study

10.2337/figshare.13483515 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Zobida Islam ◽

Shamima Akter ◽

Yosuke Inoue ◽

Huan Hu ◽

Keisuke Kuwahara ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

World Health ◽

Health Study ◽

Expert Committee ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

Japanese Workers ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Health Organization

Objective: Prediabetes has been suggested to increase mortality risk; however, the definitions of prediabetes that can predict mortality remain elusive. We prospectively investigated the association of multiple definitions of prediabetes with the risk of mortality from all-causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer in Japanese workers. Research design and methods: The study included 62,785 workers who underwent a health checkup in 2010 or 2011 and were followed up for mortality from 2012 to March 2019. <a>Prediabetes was defined according to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) or glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level or a combination of both using the American Diabetes Association (ADA) or World Health Organization (WHO)/International Expert Committee (IEC) criteria. </a>The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to investigate the associations. Results: Over a 7-year follow-up, 229 deaths were documented. <a>Compared with normoglycemia, prediabetes defined according to ADA criteria was associated with a higher risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR] 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12–2.09) and cancer (HR 2.37; 95% CI 1.45–3.89) mortality but not with CVD mortality. </a>The results were materially unchanged when prediabetes was defined according to ADA FPG, ADA HbA1c, WHO FPG, or combined WHO/IEC criteria. Diabetes was associated with the risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality. Conclusion: In a cohort of Japanese workers, FPG- and HbA1c-defined prediabetes according to ADA or WHO/IEC was each associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality from all-causes and cancer but not CVD.

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Sleep Timing May Predict Congestive Heart Failure: A Community‐Based Cohort Study

Journal of the American Heart Association ◽

10.1161/jaha.120.018385 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (6) ◽

Author(s):

Bin Yan ◽

Ruohan Li ◽

Jiamei Li ◽

Xuting Jin ◽

Fan Gao ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Congestive Heart Failure ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Health Study ◽

Sleep Timing ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk

Background Previous studies have suggested that sleep timing is associated with cardiovascular risk factors. However, there is no evidence on the relationship between sleep timing and congestive heart failure (CHF). We aimed to examine this relationship in this study. Methods and Results We recruited 4765 participants (2207 men; mean age, 63.6±11.0 years) from the SHHS (Sleep Heart Health Study) database in this multicenter prospective cohort study. Follow‐up was conducted until the first CHF diagnosis between baseline and the final censoring date. Sleep timing (bedtimes and wake‐up times on weekdays and weekends) was based on a self‐reported questionnaire. Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to investigate the association between sleep timing and CHF. During the mean follow‐up period of 11 years, 519 cases of CHF (10.9%) were reported. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards models revealed that participants with weekday bedtimes >12:00 am (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% CI, 1.15–2.11; P =0.004) and from 11:01 pm to 12:00 am (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.00–1.56; P =0.047) had an increased risk of CHF compared with those with bedtimes from 10:01 pm to 11:00 pm . After stratified analysis, the association was intensified in participants with a self‐reported sleep duration of 6 to 8 hours. Furthermore, wake‐up times >8:00 am on weekdays (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.07–2.17; P =0.018) were associated with a higher risk of incident CHF than wake‐up times ≤6:00 am . Conclusions Delayed bedtimes (>11:00 pm ) and wake‐up times (>8:00 am ) on weekdays were associated with an increased risk of CHF.

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Prediabetes, Diabetes, and the Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in a Japanese Working Population: Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study

10.2337/figshare.13483515.v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Zobida Islam ◽

Shamima Akter ◽

Yosuke Inoue ◽

Huan Hu ◽

Keisuke Kuwahara ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

World Health ◽

Health Study ◽

Expert Committee ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

Japanese Workers ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Health Organization

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Menopausal Vasomotor Symptoms and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease Events in SWAN

Journal of the American Heart Association ◽

10.1161/jaha.120.017416 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (3) ◽

Author(s):

Rebecca C. Thurston ◽

Helen E. Aslanidou Vlachos ◽

Carol A. Derby ◽

Elizabeth A. Jackson ◽

Maria Mori Brooks ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Reproductive Factors ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Vasomotor Symptoms ◽

Cvd Risk Factors ◽

Cvd Risk ◽

Increased Risk

Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women has unique features, including associations with reproductive factors that are incompletely understood. Vasomotor symptoms (VMS), the classic menopausal symptom, are linked to CVD risk factors and subclinical CVD. Evidence linking VMS to CVD events is limited. We tested whether frequent and/or persistent VMS were associated with increased risk for fatal and nonfatal CVD events in SWAN (Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation). Methods and Results A total of 3083 women, aged 42 to 52 years at baseline, underwent up to 16 in‐person visits over 22 years. Assessments included questionnaires on VMS frequency (0, 1–5, or ≥6 days/2 weeks), physical measures, phlebotomy, and reported CVD events (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and revascularization). A subset of events was adjudicated via medical record. Death certificates were obtained. Relationships between baseline VMS or persistent VMS over the follow‐up (proportion of visits with frequent VMS) with combined incident nonfatal and fatal CVD were tested in Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, medication use, and CVD risk factors. Participants experienced 231 CVD events over the follow‐up. Women with frequent baseline VMS had an elevated risk of subsequent CVD events (relative to no VMS; ≥6 days: hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI], 1.51 [1.05–2.17], P =0.03; 1–5 days: HR [95% CI], 1.02 [0.75–1.39], P =0.89, multivariable). Women with frequent VMS that persisted over time also had an increased CVD event risk (>33% versus ≤33% of visits: HR [95% CI], 1.77 [1.33–2.35], P <0.0001, multivariable). Conclusions Frequent and persistent VMS were associated with increased risk of later CVD events. VMS may represent a novel female‐specific CVD risk factor.

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Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glaa324 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Yuko Yamaguchi ◽

Marta Zampino ◽

Toshiko Tanaka ◽

Stefania Bandinelli ◽

Yusuke Osawa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Differentiation Factor ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P<.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

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Sex-Specific Associations between Blood Pressure and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Subtypes in the Tromsø Study

Journal of Clinical Medicine ◽

10.3390/jcm10071514 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (7) ◽

pp. 1514

Author(s):

Hilde Espnes ◽

Jocasta Ball ◽

Maja-Lisa Løchen ◽

Tom Wilsgaard ◽

Inger Njølstad ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Blood Pressure ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Pressure Management ◽

Reference Models ◽

Proportional Hazards Regression ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk

The aim of this study was to explore sex-specific associations between systolic blood pressure (SBP), hypertension, and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) subtypes, including paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent AF, in a general population. A total of 13,137 women and 11,667 men who participated in the fourth survey of the Tromsø Study (1994–1995) were followed up for incident AF until the end of 2016. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted using fractional polynomials for SBP to provide sex- and AF-subtype-specific hazard ratios (HRs) for SBP. An SBP of 120 mmHg was used as the reference. Models were adjusted for other cardiovascular risk factors. Over a mean follow-up of 17.6 ± 6.6 years, incident AF occurred in 914 (7.0%) women (501 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 413 with permanent AF) and 1104 (9.5%) men (606 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 498 with permanent AF). In women, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 2.10 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60–2.76) for paroxysmal/persistent AF and an HR of 1.80 (95% CI 1.33–2.44) for permanent AF. In men, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 1.90 (95% CI 1.46–2.46) for paroxysmal/persistent AF, while there was no association with the risk of permanent AF. In conclusion, increasing SBP was associated with an increased risk of both paroxysmal/persistent AF and permanent AF in women, but only paroxysmal/persistent AF in men. Our findings highlight the importance of sex-specific risk stratification and optimizing blood pressure management for the prevention of AF subtypes in clinical practice.

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Abstract P169: Health Literacy and Outcomes in Heart Failure: a Prospective Community Study

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.135.suppl_1.p169 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Matteo Fabbri ◽

Kathleen Yost ◽

Lila Finney Rutten ◽

Sheila Manemann ◽

Susan Weston ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Health Literacy ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

International Classification Of Diseases ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Low Literacy ◽

Adequate Health Literacy ◽

Low Health Literacy ◽

Increased Risk

Background: Growing evidence documents the association between low health literacy and poorer health outcomes. However, less is known about the relationship between health literacy and outcomes among patients with heart failure (HF). We examined the association of health literacy with risk of hospitalization and mortality in patients with HF. Methods: Residents in an 11-county region in southeastern Minnesota with incident HF from 1/01/2013 to 3/31/2015 were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision code 428 (n=3715) and prospectively surveyed to measure health literacy using established screening questions. A total of 1992 patients returned a survey (response rate 54%); 1779 patients with complete clinical data and adequate follow up were retained for analysis. Health literacy, measured as a composite on three 5-point scales, was categorized as adequate (≤ 10) or low (> 10). Cox proportional hazards regression and Andersen-Gill models were used to determine the association of health literacy with mortality and hospitalization. Results: Among 1779 patients (mean age 74, 53% male), 10% had low health literacy. After a mean follow-up of 8±4 months, 72 deaths and 600 hospitalizations occurred. Low health literacy was associated with increased mortality and hospitalizations (Figure). After adjusting for age, sex, comorbidity, education and marital status, the hazard ratio for death and hospitalization in patients with low health literacy was 2.84 (95% CI: 1.63, 4.96) and 1.43 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.96) respectively, compared to patients with adequate health literacy. Conclusions: Low health literacy is associated with increased risk of hospitalization and death among patients with HF. Health literacy is critical to the self-management demands of living with heart failure. Evaluation of health literacy in the clinical setting may guide inventions to target patients with low literacy.

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Association of poor sleep burden in middle age and older adults with risk for delirium during hospitalization

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glab272 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Ma Cherrysse Ulsa ◽

Xi Zheng ◽

Peng Li ◽

Arlen Gaba ◽

Patricia M Wong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Sleep Disturbances ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Time Lag ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Poor Sleep ◽

Cardiovascular Risks ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Uk

Abstract Background Delirium is a distressing neurocognitive disorder recently linked to sleep disturbances. However, the longitudinal relationship between sleep and delirium remains unclear. This study assessed the associations of poor sleep burden, and its trajectory, with delirium risk during hospitalization. Methods 321,818 participants from the UK Biobank (mean age 58±8y[SD]; range 37-74y) reported (2006-2010) sleep traits (sleep duration, excessive daytime sleepiness, insomnia-type complaints, napping, and chronotype–a closely-related circadian measure for sleep timing), aggregated into a sleep burden score (0-9). New-onset delirium (n=4,775) was obtained from hospitalization records during 12y median follow-up. 42,291 (mean age 64±8; range 44-83y) had repeat sleep assessment on average 8y after their first. Results In the baseline cohort, Cox proportional hazards models showed that moderate (aggregate scores=4-5) and severe (scores=6-9) poor sleep burden groups were 18% (hazard ratio 1.18 [95% confidence interval 1.08-1.28], p<0.001) and 57% (1.57 [1.38-1.80], p<0.001), more likely to develop delirium respectively. The latter risk magnitude is equivalent to two additional cardiovascular risks. These findings appeared robust when restricted to postoperative delirium and after exclusion of underlying dementia. Higher sleep burden was also associated with delirium in the follow-up cohort. Worsening sleep burden (score increase ≥2 vs. no change) further increased the risk for delirium (1.79 [1.23-2.62], p=0.002) independent of their baseline sleep score and time-lag. The risk was highest in those under 65y at baseline (p for interaction <0.001). Conclusion Poor sleep burden and worsening trajectory were associated with increased risk for delirium; promotion of sleep health may be important for those at higher risk.

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Supper Timing and Cardiovascular Mortality: The Japan Collaborative Cohort Study

Nutrients ◽

10.3390/nu13103389 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (10) ◽

pp. 3389

Author(s):

Jingyun Tang ◽

Jia-Yi Dong ◽

Ehab S. Eshak ◽

Renzhe Cui ◽

Kokoro Shirai ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hemorrhagic Stroke ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Stroke Mortality ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Study Participants

Evidence on the role of supper timing in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is limited. In this study, we examined the associations between supper timing and risks of mortality from stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), and total CVD. A total of 28,625 males and 43,213 females, aged 40 to 79 years, free from CVD and cancers at baseline were involved in this study. Participants were divided into three groups: the early supper group (before 8:00 p.m.), the irregular supper group (time irregular), and the late supper group (after 8:00 p.m.). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for stroke, CHD, and total CVD according to the supper time groups. During the 19-year follow-up, we identified 4706 deaths from total CVD. Compared with the early supper group, the multivariable HR of hemorrhagic stroke mortality for the irregular supper group was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–1.97). There was no significant association between supper timing and the risk of mortality from other types of stroke, CHD, and CVD. We found that adopting an irregular supper timing compared with having dinner before 8:00 p.m. was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke mortality.

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Abstract 2646: Aortic Arch Plaques and Risk of Vascular Events in Subjects Without Prior Stroke

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.118.suppl_18.s_760 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 118 (suppl_18) ◽

Author(s):

Cesare Russo ◽

Zhezhen Jin ◽

Ralph L Sacco ◽

Shunichi Homma ◽

Tatjana Rundek ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Aortic Arch ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Study Cohort ◽

Vascular Events ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Prior Stroke

BACKGROUND: Aortic arch plaques (AAP) are a risk factor for cardiovascular embolic events. However, the risk of vascular events associated with AAP in the general population is unclear. AIM: To assess whether AAP detected by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) are associated with an increased risk of vascular events in a stroke-free cohort. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of stroke-free subjects over age 50 from the Aortic Plaques and Risk of Ischemic Stroke (APRIS) study. AAP were assessed by multiplane TEE, and considered large if ≥ 4 mm in thickness. Vascular events including myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke and vascular death were recorded during the follow-up. The association between AAP and outcomes was assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A group of 209 subjects was studied (mean age 67±9 years; 45% women; 14% whites, 30% blacks, 56% Hispanics). AAP of any size were present in 130 subjects (62%); large AAP in 50 (24%). Subjects with AAP were older (69±8 vs. 63±7 years), had higher systolic BP (146±21 vs.139±20 mmHg), were more often white (19% vs. 8%), smokers (20% vs. 9%) and more frequently had a history of coronary artery disease (26% vs. 14%) than those without AAP (all p<0.05). Lipid parameters, prevalence of atrial fibrillation and diabetes mellitus were not significantly different between the two groups. During the follow up (94±29 months) 30 events occurred (13 myocardial infarctions, 11 ischemic strokes, 6 vascular deaths). After adjustment for other risk factors, AAP of any size were not associated with an increased risk of combined vascular events (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.44 to 2.56). The same result was observed for large AAP (HR 0.94, CI 0.34 to 2.64). Age (HR 1.05, CI 1.01 to 1.10), body mass index (HR 1.08, CI 1.01 to 1.15) and atrial fibrillation (HR 3.52, CI 1.07 to 11.61) showed independent association with vascular events. In a sub-analysis with ischemic stroke as outcome, neither AAP of any size nor large AAP were associated with an increased risk. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort without prior stroke, the incidental detection of AAP was not associated with an increased risk of future vascular events. Associated co-factors may affect the AAP-related risk of vascular events reported in previous studies.

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