scholarly journals 856A gestational age specific prognostic model for adverse perinatal events in obese women

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey Bone ◽  
Sarka Lisonkova

Abstract Background Obesity is one of the most preventable pre-pregnancy risk factors for adverse perinatal events. Despite this, there are few body-mass-index (BMI) specific prognostic models for timing of delivery associated with the lowest number of adverse perinatal events. Our aim was to build a predictive model to quantify gestational age-specific rates of adverse birth outcomes in obese women with and without additional risk factors. Methods All singleton births at ≥ 34 weeks’ gestation in British Columbia, Canada, 2008-2017 (n = 283,697) were included and data were obtained from the British Columbia Perinatal Database Registry. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model including demographic and obstetric risk factors was used to estimate gestational age specific risk of composite perinatal mortality and severe morbidity. Results Among all women, 13.1% were obese (pre-pregnancy BMI ≥30m/kg2), 60.1% had normal BMI (18.5-24.9 m/kg2). In high-risk obese women (nulliparous with chronic hypertension, and diabetes), adjusted outcome rates (per 1000 ongoing pregnancies) were 7.5 at 34-36 weeks, 20.4 at 37-39 weeks, and 83.5 at ≥ 40 weeks’ gestation. In all obese women, the rates were 1.93, 6.27, and 18.5 per 1000 ongoing pregnancies, respectively. In contrast, on average these rates were 1.14, 4.03 and 11.6 per 1000 ongoing pregnancies, respectively, among women with normal BMI. Conclusions Obese women are at increased risk of poor perinatal outcomes at all gestational ages. These risks are compounded by other conditions known to effect perinatal outcomes. Key messages Obese women require specific guidelines for timing of optimal delivery.

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 3199
Author(s):  
Omer Hadar ◽  
Eyal Sheiner ◽  
Tamar Wainstock

Small-for-gestational-age (SGA) is defined as a birth weight below the 10th or below the 5th percentile for a specific gestational age and sex. Previous studies have demonstrated an association between SGA neonates and long-term pediatric morbidity. In this research, we aim to evaluate the possible association between small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and long-term pediatric neurological morbidity. A population-based retrospective cohort analysis was performed, comparing the risk of long-term neurological morbidities in SGA and non-SGA newborns delivered between the years 1991 to 2014 at a single regional medical center. The neurological morbidities included hospitalizations as recorded in hospital records. Neurological hospitalization rate was significantly higher in the SGA group (3.7% vs. 3.1%, OR = 1.2, 95% CI 1.1–1.3, p < 0.001). A significant association was noted between neonates born SGA and developmental disorders (0.2% vs. 0.1%, OR = 2.5, 95% CI 1.7–3.8, p < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve demonstrated a significantly higher cumulative incidence of neurological morbidity in the SGA group (log-rank p < 0.001). In the Cox proportional hazards model, which controlled for various Confounders, SGA was found to be an independent risk factor for long-term neurological morbidity (adjusted hazard ratio( HR) = 1.18, 95% CI 1.07–1.31, p < 0. 001). In conclusion, we found that SGA newborns are at an increased risk for long-term pediatric neurological morbidity.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 550-557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russell A Reeves ◽  
William W Schairer ◽  
David S Jevsevar

Introduction: Periprosthetic hip fractures (PPFX) are serious complications that result in increased morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs. Decreasing hospital readmissions has been a recent healthcare focus, but little is known about the overall costs associated with PPFX or the risk factors associated with readmissions. We investigated patient demographics, treatment types, 30- and 90-day readmission rates, direct costs, and patient risk factors associated with PPFX readmission. Methods: We used the 2013 Nationwide Readmissions Database to select patients who underwent total hip arthroplasty (THA), revision THA, and PPFX treated with open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) or revision THA. Survival analysis was used to evaluate the 90-day all-cause hospital readmission rate, and risk factors were identified using a Cox proportional hazards model, adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics. Results: We identified 1269 patients with PPFX treated with ORIF and 3254 treated with revision THA. 90-day readmissions were 20.9% and 27.3%, respectively. Patients with PPFX were older, female, and had multiple medical comorbidities. Patient factors associated with increased risk of readmission include: age; comorbidities; and discharge to skilled nursing facility; Medicare or Medicaid insurance. Hospital factors associated with increased risk of readmission include: large hospitals; nonprofits; metropolitan and teaching hospitals. The cost of readmission for PPFX treated with ORIF was $17,206 and revision THA was $16,504. Discussion: Periprosthetic hip fractures have high rates of hospital readmission, implying a significant burden to the healthcare system. Identifying risk factors is an important step towards identifying treatment pathways that can improve outcomes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 911-915
Author(s):  
Ramesh Shrestha ◽  
Sangeeta Bhandari ◽  
Pritha Basnet ◽  
Tara Manandhar ◽  
Baburam Dixit Thapa ◽  
...  

Introduction: Small-for-gestational-age (SGA) is defined by a birth weight below the 10th percentile for mean weight corrected for gestational age. It is associated with adverse health events throughout life, including substantial perinatal morbidity and mortality rates. Objectives: The aims of the study was to estimate the prevalence of the SGA newborns, attributable factors for SGA and perinatal outcomes of SGA. Methodology: A hospital based prospective cohort study was conducted among pregnant women after 28 weeks' gestational age in the Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, BPKIHS, Dharan from October, 2016 to June, 2017.A total of 150 study population was sampled using purposive sampling technique whose symphysio-fundal height lags the gestational age by four cms. The association for risk factors between the various socio-demographic parameters and SGA was analysed using chi-square test for categorical data and t-Test for continuous data with p value<0.05 considered as significant. The mothers and babies were followed up till discharge from the hospital for outcomes. Result: There was a total of 140 SGA with 10 appropriate for gestational age (AGA) fetuses among 6,500 hospital deliveries above 28 weeks' gestation, hence the prevalence was 2.15%. The risk factors for very small for gestational age were history of birth of SGA fetus (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.15-1.35); history of recurrent pregnancy loss (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.15-1.35); personal history of substances abuse in the index pregnancy (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.47-1.92); adverse obstetrics or medical events in the index pregnancy (OR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.10-4.45); high blood pressure at admission (OR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.96- 2.59) and significant urinary proteinuria (OR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.00-5.09).SGA newborns correlated with increased risk of operative delivery and adverse perinatal outcomes, including oligohydramnios, low Apgar scores, resuscitation at birth, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit or nursery, metabolic complications and fetal death. Conclusions: SGA have distinct modifiable risk factors and mortality patterns suggesting potential implications for public health and urgent need to intervene with effective interventions.


Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1496 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela Menichini ◽  
Elisabetta Petrella ◽  
Vincenza Dipace ◽  
Alessia Di Monte ◽  
Isabella Neri ◽  
...  

Obese women are more likely to have decreased insulin sensitivity and are at increased risk for many adverse pregnancy outcomes. An early lifestyle intervention (LI) may have the potential to reduce the impact of insulin resistance (IR) on perinatal outcomes. We report post hoc analysis of an open-label randomized control trial that includes IR women with body-mass index ≥25 randomly assigned to a LI with a customized low glycemic index diet or to standard care (SC) involving generic counseling about healthy diet and physical activity. Women were evaluated at 16, 20, 28, and 36 weeks of gestation, at which times perinatal outcomes were collected and analyzed. An oral-glucose-tolerance test (OGTT) showed that women in the LI group had lower plasma glucose levels at 120 min at 16–18 weeks of gestation, and at 60 and 120 min at 24–28 weeks. More importantly, these women had a lower rate of large-for-gestational-age (LGA) infants (p = 0.04). Interestingly, the caloric restriction and low-glycemic index diet did not increase the rate of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) babies in the LI group. A lifestyle intervention started early in pregnancy on overweight and obese women had the potential to restore adequate glucose tolerance and mitigate the detrimental role of IR on neonatal outcomes, especially on fetal growth.


2007 ◽  
Vol 122 (4) ◽  
pp. 507-512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jill E. Abell ◽  
Brent M. Egan ◽  
Peter W.F. Wilson ◽  
Stuart Lipsitz ◽  
Robert F. Woolson ◽  
...  

Objectives. In previous studies, we have shown that obesity is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in white women but not in black women. Earlier research suggests that body mass index (BMI) has a greater effect on CVD mortality in younger white females than older white females, whereas this relationship in black women is not as clear. This study examines the effect of age on the association of BMI to CVD in black and white women. Methods. The Black Pooling Project includes data on 2,843 black women with 50,464 person-years of follow-up, and 12,739 white women with 214,606 person-years of follow-up. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association between BMI and CVD mortality for specific age/race groups. The younger group was <60 years of age and the older group was >60 years of age. Results. In younger white women, the relative risk (95% confidence interval [CI]) for CVD mortality was significant in obese women (BMI >30 kg/m2) vs. women of normal weight (BMI 18.5–24.9 kg/m2) (1.59 [CI 1.20, 2.09]). Similarly, in older white women, the relative risk for CVD mortality in obese women vs. women of normal weight was significant (1.21 [CI 1.04, 1.41]). There were no such associations for black women. Overweight (BMI 25–29.9 kg/m2) was not associated with increased risk in black or white women. Conclusion. These findings indicate that obesity is associated with a significantly greater risk of CVD mortality among white women, with the strongest association among white women <60 years of age.


1983 ◽  
Vol 3 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 14-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul N. Corey ◽  
Cathy Steele

The Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify prognostic risk factors for time to first infection and time to failure among 183 patients on chronic ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD). This methodology permits continuous variables such as albumin and blood pressure to be used in the predictive equation avoiding arbitrary categorization. Initial serum creatinine and albumin were found to be related to the risk of first infection. Serum creatinine increases the risk whereas albumin is protective. Age and blood pressure are related to an increased risk of failure on CAPD whereas albumin is associated with a lower risk. The occurrence of the first infection almost doubles the risk of failure. Patients who have “high” albumin and “low” blood pressure have a 75th percentile for time to failure on CAPD which is more than 1000 days longer than those who have both “low” albumin and “high” blood pressure.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick George Tobias Cudahy ◽  
Douglas Wilson ◽  
Ted Cohen

Abstract Background People successfully completing treatment for tuberculosis remain at elevated risk for recurrent disease, either from relapse or reinfection. Identifying risk factors for recurrent tuberculosis may help target post-tuberculosis screening and care. Methods We enrolled 500 patients with smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis in South Africa and collected baseline data on demographics, clinical presentation and sputum mycobacterial cultures for 24-loci mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable number tandem repeat (MIRU-VNTR) typing. We used routinely-collected administrative data to identify recurrent episodes of tuberculosis occurring over a median of six years after successful treatment completion. Results Of 500 patients initially enrolled, 333 (79%) successfully completed treatment for tuberculosis. During the follow-up period 35 patients with successful treatment (11%) experienced a bacteriologically confirmed tuberculosis recurrence. In our Cox proportional hazards model, a 3+ AFB sputum smear grade was significantly associated with recurrent tuberculosis with a hazard ratio of 3.33 (95% CI 1.44–7.7). The presence of polyclonal M. tuberculosis infection at baseline had a hazard ratio for recurrence of 1.96 (95% CI 0.86–4.48). Conclusion Our results indicate that AFB smear grade is independently associated with tuberculosis recurrence after successful treatment for an initial episode while the association between polyclonal M. tuberculosis infection and increased risk of recurrence appears possible.


Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.


Antibiotics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Jatapat Hemapanpairoa ◽  
Dhitiwat Changpradub ◽  
Sudaluck Thunyaharn ◽  
Wichai Santimaleeworagun

The prevalence of enterococcal infection, especially E. faecium, is increasing, and the issue of the impact of vancomycin resistance on clinical outcomes is controversial. This study aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of infection caused by E. faecium and determine the risk factors associated with mortality. This retrospective study was performed at the Phramongkutklao Hospital during the period from 2014 to 2018. One hundred and forty-five patients with E. faecium infections were enrolled. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates of patients infected with vancomycin resistant (VR)-E. faecium vs. vancomycin susceptible (VS)-E. faecium were 57.7% vs. 38.7% and 69.2% vs. 47.1%, respectively. The median length of hospitalization was significantly longer in patients with VR-E. faecium infection. In logistic regression analysis, VR-E. faecium, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores, and bone and joint infections were significant risk factors associated with both 30-day and 90-day mortality. Moreover, Cox proportional hazards model showed that VR-E. faecium infection (HR 1.91; 95%CI 1.09–3.37), SOFA scores of 6–9 points (HR 2.69; 95%CI 1.15–6.29), SOFA scores ≥ 10 points (HR 3.71; 95%CI 1.70–8.13), and bone and joint infections (HR 0.08; 95%CI 0.01–0.62) were significant risk factors for mortality. In conclusion, the present study confirmed the impact of VR-E. faecium infection on mortality and hospitalization duration. Thus, the appropriate antibiotic regimen for VR-E. faecium infection, especially for severely ill patients, is an effective strategy for improving treatment outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 643
Author(s):  
Veronica Giorgione ◽  
Corey Briffa ◽  
Carolina Di Fabrizio ◽  
Rohan Bhate ◽  
Asma Khalil

Twin pregnancies are commonly assessed using singleton growth and birth weight reference charts. This practice has led to a significant number of twins labelled as small for gestational age (SGA), causing unnecessary interventions and increased risk of iatrogenic preterm birth. However, the use of twin-specific charts remains controversial. This study aims to assess whether twin-specific estimated fetal weight (EFW) and birth weight (BW) charts are more predictive of adverse outcomes compared to singleton charts. Centiles of EFW and BW were calculated using previously published singleton and twin charts. Categorical data were compared using Chi-square or McNemar tests. The study included 1740 twin pregnancies, with the following perinatal adverse outcomes recorded: perinatal death, preterm birth <34 weeks, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) and admissions to the neonatal unit (NNU). Twin-specific charts identified prenatally and postnatally a smaller proportion of infants as SGA compared to singleton charts. However, twin charts showed a higher percentage of adverse neonatal outcomes in SGA infants than singleton charts. For example, perinatal death (SGA 7.2% vs. appropriate for gestational age (AGA) 2%, p < 0.0001), preterm birth <34 weeks (SGA 42.1% vs. AGA 16.4%, p < 0.0001), HDP (SGA 21.2% vs. AGA 13.5%, p = 0.015) and NNU admissions (SGA 69% vs. AGA 24%, p < 0.0001), when compared to singleton charts (perinatal death: SGA 2% vs. AGA 1%, p = 0.029), preterm birth <34 weeks: (SGA 20.6% vs. AGA 17.4%, p = 0.020), NNU admission: (SGA 34.5% vs. AGA 23.9%, p < 0.000). There was no significant association between HDP and SGA using the singleton charts (p = 0.696). In SGA infants, according to the twin charts, the incidence of abnormal umbilical artery Doppler was significantly more common than in SGA using the singleton chart (27.0% vs. 8.1%, p < 0.001). In conclusion, singleton charts misclassify a large number of twins as at risk of fetal growth restriction. The evidence suggests that the following twin-specific charts could reduce unnecessary medical interventions prenatally and postnatally.


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