scholarly journals P0559AKI SEASONALITY IN ENGLAND

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Wong ◽  
Dorothea Nitsch

Abstract Background and Aims Incidence of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) is known to be seasonal, peaking in winter months among hospitalised patients. Previous studies have suggested that the seasonality of AKI is likely to be influenced by the seasonality of the underlying acute illnesses that are associated with AKI. Mortality of patients with AKI has also been reported as being higher in winter, reflecting well-described excess winter mortality associations. Here we describe the seasonal variations of AKI alerts in England and the associated mortality rate using linked national databases. Method Serum creatinine changes compatible with KDIGO AKI stage 1, 2 and 3 are sent by laboratories in England as AKI alerts to the treating clinicians and the UK Renal Registry (UKRR). We linked the electronic AKI alerts to the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data, to identify patients who were hospitalised. We carried out descriptive statistics, and investigate the seasonal effect to the 30-day patient mortality from date of getting AKI alert, using multivariable Cox regression and sequentially adjusting for age, sex, Index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and peak AKI stage Results Winter has the highest number of AKI episodes (N=81,276), which is 6% higher than that in summer (N=76,329) (Table 1). For patients who had an AKI episode and admitted to hospitals, the crude 30-day mortality is higher in the winter season when compared to the summer [HR 1.28 (1.25-1.31), p<0.01] (Figure 1). After adjusting season by age, peak AKI stage, IMD and sex, winter season still has significantly higher 30-day mortality than summer [HR 1.24 (1.21-1.27), p<0.01]. Winter mortality peak is confounded by age and AKI severity, which explained the drop of hazard ratio at winter peaks; whereas season is not confounded by deprivation and sex. The pattern of seasonality varies with age, in age group 18-39, there were 26.1% of AKI episodes in summer and 23.3% in winter, whereas in age group >75, there were 23.7% in summer and 27.1% in winter. Conclusion Analysis of England data confirms seasonal peak in AKI during winter months. Additionally it shows increased risk of mortality for patients with AKI in winter months. Future work will investigate the impact of comorbidities and case-mix on outcomes. By understanding the seasonal variation of AKI, we can potentially plan preventive care and improve clinical practice.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 204209862098569
Author(s):  
Phyo K. Myint ◽  
Ben Carter ◽  
Fenella Barlow-Pay ◽  
Roxanna Short ◽  
Alice G. Einarsson ◽  
...  

Background: Whilst there is literature on the impact of SARS viruses in the severely immunosuppressed, less is known about the link between routine immunosuppressant use and outcome in COVID-19. Consequently, guidelines on their use vary depending on specific patient populations. Methods: The study population was drawn from the COPE Study (COVID-19 in Older People), a multicentre observational cohort study, across the UK and Italy. Data were collected between 27 February and 28 April 2020 by trained data-collectors and included all unselected consecutive admissions with COVID-19. Load (name/number of medications) and dosage of immunosuppressant were collected along with other covariate data. Primary outcome was time-to-mortality from the date of admission (or) date of diagnosis, if diagnosis was five or more days after admission. Secondary outcomes were Day-14 mortality and time-to-discharge. Data were analysed with mixed-effects, Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models using non-users of immunosuppressants as the reference group. Results: In total 1184 patients were eligible for inclusion. The median (IQR) age was 74 (62–83), 676 (57%) were male, and 299 (25.3%) died in hospital (total person follow-up 15,540 days). Most patients exhibited at least one comorbidity, and 113 (~10%) were on immunosuppressants. Any immunosuppressant use was associated with increased mortality: aHR 1.87, 95% CI: 1.30, 2.69 (time to mortality) and aOR 1.71, 95% CI: 1.01–2.88 (14-day mortality). There also appeared to be a dose–response relationship. Conclusion: Despite possible indication bias, until further evidence emerges we recommend adhering to public health measures, a low threshold to seek medical advice and close monitoring of symptoms in those who take immunosuppressants routinely regardless of their indication. However, it should be noted that the inability to control for the underlying condition requiring immunosuppressants is a major limitation, and hence caution should be exercised in interpretation of the results. Plain Language Summary Regular Use of Immune Suppressing Drugs is Associated with Increased Risk of Death in Hospitalised Patients with COVID-19 Background: We do not have much information on how the COVID-19 virus affects patients who use immunosuppressants, drugs which inhibit or reduce the activity of the immune system. There are various conflicting views on whether immune-suppressing drugs are beneficial or detrimental in patients with the disease. Methods: This study collected data from 10 hospitals in the UK and one in Italy between February and April 2020 in order to identify any association between the regular use of immunosuppressant medicines and survival in patients who were admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Results: 1184 patients were included in the study, and 10% of them were using immunosuppressants. Any immunosuppressant use was associated with increased risk of death, and the risk appeared to increase if the dose of the medicine was higher. Conclusion: We therefore recommend that patients who take immunosuppressant medicines routinely should carefully adhere to social distancing measures, and seek medical attention early during the COVID-19 pandemic.


2017 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asmaa Al-Chidadi ◽  
Dorothea Nitsch ◽  
Andrew Davenport

Background Studies in hemodialysis patients suggest that hyponatremia is associated with increased mortality. However, results from peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients are discordant. We wished to establish whether there was an association between serum sodium and mortality risk in PD patients. Methods We analyzed 3,108 PD patients enrolled at day 90 of renal replacement therapy (RRT) into the UK Renal Registry (UKRR) data base with available serum sodium measurements (in 3 groups: ≤ 137, 138 - 140, ≥ 141 mmol/L) who were then followed up until death or the censoring date (31 December 2012). Analysis used Cox-regression with adjustment for age, sex, year of starting RRT, primary renal disease, serum albumin, smoking, and comorbidities. Results Unadjusted mortality rates were 118.6/1,000 person-years (py), 83.4/1,000 py, and 83.5/1,000 py for the lowest, middle, and highest serum sodium tertiles, respectively. After adjustment for covariates, patients in the lowest serum sodium group had almost 50% increased risk of dying compared with those with the highest serum sodium (hazard ratio [HR] 1.49, confidence interval [CI]:1.28 - 1.74), with a graded association between serum sodium and mortality. The association of serum sodium with mortality varied by age (p interaction < 0.001), and whilst this association attenuated after adjustment for confounding variables in the older age groups (55 - 64, and > 65 years), it remained in the younger age group of 18 - 54 years (HR 2.24 [1.36 – 3.70] in the lowest compared with the highest sodium tertile). Conclusions Lower serum sodium concentrations at the start of RRT in PD patients are associated with increased risk of mortality. Whilst this association may well be due to confounding in the older age groups, the persistent strong association between hyponatremia and mortality in the younger age group after adjustment for the available confounders suggests that prospective studies are required to assess whether active intervention to maintain serum sodium changes outcomes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 87 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 10-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salah Gariballa ◽  
Awad Alessa

Abstract. Background: ill health may lead to poor nutrition and poor nutrition to ill health, so identifying priorities for management still remains a challenge. The aim of this report is to present data on the impact of plasma zinc (Zn) depletion on important health outcomes after adjusting for other poor prognostic indicators in hospitalised patients. Methods: Hospitalised acutely ill older patients who were part of a large randomised controlled trial had their nutritional status assessed using anthropometric, hematological and biochemical data. Plasma Zn concentrations were measured at baseline, 6 weeks and at 6 months using inductively- coupled plasma spectroscopy method. Other clinical outcome measures of health were also measured. Results: A total of 345 patients assessed at baseline, 133 at 6 weeks and 163 at 6 months. At baseline 254 (74%) patients had a plasma Zn concentration below 10.71 μmol/L indicating biochemical depletion. The figures at 6 weeks and 6 months were 86 (65%) and 114 (70%) patients respectively. After adjusting for age, co-morbidity, nutritional status and tissue inflammation measured using CRP, only muscle mass and serum albumin showed significant and independent effects on plasma Zn concentrations. The risk of non-elective readmission in the 6-months follow up period was significantly lower in patients with normal Zn concentrations compared with those diagnosed with Zn depletion (adjusted hazard ratio 0.62 (95% CI: 0.38 to 0.99), p = 0.047. Conclusions: Zn depletion is common and associated with increased risk of readmission in acutely-ill older patients, however, the influence of underlying comorbidity on these results can not excluded.


Author(s):  
Andrew M Vekstein ◽  
Babtunde A Yerokun ◽  
Oliver K Jawitz ◽  
Julie W Doberne ◽  
Jatin Anand ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES The impact of hypothermic circulatory arrest (HCA) temperature on postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) has not been evaluated. This study examined the association between circulatory arrest temperatures and AKI in patients undergoing proximal aortic surgery with HCA. METHODS A total of 759 consecutive patients who underwent proximal aortic surgery (ascending ± valve ± root) including arch replacement requiring HCA between July 2005 and December 2016 were identified from a prospectively maintained institutional aortic surgery database. The primary outcome was AKI as defined by Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) criteria. The association between minimum nasopharyngeal (NP) and bladder temperatures during HCA and postoperative AKI was assessed, adjusting for patient-level factors using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS A total of 85% (n = 645) of patients underwent deep hypothermia (14.1–20.0°C), 11% (n = 83) low-moderate hypothermia (20.1–24.0°C) and 4% (n = 31) high-moderate hypothermia (24.1–28.0°C) as classified by NP temperature. When analysed by bladder temperature, 59% (n = 447) underwent deep hypothermia, 22% (n = 170) low-moderate, 16% (n = 118) high-moderate and 3% mild (n = 24) (28.1–34.0°C) hypothermia. The median systemic circulatory arrest time was 17 min. The incidence of AKI did not differ between hypothermia groups, whether analysed using minimum NP or bladder temperature. In the multivariable analysis, the association between degree of hypothermia and AKI remained non-significant whether analysed as a categorical variable (hypothermia group) or as a continuous variable (minimum NP or bladder temperature) (all P &gt; 0.05). CONCLUSIONS In patients undergoing proximal aortic surgery including arch replacement requiring HCA, degree of systemic hypothermia was not associated with the risk of AKI. These data suggest that moderate hypothermia does not confer increased risk of AKI for patients requiring circulatory arrest, although additional prospective data are needed.


The Physician ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Zatorska ◽  
Niladri Konar ◽  
Pratyasha Saha ◽  
Alice Moseley ◽  
Jessica Denman ◽  
...  

Ethnicity was found to be an independent risk factor in COVID-19 outcomes in the UK and the USA during the pandemic surge. London, being in the epicentre and having one of the most ethnically diverse population in the UK, was likely to have experienced a much higher intensity of this phenomenon. Black Asian and Minority ethnic groups were more likely to be admitted, more likely to require admission to intensive care, and more likely to die from COVID-19. We undertook an analysis of a case series to explore the impact of ethnicity in hospitalised patients with confirmed COVID-19 during the 3 months of the pandemic. Our results demonstrated that although the proportion of Asian and Black patients were representative of the local population distribution, they were much younger. The prevalence of comorbidities was similar but logistic regression analysis showed that male sex (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.9; p=0.02), age (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.04, p<0.001), those in the ‘Other’ [Odds ratio 1.7 (1.1-2.6) p = 0.01] and ‘Asian’[Odds ratio 1.8 (1.1-2.7) p=0.01], category were at higher risk of death in this cohort. Our results, therefore, are consistent with the overall data from the UK and USA indicating that ethnicity remains a significant additional risk and hence our clinical services must ensure that adequate provision is made to cater to this risk and research must be designed to understand the causes.   


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takaya Kitano ◽  
Tsutomu Sasaki ◽  
Yasufumi Gon ◽  
Kenichi Todo ◽  
Shuhei Okazaki ◽  
...  

Introduction: Chemotherapy may be a cause of cancer-associated stroke, but whether it increases stroke risk remains uncertain. We aimed to clarify the impact of chemotherapy on stroke risk in cancer patients. Methods: We investigated 27,932 patients enrolled in a hospital-based cancer registry at Osaka University Hospital between 2007 and 2015. The registry collects clinical data, including cancer status (site and stage), on all patients treated for cancer. Of them, 19,006 patients with complete data were included. A validated algorithm was used to identify stroke events within 2 years of cancer diagnosis. Patients were divided based on whether their initial treatment plan included chemotherapy. The association between chemotherapy and stroke was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and stratified Cox regression. Results: Of the 19,006 patients, 5,887 (31%) patients were in the chemotherapy group. Non-targeted chemotherapy was used in 5,371 patients. Stroke occurred in 44 patients (0.75%) in the chemotherapy group and 51 patients (0.39%) in the no-chemotherapy group. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that patients in the chemotherapy group had a higher stroke risk than patients in the no-chemotherapy group (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.23-2.75; Figure [A]). However, this difference was insignificant after adjustment for cancer status using inverse probability of treatment weighting with propensity scores (HR 1.20; 95% CI 0.76-1.91; Figure [B]). Similarly, in the stratified Cox regression model, chemotherapy was not associated with stroke after adjustment for cancer status (HR 1.26; 95% CI 0.78-2.03). These findings were consistent with analysis wherein the effect of chemotherapy was treated as a time-dependent covariate (HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.55-1.88). Conclusions: In this population, the elevated stroke risk in cancer patients who received chemotherapy was presumably due to advanced cancer stage; chemotherapy was not associated with the increased risk of stroke.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul-Rahman Gomaa ◽  
Sharan Sambhwani ◽  
Jonathan Wilkinson

BACKGROUND Intravenous (IV) fluids are some of the most commonly prescribed day-to-day drugs. Evidence suggests that such prescriptions are rarely ever done correctly despite the presence of clear guidelines (NICE CG174). This is believed to be due to lack of knowledge and experience, which often breeds confusion and places patients at increased risk of harm. It also incurs avoidable costs to hospitals. OBJECTIVE This quality improvement project (QIP) aims to ensure that IV fluid prescriptions are: safe, appropriate and adhere to evidence-based NICE guidance. The project’s aims will be achieved through implementing multiple interventions that are categorised under: educational, changing prescribing habits and raising awareness. METHODS Review and improve the prescribing process of “IV fluid prescribing” via three simultaneous approaches.  Teaching sessions were delivered to all junior doctors in order to improve knowledge and awareness of appropriate IV fluid prescribing and promote familiarity with the current NICE IV fluid guidelines. This included a ‘feature session’ at our local hospital Grand Round. A point-of-care aide-memoire containing a summary of the information needed for correct prescription was designed and printed. This complimented the teaching sessions and supported good clinical practice. Using serial Plan-Do-Study-Act (PDSA) cycles, a novel “IV fluid bundle” was developed, fine-tuned and trialled on five wards, (three surgical, two medical). The aim of the bundle was to ensure that patients were clinically reviewed in order to assess their volaemic status in order that appropriate IV fluids could then be selected and prescribed safely. The impact of these interventions was assessed on the trial wards via a weekly point prevalence audit of the IV fluid bundles for the duration of the trial. Parameters looked at were: incidence of deranged U&E’s, incidence of AKI and the number of days between the latest U&E’s and the patient’s IV fluid prescription. RESULTS These interventions were assessed on trial wards via a weekly point prevalence audit of the new IV fluid prescription chart (bundle; IFB) for the duration of the trial. Parameters monitored were: incidence of deranged U&E’s, incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) and the number of days between the latest U&E’s and the patient’s IV fluid prescription. Of all of the patients on the IV fluid bundle, 100% had a documented weight, review of both fluid status and balance. The incidence of deranged U&E’s decreased from 48% to 35%. Incidence of AKI decreased from 24% to 10%. The average number of days between the latest U&E’s and a fluid prescription decreased from 2.2 days to 0.6 day. CONCLUSIONS Prescribing IV fluids is a complex task that requires significant improvement both locally and nationally. With 85% uptake of the IFB, we were able to significantly improve all measured outcomes. Through carefully structured interventions geared towards tackling the confounding issues identified from previous audits and process mapping we have shown that prescribing IV fluids can be made safer.


2019 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Fitchett ◽  
Silvio E Inzucchi ◽  
Christoph Wanner ◽  
Michaela Mattheus ◽  
Jyothis T George ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Hypoglycaemia, in patients with Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular (CV) events. In EMPA-REG OUTCOME, the sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor empagliflozin reduced the risk of CV death by 38% and heart failure hospitalization (HHF) by 35%, while decreasing glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) without increasing hypoglycaemia. We investigated CV outcomes in patients with hypoglycaemia during the trial and the impact of hypoglycaemia on the treatment effect of empagliflozin. Methods and results About 7020 patients with T2D (HbA1c 7–10%) were treated with empagliflozin 10 or 25 mg, or placebo and followed for median 3.1 years. The relationship between on-trial hypoglycaemia and CV outcomes, and effects of empagliflozin on outcomes by incident hypoglycaemia [HYPO-broad: symptomatic hypoglycaemia with plasma glucose (PG) ≤70 mg/dL, any hypoglycaemia with PG &lt;54 mg/dL, or severe hypoglycaemia, and HYPO-strict: hypoglycaemia with PG &lt;54 mg/dL, or severe hypoglycaemia] was investigated using adjusted Cox regression models with time-varying covariates for hypoglycaemia and interaction with treatment. HYPO-broad occurred in 28% in each group and HYPO-strict in 19%. In the placebo group, hypoglycaemia was associated with an increased risk of HHF for both HYPO-broad [hazard ratio (HR, 95% confidence interval, CI) 1.91 (1.25–2.93)] and HYPO-strict [1.72 (1.06–2.78)]. HYPO-broad (but not HYPO-strict) was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) [HR 1.56 (1.06–2.29)]. Empagliflozin improved CV outcomes, regardless of occurrence of hypoglycaemia (P-for interactions &gt;0.05). Conclusion In this post hoc exploratory analysis, hypoglycaemia was associated with an increased risk of HHF and MI. Hypoglycaemia risk was not increased with empagliflozin and incident hypoglycaemia did not attenuate its cardio-protective effects.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaerim Kim ◽  
Jeongsoo Yoon ◽  
Jin Hyuk Paek ◽  
Woo Yeong Park ◽  
Kyubok Jin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Glomerular hyperfiltration is associated with all-cause mortality. Herein, we evaluated the association between glomerular hyperfiltration and the development of malignant disease, the most common cause of death, in an Asian population. Method We retrospectively reviewed the National Health Insurance Service database of Korea for people who received national health screenings from 2012 to 2013. Glomerular hyperfiltration was defined as the 95th percentile and greater after adjusting for age and sex. We performed a multivariate Cox regression analysis using glomerular hyperfiltration at the first health screening as the exposure variable and cancer development as the outcome variable to evaluate the impact of glomerular hyperfiltration on the development of malignant disease. Results A total of 1,953,123 examinations who followed-up for 4.9 years were included in this study. Among the 8 different site-specific malignant disease categories, digestive organs and female genital organs showed a significant associations between glomerular hyperfiltration and malignancy. The population with glomerular hyperfiltration showed an increased risk for stomach cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.27), colorectal cancer (aHR, 1.23), and liver or intrahepatic malignancy (aHR, 1.40). In addition, the risk for uterine and ovarian cancer was significantly increased in the population with glomerular hyperfiltration (aHR, 1.36). Conclusion Glomerular hyperfiltration was associated with an increased risk for the development of malignant diseases in specific organs, such as the stomach, colorectum, uterus, and ovary. Glomerular hyperfiltration needs to be considered a significant sign of the need to evaluate the possibility of hidden adverse health conditions, including malignancies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (17) ◽  
pp. 1673-1683 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Böhm ◽  
João Pedro Ferreira ◽  
Felix Mahfoud ◽  
Kevin Duarte ◽  
Bertram Pitt ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims The described association of low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with increased cardiovascular outcomes could be due to reduced coronary perfusion or is simply due to reverse causation. If DBP is physiologically relevant, coronary reperfusion after myocardial infarction (MI) might influence DBP–risk association. Methods and results The relation of achieved DBP with cardiovascular death or cardiovascular hospitalization, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death was explored in 5929 patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with impaired left ventricular function, signs and symptoms of heart failure, or diabetes in the EPHESUS trial according to their reperfusion status. Cox regression models were used to assess the impact of reperfusion status on the association of DBP and systolic blood pressure (SBP) with outcomes in an adjusted fashion. In patients without reperfusion, lower DBP &lt;70 mmHg was associated with increased risk for all-cause death [adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) 1.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41–2.30; P &lt; 0.001], cardiovascular death (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.3–3.22; P &lt; 0.001), cardiovascular death or cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.26–1.87; P &lt; 0.001). In patients with reperfusion, the risk increase at low DBP was not observed. At low SBP, risk increased independently of reperfusion. A sensitivity analysis in the subgroup of patients with optimal SBP of 120–130 mmHg showed again risk reduction of reperfusion at low DBP. Adding the treatment allocation to eplerenone or placebo into the models had no effects on the results. Conclusion Patients after AMIs with a low DBP had an increased risk, which was sensitive to reperfusion therapy. Low blood pressure after MI identifies in patients with particular higher risk. These data support the hypothesis that low DBP in patients with stenotic coronary lesions is associated with risk, potentially involving coronary perfusion pressure and the recommendations provided by guidelines suggesting lower DBP boundaries for these high-risk patients.


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