MO514CARDIORENAL OUTCOMES AND MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH TYPE 2 DIABETES MELLITUS: A MULTINATIONAL PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY (PROVALID)

Abstract Background and Aims PROVALID is a prospective, observational, multinational cohort study in 4000 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Our aim was to determine the incidence rate of renal and cardiovascular endpoints, as well as all-cause-mortality in different European countries and to identify risk factors associated with the investigated outcomes. Method Potential risk factors associated with the investigated outcomes were identified by calculation of the incidence rate ratio. Crude and adjusted incidence rates for every country were estimated using generalized linear (poisson) regression models and corresponding 95 % confidence intervals were computed. Incidence rates were adjusted for different risk factors including age, sex, estimated GFR, albuminuria, HbA1c, LDL, HDL, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, BMI and cardiovascular and renal comorbidities; among these several show significant impact on outcomes. The renal outcome was a composite of a sustained decline in the estimated GFR of at least 40%, a sustained increase in albuminuria of at least 30 % including the progression from normo- to micro- or macroalbuminuria, end-stage kidney disease, or death from renal causes. The cardiovascular composite endpoint was death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. Results 3461 participants of four European countries (Austria 18 %, Hungary 41 %, Netherlands 26 % and Scotland 15 %) with a mean follow up time of 3.9 years were included into this study. Participants from Poland were excluded due to missing follow-up data. In total, 9.2 % and 6.4 % participants reached the renal and cardiovascular composite endpoint, respectively. 7.0 % of the participants died within this timeframe. The adjusted incidence rate for the renal endpoint ranged from 14.5 to 25.3 (per 1000 patient-years) with no significant differences between countries. On average, the incidence rate was lower in Scotland (IR, 14.5; 95 % CI, 8.7 to 22.5) and in the Netherlands (IR, 15.7; 95 % CI, 10.9 to 21.8) compared to Hungary (IR, 25.3; 95 % CI, 20.7 to 30.6) and Austria (IR 21.3; 95 % CI, 16.2 to 27.5). The adjusted incidence rate for the cardiovascular endpoint ranged from 7.0 to 20.3 and was significantly lower in Hungary (IR, 7.0; 95 % CI, 5.1 to 9.3) and the Netherlands (IR, 7.6; 95 % CI, 4.4 to 12.2) compared to Austria (IR, 16.7; 95 % CI, 12.4 to 22.1) and Scotland (IR, 20.3; 95 % CI, 13.8 to 28.9). The adjusted incidence rate for all-cause-mortality ranged from 4.2 to 15.9 and was significantly lower in the Netherlands (IR, 4.2; 95 % CI, 2.2 to 7.6) compared to Scotland (IR, 15.9; 95 % CI, 10.9 to 22.6). No significant difference in the incidence rates between Austria (IR, 9.8; 95 % CI, 7.0 to 13.4) and Hungary (IR, 9.3; 95 % CI, 6.8 to 12.4) was found. Conclusion After adjustment for known risk factors, incidence rates of cardiovascular endpoints, as well as all-cause-mortality still vary significantly between four European countries. This may be due to manifold reasons. Further analysis of the national therapeutic practice pattern within the PROVALID cohort may provide additional information.

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Population-based incidence of conjunctival tumours in Olmsted County, Minnesota

British Journal of Ophthalmology ◽

10.1136/bjophthalmol-2017-311530 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 102 (12) ◽

pp. 1728-1734 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Lauren A Dalvin ◽

Diva R Salomão ◽

Sanjay V Patel

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Population Based ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Medical Record Linkage ◽

Olmsted County ◽

Rochester Epidemiology Project ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence ◽

Over Time

AimTo determine population-based incidence of conjunctival tumours in Olmsted County, Minnesota.MethodsThe Rochester Epidemiology Project medical record linkage system was used to identify patients with conjunctival tumours in Olmsted County (1 January 1980 to 31 December 2015). Records were reviewed for demographics, types of tumours, histopathology, treatment and clinical course. Incidence rate of all tumours was calculated per 1 000 000 person-years. Poisson regression analysis was used to assess changes in incidence over time.ResultsThere were 504 patients with conjunctival tumours, giving an age-adjusted and sex-adjusted incidence rate of 125 per 1 000 000 (CI 113.5 to 135.5). Incidence increased over time (P<0.001). Most tumours (474, 94%) were benign. Of benign lesions, melanocytic lesions accounted for the majority (431, 86%), with adjusted incidence rates of 10.8 (CI 7.7 to 13.9) for complexion-associated melanosis, 49.7 (CI 42.9 to 56.6) for nevus and 44.1 (37.5–50.8) for primary acquired melanosis. Malignant lesions were rare (30, 6%) with 6 cases of melanoma, 21 cases of ocular surface squamous neoplasia (OSSN), 1 case of Langerhans cell histiocytosis and 2 cases of lymphoma. Adjusted incidence rates of conjunctival melanoma and OSSN were 1.5 (CI 0.3 to 2.8) and 6.1 (CI 3.5 to 8.7), respectively. Outcomes for melanoma (mean follow-up 14 years, range 0–34) and OSSN (mean follow-up 4 years, range 0–24) were favourable in 29 cases, with one fatality due to metastatic melanoma.ConclusionsIn a population-based setting, most conjunctival tumours are benign, and the majority of lesions are melanocytic. While it is important to remain vigilant for malignancies, most conjunctival lesions in a community-based practice are not life-threatening.

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1003Modifiable risk factors and incidence of diabetes mellitus progressing in the prediabetic Population

International Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1093/ije/dyab168.284 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

Kwan Hong ◽

Eun Sun Yu ◽

Byung Chul Chun

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Alcohol Consumption ◽

Incidence Rate ◽

National Health ◽

Progression Rate ◽

Modifiable Risk Factors ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence

Abstract Background Although the prevention of diabetes mellitus is important, factors related to its progression in the prediabetic population are rarely revealed. This study aimed to estimate the rate of progression and uncover the modifiable risk factors leading to progression. Methods We constructed a group from the National Health Screening Cohort, consisting of adults who received national health screening tests in 2002. After selecting a prediabetic population, we classified them into two groups based on their diabetes progression after a 13-year follow up. The adjusted incidence rate was estimated, and the Cox proportional hazard modelling was performed to identify risk factors for progression. Results The progression rate of diabetes in the prediabetic population (88,330) was 22.85% (20,184), with an adjusted incidence rate of 25.18 (95% confidence interval, CI: 24.44 – 26.02) per 1,000 person-year, ages 40-64 and 25.69 (95% CI: 24.46 – 26.95) in those 65 or older. Among modifiable risk factors, smoking showed the highest hazard ratio, 1.21 (95% CI: 1.16 – 1.25), followed by BMI and alcohol consumption with hazard ratios of 1.06 (95% CI: 1.06 – 1.07) and 1.06 (95% CI: 1.02 – 1.09), respectively. Conclusions Considering the high progression rate of the prediabetic population, modifiable risk factors, such as smoking, should be managed. Key messages The progression rate of the prediabetic population was 25–26% per 1,000 person-year. At the 13-year follow up, modifiable risk factors, such as smoking, BMI, and alcohol consumption, affected the prediabetic population.

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Emotional states and future risk of venous thromboembolism

Thrombosis and Haemostasis ◽

10.1160/th11-09-0667 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 107 (03) ◽

pp. 485-493 ◽

Cited By ~ 13

Author(s):

Sigrid K. Brækkan ◽

Ida J. Hansen-Krone ◽

John-Bjarne Hansen ◽

Kristin F. Enga

Keyword(s):

Venous Thromboembolism ◽

Incidence Rate ◽

Population Based ◽

Emotional States ◽

Depressive Feelings ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence ◽

Reduced Risk

SummaryEmotional states of depression and loneliness are reported to be associated with higher risk and optimism with lower risk of arterial cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death. The relation between emotional states and risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been explored previously. We aimed to investigate the associations between self-reported emotional states and risk of incident VTE in a population-based, prospective study. The frequency of feeling depressed, lonely and happy/optimistic were registered by self-administered questionnaires, along with major co-morbidities and lifestyle habits, in 25,964 subjects aged 25–96 years, enrolled in the Tromsø Study in 1994–1995. Incident VTE-events were registered from the date of inclusion until September 1, 2007. There were 440 incident VTE-events during a median of 12.4 years of follow-up. Subjects who often felt depressed had 1.6-fold (95% CI:1.02–2.50) higher risk of VTE compared to those not depressed in analyses adjusted for other risk factors (age, sex , body mass index, oes-trogens), lifestyle (smoking, alcohol consumption, educational level) and co-morbidities (diabetes, CVD, and cancer). Often feeling lonely was not associated with VTE. However, the incidence rate of VTE in subjects who concurrently felt often lonely and depressed was higher than for depression alone (age-and sex-adjusted incidence rate: 3.27 vs. 2.21). Oppositely, subjects who often felt happy/optimistic had 40% reduced risk of VTE (HR 0.60, 95% CI: 0.41–0.87). Our findings suggest that self-reported emotional states are associated with risk of VTE. Depressive feelings were associated with increased risk, while happiness/ optimism was associated with reduced risk of VTE.

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Dengue Fever in Italy: The “Eternal Return” of an Emerging Arboviral Disease

Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease ◽

10.3390/tropicalmed7010010 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. 10

Author(s):

Matteo Riccò ◽

Simona Peruzzi ◽

Federica Balzarini ◽

Alessandro Zaniboni ◽

Silvia Ranzieri

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Central Italy ◽

Denv Infection ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Annual Incidence ◽

Annual Reports ◽

Foreign Born ◽

Time Period ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence

Enhanced surveillance for dengue virus (DENV) infections in Italy has been implemented since 2012, with annual reports from the National Health Institute. In this study, we summarize available evidence on the epidemiology of officially notified DENV infections from 2010–2021. In total, 1043 DENV infection cases were diagnosed, and most of them occurred in travelers, with only 11 autochthonous cases. The annual incidence rates of DENV infections peaked during 2019 with 0.277 cases per 100,000 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.187–0.267), (age-adjusted incidence rate: 0.328, 95% CI 0.314–0.314). Cases of DENV were clustered during the summer months of July (11.4%), August (19.3%), and September (12.7%). The areas characterized by higher notification rates were north-western (29.0%), and mostly north-eastern Italy (41.3%). The risk for DENV infection in travelers increased in the time period 2015–2019 (risk ratio [RR] 1.808, 95% CI 1.594–2.051) and even during 2020–2021 (RR 1.771, 95% CI 1.238–2.543). Higher risk for DENV was additionally reported in male subjects compared with females subjects, and aged 25 to 44 years, and in individuals from northern and central Italy compared to southern regions and islands. In a multivariable Poisson regression model, the increased number of travelers per 100 inhabitants (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.065, 95% CI 1.036–1.096), the incidence in other countries (IRR 1.323, 95% CI 1.165–1.481), the share of individuals aged 25 to 44 years (IRR 1.622, 95% CI 1.338–1.968), and foreign-born residents (IRR 2.717, 95% CI 1.555–3.881), were identified as effectors of annual incidence. In summary, although the circulation of DENV remains clustered among travelers, enhanced surveillance is vital for the early detection of human cases and the prompt implementation of response measures.

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Epidemiology of New Onset Seizures and Epilepsy Cases: A Prospective Cohort Study

International Journal of Epilepsy ◽

10.1055/s-0040-1712771 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 06 (01) ◽

pp. 30-38

Author(s):

Deepak Goel ◽

Pradeep Aggarwal ◽

Sunil Dutt Kandpal ◽

Rakesh Kakkar ◽

Deepak Negi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Developed Countries ◽

Annual Incidence ◽

Time Interval ◽

Incidence Studies ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence ◽

New Onset

Abstract Introduction Incidence is the number of new epilepsy cases occurring during a given time interval, usually in 1 year, in a specified population. Most incidence studies of epilepsy are from developed countries with a rate of 40 to 70 per 100,000 population. Aims We conducted this survey to study incidence of all new onset unprovoked in rural and semiurban areas of the Uttarakhand State. This study is conducted on more than 100,000 of population with longitudinal follow-up of 3 years. Methods This was a community-based, longitudinal, observational study in two blocks of Dehradun district of Uttarakhand state. Total population of approximately 100,000 from two blocks will be surveyed (50,000 in each block). This door-to-door survey was conducted annually for 3 years duration from May 2014 to April 2017. The initial data were collected on National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences (NIMHANS) questionnaire by door-to-door survey. Results After longitudinal follow-up for 3 years of 103,610 of population in two blocks of Uttarakhand state, we found age-adjusted prevalence rate of unprovoked seizures to the tune of 623.63 cases per 100,000 of population. Age-adjusted incidence rate of epilepsy was 38.28 per 100,000 population and annual incidence of acute symptomatic seizures was 14.79 per 100,000 of population. Overall annual incidence rate of all afebrile seizures was 51.63 per of 100,000 people. Among all sociodemographic factors, age, poverty, diet, and hygiene were significantly associated with seizures. Conclusion Age-adjusted incidence rate of unprovoked seizure in Uttarakhand state was 38.28 per 100,000 people. Diet and hygiene were significant risk factors for seizures.

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Hyperprolactinemia and the Association with All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Mortality

Hormone and Metabolic Research ◽

10.1055/s-0043-107243 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 49 (06) ◽

pp. 411-417 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Jesper Krogh ◽

Christian Selmer ◽

Christian Torp-Pedersen ◽

Gunnar Gislason ◽

Caroline Kistorp

Keyword(s):

Antipsychotic Medication ◽

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Rate Ratio ◽

Incidence Rate Ratio ◽

University Hospitals ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Male Patients ◽

Adjusted Incidence

AbstractHyperprolactinemia has been suspected to increase mortality risk, but the available data are conflicting. The objective of this study was to estimate the association between hyperprolactinemia and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among patients referred for assessment of prolactin. For this study, adults with no prio pituitary disease who underwent prolactin assessment at 3 university Hospitals in Denmark between 2001 and 2011 were included in a retrospective cohort study. A total of 3 633 patients with a median follow-up time of 5.3 years (IQR 2.7–5.7) were included. Mean (SD) age 39.7 (15.5) years and 78% female. 373/3 633 (10.3%) had hyperprolactinemia and during follow-up 330/3 633 (9.1%) patients died of any cause, and 113/3 633 (3.1%) patients died of cardiovascular causes. In males, hyperprolactinemia was associated with age-adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.86 for all-cause mortality (95% CI 1.22–2.82) and 2.55 (95% CI 1.43–4.55) for cardiovascular mortality. The IRR for all-cause mortality was reduced to 1.37 (0.90–2.08) when adjusted for the use of antipsychotic medication. The association between hyperprolactinemia and cardiovascular mortality remained after adjusting for confounders, for example, chronic renal failure, diabetes, and antipsychotic medication. In females, hyperprolactinemia was not associated with all-cause mortality (IRR 1.45; CI 0.86–2.47) or cardiovascular mortality (IRR 0.58; CI 0.14–2.39). In conclusion, hyperprolactinemia was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in male patients. This association was not found in female patients. Focus on increased cardiovascular risk in males with hyperprolactinemia is warranted.

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Epidemiology of Myeloproliferative Neoplasms in Norway

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v124.21.1858.1858 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 124 (21) ◽

pp. 1858-1858

Author(s):

Christina Roaldsnes ◽

Anders Waage ◽

Mette Nørgaard ◽

Waleed Ghanima

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Cancer Registry ◽

Research Funding ◽

Myeloproliferative Neoplasms ◽

Relative Survival ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Age At Diagnosis ◽

Jak2 Mutation ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence

Abstract Background: Polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET) and myelofibrosis (MF) are clonal hematological disorders collectively named as myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN). Discovery of JAK2 mutation in 2005, altered WHO classification for MPN diagnosis in 2008 and availability of new treatment of MPN may have substantial effect on epidemiology of MPN. Published data on epidemiology of MPN after the discovery of JAK2 mutation and the introduction of 2008 WHO classifications for MPN, in particular on the prevalence of MPN, are scarce. We aimed to study the epidemiology of MPN in Norway and to explore the impact of JAK-2 mutation and new guidelines on the incidence of MPN using data from the Norwegian cancer registry. Method: We identified 2344 persons diagnosed with MPN from the Norwegian Cancer Registry diagnosed between 1995 and 2012. Registration of cancer in the Norwegian Cancer Registry is mandatory according to the law. We report age-adjusted incidence, prevalence and relative survival of MPN. Age adjusted incidence was reported for 2 years periods from 1995 to 2012. The prevalence was calculated according to the Norwegian population per 31.12.2011. Results: A total of 945 cases of PV was identified with a median age at diagnosis of 70 years; 471 males (50%) and 474 females (50%). The overall age-adjusted incidence rate both genders was 0.4/10⁵ in 1995-1997, 0.5/10⁵ in 1998-2000, 0.7/10⁵ in 2001-2003, 0.8/10⁵ in 2004-2007, 2008-2009 and 0.7/10⁵ in 2010-12. We identified a total of 762 cases of ET with a median age at diagnosis of 65 years, 297 males (39%) and 465 females (61%). The overall age adjusted incidence rate both genders being 0.3/10⁵ in 1995-1997 and 1998-2000, 0.5/10⁵ in 2001-2003 and 2004-2006, 0.9/10⁵ in 2007-2009 and 2010-2012. A total of 418 cases of MF was identified with a median age at diagnosis of 71 years; 243 males (58%) and 175 females (42%). Age adjusted incidence rates of both genders were 0.2/10⁵ from 1995-2006, 0.3/10⁵ in 2007-2009 and 0.5/10⁵ in 2010-2012. There were a total of 219 persons with unclassified MPN both genders,119 males (54%) and 100 females (46%) and age adjusted incidence rate varied from 0.1-0.2 to 0.1/10⁵ 1995-2012. Per 31.12.2011 the prevalence of PV, ET and MF was 9.2, 8.6 and 3.0 per 10⁵ inhabitants respectively. The survival curves for males and females for the three conditions are shown in the figure. Conclusions: This population-based study shows that the incidence of ET and MF almost doubled during the years 2007-2012 as compared to 1995-2006 as shown in the table. This increment in the incidence may possibly be related to improved diagnostics including the JAK2 mutation and the introduction of 2008 WHO-guidelines for MPN. Surprisingly, the discovery of JAK2 does not seem to have had impact on the incidence of PV as indicated by steady incidence rates since 2001. The relative survival was only slightly reduced for PV and ET, but substantially reduced for MF. Only 50% of patients with MF survive for more than 5 years. Table Incidence of MPN per 105 inhabitants during the period 1995 to 2012 in Norway 1995-97 1998-2000 2001-03 2004-06 2007-09 2010-12 PV 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 ET 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 MF 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 Figure showing the relative survival of PV, ET and MF Figure. showing the relative survival of PV, ET and MF Disclosures Roaldsnes: Novartis Norge AS: Research Funding. Ghanima:Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding.

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Burden of Risk Factors for Cervical Cancer Among Women Living in East Africa: An Analysis of the Latest Demographic Health Surveys Conducted Between 2014 and 2017

JCO Global Oncology ◽

10.1200/go.21.00123 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1116-1128

Author(s):

Derrick Bary Abila ◽

Sulaiman Bugosera Wasukira ◽

Provia Ainembabazi ◽

Henry Wabinga

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cervical Cancer ◽

Risk Factor ◽

East Africa ◽

Incidence Rate ◽

Lower Number ◽

Age At First Birth ◽

Sampling Weights ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence

PURPOSE In East Africa, cervical cancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among women diagnosed with cancer. In this study, we describe the burden of risk factors for cervical cancer among women of reproductive age in five East African countries. METHODS For each country, using STATA13 software and sampling weights, we analyzed the latest Demographic and Health Survey data sets conducted between 2014 and 2017 in Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda. We included women age 15-49 years and considered six risk factors (tobacco use, body mass index, age at first sexual intercourse, age at first birth, number of children, and hormonal contraceptive use). RESULTS Of the 93,616 women from the five countries, each country had more than half of the women younger than 30 years and lived in rural areas. Pooled proportion of women with at least one risk factor was 89% (95% CI, 87 to 91). Living in a rural area in Burundi (adjusted incidence rate ration 0.94; 95% CI, 0.9 to 0.99; P = .019) and Rwanda (adjusted incidence rate Ration 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88 to 0.96; P < .001) was associated with a lower number of risk factors compared with living in an urban area. In all the countries, women with complete secondary education were associated with a lower number of risk factors compared with those with no education. CONCLUSION This study reveals a high burden of risk factors for cervical cancer in East Africa, with a high proportion of women exposed to at least one risk factor. There is a need for interventions to reduce the exposure of women to these risk factors.

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Excess Mortality Attributable to COVID-19 Among Assisted Living Residents

Innovation in Aging ◽

10.1093/geroni/igab046.221 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 58-58

Author(s):

Kali Thomas ◽

Wenhan Zhang ◽

David Dosa ◽

Paula Carder ◽

Philip Sloane ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Confidence Intervals ◽

Assisted Living ◽

Excess Mortality ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

National Cohort ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Rate Ratios ◽

Adjusted Incidence

Abstract This study examines the excess mortality attributable to COVID-19 among a national cohort of assisted living (AL) residents. To do this, we compare the weekly rate of all-cause mortality during 1/1/20-8/11/20 with the same weeks in 2019 and calculated adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All-cause mortality rates, nationally, were 14% higher in 2020 compared with 2019 (mean, 2.309 vs. 2.020, respectively, per 1000 residents per week; adjusted IRR, 1.169; 95% CI 1.165-1.173). Among the 10 states with the highest community spread, the excess mortality attributable to COVID-19 was 24% higher, with 2.388 deaths per 1000 residents per week in 2020 during January-August vs 1.928 in 2019 (adjusted IRR, 1.241; 95% CI 1.233-1.250). These results suggest that AL residents suffered excess mortality due to COVID-19.

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Differences in colon cancer incidence rates by latitude.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2013.31.15_suppl.e14627 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. e14627-e14627

Author(s):

Binay Kumar Shah ◽

Krishna Bilas Ghimire ◽

Barsha Nepal

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Incidence Rate ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Southern Region ◽

Southern Latitude ◽

Northern Latitude ◽

The North ◽

Northern Regions ◽

Adjusted Incidence Rate ◽

Adjusted Incidence

e14627 Background: There is significant decrease in the ultraviolet B photons reaching the earth’s surface during November to February (Holick MF Am J Clin Nutr. 2004 Dec; 80(6 Suppl):1678S-88S). This results in little if any vitamin D3 production in the skin during this period. This study was conducted to evaluate difference in colon cancer age adjusted incidence rates in the northern (latitude ≥37o N) and the southern (latitude < 37oN) regions in the contiguous United States during 1973-2008. Methods: Patients, aged 20 years and older, who had been diagnosed with colong cancer during January 1973 and December 2008, were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 13 database. Based on the counties’ centroid, northern (latitude ≥37o N) and southern (latitude < 37oN) regions were determined. We compared age adjusted incidence rates (AAIR) of colon cancer in the southern and northern regions among cohorts of patients categorized by age (≥20, 20-64, ≥65 years), gender (Men, Women) and Race (Caucasians, Blacks, Others). The AAIR was calculated per 100,000 population. We used SEER*Stat software to calculate age adjusted incidence rate, incidence ratio, confidence interval (CI, 95%) and P value. Results: There were 314,975 cases of colon cancer diagnosed among 608,245,557 US population during 1973-2008. The overall colon cancer AAIR was 57.1 per 100,000 population studied. The incidence rates were 49.1 in the south and 58.7 in the north of 37oN latitude, (95% CI 1.18-1.20, p<0.05). The AAIRs for patients in the age group 20-64 years were 17.9 and 18.8 in the southern and northern regions, (CI 95%, 1.0346-1.0697), p<0.0005 respectively. The incidence rates for patients aged ≥65 years were 194.3 and 243.9 in the southern and northern regions, (CI 95%, 1.0346-1.0697) p<0.0005. Similarly, the AAIRs were significantly higher in the northern region compared to southern region for both sexes and all ethnic groups. Conclusions: Colon cancer age-adjusted incidence rate is significantly higher in the Northern compared to the Southern region of the US. The higher incidence of colon cancer in the North may be related to lack of sunlight exposure and relative vitamin D deficiency.

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