scholarly journals P09.04 Natural history of meningiomas: review with meta-analyses

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii39-iii39
Author(s):  
S Nakasu ◽  
Y Nakasu

Abstract BACKGROUND A recent investigation using MRI showed 2.5% frequency of meningioma as an incidental finding in the population-based neuroimaging study. Although observation has been a mainstay in asymptomatic meningiomas, it may increase the risk of surgery due to enlargement of the tumors and aging of patients. It is important to characterize tumors that will grow to be symptomatic in order to select appropriate treatments and radiological follow-up. MATERIAL AND METHODS We reviewed 26 studies (3 from the same institute) that analyzed natural courses in asymptomatic or untreated meningiomas. Radiological progression of tumor was redefined as tumor growth by 15% of initial volume or more whenever possible. To adjust the difference of follow-up interval in each study, the percentages of growing tumors in each study were compared with each mean follow-up period. Individual data were extracted from seven studies for univariate or multivariate analyses. Weighted meta-analyses were performed using the 25 studies. RESULTS In time-growth rate analysis, nearly 70% of meningiomas showed radiological progression defined by a volume criteria and the rate approached plateau at 5–6 years. Meta-analyses showed that each radiological progression, growth speed (annual volume change (AVC) or relative growth rate (RGR)) and symptomatic progression had different factors related to their progression. Age, calcification and high intensity on T2 weighted image related to radiological progression and growth speed but not to clinical progression. In individual data analyses, tumor size (diameter 2.6cm (AUC 0.773; specificity 0.759, sensitivity 0.800), volume 5.6cm3 (AUC 0.775, specificity 0.717, sensitivity 0.800)) was a possible marker for symptomatic growth.AVC (>= 2.1cm3/year) was the strongest indicator for clinical progression. In the group of >=2.1cm3/year, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that progression free rate was 69.3% at 3 years, and reached to 55.4% at 6 years whereas 100% in slower growth group. CONCLUSION Radiological features may not be very much useful for prediction of clinical progression except for perifocal edema. This may be due to dynamic changes of these radiological markers in a long term. Initial quantitative tumor size and growth speed especially AVC were reliable factors for decision of treatment for asymptomatic meningiomas.

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. ii36-ii36
Author(s):  
Satoshi Nakasu ◽  
Yoko Nakasu

Abstract Frequency of meningioma as an incidental finding in neuroimaging study is increasing. It is important to characterize tumors that will grow to be symptomatic in order to select appropriate treatment and radiological follow-up because long-term observation may increase the risk of surgery due to enlargement of the tumors and aging of patients. [Methods]We reviewed 26 studies that analyzed natural courses in asymptomatic or untreated meningiomas. RESULTS: In time-growth rate analysis, nearly 70% of meningiomas showed radiological progression defined by a volume criteria and the rate approached plateau at 5–6 years. About half of incidental meningiomas presented a decelerating growth pattern or no growth while less than one-fourth of them grew exponentially. Growth pattern change could be affected by the length of follow-up period. Radiological progression, growth speed (annual volume change (AVC) or relative growth rate (RGR)) and symptomatic progression had each different factor related to their progression. Younger age, non-calcification and high intensity on T2 weighted image related to radiological progression and rapid growth speed but not to symptomatic progression. Tumors in men and lager size were likely to be symptomatic in meta-analysis. AVC (>= 2.1cm3/year) was the strongest indicator for symptom development. In the group of AVC >=2.1cm3/year, progression free rate was 69.3% at 3 years, and reached to 55.4% at 6 years whereas 100% in slower growth group. [Conclusion]Radiological features may not be useful for prediction of symptom development except for perifocal edema in a long term. This may be due to dynamic change of these radiological markers in a long term. Quantitative tumor size and growth speed especially AVC were important factors for decision of treatment.


Author(s):  
Francesco Giganti ◽  
Armando Stabile ◽  
Vasilis Stavrinides ◽  
Elizabeth Osinibi ◽  
Adam Retter ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives The PRECISE recommendations for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in patients on active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer (PCa) include repeated measurement of each lesion, and attribution of a PRECISE radiological progression score for the likelihood of clinically significant change over time. We aimed to compare the PRECISE score with clinical progression in patients who are managed using an MRI-led AS protocol. Methods A total of 553 patients on AS for low- and intermediate-risk PCa (up to Gleason score 3 + 4) who had two or more MRI scans performed between December 2005 and January 2020 were included. Overall, 2161 scans were retrospectively re-reported by a dedicated radiologist to give a PI-RADS v2 score for each scan and assess the PRECISE score for each follow-up scan. Clinical progression was defined by histological progression to ≥ Gleason score 4 + 3 (Gleason Grade Group 3) and/or initiation of active treatment. Progression-free survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test was used to assess differences between curves. Results Overall, 165/553 (30%) patients experienced the primary outcome of clinical progression (median follow-up, 74.5 months; interquartile ranges, 53–98). Of all patients, 313/553 (57%) did not show radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1–3), of which 296/313 (95%) had also no clinical progression. Of the remaining 240/553 patients (43%) with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5), 146/240 (61%) experienced clinical progression (p < 0.0001). Patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4-5) showed a trend to an increase in PSA density. Conclusions Patients without radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1-3) during AS had a very low likelihood of clinical progression and many could avoid routine re-biopsy. Key Points • Patients without radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1–3) during AS had a very low likelihood of clinical progression and many could avoid routine re-biopsy. • Clinical progression was almost always detectable in patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5) during AS. • Patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5) during AS showed a trend to an increase in PSA density.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Audrey Neuprez ◽  
Jean-François Kaux ◽  
Médéa Locquet ◽  
Charlotte Beaudart ◽  
Jean-Yves Reginster

Abstract Background This study measured the magnitude and determinants of clinical and radiological progression in patients with hand osteoarthritis (HOA) over a 2-year prospective follow-up to gain a greater understanding of the disease time course. Methods Two hundred three consecutive outpatients diagnosed with HOA were followed for 2 years (183 women, median age 69 years). Pain and function were evaluated using the Australian/Canadian Osteoarthritis Hand Index (AUSCAN), and clinical examination recorded the number of painful/swollen joints and nodes. X-rays were scored using Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) and Verbruggen-Veys scales. Clinical progression was defined as deterioration in AUSCAN ≥ the minimal clinically important difference. Radiographic progression was defined as (a) one new erosive/remodeled joint, (b) progression of ≥ one anatomical stage in one joint, or (c) change in KL total score above the smallest detectable difference. Logistic regression was performed to determine whether patient characteristics influenced clinical and radiological progression. Results After 2 years, all radiographic scores deteriorated significantly in the study population (p <  0.05), and the number of proximal and distal interphalangeal nodes was significantly higher (p <  0.01). The AUSCAN, number of painful joints at rest or at pressure, number of swollen joints, and pain measure on a visual analog scale remained unchanged. At the individual level, the number of patients with clinically meaningful progression ranged from 25 to 42% (clinical progression) and from 22 to 76% (radiological progression). The only significant predictor of worsening of total AUSCAN was AUSCAN pain subscale < 74.5 (odds ratio [OR] 1.02 [1.01, 1.03]; p <  0.01). The presence of ≥ four swollen joints (OR 2.78 [1.21, 6.39]; p = 0.02) and erosive osteoarthritis (OR 13.23 [5.07, 34.56]; p <  0.01) at baseline predicted a new erosive joint. A meaningful change in KL was more frequent with painful joints at baseline (OR 3.43 [1.68, 7.01]; p <  0.01). Conclusions Evidence of radiological progression over 2 years was observed in patients with HOA in the LIHOC population even without clinical worsening of disease. For individual patients, baseline pain level is predictive for clinical progression and the presence of erosive or swollen joints are significant predictors of radiological progression.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 440-440
Author(s):  
Reza Mehrazin ◽  
Marc C. Smaldone ◽  
Alexander Kutikov ◽  
Jeffrey J. Tomaszewski ◽  
Tianyu Li ◽  
...  

440 Background: The natural history of untreated T1b renal masses is poorly understood. We assessed the growth kinetics and outcomes of ≥cT1b cortical renal tumors which continue to remain on radiographic AS compared to those who underwent definitive surgery after a period of AS. Methods: Prospectively maintained, renal tumor database was reviewed to identify enhancing solid and cystic masses managed expectantly from 2000-2012. cT1a masses, transitional cell carcinoma or those suspected for metastatic disease were excluded from analysis. Localized tumors > 4.0 cm (≥T1b) that were radiographically followed for > 6 months were included for analysis. Clinical and pathological records were reviewed to determine tumor growth rate and clinical outcomes in those remained on AS or those who underwent delayed intervention. Mean for tumor size on presentation, annual linear tumor growth rate (LGR), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), and follow-up (FU) were calculated. Chi−square test & Logistic regression were used for uni- and multi-variable analyses. Results: Of 457 pts managed with AS, 67 cT1b tumors (in 63 patients) were identified. 43 pts (67%) were managed solely with AS, while 21 pts (33%) progressed to intervention. The median age at presentation pts managed with AS and intervention was 77 and 60 yrs respectively (p=0.0002), while no difference was observed in median CCI (3 vs. 2, p=0.6). No difference was observed in tumor size at presentation between pts managed with AS and those undergoing delayed intervention (5.9 vs. 5.4 cm, p=0.8). In contrast, the mean LGR significantly differed between pts managed expectantly and pts progressed to intervention (0.37 vs. 0.73 cm/yr; p=0.02). On MVA, age (OR=0.9,CI:0.8−0.98) and LGR (OR=11,CI:1.8−60) were significant predictors of surgical intervention. With a mean FU period of 38.9 ± 24.0 months (6−105), 9 pts died (14%) from other cause and no pt progressed to metastatic disease. Conclusions: Localized cT1b≥ renal masses show comparable growth rates to small tumors managed expectantly with low rates of progression to metastatic disease with short term follow up. An initial period of AS to determine tumor growth kinetics is a reasonable option in select pts with significant competing risks and limited life expectancy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9546-9546
Author(s):  
Jenny HJ Lee ◽  
Georgina V. Long ◽  
Alexander M. Menzies ◽  
Alexander David Guminski ◽  
Richard Kefford ◽  
...  

9546 Background: We have previously shown that undetectable ctDNA either at baseline or during therapy predicted response in mm patients (pts) treated with anti-PD1 antibodies (aPD1). Pseudoprogression, defined as radiological progression prior to response, occurs in 8% of pts treated with aPD1. We sought to determine if ctDNA could differentiate pseudoprogression from true progression, defined as continued clinical or radiological disease progression. Methods: Between July 2014 and May 2016, pts receiving aPD1 had serial bloods for ctDNA. Included pts either had RECIST PD at first restaging or early clinical progression. Those with untreated brain metastases were excluded from the analysis. ctDNA was quantified using digital droplet PCR for mutations (BRAF/NRAS) at baseline and during the first 12 wks of treatment. Based on our prior studies, ctDNA results were grouped in to ‘favorable’ and ‘unfavorable’ ctDNA profiles (see Table), and these were compared in pts with true and pseudoprogression. Results: 29 pts were included, 28 with RECIST PD at first restaging and one with early clinical progression. 9 (31%) pts had a subsequent RECIST PR or SD and were considered pseudoprogression and 20 (69%) had true progression. Of the pseudoprogressors, 7/9 pts remained in response with a median follow-up of 20 months (mths). 2/9 pts had disease progression at 7 and 18 mths, with ctDNA that remained detectable with a > 10-fold decrease during treatment in both patients. Of those with true progression and a favourable profile, 1 had a > 10-fold decrease in ctDNA by wk 12 and was switched to MAPK therapy prior to further imaging, and the other had an undetectable ctDNA at wk 6 which increased again at wk 12. The latter pt had a new lesion on first restaging CT scan despite PR in all existing lesions with true PD on second restaging at wk 24. Conclusions: ctDNA in patients with mm at baseline and early on aPD1 treatment differentiates pseudo from true progression. [Table: see text]


Neurosurgery ◽  
1991 ◽  
Vol 28 (5) ◽  
pp. 646-651 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua B. Bederson ◽  
Klaus von Ammon ◽  
Werner W. Wichmann ◽  
Gazi M. Yasargil

Abstract Seventy of 178 patients with acoustic tumors initially were treated conservatively and have been followed up for an average of 26 ± 2 months. The tumor size was determined by the mean maximum anteroposterior and mediolateral diameters, using computed tomographic or magnetic resonance imaging scans obtained sequentially throughout the follow-up period. The average tumor growth was 1.6 ± 0.4 mm the 1st year, and 1.9 ± 1.0 mm the 2nd year (range, -2 to 17 mm/y): 4 tumors showed apparent regression, 28 (40%) had no detectable growth, and 37 (53%) exhibited growth (average, 3.8 ± 1.2 mm/y). Within individual patients, the tumor growth rate determined during the 1st year of follow-up was predictive of tumor growth rate during the following year. Rapid tumor growth or clinical deterioration in 9 of the 70 patients (13%) who initially were treated conservatively necessitated subsequent surgery an average of 14 ± 5 months after the patient was initially seen. This group had a larger initial tumor size (27.0 ± 3.4 mm vs. 21.3 ± 0.9 mm, P&lt;0.05), and a faster 1-year growth rate (7.9 ± 2.3 mm/y vs. 1.3 ± 0.3 mm/y, P&lt;0.05) than the 61 patients who did not require surgery. Two patients, however, experienced neurological deterioration that required surgery, even though there was no tumor growth. The high incidence of acoustic tumors with no detectable growth or apparent spontaneous regression must be taken into account when evaluating the indications for surgery and the efficacy of radiotherapy. Beacuse surgery carries some risk and acoustic tumors are generally slow growing, a trial of conservative treatment is possible in selected patients, provided serial radiological studies are obtained. Knowledge of the tumor growth rate established by these studies may be helpful in the treatment of individual patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi226-vi226
Author(s):  
Hirokazu Takami ◽  
Terry Burns ◽  
Ian Parney

Abstract Central nervous system hemangioblastoma (CNS HGB) is a rare neoplasm. Sporadic and von-Hippel Lindau (VHL)-associated forms exist. Predicting tumor growth is difficult, making the indication for intervention challenging. A retrospective analysis of consecutive, neurosurgically managed CNS HGB at Mayo Clinic spanning 1988–2018 was performed to clarify their characteristics. 117 sporadic and 67 VHL HGBs were reviewed. 9 sporadic lesions (8 cases) and 80 VHL lesions (35 cases) had tumor size data at ≥4 follow-up time-points beyond 1 year. The median follow-up was 8.0 years. No statistical difference existed between sporadic and VHL lesions regarding growth speed or growth latency (period of time without growth). Symptomatic lesions showed faster growth than asymptomatic lesions (2.79 vs 0.59 cm3/month, p=0.005). Solid and cystic portions often showed different growth patterns in cases harboring both (66.7%). Cyst growth was faster than solid portions (1.22 vs 1.05cm3/month, p=0.009) and growth latency was longer in the latter (15.2 vs 18.5%, p=0.25). Lesions’ growth were classified as linear (7), exponential (49), cubic (regressed to cubic function curve, 7), saltatory (19) and no-growth (7) patterns. Growth latency often existed in growing lesions (27-out-of-64 linear/exponential/cubic lesions, 57.8%), being average 8.3% of follow-up time. Contrarily, although saltatory lesions grew slower than exponential lesions (p=0.03), their overall growth speed was comparable to linear/cubic lesions (0.67cm3/month), and 9-out-of-19 showed growth surges at their ends. Growth speed at each follow-up roughly depended on the tumor size in cubic regression (R2=0.52). However, whereas total 18/821 time-point lesions showed rapid growth (≥1cm3/m, 2.2%), relatively small lesions (≤2cm3) also occasionally showed rapid growth (5/687, 0.73%). Not all large (>5cm3) lesions grew rapidly (8/62, 12.9%). These results revealed while symptomatic/large/cystic lesions tend to grow more rapidly, HGB behavior is difficult to predict, which stresses the importance of careful follow-up.


2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 794-800 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sung Mo Ryu ◽  
Sun-Ho Lee ◽  
Kyung Min Lee ◽  
Whan Eoh ◽  
Eun-Sang Kim

OBJECTIVEThe objective of this study was to elucidate the features and surgical outcomes of cervical schwannomas.METHODSThe authors retrospectively reviewed the records of 90 patients who underwent surgically treated cervical schwannomas from January 1995 to December 2017, with an emphasis on MRI findings such as tumor location, tumor size, extent of tumor resection, and growth of a residual tumor.RESULTSThis study included 51 men (56.7%) and 39 women (43.3%) with a mean age of 44.5 years (range 7–77 years). Dumbbell-shaped tumors comprised 62 (68.9%) of 90 cases and gross-total resection (GTR) was achieved in 59 (65.6%) of 90 cases. All nondumbbell tumors (n = 28) underwent GTR. Only 1 case of recurrence in the GTR group showed a gradual increase in size (by 8.9 mm) during the 150-month follow-up period. For the regrowth patients in the subtotal resection group, the mean percentage increase in tumor size was 47.5% ± 33.1% and the mean growth rate was 5.8 ± 4.6 mm/year during the 20.3-month follow-up period. However, the size of residual tumor spontaneously decreased by a mean of 8.3% ± 11.1% during the 48.4-month follow-up period in the nonregrowth group.CONCLUSIONSThese findings suggested that frequent MRI follow-up examinations are required for residual schwannomas in the cervical spine for at least 2 years, and continuous MRI follow-ups are also required thereafter.


1995 ◽  
Vol 83 (2) ◽  
pp. 222-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
William C. Olivero ◽  
J. Richard Lister ◽  
Patrick W. Elwood

✓ Little is known about the natural history and growth rate of asymptomatic meningiomas. To better delineate this problem, the authors reviewed the clinical records and imaging studies of the last 60 patients diagnosed with asymptomatic meningiomas at their institution. There were 45 women and 15 men, whose ages ranged from 38 to 84 years, with a mean age of 66 years. The most common tumor location was convexity (25 patients), but virtually all locations were represented. Three patients were lost to follow up. The average clinical follow-up review of the remaining 57 patients was 32 months (range 6 months to 15 years). None of the patients became symptomatic from an enlarging tumor during their follow-up period. Typically, once a meningioma was diagnosed, follow-up scans were obtained at 3 months, 9 months, and then yearly or every other year thereafter. Forty-five patients underwent follow-up scans, with comparison of tumor size to that found on the initial scan, over a period ranging from 3 months to 15 years. Thirty-five patients have shown no growth in their tumor size, with an average imaging follow up of 29 months (range 3–72 months). Ten patients have shown tumor growth calculated as an increase in the maximum diameter of the tumor. This growth ranged from 0.2 cm over 180 months to 1 cm over 12 months, with an average of 0.24 cm per year. Average imaging follow up for these patients was 47 months (range 6 months to 15 years). The authors conclude that patients with asymptomatic meningiomas need close clinical and radiological follow up to rule out other disease processes and to rule out rapidly enlarging tumors. Although the average follow-up time was short, the vast majority of these tumors appeared to show minimal or no growth over periods of time measured in years. With modern noninvasive imaging techniques, these tumors can be safely observed until they enlarge significantly or become symptomatic.


2009 ◽  
Vol 110 (4) ◽  
pp. 662-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wissame El Bakkouri ◽  
Romain E. Kania ◽  
Jean-Pierre Guichard ◽  
Guillaume Lot ◽  
Philippe Herman ◽  
...  

Object The object of this study was to evaluate the natural history, pattern, and occurrence of tumor growth and its consequences for treatment of small-sized vestibular schwannomas (VSs). Methods From 1990 to 2005, 386 patients underwent conservative management for VS because of the following: age > 60 years, poor health/medical risks, risk of deterioration of good hearing, small tumor size, minimal or no incapacitating symptoms, and/or patient preference. Tumor size was measured by MR imaging according to the guidelines of the Committee on Hearing and Equilibrium. The first MR imaging study was performed 1 year after diagnosis, and subsequent imaging was performed yearly or every 2 years depending on the appearance of new symptoms, tumor growth, or both. Results Sixty-one patients were lost to follow-up the first year after presentation. Of the 325 patients for whom 1-year follow-up data were available, 39 showed tumor growth ≥ 3 mm. Conservative management was discontinued for these 39 patients. The patients who returned for follow-up were evaluated at 1- or 2-year intervals depending on tumor growth. The authors extrapolated to obtain data for 2-year intervals, yielding data for 160, 56, 21, and 8 patients at 3, 5, 7, and 9 years after initial presentation, respectively. The overall mean tumor growth rate (±standard deviation) was 1.15 ± 2.4 mm/year. This rate was estimated by pooling all values of tumor growth that had been determined for all patients and dividing by the total number of “events,” with each assessment constituting an event. In 58.6% of patients, the annual tumor growth rate was < 1 mm/year; in 29.2%, 1–3 mm/year; and in 12.2%, ≥ 3 mm/ year. The growth rates of intrameatal (1.02 ± 1.8 mm/year) and extrameatal (1.40 ± 3.1 mm/year) tumors did not differ significantly. No significant association was found between tumor growth rate and sex, age, initial hearing status, or initial tumor grade. Delay in diagnosis was the only significant factor associated with tumor growth rate. During follow-up, conservative management was discontinued for 77 (23.7%) of the 325 patients for whom at least 12-month follow-up data were available; surgery was performed in 60 (77.9%) and radiation therapy in 17 (22.1%). Conclusions The results of this study support the role of a conservative “wait-and-scan” policy of management for small-sized VSs because most have a slow growth rate. Long-term neuroimaging follow-up is needed even with non-growing tumors.


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