scholarly journals Temporal muscle thickness is an independent prognostic marker in patients with progressive glioblastoma: translational imaging analysis of the EORTC 26101 trial

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 1587-1594 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Furtner ◽  
Els Genbrugge ◽  
Thierry Gorlia ◽  
Martin Bendszus ◽  
Martha Nowosielski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Muscle Thickness ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Therapeutic Interventions ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Temporal Muscle ◽  
Training Cohort

Abstract Background Temporal muscle thickness (TMT) was described as a surrogate marker of skeletal muscle mass. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic relevance of TMT in patients with progressive glioblastoma. Methods TMT was analyzed on cranial MR images of 596 patients with progression of glioblastoma after radiochemotherapy enrolled in the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer 26101 trial. An optimal TMT cutoff for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was defined in the training cohort (n = 260, phase II). Patients were grouped as “below” or “above” the TMT cutoff and associations with OS and PFS were tested using the Cox model adjusted for important risk factors. Findings were validated in a test cohort (n = 308, phase III). Results An optimal baseline TMT cutoff of 7.2 mm was obtained in the training cohort for both OS and PFS (area under the curve = 0.64). Univariate analyses estimated a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.54 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.70; P < 0.0001) for OS and an HR of 0.49 (95% CI: 0.38, 0.64; P < 0.0001) for PFS for the comparison of training cohort patients above versus below the TMT cutoff. Similar results were obtained in Cox models adjusted for important risk factors with relevance in the trial for OS (HR, 0.54; 95% CI: 0.41, 0.70; P < 0.0001) and PFS (HR, 0.47; 95% CI: 0.36, 0.61; P < 0.0001). Results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Conclusion Reduced TMT is an independent negative prognostic parameter in patients with progressive glioblastoma and may help to facilitate patient management by supporting patient stratification for therapeutic interventions or clinical trials.

scholarly journals P14.41 Temporal muscle thickness is an independent prognostic marker in patients with progressive glioblastoma: translational imaging analysis of the EORTC-26101 trial

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii76-iii76
Author(s):  
J Furtner ◽  
E Genbrugge ◽  
T Gorlia ◽  
M Bendszus ◽  
M Nowosielski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Model ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Muscle Thickness ◽  
Therapeutic Interventions ◽  
Maximum Diameter ◽  
Mr Images ◽  
Steroid Use ◽  
Temporal Muscle ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Prognostic Parameter

Abstract BACKGROUND Temporal muscle thickness (TMT) was described as surrogate marker of skeletal muscle mass and prognostic parameter in brain metastasis patients. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic relevance of TMT in patients with progressive glioblastoma. MATERIAL AND METHODS TMT was analyzed on the baseline cranial magnetic resonance (MR) images of 596 patients with progression of glioblastoma after radio-chemotherapy enrolled in the EORTC 26101 trial. An optimal TMT cutoff for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) was defined in the training cohort (n=260 patients enrolled in phase 2 part of EORTC 26101). Patients were grouped as “below” or “above” the TMT cutoff and associations with OS and PFS were tested using the Cox model. The findings were validated in a test cohort (n=308 patients enrolled in phase 3 part of EORTC 26101). RESULTS An optimal baseline TMT cutoff of 7.2 mm was obtained in the training cohort for both OS and PFS (AUC=0.64). Univariate analyses estimated a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.54 (95% CI:0.42, 0.70, p<0.0001) for OS and a HR of 0.49 (95% CI: 0.38, 0.64, p<0.0001) for PFS for the comparison of training cohort patients above versus below the TMT cutoff. This was confirmed in multivariate testing for OS (HR of 0.54, 95% CI: 0.41, 0.70, p<0.0001) and PFS (HR of 0.47, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.61, p<0.0001) adjusted for the important risk factors with relevance in the trial for OS (Steroid use at baseline, HR of 1.58, 95% CI: 1.19, 2.11, p = 0.002; MGMT Status, HR of 0.51, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.72, p<0.001; maximum diameter ≥ 40mm, HR of 2.49, 95% CI: 1.41, 4.41, p = 0.002; central hemisphere involvement, HR of 1.97, 95% CI: 1.37, 2.84, p<0.001) and PFS (Neurological deficit, HR of 1.44, 95% CI:1.09, 1,92, p = 0.011; Steroid use at baseline, HR of 1.42, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.86, p = 0.011; MGMT status, HR of 0.61, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.87, p = 0.007; Number of target lesion >1, HR of 2.47, 95% CI: 1.38, 4,41, p = 0.002). Similar results were obtained in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION TMT is an independent prognostic parameter in patients with progressive glioblastoma. This parameter is easily assessable on routine MR images and may help to better define frail patient populations and thus facilitate patient management by supporting patient stratification for therapeutic interventions or clinical trials.

Risk factors associated with overall survival (OS) in recurrent pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) following curative resection (CR).

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 437-437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel H. Ahn ◽  
Chul Ahn ◽  
Kavya Krishna ◽  
Somashekar Krishna ◽  
Peter Muscarella ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Surgical Techniques ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Early Recurrence ◽  
Curative Intent ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Time To Recurrence

437 Background: Patients (pts) with localized pancreas cancer (LPAC) undergo CR with curative intent. Despite improvements in adjuvant treatment (trmt) and surgical techniques, the majority of pts succumb to recurrent disease (dx). The purpose of this study is to identify risk factors associated with OS in pts with recurrent PAC. Methods: Pt clinical and dx data was obtained by a retrospective review of patients with LPAC who underwent CR from 2004-2012 and had recurrent dx. Pts were subdivided into two groups, time to recurrence less/equal or greater than 6 months. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to determine the association between pt characteristics and OS. Results: 93 pts were identified with recurrent PAC. Select pt characteristics are listed in the Table. In univariate Cox models, only lymph node (LN) status is significantly associated with OS (HR 01.67; p=0.043). OS was 25.6 months (95% CI, 19.4-25.6) for LN positive tumors and 10.6 months (95% CI, 10.6-20.1) for LN negative tumors. In a multivariate Cox model adjusted for pt characteristics, LN status remained significant for OS (HR=1.67; p=0.043). Pts with early recurrent PAC (≤6 month) seem to follow patterns of distant metastatic dx while pts with later recurrence that of locoregional dx. Conclusions: LN involvement is associated with patterns of early recurrence with predominantly metastatic disease and decreased OS in pts with recurrent PAC. LN status may act as a surrogate marker for pattern of recurrence and merit consideration in the selection, stratification and trmt of patients in clinical trials. After CR, LN involvement may influence choice trmt and warrant more aggressive therapy. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals MRI-Based Random Survival Forest Model Improves the Prediction of Progression-Free Survival to Induction Chemotherapy plus Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Pei ◽  
Chen Wang ◽  
Hai Liao ◽  
Xiaobo Chen ◽  
Yunyun Wei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Resonance Imaging ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Magnetic Resonance Imaging Mri ◽  
Random Survival Forest

Abstract BackgroundThe present study aimed to explore the application value of random survival forest (RSF) model and Cox model in predicting the progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) after induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (IC+CCRT).MethodsEligible LANPC patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan before treatment were subjected to radiomics feature extraction. Radiomics and clinical features of patients in the training cohort were subjected to RSF analysis to predict PFS and were tested in the testing cohort. The performance of an RSF model with clinical and radiologic predictors was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and Delong test and compared with Cox models based on clinical and radiologic parameters. Further, the Kaplan-Meier method was used for risk stratification of patients.ResultsA total of 294 LANPC patients (206 in the training cohort; 88 in the testing cohort) were enrolled and underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans before treatment. The AUC value of the clinical Cox model, radiomics Cox model, clinical + radiomics Cox model, and clinical + radiomics RSF model in predicting 3- and 5-year PFS for LANPC patients was [0.545 vs 0.648 vs 0.648 vs 0.899 (training cohort), and 0.566 vs 0.736 vs 0.73 vs 0.861 (testing cohort); 0.556 vs 0.604 vs 0.611 vs 0.897 (training cohort), and 0.591 vs 0.661 vs 0.676 vs 0.847 (testing cohort), respectively]. Delong test showed that the RSF model and the other three Cox models were statistically significant, and the RSF model markedly improved prediction performance (P<0.001). Additionally, the PFS of the high-risk group was lower than that of the low-risk group in the RSF model (P<0.001), while comparable in the Cox model (P>0.05).ConclusionThe RSF model may be a potential tool for prognostic prediction and risk stratification of LANPC patients.

Efficacy of avelumab plus axitinib (A + Ax) versus sunitinib (S) by number of IMDC risk factors and tumor sites at baseline in advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC): Extended follow-up results from JAVELIN Renal 101.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 302-302
Author(s):  
Yoshihiko Tomita ◽  
Robert J. Motzer ◽  
Toni K. Choueiri ◽  
Brian I. Rini ◽  
Hideaki Miyake ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Objective Response ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Final Analysis ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Once Daily ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
To Receive

302 Background: In the phase III JAVELIN Renal 101 trial (NCT02684006), A + Ax demonstrated progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) benefit across IMDC risk groups (favorable, intermediate, and poor) vs S in patients with previously untreated aRCC. Here we report efficacy of A + Ax vs S by number of IMDC risk factors (0, 1, 2, 3, and 4-6) and target tumor sites (1, 2, 3, and ≥4) at baseline from the second interim analysis of overall survival (OS). Methods: Patients were randomized 1:1 to receive A 10 mg/kg intravenously every 2 wk + Ax 5 mg orally twice daily or S 50 mg orally once daily for 4 wk (6-wk cycle). PFS and ORR per independent central review (RECIST 1.1) and OS were assessed. Results: At data cut-off (Jan 2019), median (m) follow-up for OS and PFS was 19.3 vs 19.2 mo and 16.8 vs 15.2 mo for the A + Ax vs S arm, respectively. The table shows OS, PFS, and ORR by number of IMDC risk factors and target tumor sites at baseline. A + Ax generally demonstrated efficacy benefit vs S across subgroups. Conclusions: With extended follow-up, A + Ax generally demonstrated efficacy benefit vs S across the number of IMDC risk factors and tumor sites at baseline in aRCC. OS was still immature; follow-up for the final analysis is ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT02684006 . [Table: see text]

Evaluation of soluble KIT (sKIT) as a potential surrogate marker for TTP in sunitinib malate (SU)-treated patients (pts) with advanced GIST

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10007-10007 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Blackstein ◽  
X. Huang ◽  
G. D. Demetri ◽  
P. G. Casali ◽  
C. R. Garrett ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kinase Inhibitor ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Sampling Period ◽  
Clinical Results ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Plasma Samples ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Time Changes ◽  
The Impact

10007 Background: SU is an oral, multitargeted tyrosine kinase inhibitor of KIT, PDGFRs, VEGFRs, RET and FLT3, approved multinationally for the treatment of imatinib (IM)-resistant/-intolerant GIST. Preliminary analysis in a SU phase I/II GIST study suggested that a decline in plasma sKIT levels may correlate with measures of clinical benefit. We evaluated the potential of sKIT as a surrogate marker for TTP using samples obtained in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase III study of SU in pts with IM-resistant/-intolerant GIST, clinical results of which have been reported previously. Methods: 312 pts were randomized (2:1) to receive SU 50 mg (n=207) or placebo (n=105) daily in 6-wk cycles (4 wks on treatment, 2 wks off), respectively. The primary endpoint was TTP as per RECIST. Levels of sKIT in plasma samples were measured in cycle 1 on days 1, 14 and 28 and in cycles 2 and 3 on days 1 and 28 using a performance-validated ELISA. Prentice Criterion, Cox models and the Proportion of Treatment Effect (PTE) were used to analyze the results (PTE of 1 = ideal surrogate). Results: Numbers of pts with matched pairs of baseline and on-study plasma samples varied from 228 pts at cycle 1, day 14 to 106 pts at the end of cycle 3. After 4 wks of treatment (cycle 1, day 28), plasma sKIT levels began to exhibit a significant decrease (P<0.0001) in response to SU treatment; at the same time, changes in the level of sKIT (decreases vs. increases) also became indicators of TTP (HR=0.53; 95% CI, 0.37–0.75; P=0.0003), with decreases associated with longer TTP. This trend continued throughout the sampling period, with the effect persisting off treatment. Although the impact of SU on plasma sKIT levels continued to be seen after 2 cycles, sKIT changes became a better indicator of TTP than initial treatment group by cycle 2, day 28 (PTE = 0.62; HR=0.51; 95% CI, 0.38–0.69; P<0.0001), and at cycle 3, day 1 (PTE = 0.64; HR=0.42; 95% CI, 0.29–0.60; P<0.0001). Conclusion: These preliminary findings suggest that circulating sKIT may be a surrogate marker for TTP in GIST pts after 2 cycles of SU treatment. Further studies are warranted to confirm these findings and to establish whether sKIT can be used as a general surrogate marker of clinical outcomes in GIST pts with SU or other therapies. [Table: see text]

Comparison of progression-free survival (PFS) and tumor response as endpoints for predicting overall survival (OS) in untreated extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ED-SCLC): Findings based on North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) trials

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8085-8085
Author(s):  
N. R. Foster ◽  
Y. Qi ◽  
J. E. Krook ◽  
J. W. Kugler ◽  
S. A. Kuross ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tumor Response ◽  
Logistic Models ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Prognostic Impact ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Landmark Analysis ◽  
Best Response ◽  
Primary Endpoints ◽  
Extensive Stage

8085 Background: Historically, tumor response has been the primary endpoint in phase II (P2) trials in ED-SCLC. We investigated the suitability of alternate PFS based endpoints to predict OS as early evidence of efficacy in the P2 setting. Methods: Individual patient (pt) data from 942 pts from 11 previously untreated ED-SCLC P2 and phase III (P3) platinum- or paclitaxel-based treatment trials were pooled. Best response (BR), response confirmed (RC), objective status at 16 weeks (RR16), and PFS rate at 5 and 6 months were considered. Percent agreement (PA) and kappa (k) for PFS5, PFS6, BR, RC, and RR16 with OS at 12 months (OS12) was calculated on a per-pt basis and predictive utility was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (A- ROC) curve in logistic models. Cox models were used to assess the prognostic impact of the endpoints on subsequent survival, using landmark analysis. Results: The median OS and PFS were 9.6 m and 5.5 m, respectively. PFS5 and PFS6 had the highest PA, k, and A-ROC values, and were predictive of subsequent survival in the landmark analysis (p <0.0001; c-statistics ≥ 0.60). While RR16 and BR were significantly associated with subsequent survival (p<0.0001, c-statistics of 0.61 and 0.57, respectively) the PA, k, and A-ROC values were lower. Conclusions: PFS rate at 5 and 6 months is more predictive of 12-month OS and subsequent survival than tumor response in untreated ED-SCLC. PFS based endpoints should be routinely used as primary endpoints in P2 trials within ED-SCLC. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.

An international, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind phase III study (MONET1) of motesanib plus carboplatin/paclitaxel (C/P) in patients with advanced nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. LBA7512-LBA7512 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Scagliotti ◽  
I. Vynnychenko ◽  
Y. Ichinose ◽  
K. Park ◽  
K. Kubota ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Model ◽  
Objective Response ◽  
Stage Iv ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Nonsquamous Nsclc

LBA7512 Background: This study evaluated whether motesanib (a selective oral inhibitor of VEGFR 1, 2 and 3; PDGFR and Kit) plus C/P improved overall survival (OS) compared with placebo + C/P in patients (pts) with nonsquamous NSCLC and in a subset of pts with adenocarcinoma. Methods: Pts had stage IIIB/IV or recurrent nonsquamous NSCLC and no prior systemic therapy for advanced NSCLC. The study initially enrolled all histologies but was amended to exclude pts with squamous NSCLC owing to a high rate of hemoptysis. Pts were randomized 1:1 to receive up to six 3-wk cycles of C (AUC 6 mg/mL·min) and P (200 mg/m2) with either motesanib 125 mg QD (Arm A) or placebo QD (Arm B) orally continuously. The primary endpoint was OS; secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), adverse events (AEs), objective response rate (ORR) and association between placental growth factor (PLGF) change and OS. OS was evaluated using a stratified Cox model and 2-sided log-rank test (α=0.03 for nonsquamous pts and α=0.02 for adenocarcinoma pts). Results: 1090 pts with nonsquamous NSCLC were randomized (Arm A/B, n=541/549); 890 had adenocarcinoma (n=448/442). 61% were men; median age was 60 years (range 21–87); 83% had stage IV disease. At the time of analysis, 753 pts had died (608 pts with adenocarcinoma). Median follow-up was 10.6 mo. OS was not significantly improved in Arm A compared with Arm B (Table). In Arm A, PLGF analysis did not show an association with OS. The incidence of grade ≥3 AEs in Arms A/B was 73/59%. Grade ≥3 AEs occurring more frequently in Arm A than B included neutropenia (22/15%), diarrhea (9/1%), hypertension (7/1%) and cholecystitis (3/0%). The incidence of grade 5 AEs was 14/9% in Arms A/B. Conclusions: In pts with advanced nonsquamous NSCLC, treatment with motesanib + C/P did not significantly improve OS compared with C/P alone. [Table: see text]

Multitrial evaluation of progression-free survival (PFS) as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in previously untreated extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC): An Alliance-led analysis.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7510-7510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathan R. Foster ◽  
Lindsay A. Renfro ◽  
Steven E. Schild ◽  
Mary Weber Redman ◽  
Xiaofei F. Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Phase Ii ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Surrogate Endpoint ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Patient Level ◽  
Phase Iii Trials ◽  
Using Data

7510 Background: We previously demonstrated that PFS may be a candidate surrogate endpoint for OS in ES-SCLC using data from 3 randomized trials (Foster, Cancer 2011). Here, we sought to formally assess the patient- and trial-level surrogacy of PFS using data from 9 additional randomized phase II and III trials conducted by the NCI-funded cancer cooperative groups since 1986. Methods: Individual patient data from all 12 trials (3178 patients: 9 phase III and 3 phase II) were pooled. OS was the primary endpoint in all phase III trials; 3 phase III and 1 phase II trial were positive per protocol. Patient-level surrogacy (Kendall’s tau) was assessed using the Clayton copula bivariate survival model. Trial-level surrogacy was assessed via association of the log hazard ratios on OS and PFS across trials, including: weighted (by trial size) least squares regression of Cox model effects (R² WLS) and weighted (by trial size) correlation of the copula effects (R² Copula). One trial had 4 treatment arms thus 14 total two-arm comparisons were made. Results: With a median follow-up of 41.8 months in the 106 patients still alive, the median OS and PFS across trials were 9.7 months (95% CI: 9.5, 9.9) and 5.7 months (95% CI: 5.5, 5.8), respectively. There were 3120 PFS events in total (2564 disease progressions and 556 deaths without progression). The median time from progression to death was 4.1 months (95% CI: 3.9, 4.3). PFS showed modest association with OS at the patient-level (tau= 0.56) and at the trial-level (R² WLS = 0.58; R² Copula (standard error) = 0.55 (0.29)). The 95% CIs for the predicted HR for OS given observed HR on PFS under a weighted leave-one-out prediction always included the observed HR for OS; however such intervals were wide, suggesting uncertainty on the practical use of PFS as a surrogate for OS in this setting. Conclusions: PFS failed to demonstrate surrogacy for OS in ES-SCLC based on this large pooled analysis. Given that the difference in the median PFS and OS is less than 6 months, we recommend using OS as the primary endpoint in phase III trials of previously untreated ES-SCLC.

The occurrence of grade 4 adverse events and survival outcomes in patients with nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer receiving bevacizumab with chemotherapy in the phase III PointBreak and AVAiL studies.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e19022-e19022
Author(s):  
Liza Cosca Villaruz ◽  
Mark A. Socinski ◽  
Jyoti D. Patel ◽  
Larry Leon ◽  
Sebastien Hazard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
End Point ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Post Hoc ◽  
Unacceptable Toxicity ◽  
Clinical Trial Information

e19022 Background: Progression-free survival (PFS) is a key trial end point for clinical practice, as it relates to a change of treatment line. Grade 4 progression-free survival (G4PFS; defined as time from treatment start to the earlier of progressive disease [PD], onset of a G4 adverse event [AE], or death from any cause) is a composite end point incorporating a measure of tolerability to PFS. This post hoc analysis evaluates G4PFS and the effect of G4 AEs on PFS and overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) enrolled in PointBreak (PB) and AVAiL. Methods: Pts in PB were randomized to bevacizumab (BEV) 15 mg/kg q3w with carboplatin and paclitaxel (CP) or pemetrexed (CPem) for ≤4 cycles. Eligible pts received either BEV or BEV + Pem q3w until PD or unacceptable toxicity. Pts in AVAiL received cisplatin and gemcitabine for ≤6 cycles and either placebo or BEV (7.5 or 15 mg/kg) q3w until PD. AEs were graded via NCI-CTCAE v3.0. Kaplan-Meier and Cox model methods were used to estimate medians and hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS, G4PFS, and OS. PFS and OS were also compared in each arm for pts with occurrence of a G4 AE before week 12 of treatment vs those without. Results: Of those receiving BEV, ~30% of AVAiL pts and 38% of PB pts had a G4 AE. Uncomplicated neutropenia was the most common G4 AE in the CP + BEV arm of PB (26%) and in the BEV arms of AVAiL (11%). PFS, G4PFS, and outcomes by G4 AE occurrence are shown (Table). Conclusions: In both the PB and AVAiL trials, median G4PFS was numerically shorter than median PFS. G4 AE occurrence, however, did not affect subsequent PFS or OS in either trial. Clinical trial information: NCT00762034 and NCT00806923. [Table: see text]

An updated overall survival analysis with correction for protocol-planned crossover of the international, phase III, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of regorafenib in advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors after failure of imatinib and sunitinib (GRID).

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 110-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
George D. Demetri ◽  
Peter Reichardt ◽  
Yoon-Koo Kang ◽  
Jean-Yves Blay ◽  
Heikki Joensuu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Failure Time ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Controlled Trial ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Primary Analysis ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Impact

110 Background: The GRID study showed that regorafenib improves progression-free survival compared with placebo in patients with advanced GIST after failure of at least imatinib and sunitinib (HR 0.27; 1-sided p<0.0001; Demetri 2013). At the time of the primary analysis, no significant difference in the secondary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was observed (HR 0.77; p=0.199), but this result may have been confounded by the high rate of crossover to regorafenib (85%) of placebo patients at progression. We conducted exploratory analyses of updated OS data to assess the effect of correcting for this protocol-planned crossover. Methods: The data cut-off for this updated OS analysis was 31 January 2014 (2 years after the primary analysis). OS was corrected using two randomization-based methods: rank preserving structural failure time (RPSFT) and iterative parameter estimation (IPE); both methods are considered as best choice among all correction analytics. Hazard ratios and 95% CI were derived using the Cox model. Results: A total of 139 deaths had occurred at the time of data cut-off: 91 events (68.4% of patients) in the regorafenib group and 48 (72.7%) in the placebo group. A total of 22 patients remained on regorafenib treatment (median duration 2.1 years, range 0.9–2.4). The updated hazard ratio for OS favored regorafenib (0.85, 95% CI: 0.60 - 1.21; p=0.18). Median OS was estimated as 17.4 months in both groups, with crossover from placebo. The corrected HRs for OS are less than the uncorrected HR (Table). Conclusions: The updated analysis of OS in the GRID trial is consistent with the primary analysis. An exploratory analysis correcting for the impact of cross-over on OS suggests a survival benefit for regorafenib in GIST. Clinical trial information: NCT01271712. [Table: see text]

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