Crime and Uncertainty
Chapter 5 discusses security dynamics in the context of unstable short-term arrangements among violent non-state groups. These arrangements cluster at illicit business hubs, including at strategic nodes where various illicit flows coalesce and at the starting points of international trafficking routes. In such contexts of inter-group mistrust, community members are exposed to selective killings carried out by violent non-state groups to preempt or retaliate cheating or betrayal. This engenders a constant presentiment of danger among community members. General distrust and uncertainty erodes the community’s social fabric. Depending on the specific type of arrangement, community members can adapt their behavior to various degrees to the logics of illicit economies or employ avoidance strategies to minimize exposure to violence. Impunity across the border conceals violence against those who are considered obstacles to the illicit business.