scholarly journals Muography as a new complementary tool in monitoring volcanic hazard: implications for early warning systems

Author(s):  
Giovanni Leone ◽  
Hiroyuki K. M. Tanaka ◽  
Marko Holma ◽  
Pasi Kuusiniemi ◽  
Dezső Varga ◽  
...  

Muography uses muons naturally produced in the interactions between cosmic rays and atmosphere for imaging and characterization of density differences and time-sequential changes in solid (e.g. rocks) and liquid (e.g. melts ± dissolved gases) materials in scales from tens of metres to up to a few kilometres. In addition to being useful in discovering the secrets of the pyramids, ore prospecting and surveillance of nuclear sites, muography successfully images the internal structure of volcanoes. Several field campaigns have demonstrated that muography can image density changes relating to magma ascent and descent, magma flow rate, magma degassing, the shape of the magma body, an empty conduit diameter, hydrothermal activity and major fault lines. In addition, muography is applied for long-term volcano monitoring in a few selected volcanoes around the world. We propose using muography in volcano monitoring in conjunction with other existing techniques for predicting volcanic hazards. This approach can provide an early indication of a possible future eruption and potentially the first estimate of its scale by producing direct evidence of magma ascent through its conduit in real time. Knowing these issues as early as possible buy critically important time for those responsible for the local alarm and evacuation protocols.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 1528 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sébastien Valade ◽  
Andreas Ley ◽  
Francesco Massimetti ◽  
Olivier D’Hondt ◽  
Marco Laiolo ◽  
...  

Most of the world’s 1500 active volcanoes are not instrumentally monitored, resulting in deadly eruptions which can occur without observation of precursory activity. The new Sentinel missions are now providing freely available imagery with unprecedented spatial and temporal resolutions, with payloads allowing for a comprehensive monitoring of volcanic hazards. We here present the volcano monitoring platform MOUNTS (Monitoring Unrest from Space), which aims for global monitoring, using multisensor satellite-based imagery (Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar SAR, Sentinel-2 Short-Wave InfraRed SWIR, Sentinel-5P TROPOMI), ground-based seismic data (GEOFON and USGS global earthquake catalogues), and artificial intelligence (AI) to assist monitoring tasks. It provides near-real-time access to surface deformation, heat anomalies, SO2 gas emissions, and local seismicity at a number of volcanoes around the globe, providing support to both scientific and operational communities for volcanic risk assessment. Results are visualized on an open-access website where both geocoded images and time series of relevant parameters are provided, allowing for a comprehensive understanding of the temporal evolution of volcanic activity and eruptive products. We further demonstrate that AI can play a key role in such monitoring frameworks. Here we design and train a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) on synthetically generated interferograms, to operationally detect strong deformation (e.g., related to dyke intrusions), in the real interferograms produced by MOUNTS. The utility of this interdisciplinary approach is illustrated through a number of recent eruptions (Erta Ale 2017, Fuego 2018, Kilauea 2018, Anak Krakatau 2018, Ambrym 2018, and Piton de la Fournaise 2018–2019). We show how exploiting multiple sensors allows for assessment of a variety of volcanic processes in various climatic settings, ranging from subsurface magma intrusion, to surface eruptive deposit emplacement, pre/syn-eruptive morphological changes, and gas propagation into the atmosphere. The data processed by MOUNTS is providing insights into eruptive precursors and eruptive dynamics of these volcanoes, and is sharpening our understanding of how the integration of multiparametric datasets can help better monitor volcanic hazards.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Freysteinn Sigmundsson ◽  
Aline Peltier ◽  
Siqi Li ◽  
Valerie Ferrazzini ◽  
Andrea Di Muro

<p>Understanding the interplay between pressure evolution in magma bodies in volcano roots and caldera collapses is important to for the general understanding of volcanoes and how calderas form. We use lessons-learned regarding caldera collapse dynamics and inferred 2014-2015 pressure evolution in a magma body under the Bardarbunga caldera, Iceland, to revisit the dynamics of the 2007 caldera collapse at Piton de La Fournaise volcano, La Reunion, in a project supported by EUROVOLC trans-national access. At Piton de la Fournaise, (rising to 2632 m above sea leve) a shallow and small magma body (close to sea-level; volume less than one cubic kilometer) played a central role. The overpressure compared to lithostatic prior to collapse is inferred to have been small (< 5 MPa), based on models of driving pressure for minor eruptions that occurred on 18-19 February and 30 March prior to the caldera forming lateral flank eruption that occurred 2 April – 1 May, 2007. The site of the lateral flank eruption occurred at an elevation of 500 m, much lower than the summit.  This elevation difference is inferred to a key factor for creating high driving pressure for magma flow. We infer that rapid flow of magma led to fast drop in pressure in a shallow magma body under the caldera, triggering inflow of magma from a deeper magma body under Piton de la Fournaise, that was in important element of the 2007 eruptive activity.  This deep inflow did, however, not sustain enough the pressure in the shallow magma body during the eruption, causing development of significant under-pressure leading to the collapse.</p>


Author(s):  
Scott R. Paterson ◽  
T. Kenneth Fowler ◽  
Robert B. Miller

ABSTRACT:Buddington (1959) pointed out that the construction of large crustal magma chambers involves complex internal processes as well as multiple country rock material transfer processes (MTPs), which reflect large horizontal, vertical and temporal gradients in physical conditions. Thus, we have attempted to determine the relative importance of different magmatic and country rock MTPs at various crustal depths, and whether country rock MTPs largely transport material vertically or horizontally, rather than seeking a single model of magma ascent and emplacement.Partially preserved roofs of nine plutons and in some cases roof–wall transitions with roof emplacement depths of 1·5–11 km were mapped. During emplacement, these roofs were not deformed in a ductile manner, detached or extended by faults, or significantly uplifted. Instead, sharp, irregular, discordant contacts are the rule with stoped blocks often preserved immediately below the roof, even at depths of 10 km. The upper portions of these magma chambers are varied, sometimes preserving the crests of more evolved magmas or local zones of volatile-rich phases and complex zones of dyking and magma mingling. Magmatic structures near roofs display a wide variety of patterns and generally formed after emplacement. Transitions from gently dipping roofs to steep walls are abrupt. At shallow crustal levels, steep wall contacts have sharp, discordant, stepped patterns with locally preserved stoped blocks indicating that the chamber grew sideways in part by stoping. Around deeper plutons, an abrupt transition (sometimes within hundreds of metres) occurs in the country rock from discordant, brittle roofs to moderately concordant, walls deformed in a ductile manner defining narrow structural aureoles. Brittle or ductile faults are not present at roof–wall joins.Near steep wall contacts at shallow to mid-crustal depths (5–15 km), vertical and horizontal deflections of pre-emplacement markers (e.g. bedding, faults, dykes), and ductile strains in narrow aureoles (0·1–0·3 body radii) give a complete range of bulk strain values that account for 0–100% of the needed space, but average around 30%, or less, particularly for larger batholiths. A lack of far-field deflection of these same markers rules out significant horizontal displacement outside the aureoles and requires that any near-field lateral shortening is accommodated by vertical flow. Lateral variations from ductile (inner aureole) to brittle (outer aureole) MTPs are typically observed. Compositional zoning is widespread within these magma bodies and is thought to represent separately evolved pulses that travelled up the same magma plumbing system. Magmatic foliations and lineations commonly cross-cut contacts between pulses and reflect the strain caused either by the late flow of melt or regional deformation.Country rocks near the few examined mid- to deep crustal walls (10–30 km) are extensively deformed, with both discordant and concordant contacts present; however, the distinction between regional and emplacement-related deformation is less clear than for shallower plutons. Internal sheeting is more common, although elliptical masses are present. Lateral compositional variations are as large as vertical variations at shallower depths and occur over shorter distances. Magmatic foliations and lineations often reflect regional deformation rather than emplacement processes.The lack of evidence for horizontal displacement outside the narrow, shallow to mid-crustal aureoles and the lack of lateral or upwards displacement of pluton roofs indicate that during emplacement most country rock is transported downwards in the region now occupied by the magma body and its aureole. The internal sheeting and zoning indicate that during the downwards flow of country rock, multiple pulses of magma travelled up the same magma system. If these relationships are widespread in arcs, magma emplacement is the driving mechanism for a huge crustal-scale exchange process.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliot Eaton ◽  
Jurgen Neuberg ◽  
Luke Marsden

<p>By modelling the magnitude and spatial distribution of surface displacement induced by different representations of magma conduits, more informed decisions can be made for the deployment of real-time monitoring devices, such as tiltmeters, and aid interpretations of stress changes within the subsurface. The existence of varying forms of magma conduit is widely known, despite this, the effect of laterally elongated conduits on magma flow processes and resulting surface deformation at volcanoes has not been systematically explored.</p><p>By varying the ellipticity of the volcanic conduit cross-section we assess the relative importance of laterally elongated conduits when considering flow processes and surface deformation. The scenario of magma ascent through a dyke that changes into a cylindrical conduit closer to the surface is also considered, herein referred to as a complex conduit. Both shear stress on the conduit walls due to viscous magma flow resistance and the pressurisation of conduits are used as source mechanisms.</p><p>When considering the pressurisation of different conduit geometries, the displacement field induced by an elongated conduit (where semi-axes a and b of the elliptical cross-section equal a=10b) is an order of magnitude larger than that of a cylindrical conduit. Moreover, for the case of the complex conduit, the displacement field is dominated by the dyke form of the deeper conduit, with little influence from the transition region between elongated and cylindrical conduit. When considering shear stress as a source mechanism, the displacement field induced is primarily vertical and radially symmetric even at the smallest spatial scales ($<1$ km), independent of ellipticity of conduit origin. The ellipticity of conduits with equal cross-sectional area has a significant control on the flow rate, and therefore, the magnitude of shear stress achieved under equal pressure gradients. The deformation resulting from shear stress on the conduit walls is also influenced by the depth of rheological changes within the magma and the inter-dependency with conduit geometry.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Twomey ◽  
William McCarthy ◽  
Craig Magee

<p>Laccoliths play a significant role in the transport and storage of magma in sub-volcanic systems. The construction and geometry of laccoliths can influence host rock and surface deformation patterns that may precede and provide warning of active magmatism and impending eruptions. Yet how laccolith construction and internal magma dynamics controls the location and form of magma ascent conduits (e.g., dykes and inclined sheets), which facilitate magma evacuation and may feed volcanic eruptions, remains poorly documented in natural examples.</p><p>The excellently exposed silicic, sub-volcanic Miocene Reyðarártindur Laccolith in SE Iceland offers an opportunity to investigate how magma ascent within inclined sheets, which emanated from the laccolith, related to intrusion construction and deformation in the surrounding host rock. We combine detailed structural mapping with anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility (AMS) analyses, which allow us to map magnetic rock fabrics that reflect magma flow patterns, to show that the laccolith comprises of several distinct magma lobes that intruded laterally towards the south-west. Each lobe intruded, inflated, and coalesced along a NE-SW primary axis facilitated by doming (i.e., forced folding) of the host rock. We also shown that pre-existing NNE-striking, left-stepping, en-echelon fault/fractures, as well as those generated during intrusion-induced host rock uplift, host moderately to steeply inclined rhyolitic/granophyric sheets that emanate from the lateral terminations of some flow lobes.</p><p>Based on the observed geometrical relationships between AMS fabrics and the sheet margins where magnetic foliations subparallel sheet contacts, or characterize an imbrication fabric, we suggest that magma evacuated moderately to steeply upward via these fault/fracture-controlled sheets. As these inclined sheets dip towards the laccolith, any eruptions they may have fed would have been laterally offset from the laccolith and any overlying surface deformation driven by forced folding. Our study shows that magma evacuation and ascent from laccoliths can be facilitated by inclined sheets that form at the lateral terminations of magma lobes that are spatially controlled by laccolith construction (e.g., flow direction and doming of the host rock) and the presence of pre-existing structures.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio M. Álvarez-Valero ◽  
Meritxell Aulinas ◽  
Adelina Geyer ◽  
Guillem Gisbert ◽  
Gabor Kereszturi ◽  
...  

<p>Geochemistry of volatiles in active volcanoes provides insights into the magmatic processes and evolution at depth, such as magma evolution and degassing, which can be implemented into volcanic hazards assessment. Deception Island is one of the most active volcanoes in Antarctica, with more than twenty explosive eruptions documented over the past two centuries. Hydrogen and oxygen isotopic variations in the volatiles trapped in the Deception Island rocks (glass and melt inclusions in phenocrysts) provide essential information on the mechanisms controlling the eruptive history in this volcanic suite. Thus, understanding the petrological and related isotopic variations in the island, has the potential to foresee the possible occurrence and its main eruptive features of a future eruption.</p><p>Information from hydrogen and oxygen stable isotopes combined with detailed petrologic data reveal in Deception Island (i) fast ascent and quenching of most magmas, preserving pre-eruptive magmatic signal of water contents and isotopic ratios, with local modification by rehydration due to glass exposition to seawater, meteoric and fumarolic waters; (ii) a plumbing system(s) currently dominated by closed-system degassing leading to explosive eruptions; (iii) control on the interactions of ascending magmas with the surface waters producing hydrovolcanic activity throughout the two main fault systems in Deception Island. These results can be considered in further studies of volcanic monitoring to improve the capability to interpret geophysical data and signals recorded during volcanic unrest episodes, and hence, forecast volcanic eruptions and related hazards.</p><p>This research was partially funded by the following projects: POSVOLDEC (CTM2016‐79617‐P) (AEI/FEDER‐UE), VOLGASDEC (PGC2018-095693-B-I00) (AEI/FEDER‐UE) and Programa Propio Ib-2019 (USAL). This research is also part of POLARCSIC activities.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Carbone ◽  
Elena Russo ◽  
Rita de Nardis ◽  
Giuseppina Lavecchia ◽  
Alessandro Tibaldi ◽  
...  

<p>The Yellowstone volcanic field, in western United States, is well known for intense seismic activity, abundant geothermal features and a violent volcanic history that includes a caldera-forming eruption 640 ka ago. Even though the recentmost eruption dates back to 70 ka ago, a very high seismicity, quasi-continuous surficial deformation through uplift and subsidence stages (at rates of up to 70 mm/yr) and intense hydrothermal activity are clear evidences of a still very active volcanic field. Thanks to a recently improved seismic network, here we analyze the rate of occurrence of 19’538 relocated earthquakes belonging to the temporal window between 1988 and 2016. Starting from this dataset, we identify and characterize the seismic swarm activity occurring in the study area after 2007. We also evaluate the analogies and differences of their seismic behavior through the analysis of frequency-magnitude distribution of seismic events. We investigate the identified seismic swarms clustered in space and time, their relation with active volcanic and tectonic processes and stress field variations caused by the migration of magmatic and hydrothermal fluids. Calculated b-values associated with the recentmost seismic swarms have been related to past swarms that occurred in the area, thus revealing the temporal and spatial evolution of such phenomena. Our study gives new crucial insights to understand the relation between seismic and magmatic activity in the Yellowstone volcanic plateau, with important implications for a better comprehension of the local seismic and volcanic hazards.</p>


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