scholarly journals The value of voting rights in Italian cooperative banks: a quasi-natural experiment

2020 ◽  
Vol 46 (7) ◽  
pp. 861-882
Author(s):  
Marco Botta ◽  
Luca Vittorio Angelo Colombo

PurposeIt is widely believed that deviating from the “one share-one vote” principle leads to corporate inefficiencies. To measure the market appraisal of this potential inefficiency, this study aims to analyse the market reaction to a change from the “one head-one vote” to the “one share-one vote” mechanism by means of a quasi-natural experiment: a 2015 Italian reform forcing all listed cooperative banks to transform into joint-stock companies.Design/methodology/approachTo investigate the market reaction around the regulatory change, this study uses both a traditional event study and a novel methodology based on the synthetic control method as well as on Bayesian statistical techniques.FindingsThis study estimates the market valuation of the effects of the governance change around the event date being equal to a cumulative average increase in market value of about 14 per cent using an event study methodology, and of about 13 per cent using Bayesian techniques.Originality/valueThis study provides evidence on the fact that the voting mechanism significantly affects the market values of companies. The study also introduces a novel statistical technique that can be extremely useful in analysing single-firm event studies.

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 529-557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trevor C. Chamberlain ◽  
Abdul-Rahman Khokhar ◽  
Sudipto Sarkar

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to offer an alternative approach to measure the cost-benefit tradeoff, by analyzing stockholders’ reactions to the announcement and vote on the proposed rule. More specifically, the authors use event study methodology to investigate the stock price reaction on two key dates; that is, the announcement date and the voting date of the proposed short-term borrowing disclosure regulation, and argue that positive abnormal stock returns indicate that the expected benefits of the regulation outweigh the compliance costs. A negative reaction would indicate that, in the eyes of investors, the costs of compliance exceed the expected benefits. Design/methodology/approach The authors use event study analysis and apply the market model to equal-weighted portfolios of 2,450 financial and 3,985 non-financial US firms to calculate mean cumulative abnormal stock returns (MCARs, hereafter) on the announcement and voting dates. Then, the authors conduct mean difference tests on firm-level MCARs across three event windows, that is, (−30,−1), (0,+1) and (+2,+30), to confirm if the MCARs of financial firms are different from those of non-financial firms on both the announcement and the voting dates. Finally, robustness tests are performed with alternate benchmark, using value-weighted portfolios, for the market. Findings The authors find that the market reaction is positive and significant at the announcement date and negative and significant at the voting date of the proposed regulation of short-term borrowing disclosure regulation. Overall, the paper documents a positive market reaction, indicating the usefulness of the disclosure from the vantage point of users. Examining and comparing the results for various subsets, including commercial banks and saving institutions, bank holding companies, size quartiles, and exchange listed and OTC registrants, the authors find that a “one-size-fits-all” approach to regulation is undesirable. Originality/value This is first empirical study, to best of the authors’ knowledge, to explore stockholder reaction to a proposed, rather than an enforced, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulation and may contribute to the SEC’s final decision on the rule. Second, given a dissimilar reaction from investors of different firms, the results suggest that the SEC needs to reconsider its one-size-fit-all approach for the proposed rule. Finally, because the proposed disclosure would affect all SEC registrants, the economic implications of the findings are important not only for stockholders, but also for regulators, as they attempt to manage systematic risk and optimize the level of market intervention.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anis Maaloul ◽  
Raïda Chakroun ◽  
Sabrine Yahyaoui

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of companies’ political connections (PCs) on their financial and stock performance, as well as on their market values. Design/methodology/approach A sample of non-financial companies listed on the Tunis Stock Exchange (TSE) between 2012 and 2014 was used. The accounting and financial data of these companies were obtained from their financial statements, whereas data on PCs of their officers and directors were collected manually from various sources. Correlation and multivariate regression analyses were performed to test the hypothesis of this research. Findings The results showed that PCs improve companies’ performance and value. These results could be explained, on the one hand, by the benefits and favors that companies can get from their political ties and, on the other hand, by investors’ tendency to invest in politically connected companies to benefit from these advantages. Research limitations/implications The limited number of non-financial companies listed on the TSE is a limit for this research. Practical implications The results show that investment in companies which are politically inter-connected may be beneficial for investors, and especially for small minority shareholders. Social implications The results confirm that political links are essential for business success in emerging economies, such as Tunisia. However, the positive link between politics and business might highlight the issue of corruption after the revolution. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to examine the effect of PCs on the performance and value of Tunisian companies after the 2011 revolution.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 1247
Author(s):  
Gede Rama Wirya Nanda ◽  
Made Gede Wirakusuma

This study aims to determine the market reaction to the momentum of Idul Fitri in 2019. This research is an event study with an observation period of 14 days. The study was conducted at companies classified as the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) in 2019. The population in this study was 30 companies. The sampling method used is the saturated sample method. Samples obtained were 30 companies. Market reaction to the momentum of Idul Fitri in 2019 is measured using abnormal returns and trading volume activity. The data analysis technique used is the one-sample t-test. The test results show that there is a market reaction during the Idul Fitri in 2019 which is indicated by a significant abnormal return and trading volume activity around the event date. This shows that Idul Fitri in 2019 caused a market reaction because of there was an information content of the event. Keywords: Event Study; Abnormal Return; Trading Volume Activity.


2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (42) ◽  
pp. 25-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gonzalo E. Sánchez

Purpose This paper aims to examine the short-term effect of the Arizona Immigration Law of 2010 (SB 1070) on the noncitizen Hispanic state population. Design/methodology/approach To get a consistent estimate of this effect, a synthetic control method has been used to calculate a suitable counterfactual. Findings Results indicate that this bill produced a statistically significant short-term reduction in the proportion of noncitizen Hispanics in Arizona between 10 and 15 per cent. However, the evidence suggests that this effect vanishes after a few months. Originality/value These findings are consistent with previous evidence of the high mobility of the undocumented population in the US, and contribute to the understanding of the effects of federal and state-level immigration legislation.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sailesh Tanna ◽  
Ibrahim Yousef ◽  
Matthias Nnadi

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the probability of deal success/failure in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) transactions is influenced by a range of deal, firm and country-specific characteristics which tend to affect acquirers’ shareholder returns. The specific hypotheses under investigation relate to the method of payment (cash versus stock), target status (listed versus non-listed), diversification (domestic versus cross-border and industry-wide) and acquirers’ prior bidding experience. Additionally, the authors also investigate whether announced deals reflect an expectation about likelihood of deal completion. Design/methodology/approach The authors analyse the probability of deal success/failure in M&As by combining event study and probit regression-based methods. The authors use the standard event study methodology to calculate acquirers’ abnormal returns for up to 10 days before and after the announcement date. In the probit model, the dependent variable is the probability of deal i being failure depending on four sets of explanatory variables: method of payment, target status, diversification and acquirer bidding experience, along with a set of control variables. Findings The findings from event study confirm that market reaction is indifferent to whether announced deals are likely to be successfully completed or not, consistent with the efficient markets hypothesis. However, the results from cross-sectional, cross-country regressions confirm that the aforementioned deal characteristics, as well as certain firm and country level attributes do influence the likelihood of whether an announced deal is subsequently completed or terminated. Originality/value In examining whether the specific characteristics affecting the likelihood that M&A transactions, once announced, will ultimately succeed or fail, it seems natural to ask whether the market reaction at the time of deal announcement reflects an expectation regarding deal completion. This could be associated with specific deal or firm-level characteristics influencing shareholder returns or risk, and represents a unique contribution of this study, over and above the use of a global sample of M&A data. The empirical analysis investigates these issues by using an extensive, global sample of 46,758 M&A transactions from 180 countries and 80 industries, which took place between the years 1977 and 2012.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 533-549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Nowrasteh ◽  
Andrew C Forrester ◽  
Cole Blondin

Abstract To what extent does immigration affect the economic institutions in destination countries? While there is much evidence that economic institutions in developed nations are either unaffected or improved after immigration, there is little evidence of how immigration affects the economic institutions of developing countries that typically have weaker institutions. Using the Synthetic Control Method, this study estimates a significant and long-lasting positive effect on Jordanian economic institutions from the surge of refugees from the First Gulf War. The surge of refugees to Jordan in 1990–1991 was massive, equal to 10 percent of Jordan’s population in 1990. Importantly, these refugees were able to have a large and direct impact on Jordanian economic institutions because they could work, live, and vote immediately upon entry due to a quirk in Jordanian law. The refugee surge was the main mechanism by which Jordan’s economic institutions improved in the decades that followed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliakim Kakpo

Abstract This paper evaluates a natural experiment which occurred in Ohio in 2005 when the state amended the tax system. The change sets up a dramatic corporate tax cut of 8.3 percentage points (p.p.) over the period 2006–2010 corresponding to a 96.9% reduction in the tax. Policymakers also reduced the personal income tax over the same period by 0.95 percentage point (p.p.). I investigate the incidence of the reform on wages in general and corporate wages in the short-run. To do so, I use a synthetic control method along with an event study design applied to individual records of the Current Population Survey (CPS). The results in this paper suggest that the corporate tax cut may have resulted in a one-time payment in corporate wages at the onset of the reform.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Li ◽  
Di Liu ◽  
Mengyuan Cai

AbstractThe adjustment of administrative divisions introduces a series of uncertain impacts on the social and economic development in the administrative region. Previous studies focused more on the economic effects of the adjustment of administrative divisions, while, in this paper, we also take environmental effects into consideration. The administrative division adjustment for Chaohu Lake is used as a quasi-natural experiment to explore the influence of the adjustment on pollution control. The synthetic control method is used in this study to access the effect of administrative division adjustment on the water quality indicators of Chaohu Lake and its internal mechanism. Some conclusions are as follows. First, after the administrative division adjustment, some water quality indicators, such as ammonia nitrogen, have indeed been alleviated; however, other major pollution indicators, such as chemical oxygen demand and dissolved oxygen, have deteriorated to varying degrees. Second, the results also reveal that improper development ideas, industrial excessive expansion, and the swing of economic growth and environmental goals are problems after the adjustment. Returning to the original intention of adjustment, rationalizing the Chaohu Lake management system and designing a sound and feasible accountability mechanism are fundamental measures to reduce pollution.


2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (6/7) ◽  
pp. 610-632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Ianniello ◽  
Giuseppe Galloppo

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine investor reactions to auditor opinions containing qualifications or an emphasis of matter paragraph related to going concern uncertainty or financial distress. In particular, abnormal returns are analyzed around audit report dates. Design/methodology/approach – The event study methodology, focusing on a short event window, was used to determine whether there is an immediate market reaction to the audit report announcement, as might be expected assuming efficient stock markets. Findings – Overall, this analysis shows that the audit reports investigated have information content for investment decisions. In particular, the qualifications expressed in the audit report have a negative effect on stock prices. It is also shown that an unqualified opinion with an emphasis of matter paragraph regarding going concern uncertainty or financial distress has a positive effect on stock prices. These results also elucidate the distinction between different types of opinions in the Italian context. Research limitations/implications – This paper has attempted to limit the possible concurrent effects on stock prices using a short window event study methodology. However, the possibility that some other event may have occurred during this event window cannot be excluded. Among the policy implications coming from this research, it is argued that the authorities should regulate the public disclosure of audit reports, so that the information becomes available to the audited company and the other stakeholders on the same day, which, in theory, would be the day that the audit process concludes with the signing of the audit report. Originality/value – The findings of this paper show the relevance of audit reports, distinguishing the different impacts based on the types of audit opinions issued in a specific jurisdiction (qualified and unqualified with an emphasis of matter paragraph).


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