Plan to clear Greek banks’ bad debt looks feasible

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Working Capital ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Loan Portfolios ◽  
Key Sectors ◽  
The Government ◽  
Greek Banks ◽  
Bad Debt

Subject Efforts to cleanse banks’ loan portfolios. Significance More than half of Greek bank lending is classed as ‘non-performing exposures’ (NPEs), constraining lending capacity and so putting negative pressure on GDP growth. The government says it should have a whole package of measures in place by mid-August to deal with NPEs. There have been slippages before, but this time the creditors are leaning very heavily on Athens to stick to the timetable. Impacts Bad debts will limit commercial banks’ capacity to make new loans to key sectors of the economy. This will have an adverse effect on working capital for existing businesses and their trade. Lack of liquidity will also slow new investments and construction.

Bangladesh risks growth by not confronting bad debt

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Potential Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Court ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bad Debt

Subject Bad debt in Bangladesh's banking sector. Significance The High Court last month stayed until June 23 a circular issued by the Bangladesh Bank, the central bank, that appeared to benefit borrowers who had defaulted on loans from the country's banking system. Meanwhile, Bangladesh registered 7.9% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending June 2018. Impacts The government will dismiss worries about a potential growth slowdown, pointing to forecast GDP growth of 8.1% in 2018/19. The Bangladesh Bank's circular would hurt banks already burdened with losses because of provisioning against bad debt. Banks may try to reduce their exposure to single borrowers.

Perceived competition in agricultural lending: stylized facts and an agenda for future research

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd Kuethe ◽  
Chad Fiechter ◽  
David Oppedahl
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Land Values ◽  
Credit System ◽  
Stylized Facts ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Loan Rate ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Survey Responses

PurposeThis study examines agricultural lending by commercial banks and the competition they face from the Farm Credit System (FCS) and non-traditional lenders, including merchants, dealers and other input suppliers.Design/methodology/approachWe construct a measure of commercial banks' perceived competition with FCS or non-traditional lenders using the individual responses to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Land Values and Credit Conditions Survey between 1999 and 2019. Through regression analysis of an unbalanced panel of survey responses, we present a number of stylized facts on the relationship between perceived competition and farm loan rate spreads, collateral requirements, loan delinquencies and expected lending volumes.FindingsOur analysis shows that the two sources of competition have very different effects on commercial bank lending terms, loan portfolio riskiness and expected loan volumes. With these results in mind, we offer a number of suggestions for future research.Originality/valueWe leverage the unique characteristics of the Land Values and Credit Conditions Survey to examine the competition with non-traditional lenders that cannot be observed using administrative data.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Commercial Bank Lending to Agriculture

1995 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eustacius N. Betubiza ◽  
David J. Leatham
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Bank Holding Companies ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Holding Companies ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Loan Portfolios

AbstractA tobit econometric procedure was used to examine the effect of selected demand and supply factors on nonreal estate agricultural lending by commercial banks in Texas. Results show that banks have reduced their agricultural loan portfolios in response to increased use of interest sensitive deposits after deregulation. Moreover, almost half of this decrease came from banks that stopped making agricultural loans. Also, results show that banks affiliated with multi-bank holding companies lend less money to agriculture relative to their assets than do independent banks.

Insecurity and drought undermine Madagascar president

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Southern African Development Community ◽  
Political Elite ◽  
The Political ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
African Development ◽  
The Government

Significance Rifts within the political elite are deepening, evidenced by the departure of former Prime Minister Jean Ravelonarivo -- and his cabinet -- last month. However, the installation of a new administration does not portend stability. Impacts The central bank's decision to cut its benchmark interest rate to 8.3% from 8.7% will facilitate borrowing by firms and households. This is unlikely to boost GDP growth given the countervailing effects of political volatility and low commodity prices. The UN secretary general's appeal (on an official trip earlier this month) for the government to tackle graft is unlikely to be heeded. If Madagascar experiences another coup, the Southern African Development Community bloc will likely expel it -- again.

Ghana's IMF bailout to persist despite souring ties

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bank Financing ◽  
Electricity Crisis ◽  
Manufacturing Activity ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Imf

Significance Earlier this month, the government passed a bill allowing for central bank financing of the budget deficit, contravening a core requirement in its agreement with the Fund. Earlier breaches led to the fourth tranche of the bailout (worth 114 million dollars) being withheld. Impacts Other donors will withhold aid disbursements until the impasse between Accra and the IMF is resolved. The electricity crisis will continue to undermine manufacturing activity, contributing to disappointing GDP growth. Ivory Coast's pro-business reforms mean it could attract investors deterred by Ghana's economic woes. Prolonged tensions with the IMF coupled with a deterioration its Ghana's fiscal metrics may drive a credit rating downgrade.

Weak consumption may thwart Slovak growth plans

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Fiscal Deficits ◽  
Consumption Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Levels ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Eu

Subject The government's latest GDP expectations for 2016-19. Significance On September 19, days before surviving a parliamentary no-confidence vote, the government announced GDP projections for 2016-19, based on improvements in consumption growth and the labour market, where registered unemployment hovers at historically low levels. Despite its weakened position following the recent departure of junior coalition partner Siet, Smer-Social Democracy (SD) is upbeat about the prospects for robust GDP growth in 2016, revising its forecast upwards to 3.6% from 3.2%. Impacts Industrial output, GDP and inflationary pressures may pick up post-2018, as consumers spend more and auto industry investments create jobs. The government may miss its targets in the short term, but fiscal deficits should remain below the EU limit of 3% of GDP in 2016-18. More public-private partnerships, modelled on the Bratislava ring-road, plus EU funding, may support infrastructure investment after 2017.

Greek economy could slip into recession again

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Private Investment ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Greek Economy ◽  
Target Set ◽  
The Government

Subject Greece’s stagnating economy. Significance The economy failed to turn a corner in 2016, registering zero real GDP growth. The ambitious 2.7% GDP growth target, set for 2017 by the government and Greece’s lenders, now looks hard to achieve. However, the economy’s stabilisation, albeit at a level much lower than before the crisis, is evident. Impacts A swift end to the bailout review might lift uncertainty and improve the investment climate, allowing both domestic and private investment. Inclusion into the ECB’s quantitative easing programme would help inject additional liquidity into the economy, stimulating credit growth. Over the medium term, rising protectionism in the United States and Europe might restrict trade, reducing Greek goods and services exports.

Excess euro-area liquidity raises bank lending risks

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reserve Requirements ◽  
Regulatory Standards ◽  
Excess Liquidity

Significance The ECB stopped purchasing bonds this month after running its asset purchase programme (APP) since March 2015. The APP flooded commercial banks with liquidity in excess of their minimum reserve requirements, which they could use to grant new loans. The ECB achieved its goal of increasing credit to the private sector, raising domestic demand and warding off price deflation, but commercial banks have kept large amounts of excess liquidity. Impacts Euro-area banks' average profitability has improved during the APP scheme, but less accommodating monetary policy may reverse this trend. The high prudential ratios the Basel III regulatory standards require should make euro-area banks more resilient to monetary tightening. The ECB's mopping up may pose difficulties to banks relying on excess liquidity to meet the Basel III coverage liquidity ratio.

Chile spending commitments may hamper fiscal prudence

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Government Spending ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
The Government ◽  
Fiscal Prudence

Subject The draft 2019 budget. Significance The government budget for 2019, announced by President Sebastian Pinera on September 29, is the most austere in almost a decade. It aims to restore Chile’s long-standing reputation for exemplary fiscal conduct, which in recent years has been undermined by increases in government spending that outstrip GDP growth, and the resulting increase in borrowing. Impacts Credit rating agencies have indicated that the draft budget is in line with their concerns about Chile’s rising borrowing requirement. The ongoing decline in fiscal revenues from copper underlines Chile’s need to diversify its economy. The government will be hard-pressed to meet its fiscal goals if, as current forecasts suggest, GDP growth weakens through to 2020.

India’s central bank will be more amenable to Modi

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Bharatiya Janata Party ◽  
Consecutive Term ◽  
Indian Banks ◽  
Bad Debt ◽  
Reserve Bank Of India

Subject RBI under new governorship. Significance Shaktikanta Das was last month appointed Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor after Urjit Patel resigned. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government had for several months clashed with the RBI over how to foster economic growth. The general election is likely in April or May, when Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) faces a tough fight to win a second consecutive term. Impacts In election campaigning, Modi will emphasise India’s mostly robust quarterly GDP growth figures during his term. Indian banks’ level of bad debt could decrease by the end of the fiscal year ending March 2019. India will likely widen its fiscal deficit target for 2018/19 (3.3% of GDP) ahead of the 2019/20 budget.

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