Economy will be Modi’s personal focus

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
National Sample ◽  
General Election ◽  
Sample Survey ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Illegal Migration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Sample Survey ◽  
Central Statistics Office ◽  
Central Statistics

Subject Modi's post-election cabinet appointments and likely policy trajectory. Significance Following a landslide victory in the general election, Prime Minister Narendra Modi last week announced his new cabinet. There were new appointments at the head of the defence, foreign, home and finance ministries. Impacts The merger of the Central Statistics Office and National Sample Survey Office could further undermine trust in India’s GDP growth figures. If a crackdown on ‘illegal’ migration alienates neighbouring ally Bangladesh, Dhaka could draw closer to Delhi’s rival Beijing. Modi’s alliance will likely have a majority in the parliamentary upper house by 2021.

Modi’s party will take tougher line on immigration

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
General Election ◽  
Illegal Migration ◽  
National Register ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Bharatiya Janata Party

Subject NRC update in Assam. Significance Late last month, a draft update of the National Register of Citizens (NRC) in Assam state excluded around 4 million of nearly 32 million applicants as part of efforts to curb illegal migration. Many of the excluded are thought to be Bengali-speaking Muslims who migrated from Bangladesh after the start of the country’s liberation war in 1971. Assam is governed by the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who will seek a second term in next year’s general election. Impacts India may seek to relocate its Muslim Rohingya refugees to the Bangladesh border, further straining relations with Dhaka. The government’s position on immigration is likely to draw criticism from human rights groups. Outbreaks of low-level Hindu-Muslim violence are likely across several states prior to the general election.

India’s growth will be fragile

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
General Election ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
Hindu Nationalism ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Current Account

Subject Outlook for India's GDP growth. Significance India’s GDP statistics point to robust growth and its stock market indices suggest a boom. Yet inflation is high, the current account deficit is widening, the rupee has depreciated and investors are increasingly wary. Impacts Prime Minister Narendra Modi will highlight India’s growth figures in campaigning for a second term early next year. Opposition parties will push back on Modi by suggesting India’s growth is largely ‘jobless’. Any sign of an economic downturn prior to the general election could prompt Modi to appeal more to Hindu nationalism to garner support.

Self-vis-à-vis-proxy reported morbidity prevalence among adults in India: a study based on the national sample survey

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gopal Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Household Survey ◽  
National Sample ◽  
Health Condition ◽  
Sample Survey ◽  
Prevalence Rates ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Sample Survey ◽  
Morbidity Data

Purpose – Since inception, National Sample Survey (NSS) is the only large-scale household survey in India, periodically collecting data on morbidity and health care conditions in the country. In these surveys, information for all members of sample households was gathered either from head or a key informant of the household. This paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – This study was developed to examine whether the use of proxy respondents influences population estimates of morbidity prevalence rates and factors associated with morbidity prevalence rates among adults based on latest 60th round NSS data on morbidity and health care. Findings – The results showed that use of proxy in this survey had severely affected morbidity prevalence rates among adult persons aged 18 years and above. The result showed that use of proxy in the NSS 60th round survey had resulted in underestimation of morbidity prevalence rates among adults in such a way that overall morbidity prevalence rate was 45 per cent higher in direct interviews (148 per 1,000 adult persons) compared to those answered by proxies (81, p<0.001). There were variations in underreporting of morbidities by socio-economic and demographic characteristics of proxies but the direction of the association was the same. Research limitations/implications – The study conclude that morbidity data from the NSS can be used regardless of use of proxies and that the association between worse health condition and socio-economic and demographic factors persisted even when information was collected from a proxy. However, suitable adjustments for proxy-reporting should be made while estimating realistic population at risk from the NSS data. Originality/value – This is the first manuscript that has made an attempt to examine the effect of proxy-reporting on morbidity prevalence in NSS data. Since its inception in 1955, NSS data are the only data source available in India on morbidity and health care conditions. A large number of research manuscripts have been published using this data and there were serious concerns among the researchers on data quality particularly about the reporting of health status. NSS 60th round first time provided information on reporting status, i.e. proxy vs self. In this context, the present study made an effort in this direction.

Modi’s party will likely renew emphasis on caste

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Identity Politics ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
General Election ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Economic Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Congress Party ◽  
Bharatiya Janata Party ◽  
Opposition Parties

Subject India's ruling party's likely election strategy emphasising caste. Significance Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) was last week displaced from government in three of its heartland states by the main opposition Congress party, following elections. The poll results suggest a loss of support for the BJP among rural voters and Dalits (formerly regarded as ‘untouchables’). Ahead of the general election likely in April or May, party President Amit Shah is overseeing the BJP’s strategy. Impacts The BJP will highlight India’s robust quarterly GDP growth figures, claiming good economic management besides engaging in identity politics. Opposition parties could highlight the plight of Dalits working as manual scavengers as part of their election campaigns. Shah will likely be a future prime ministerial candidate for the BJP.

Bangladesh’s main opposition is close to irrelevance

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
General Election ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Nationalist Party ◽  
Corruption Case ◽  
The World ◽  
Political Unrest

Subject The outlook for the Bangladesh Nationalist Party. Significance With Bangladesh’s general election drawing closer, the main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), which last held power in 2006, is battling to maintain unity as leaders argue and allies defect. Its chief and former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia was convicted in February in a corruption case, with further trials pending. Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s Awami League (AL), in power since 2009, is cracking down on political opponents. Impacts The AL will highlight estimated GDP growth of 7.65% in fiscal year 2017/18 (July-June) to appeal to voters. Pre-election political unrest may play into a resurgence of Islamist militant activity. Bangladeshi embassies around the world may be at risk of attacks from BNP supporters.

scholarly journals National sample survey organization survey report: An estimation of prevalence of mental illness and its association with age in India

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (01) ◽  
pp. 051-054 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ram Lakhan ◽  
Olúgbémiga T. Ekúndayò
Keyword(s):  
Mental Illness ◽  
Prevalence Rate ◽  
Large Population ◽  
National Sample ◽  
Epidemiological Studies ◽  
Sample Survey ◽  
Rural Setting ◽  
National Sample Survey ◽  
Rural And Urban ◽  
National Sample Survey Organization

ABSTRACT Background: The Indian population suffers with significant burden of mental illness. The prevalence rate and its association with age and other demographic indicators are needed for planning purpose. Objective: This study attempted to calculate age-wise prevalence of mental illness for rural and urban settings, and its association with age. Materials and Methods: Data published in National Sample Survey Organization (2002) report on disability is used for the analysis. Spearman correlation for strength of association, z-test for difference in prevalence, and regression statistics for predicting the prevalence rate of mental illness are used. Result: Overall population have 14.9/1000 prevalence of mental illness. It is higher in rural setting 17.1/1000 than urban 12.7/1000 (P < 0.001). There is a strong correlation found with age in rural (ϱ = 0.910, P = 0.001) and urban (ϱ = 0.940, P = 0.001). Conclusion: Results of this study confirm other epidemiological research in India. Large-population epidemiological studies are recommended.

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