Somali regional election portends unstable status quo
Subject Impact of the recent Jubaland regional election. Significance Jubaland President Ahmed Madobe on August 22 won a third term in office after receiving 56 of 74 votes from regional parliamentarians. However, the election was marred by allegations that Madobe manipulated the process, the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has refused to recognise the result and two separate opposition camps -- backing Abdirashid Mohamed Hiddig and Abdinasir Seerar respectively -- have elected their own regional parliaments and presidents. Impacts Madobe’s re-election will deal a major blow to the FGS’s efforts to install allies in regional states. The recent arrest of Madobe’s security minister in Mogadishu will sour the political climate further. Al-Shabaab will use the episode to paint regional and national leaders as powerless and beholden to foreign interests.