scholarly journals Predictive analysis for social processes II: Predictability and warning analysis

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Colbaugh ◽  
Kristin Glass
Keyword(s):  
Social Processes ◽  
Predictive Analysis

Russian Federalism at the Critical Stage of Development

2008 ◽  
pp. 70-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Bukhvald
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Social Processes ◽  
Self Management ◽  
Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations ◽  
Critical Stage ◽  
Municipal Reform ◽  
Stage Of Development ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
Basic Course

Transformations in the sphere of federal relations concern the most important directions of the reforming processes in the country. However, not all proposed and actually developing components of the federal reform seem well-argued and corresponding to long-term, strategic interests of the Russian statehood. The basic course of reform should meet the objective requirements of further decentralization of governing economic and social processes and the need to ensure strengthening the responsibility of RF subjects’ executive bodies and local self-management for steady social and economic development of their territories. The solution of these problems calls for a new model of federal policy of regional development, specification of some important components of the municipal reform as well as inserting certain amendments into the system of intergovernmental fiscal relations in order to stir up their stimulating function.

MONITORING OF OPERATIONAL LOGISTIC PROCESSES IN GENERAL CARGO WAREHOUSES USING PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-36
Author(s):  
Andreas Neubert
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Human Error ◽  
Predictive Analysis ◽  
Data Mining Algorithm ◽  
It Infrastructure ◽  
Monitoring Procedure ◽  
Manual Recording ◽  
Mining Tool ◽  
General Cargo ◽  
Different Characteristics

Due to the different characteristics of the piece goods (e.g. size and weight), they are transported in general cargo warehouses by manually-operated industrial trucks such as forklifts and pallet trucks. Since manual activities are susceptible to possible human error, errors occur in logistical processes in general cargo warehouses. This leads to incorrect loading, stacking and damage to storage equipment and general cargo. It would be possible to reduce costs arising from errors in logistical processes if these errors could be remedied in advance. This paper presents a monitoring procedure for logistical processes in manually-operated general cargo warehouses. This is where predictive analysis is applied. Seven steps are introduced with a view to integrating predictive analysis into the IT infrastructure of general cargo warehouses. These steps are described in detail. The CRISP4BigData model, the SVM data mining algorithm, the data mining tool R, the programming language C++ for the scoring in general cargo warehouses represent the results of this paper. After having created the system and installed it in general cargo warehouses, initial results obtained with this method over a certain time span will be compared with results obtained without this method through manual recording over the same period.

Sustainable Illegality: Gagauz Women in Istanbul

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bayram Unal
Keyword(s):  
Police Officers ◽  
Ethnic Origin ◽  
Social Processes ◽  
Survival Strategies ◽  
Preferential Treatment ◽  
National Group ◽  
Turkish Migrants ◽  
Illegal Migrants ◽  
Sociological Inquiry ◽  
The Social

This study deals with survival strategies of illegal migrants in Turkey. It aims to provide an explanation for the efforts to keep illegality sustainable for one specific ethnic/national group—that is, the Gagauz of Moldova, who are of Turkish ethnic origin. In order to explicate the advantages of Turkish ethnic origin, I will focus on their preferential treatment at state-law level and in terms of the implementation of the law by police officers. In a remarkable way, the juridical framework has introduced legal ways of dealing with the illegality of ethnically Turkish migrants. From the viewpoint of migration, the presence of strategic tools of illegality forces us to ask not so much law-related questions, but to turn to a sociological inquiry of how and why they overstay their visas. Therefore, this study concludes that it is the social processes behind their illegality, rather than its form, that is more important for our understanding of the migrants’ survival strategies in destination countries.

Scientific Knowledge in Sociology: Problem Statement

2019 ◽  
pp. 27-32
Author(s):  
Gennady V. Kanygin ◽  
Maria S. Poltinnikova
Keyword(s):  
Natural Language ◽  
Social Relationships ◽  
Social Communication ◽  
Methodological Problem ◽  
Social Processes ◽  
Wide Spread ◽  
Practical Application ◽  
Problem Statement ◽  
Hidden Knowledge ◽  
Similarities And Differences

The article opens a cycle of publications, which analyze the similarities and differences between the two wide spread modern approaches to the description of society - sociological and informational ones. Both approaches have the same methodological problem to be solved. The problem of expressing hidden knowledge about society that participants in social processes operate with the help of natural language in the course of social communication. In order to harmonize sociological and informational approaches of describing society, it was proposed any natural language statements involved in describing society to be arranged according to the basic principle of information technology - modularity. The proposed way of harmonizing informational and sociological methods of building knowledge about society is invoked by the need to solve two scientific problems formulated in sociology itself - the constructability of social objects and the complexity of social relationships. The paper's methodological proposals are embodied in their computer realization, which practical application is demonstrated in other publications of the authors.

SOCIAL DYNAMICS AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
V.N. Kurdyukov ◽  
◽  
A.I. Lebedev ◽  
A. Ademu ◽  
M. Hamdi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Social Groups ◽  
Social Processes ◽  
Natural Growth ◽  
Governance Mechanisms

The article examined different views on population with a view to identifying major trends. Social processes that impede the transition to sustainable development within existing governance mechanisms have been identified. It is noted that due to the high social dynamics, the exit from the "modernization trap" is to be sought both by territories with high natural growth of the population, and economically attractive regions with indicators of natural decline of the population. At the same time, social dynamics in different territories in modern conditions involve the risk of its use for the benefit of different social groups and can act as a manageable factor. In order to increase the sustainability of development, in resolving the contradictions of the existing socio-economic system, it is necessary to take into account the peculiarities of agricultural territories and to develop self-sufficient models of their development.

Konflik Sosial Masayarakat dalam Perspektif Sosiologi Hukum Islam

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-97
Author(s):  
Dedi Sumanto
Keyword(s):  
Problem Solving ◽  
Power Management ◽  
Social Conflict ◽  
Social Processes ◽  
Management Model ◽  
Religious Knowledge ◽  
Conflict Escalation

Conflicts can be dangerous or may even benefit a relationship, depending on how they are resolved. Because conflict creates strong emotions, emotions are not suitable as a basis for constructive problem solving. Conflict escalation rarely benefits a relationship, especially if it creates selfishness, stubbornness, and withdrawal from relationships. What's worse, conflicts can lead to physical disputes and actual violence, a community can work together, but it can be that at other times the community that has worked together can turn into social conflict. Conversely, people who initially conflict can change to work together for a certain time. For that social processes that occur are very dynamic, these conditions are very dependent on the power management model that runs in the community concerned thus interpreting the conflict based on the causes of conflict are: specific behaviors, norms and personal roles and dispositions. Conflict can also occur in the name of religion, caused by several factors including: superficial religious knowledge, fanaticism, religion as a doctrine, symbols, religious figures, history, fighting for surge.

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