scholarly journals Population and Economic Growth Under Different Growth Engines

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 182-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Bucci ◽  
Xavier Raurich
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Human Capital Investment ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Long Run

Abstract Using a growth model with physical capital accumulation, human capital investment and horizontal R&D activity, this paper proposes an alternative channel through which an increase in the population growth rate may yield a non-uniform (i.e., a positive, negative, or neutral) impact on the long-run growth rate of per-capita GDP, as available empirical evidence seems mostly to suggest. The proposed mechanism relies on the nature of the process of economic growth (whether it is fully or semi-endogenous), and the peculiar engine(s) driving economic growth (human capital investment, R&D activity, or both). The model also explains why in the long term the association between population growth and productivity growth may ultimately be negative when R&D is an engine of economic growth.

scholarly journals Do Long-Run Disasters Promote Human Capital in China? —The Impact of 500 Years of Natural Disasters on County-Level Human-Capital Accumulation

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (20) ◽  
pp. 7422
Author(s):  
Zhidi Zhang ◽  
Jianqing Ruan
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Human Capital Accumulation ◽  
Force Dynamics ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Is there a relationship between the frequency of regional natural disasters and long-term human-capital accumulation? This article investigates the long-run causality between natural calamities and human-capital accumulation with macro and micro data. Empirical cross-county analysis demonstrates that higher frequencies of natural calamities are correlated with higher rates of human-capital accumulation. Specifically, on the basis of empirical data of the fifth census in 2000 and China’s Labor-Force Dynamics Survey in 2012, this paper exploits the two databases to infer that the high disaster frequency in the years of 1500–2000 was likely to increase regional human-capital accumulation on district level. High natural-calamity frequency reduces the expected rate of returning to physical capital, which also serves to increase human-capital. Thus, experiencing with natural disasters would influence human’s preference to human-capital investment instead of physical capital.

On the Effectiveness of Growth- Enhancing Policies in a Model of Growth Without Scale Effects

2002 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 339-346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lutz G. Arnold
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Scale Effects ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Human Capital Accumulation ◽  
Accelerate Growth

Abstract Standard R&D growth models have two disturbing properties: the presence of scale effects (i.e., the prediction that larger economies grow faster) and the implication that there is a multitude of growth-enhancing policies. Recent models of growth without scale effects, such as Segerstrom's (1998), not only remove the counterfactual scale effect, but also imply that the growth rate does not react to any kind of economic policy. They share a different disturbing property, however: economic growth depends positively on population growth, and the economy cannot grow in the absence of population growth. The present paper integrates human capital accumulation into Segerstrom's (1998) model of growth without scale effects. Consistent with many empirical studies, growth is positively related not to population growth, but to investment in human capital. And there is one way to accelerate growth: subsidizing education.

A NOTE ON THE IMPLICATIONS OF AUTOMATION FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE LABOR SHARE

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 1294-1301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klaus Prettner
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Labor Share ◽  
Long Run

We introduce automation into a standard model of capital accumulation and show that (i) there is the possibility of perpetual growth, even in the absence of technological progress; (ii) the long-run economic growth rate declines with population growth, which is consistent with the available empirical evidence; (iii) there is a unique share of savings diverted to automation that maximizes long-run growth; and (iv) automation explains around 14% of the observed decline of the labor share over the last decades in the United States.

scholarly journals Optimal taxation with unobservable investment in human capital

2019 ◽  
Vol 72 (2) ◽  
pp. 501-516 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catarina Reis
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Optimal Taxation ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Income Taxes ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
The Government ◽  
Physical Capital Accumulation

Abstract In a Ramsey model of optimal taxation, if human capital investment can be observed separately from consumption, it is optimal not to distort human or physical capital accumulation in the long run, and only labour income taxes should be used. However, in reality the government can’t always distinguish between investment in human capital and pure consumption, so a tax on labour or consumption will necessarily tax human capital. We find that when investment in human capital is unobservable, the optimal policy is to tax human capital at a positive rate, even in the long run. Whether physical capital should be taxed or not depends on its degree of complementarity with human capital versus labour.

Capital accumulation and growth in Hungary, 1924–2006

2011 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Leeuwen ◽  
P. Földvári
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Volume Index ◽  
Growth Accounting ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Over Time

The objective of this paper is to analyse the role of both human and physical capital in economic growth in Hungary during the 20th century by extending the already available data on physical and human capital. Besides the standard measure for the volume of human capital, we develop a simple method to estimate the value of the human capital stock in Hungary between 1924 and 2006. While the volume index slowly grows over time, the value of human capital shows a decline during the late socialist period. Applying the value of human capital in a growth accounting analysis, we find that the Solow residual has no long-run effect on economic growth anymore.

scholarly journals Capital formation and economic growth under central planning and transition: A theoretical and empirical analysis, ca. 1920–2008

2015 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Péter Földvári ◽  
Bas van Leeuwen ◽  
Dmitry Didenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Early Years ◽  
National Accounts ◽  
System Of National Accounts ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Physical Capital Accumulation

According to the consensus view, it was primarily physical capital accumulation that drove economic growth during the early years of state socialism. Growth models incorporating both human and physical capital accumulation led to the conclusion that a high physical/human capital ratio can cause a lower economic growth in the long run, hence offering an explanation for the failure of socialist economies. In this paper, we show theoretically and empirically that according to the logic of the socialist planner, it was optimal to achieve a higher physical to human capital ratio in socialist countries than in the West. Using a VAR analysis, we find empirical confirmation that within the Material Product System of national accounting, the relative dominance of investment in physical capital accumulation relative to human capital was indeed more efficient than under the system of national accounts.

Enhancing Human Capital Investment - Key to Unlock China's Economic Plight of Unbalanced Development

2011 ◽  
Vol 347-353 ◽  
pp. 2745-2748
Author(s):  
Yuan Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Human Capital Investment ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Capital Shortage ◽  
Investment Structure ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
The Relationship

In recent years, it is very important for China to maintain the strong and sustainable economic growth, and we believe enhancing human capital investment is the key. According to the statistics, China's current human capital investment has fallen into the low-level trap, which means that the economic growth heavily depends on labor-intensive and resource-driven investment, and the relationship between human and physical capital investment becomes imbalanced. In addition, the coexistence of human capital shortage and employment pressure, the mismatch between human capital investment structure and talent demand, and insufficient human capital investment caused by unfair income distribution are becoming more and more serious. We advise a re-examination of our human capital investment strategy as the main policy to solve the problems.

scholarly journals A Dynamic Analysis of the Relationship among Human Development, Exports and Economic Growth in Pakistan.

2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (4II) ◽  
pp. 885-920 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Afzal ◽  
A. Rauf Butt ◽  
Mr. Hafeez ur Rehman ◽  
Ishrat Begum
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This study investigates the econometrically empirical evidence of both the short-run and long-run interrelationships among human development, exports and economic growth in an ARDL framework for Pakistan. This study also examines causal linkages among the said variables by applying the Augmented Granger Causality test of Toda-Yamamoto (1995). By using data on Pakistan’s real GDP, real exports and Human Development Index (HDI) for the period 1970-71 to 2008-09, three models have been estimated. The results show cointegration between economic growth, physical capital, real exports and human development when human development is taken as dependent variables. Furthermore, unidirectional Granger causality running from real GDP to real exports has been found in Bivariate, Trivariate and Tetravariate causality framework. The inclusion of HDI as a measure of human development reduces the physical capital share in real GDP whereas it improves the robustness of the regression model. Real GDP seems to provide resources to improve human development in only the long-run while human capital accumulation does not seem to accelerate real GDP both in the short-run and the long-run. The empirical results of the study do not support ‘export-led growth hypothesis’ and human capital-based endogenous growth theory in case of Pakistan, however, it does support ‘growth-driven exports hypothesis’ in case of Pakistan. JEL classification: O11 Keywords: Human Development, Exports, Economic Growth, ARDL, Causality

scholarly journals Investment in Human Capital and Economic Growth in Jammu and Kashmir: Using a Granger Causality Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-140
Author(s):  
Javid Ahmad Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Human Capital Investment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Jammu And Kashmir ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita

The study is an empirical investigation of the long-run relationships and the causal links between human capital investment and economic growth in Jammu and Kashmir using the granger causality test on the annual data for the time period 1975-76 to 2011-12. Government expenditure both on education and health are included as proxy variables for human capital investment and state per-capita domestic product as proxy variable for economic growth. The study highlights that in case of expenditure on health and per-capita domestic product their exists bivariate causality while in case of expenditure on education causality runs from expenditure on education to per-capita state domestic product. The findings revealed that increasing expenditures on health and education will improve the state domestic product figures in the long run. The analysis suggested when income of population increases then there would be a definite desire to educate the children. The study recommends that substantial amount of government budgetary allocation should be directed towards the educational and health sector. It is better to provide the citizen with substantial amount of education with good health which in turn will improve their ca[ability to command more goods and services. The study has limitation of including the limited variables in the model and applying the limited methodology.

scholarly journals IS HUMAN CAPITAL ACCUMULATION A GROWTH DRIVER IN NIGERIA? AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-77
Author(s):  
Hassan O. Ozekhome
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
The Other ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Human Capital Accumulation ◽  
Infrastructural Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Physical Capital Accumulation

Accumulation of human capital is critical to sustained economic growth in the long run, since it facilitates the efficient absorption of new capital developments, improves the speed of adaptation of entrepreneurs and generates innovation necessary for sustained economic growth. It is against this premise this study investigate the human-capital accumulation growth-nexus in Nigeria. Employing a dynamic approach, involving test for unit roots, and cointegration, and finally, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation techniques on annual time series data, covering the period 1981 to 2016, sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators (WDI) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, the empirical findings reveal that human and physical capital accumulation significantly induce rapid and sustained economic growth in the long-run. The other variables- infrastructural development (measured by ICT infrastructure) and industrial output (a measure of industrialization) have positive but weak impacts on economic growth, on account of the weak infrastructural development, and low level of industrialization in Nigeria. Inflation rate (a measure of macroeconomic policy environment) on the other hand, is found to have a militating effect on economic growth. We recommend amongst others; sustained investments in human and physical capital accumulation, stable and coherent macroeconomic policies, particularly with respect to taming of domestic inflationary pressures, supportive institutional structures and aggressive industrialization-enhancing policies, in order to enhance sustained economic growth in Nigeria.

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