Trajectory Prediction of Moored Vessels With Reduced Station Keeping Capability due to Exceeded Anchor Load Limits

Author(s):  
Michał Josten

Abstract This paper presents the development and application of an in-house manoeuvring method for the prediction of the track of a moored vessel in the case of a temporary or total loss of station keeping capability as a result of exceeded permissible anchor loads. The described method is implemented in the in-house ship design environment E4, which already contains a method for manoeuvring simulations. The equations of motion are solved for three degrees of freedom: surge, sway and yaw. Any effects due to dynamic heel are considered quasi-statically. The method is based on a force model with components for environmental and body forces as well as propeller, rudder and steering forces for dynamic positioning applications. For the purpose of mooring system analysis an additional force component for the mooring line loads is introduced by using load-deflection curves. These curves can be calculated within E4 or imported from other sources. The resulting method allows detailed response calculations in the time-domain and can be used in various applications due to its great computational efficiency. In the presented paper the method is used for the analysis of a marine casualty due to harsh weather conditions.

Author(s):  
Yijun Wang ◽  
Alex van Deyzen ◽  
Benno Beimers

In the field of port design there is a need for a reliable but time-efficient method to assess the behavior of moored ships in order to determine if further detailed analysis of the behavior is required. The response of moored ships induced by gusting wind and/or waves is dynamic. Excessive motion response may cause interruption of the (un)loading operation. High line tension may cause lines to snap, introducing dangerous situations. A (detailed) Dynamic Mooring Analysis (DMA), however, is often a time-consuming and expensive exercise, especially when responses in many different environmental conditions need to be assessed. Royal HaskoningDHV has developed a time-efficient computational tool in-house to assess the wave (sea or swell) induced dynamic response of ships moored to exposed berths. The mooring line characteristics are linearized and the equations of motion are solved in the frequency domain with both the 1st and 2nd wave forces taken into account. This tool has been termed Less=Moor. The accuracy and reliability of the computational tool has been illustrated by comparing motions and mooring line forces to results obtained with software that solves the nonlinear equations of motion in the time domain (aNySIM). The calculated response of a Floating Storage and Regasification Unit (FSRU) moored to dolphins located offshore has been presented. The results show a good comparison. The computational tool can therefore be used to indicate whether the wave induced response of ships moored at exposed berths proves to be critical. The next step is to make this tool suitable to assess the dynamic response of moored ships with large wind areas, e.g. container ships, cruise vessels, RoRo or car carriers, to gusting wind. In addition, assessment of ship responses in a complicated wave field (e.g. with reflected infra-gravity waves) also requires more research effort.


Author(s):  
Maximilian Liebert

Abstract The motion analysis of floating offshore structures is a major design aspect which has to be considered in the early design stage. The existing design environment E4 is an open software framework, which is being developed by the Institute of Ship Design and Ship Safety, comprising various methods for design and analysis of mainly ship-type structures. In context of the development to enhance the design environment E4 for offshore applications this paper presents a method to calculate the response motions of semi-submersibles in regular waves. The linearised equations of motion are set up in frequency domain in six degrees of freedom and the seakeeping behaviour is calculated in terms of the amplitudes of the harmonic responses. The hydrodynamic forces onto the slender elements of the semi-submersible are accounted for by a Morison approach. As the drag and damping forces depend quadratically on the amplitudes, these forces are linearised by an energy-equivalence principle. The resulting response amplitude operators of the semi-submersible are validated by comparison with model tests. The method represents a fast computational tool for the analysis of the seakeeping behaviour of floating offshore structures consisting of slender elements with circular cross sections in the early design stage.


Author(s):  
Jae-Hoon Lee ◽  
Yonghwan Kim

This study considers the evaluation of ship operational performance in real sea states using a time-domain approach. The current seakeeping-maneuvering coupling approach consists of two modules. First, in the seakeeping module, the time-domain three-dimensional Rankine panel method is applied to compute wave-induced forces and resultant ship motion. To validate this module, the computational results for wave drift force are compared with the existing experimental data for various forward speeds and regular wave conditions. Second, in the maneuvering module, the equations of motion with 4 degrees of freedom that are based on the Maneuvering Modeling Group are solved to simulate the ship navigation. The computed seakeeping and maneuvering values are immediately transferred between the two modules in the time domain, and so they are directly integrated. By applying this coupling method, a free-running simulation for a ship navigating along a given route is performed. The trajectory tracking method based on a proportional–derivative-based rudder control is adopted for straight course-keeping. Not only the speed loss but also the attitude for route maintenance is evaluated for various environmental load conditions. The simulation results are validated by a comparison with those of the existing free-running model test. Based on comparisons, environmental load effects and resultant quantities on operational performance are discussed.


Author(s):  
Anton Turk ◽  
Jasna Prpić-Oršić ◽  
Carlos Guedes Soares

A hybrid nonlinear time domain seakeeping analysis is applied to the study of a container ship advancing at different headings and encounter frequencies. A time-domain nonlinear strip theory in six degrees-of-freedom has been extended to predict ship motions by solving the unsteady hydrodynamic problem in the frequency domain and the equations of motion in the time domain which allows introducing nonlinearities in the linear model. The code is used to make parametric roll predictions for various speeds and headings and the results are summarized in a very intuitive 2D and 3D polar plots showing the full range of the parametric rolling realizations. The method developed is fairly accurate, robust, very computationally efficient, and can predict nonlinear ship motions. It is well suited to be used as a tool in ship design or as part of a path optimization model.


1966 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 373
Author(s):  
Y. Kozai

The motion of an artificial satellite around the Moon is much more complicated than that around the Earth, since the shape of the Moon is a triaxial ellipsoid and the effect of the Earth on the motion is very important even for a very close satellite.The differential equations of motion of the satellite are written in canonical form of three degrees of freedom with time depending Hamiltonian. By eliminating short-periodic terms depending on the mean longitude of the satellite and by assuming that the Earth is moving on the lunar equator, however, the equations are reduced to those of two degrees of freedom with an energy integral.Since the mean motion of the Earth around the Moon is more rapid than the secular motion of the argument of pericentre of the satellite by a factor of one order, the terms depending on the longitude of the Earth can be eliminated, and the degree of freedom is reduced to one.Then the motion can be discussed by drawing equi-energy curves in two-dimensional space. According to these figures satellites with high inclination have large possibilities of falling down to the lunar surface even if the initial eccentricities are very small.The principal properties of the motion are not changed even if plausible values ofJ3andJ4of the Moon are included.This paper has been published in Publ. astr. Soc.Japan15, 301, 1963.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-102
Author(s):  
Carsten Strzalka ◽  
◽  
Manfred Zehn ◽  

For the analysis of structural components, the finite element method (FEM) has become the most widely applied tool for numerical stress- and subsequent durability analyses. In industrial application advanced FE-models result in high numbers of degrees of freedom, making dynamic analyses time-consuming and expensive. As detailed finite element models are necessary for accurate stress results, the resulting data and connected numerical effort from dynamic stress analysis can be high. For the reduction of that effort, sophisticated methods have been developed to limit numerical calculations and processing of data to only small fractions of the global model. Therefore, detailed knowledge of the position of a component’s highly stressed areas is of great advantage for any present or subsequent analysis steps. In this paper an efficient method for the a priori detection of highly stressed areas of force-excited components is presented, based on modal stress superposition. As the component’s dynamic response and corresponding stress is always a function of its excitation, special attention is paid to the influence of the loading position. Based on the frequency domain solution of the modally decoupled equations of motion, a coefficient for a priori weighted superposition of modal von Mises stress fields is developed and validated on a simply supported cantilever beam structure with variable loading positions. The proposed approach is then applied to a simplified industrial model of a twist beam rear axle.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3030
Author(s):  
Simon Liebermann ◽  
Jung-Sup Um ◽  
YoungSeok Hwang ◽  
Stephan Schlüter

Due to the globally increasing share of renewable energy sources like wind and solar power, precise forecasts for weather data are becoming more and more important. To compute such forecasts numerous authors apply neural networks (NN), whereby models became ever more complex recently. Using solar irradiation as an example, we verify if this additional complexity is required in terms of forecasting precision. Different NN models, namely the long-short term (LSTM) neural network, a convolutional neural network (CNN), and combinations of both are benchmarked against each other. The naive forecast is included as a baseline. Various locations across Europe are tested to analyze the models’ performance under different climate conditions. Forecasts up to 24 h in advance are generated and compared using different goodness of fit (GoF) measures. Besides, errors are analyzed in the time domain. As expected, the error of all models increases with rising forecasting horizon. Over all test stations it shows that combining an LSTM network with a CNN yields the best performance. However, regarding the chosen GoF measures, differences to the alternative approaches are fairly small. The hybrid model’s advantage lies not in the improved GoF but in its versatility: contrary to an LSTM or a CNN, it produces good results under all tested weather conditions.


Author(s):  
Manfred Ehresmann ◽  
Georg Herdrich ◽  
Stefanos Fasoulas

AbstractIn this paper, a generic full-system estimation software tool is introduced and applied to a data set of actual flight missions to derive a heuristic for system composition for mass and power ratios of considered sub-systems. The capability of evolutionary algorithms to analyse and effectively design spacecraft (sub-)systems is shown. After deriving top-level estimates for each spacecraft sub-system based on heuristic heritage data, a detailed component-based system analysis follows. Various degrees of freedom exist for a hardware-based sub-system design; these are to be resolved via an evolutionary algorithm to determine an optimal system configuration. A propulsion system implementation for a small satellite test case will serve as a reference example of the implemented algorithm application. The propulsion system includes thruster, power processing unit, tank, propellant and general power supply system masses and power consumptions. Relevant performance parameters such as desired thrust, effective exhaust velocity, utilised propellant, and the propulsion type are considered as degrees of freedom. An evolutionary algorithm is applied to the propulsion system scaling model to demonstrate that such evolutionary algorithms are capable of bypassing complex multidimensional design optimisation problems. An evolutionary algorithm is an algorithm that uses a heuristic to change input parameters and a defined selection criterion (e.g., mass fraction of the system) on an optimisation function to refine solutions successively. With sufficient generations and, thereby, iterations of design points, local optima are determined. Using mitigation methods and a sufficient number of seed points, a global optimal system configurations can be found.


Author(s):  
Niels Hørbye Christiansen ◽  
Per Erlend Torbergsen Voie ◽  
Jan Høgsberg ◽  
Nils Sødahl

Dynamic analyses of slender marine structures are computationally expensive. Recently it has been shown how a hybrid method which combines FEM models and artificial neural networks (ANN) can be used to reduce the computation time spend on the time domain simulations associated with fatigue analysis of mooring lines by two orders of magnitude. The present study shows how an ANN trained to perform nonlinear dynamic response simulation can be optimized using a method known as optimal brain damage (OBD) and thereby be used to rank the importance of all analysis input. Both the training and the optimization of the ANN are based on one short time domain simulation sequence generated by a FEM model of the structure. This means that it is possible to evaluate the importance of input parameters based on this single simulation only. The method is tested on a numerical model of mooring lines on a floating off-shore installation. It is shown that it is possible to estimate the cost of ignoring one or more input variables in an analysis.


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