scholarly journals New generation of U.S. satellite microwave sounder achieves high radiometric stability performance for reliable climate change detection

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (10) ◽  
pp. eaau0049 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng-Zhi Zou ◽  
Mitchell D. Goldberg ◽  
Xianjun Hao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Advanced Technology ◽  
Trend Detection ◽  
Measured Temperature ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Temperature Trends ◽  
Satellite Microwave ◽  
New Generation

Observations from the satellite microwave sounders play a vital role in measuring the long-term temperature trends for climate change monitoring. Changes in diurnal sampling over time and calibration drift have been the main sources of uncertainties in the satellite-measured temperature trends. We examine observations from the first of a series of U.S. new generation of microwave sounder, the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS), which has been flying onboard the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/NASA Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP) environmental satellite since late 2011. The SNPP satellite has a stable afternoon orbit that has close to the same local observation time as NASA’s Aqua satellite that has been carrying the heritage microwave sounder, the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A), from 2002 until the present. The similar overpass timing naturally removes most of their diurnal differences. In addition, direct comparison of temperature anomalies between the two instruments shows little or no relative calibration drift for most channels. Our results suggest that both SNPP/ATMS and Aqua/AMSU-A instruments have achieved absolute stability in the measured atmospheric temperatures within 0.04 K per decade. This uncertainty is small enough to allow reliable detection of the temperature climate trends and help to resolve debate on relevant issues. We also analyze AMSU-A observations onboard the European MetOp-A satellite that has a stable morning orbit 8 hours apart from the SNPP overpass time. Their comparison reveals large asymmetric trends between day and night in the lower- and mid-tropospheric temperatures over land. This information could help to improve climate data records for temperature trend detection with improved accuracy. The SNPP satellite will be followed by four NOAA operational Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) satellites, providing accurate and stable measurement for decades to come. The primary mission of JPSS is for weather forecasting. Now, with the added feature of stable orbits, JPSS observations can also be used to monitor changes in climate with much lower uncertainty than the previous generation of NOAA operational satellites.

scholarly journals Where the wild things are: Seasonal variation in caribou distribution in relation to climate change

Rangifer ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippa McNeil ◽  
Don E. Russell ◽  
Brad Griffith ◽  
Anne Gunn ◽  
Gary P. Kofinas
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Environmental Factor ◽  
Rangifer Tarandus ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Migration Patterns ◽  
Mining Sites

In this study, we develop a method to analyse the relationships between seasonal caribou distribution and climate, to estimate how climatic conditions affect interactions between humans and caribou, and ultimately to predict patterns of distribution relative to climate change. Satellite locations for the Porcupine (Rangifer tarandus granti) and Bathurst (R. t. groenlandicus) caribou herds were analysed for eight ecologically-defined seasons. For each season, two levels of a key environmental factor influencing caribou distribution were identified, as well as the best climate data available to indicate the factor's annual state. Satellite locations were grouped according to the relevant combination of season and environmental factor. Caribou distributions were compared for opposing environmental factors; this comparison was undertaken relative to hunting access for the Porcupine Herd and relative to exposure to mining activity for the Bathurst Herd. Expected climate trends suggest an overall increase in access to Porcupine caribou for Aklavik (NWT) hunters during the winter and rut seasons, for Venetie (Alaska) hunters during midsummer and fall migration and for Arctic Village (Alaska) during midsummer. Arctic Village may experience reduced availability with early snowfalls in the fall, but we expect there to be little directional shift in the spring migration patterns. For the Bathurst Herd, we expect that fewer caribou would be exposed to the mines during the winter, while more caribou would be exposed to the combined Ekati and Diavik mining zone in the early summer and to the Lupin-Jericho mining zone during the fall migration. If changes in climate cause an increased presence of caribou in the mining sites, monitoring and mitigation measures may need to be intensified.

scholarly journals ATTRICI v1.1 – counterfactual climate for impact attribution

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 5269-5284
Author(s):  
Matthias Mengel ◽  
Simon Treu ◽  
Stefan Lange ◽  
Katja Frieler
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
General Definition ◽  
Impact Model ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Long Term Changes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Attribution in its general definition aims to quantify drivers of change in a system. According to IPCC Working Group II (WGII) a change in a natural, human or managed system is attributed to climate change by quantifying the difference between the observed state of the system and a counterfactual baseline that characterizes the system's behavior in the absence of climate change, where “climate change refers to any long-term trend in climate, irrespective of its cause” (IPCC, 2014). Impact attribution following this definition remains a challenge because the counterfactual baseline, which characterizes the system behavior in the hypothetical absence of climate change, cannot be observed. Process-based and empirical impact models can fill this gap as they allow us to simulate the counterfactual climate impact baseline. In those simulations, the models are forced by observed direct (human) drivers such as land use changes, changes in water or agricultural management but a counterfactual climate without long-term changes. We here present ATTRICI (ATTRIbuting Climate Impacts), an approach to construct the required counterfactual stationary climate data from observational (factual) climate data. Our method identifies the long-term shifts in the considered daily climate variables that are correlated to global mean temperature change assuming a smooth annual cycle of the associated scaling coefficients for each day of the year. The produced counterfactual climate datasets are used as forcing data within the impact attribution setup of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a). Our method preserves the internal variability of the observed data in the sense that factual and counterfactual data for a given day have the same rank in their respective statistical distributions. The associated impact model simulations allow for quantifying the contribution of climate change to observed long-term changes in impact indicators and for quantifying the contribution of the observed trend in climate to the magnitude of individual impact events. Attribution of climate impacts to anthropogenic forcing would need an additional step separating anthropogenic climate forcing from other sources of climate trends, which is not covered by our method.

scholarly journals Maximum Temperatures and Heat Waves in Mexicali, Mexico: Trends and Threshold Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. ASWR.S32778 ◽  
Author(s):  
Polioptro F. Martínez Austria ◽  
Erick R. Bandala
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Heat Wave ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Temperature Trends ◽  
Maximum Temperatures ◽  
The City

Maximum temperature trends and the corresponding heat wave thresholds in the northwestern city of Mexicali, Mexico, were analyzed using historical data from the site. We found that there seems to be an upward trend in temperature in the past decades, along with an increased number of days reaching maximum temperatures considered as heat waves. Despite the difficulty of establishing heat wave parameters, the trends of the analyzed field data clearly show their presence, mainly during July and August. This trend is also supported by the analysis of the number of admissions and casualties registered in hospitals in the city of Mexicali. This work is a warning on the frequency and duration of a very important climate change-related effect capable of jeopardizing the health of the population in the region and requiring more attention by decision makers and stakeholders. It also helps to document observed climate trends, as requested by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change.

scholarly journals Climate trends in a specific Mediterranean viticultural area between 1950 and 2006

OENO One ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frédéric Laget ◽  
Jean-Luc Tondut ◽  
Alain Deloire ◽  
Mary T. Kelly
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Total Solar Radiation ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climatic Parameters ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
The Past ◽  
Harvest Dates ◽  
The Mean

<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Aims</strong>: An analysis of climate data between 1950 and 2006 in the Hérault department, situated in the Mediterranean of France is presented.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Methods and results</strong>: Data presented include the evolution of mean annual and seasonal temperatures, the Huglin index, total solar radiation, night freshness index, the distribution and efficiency of rainfall and potential evapotranspiration (pET). Results showed an increase in mean annual temperatures of +1.3 °C between 1980 and 2006 and an increase in the mean pET which was 900 mm / year since 1999. Also, harvest dates advanced by up to three weeks and sugar concentrations at harvest increased by up to 1.5 % potential alcohol.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Conclusion</strong>: The indicators show that in this area certain climatic parameters have evolved over the period studied. Changes are observable in some of the parameters (notably temperature) for the last 30 years whereas others have evolved only in the past few years (e.g. pET). Therefore it is necessary to be circumspect in drawing conclusions on climate change in the area, particularly as regards the possible consequences for viticulture. However, at the plot level, it is clear that irrigation of the vines is becoming increasingly necessary in this region.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Significance and impact of study</strong>: Climate is a major factor in vine cultivation and in the understanding of viticultural terroirs and wine typicality. The climate trends observed over a 50-year period are discussed in the viticultural context of a Mediterranean region. However, the interaction between climate change and technical progress in viticulture and oenology complicate the analysis over the time frame under consideration.</p>

Assessing Climate Change Impact on Asphalt Binder Grade Selection and its Implications

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110130
Author(s):  
Surya T. Swarna ◽  
Kamal Hossain ◽  
Harshdutta Pandya ◽  
Yusuf A. Mehta
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Asphalt Binder ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Pavement Performance ◽  
Global Changes ◽  
Second Phase ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Change Models

Anthropogenic climate change is having and will continue to have unpredictable effects on Canadian weather. Trends in average annual temperatures have been rapidly increasing over the last 50 years. The severe climatic variations in Canada are in line with global changes in climate occurring as a result of increased greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. Under the current CO2 emission scenarios, scientists predict the climate trends to further intensify in the near future. It is well known that asphalt binder is highly sensitive to climate factors. For this reason, reviewing asphalt binder grade is a vital step, and can help decelerate pavement deterioration. The objective of this study was to assess the change in asphalt binder grade for the future climate and to determine the influence of change in binder grade on the performance of pavements in Canada. To achieve this, the analysis was carried out in five phases. In the first phase, statistically downscaled climate change models were gathered from the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium database. In the second phase, the temperature and precipitation data were extracted for the selected locations in southern Canada. In the third phase, the asphalt binder grade was determined for future climate data. In the fourth phase, the pavement materials, traffic, and structural data were collected from the Long-Term Pavement Performance database. Lastly, the pavement performance with the base binder and the upgraded binder were assessed using AASHTOware Mechanistic–Empirical Pavement Design. The results reemphasize the necessity of upgrading the asphalt binder grade in various provinces of Canada.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERUBAHAN IKLIM LOKAL DAN DEBIT SUNGAI DI DAS CIDANAUANALYSIS OF LOCAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND DISCHARGE IN CIDANAU WATERSHED

Agromet ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
Fadli Irsyad ◽  
Satyanto Krido Saptomo ◽  
Budi Indra Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Availability ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Local Climate Change ◽  
Balance Analysis ◽  
The Relationship

<em>Climate change causes uncertainty in water availability. The change may include annual rainfall, evapotranspiration and the shift of rainy and dry seasons, thus, it affects hydrological response in the region. Water demand will increase over time with population, industrial and business growth but the water availability has not been ascertained to sustainably satisfy those needs.  Cidanau Watershed has wetland ecosystem so-called the Rawa Danau (Caldera), with an area of around 2,500 ha. This watershed receives average annual rainfall around 2,500 mm. Climate change especially the local climate in the region of Cidanau was analyzed to illustrate how the relationship with Cidanau river discharge. It is expected that climate change does not affect the water availability in the watershed. In this study, the analysis of local climate change and its impact on the availability of water resources on Cidanau Watershed was based on climate trends, water balance analysis, and estimation of  discharge of Cidanau Watershed. This research was carried out using climate data and discharge from 1996 until 2010. The results showed that climate variables have changed from 1996 to 2010. This change mainly occurred in temperature, annual rainfall, and evapotranspiration. Based on the analysis, the discharge of Cidanau Watershed will decrease due to changes in rainfall and evapotranspiration. The estimated minimum river discharge of Cidanau Watershed ranges from 0.5 to 1 m<sup>3</sup>/s until 2050.</em>

scholarly journals Measurements meet human observations: integrating distinctive ways of knowing in the Pamir Mountains of Tajikistan to assess local climate change

2021 ◽  
Vol 165 (1-2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabell Haag ◽  
Karim-Aly Kassam ◽  
Thomas Senftl ◽  
Harald Zandler ◽  
Cyrus Samimi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Snow Cover ◽  
Ways Of Knowing ◽  
Knowledge Systems ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Pamir Mountains ◽  
Local Climate Change ◽  
Statistical Trends

AbstractIn mountain environments dimensions of climate change are unclear because of limited availability of meteorological stations. However, there is a necessity to assess the scope of local climate change, as the livelihood and food systems of subsistence-based communities are already getting impacted. To provide more clarity about local climate trends in the Pamir Mountains of Tajikistan, this study integrates measured climate data with community observations in the villages of Savnob and Roshorv. Taking a transdisciplinary approach, both knowledge systems were considered as equally pertinent and mutually informed the research process. Statistical trends of temperature and snow cover were retrieved using downscaled ERA5 temperature data and the snow cover product MOD10A1. Local knowledge was gathered through community workshops and structured interviews and analysed using a consensus index. Results showed, that local communities perceived increasing temperatures in autumn and winter and decreasing amounts of snow and rain. Instrumental data records indicated an increase in summer temperatures and a shortening of the snow season in Savnob. As both knowledge systems entail their own strengths and limitations, an integrative assessment can broaden the understanding of local climate trends by (i) reducing existing uncertainties, (ii) providing new information, and (iii) introducing unforeseen perspectives. The presented study represents a time-efficient and global applicable approach for assessing local dimensions of climate change in data-deficient regions.

scholarly journals Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nasrullah ◽  
Muhammad Rizwanullah ◽  
Xiuyuan Yu ◽  
Hyeonsoo Jo ◽  
Muhammad Tayyab Sohail ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Food Security ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Advanced Technology ◽  
Sustainable Food ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The study aims to explore the impact of climate change, technology, and agricultural policy on rice production in South Korea. In the presence of a long-run relationship among variables, the results show that an increase in CO2 emissions increases rice production by 0.15%. The mean temperature raises rice production by 1.16%. The rainfall has an adverse impact on rice production which shows improper irrigation systems and weather forecasting reports. Similarly, for technical factors, the area under rice and fertilizer used in the study area has a direct effect on rice production. The study suggests that the Korean government needs to implement new policies and acquire advanced technology about weather forecasting. The concerned authorities need to inform rice growers about future weather and climate changes. We recommend that Korea needs to provide virgin arable undivided land to deserving rice growers based on ownership and/or lease for future food security. Finally, the study recommends that legislators should recommend policies for sustainable food security with the introduction of new agricultural technologies, subsidies, along with the provision of new varieties of seeds that can absorb the adverse shock of climate and ensure a suitable amount of food.

Less Rain and More Heat”: Smallholders’ Perception and Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in Tropical Environments

2019 ◽  
pp. 77-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karla Diana Infante Ramírez ◽  
Ana Minerva Arce Ibarra
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Tropical Forest ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Coastal Zone ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Adaptation Strategies ◽  
Seasonal Migration ◽  
Forest Zone ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation Strategies

The main objective of this study was to analyze local perceptions of climate variability and the different adaptation strategies of four communities in the southern Yucatán Peninsula, using the Social-Ecological System (SES) approach. Four SESs were considered: two in the coastal zone and two in the tropical forest zone. Data were collected using different qualitative methodological tools (interviews, participant observation, and focal groups) and the information collected from each site was triangulated. In all four sites, changes in climate variability were perceived as “less rain and more heat”. In the tropical forest (or Maya) zone, an ancestral indigenous weather forecasting system, known as “Xook k’íin” (or “las cabañuelas”), was recorded and the main activity affected by climate variability was found to be slash-and burn farming or the milpa. In the coastal zone, the main activities affected are fishing and tourism. In all the cases analyzed, local climate change adaptation strategies include undertaking alternative work, and changing the calendar of daily, seasonal and annual labor and seasonal migration. The population of all four SESs displayed concern and uncertainty as regards dealing with these changes and possible changes in the future.

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