scholarly journals A continuous pathway for fresh water along the East Greenland shelf

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (43) ◽  
pp. eabc4254
Author(s):  
Nicholas P. Foukal ◽  
Renske Gelderloos ◽  
Robert S. Pickart

Export from the Arctic and meltwater from the Greenland Ice Sheet together form a southward-flowing coastal current along the East Greenland shelf. This current transports enough fresh water to substantially alter the large-scale circulation of the North Atlantic, yet the coastal current’s origin and fate are poorly known due to our lack of knowledge concerning its north-south connectivity. Here, we demonstrate how the current negotiates the complex topography of Denmark Strait using in situ data and output from an ocean circulation model. We determine that the coastal current north of the strait supplies half of the transport to the coastal current south of the strait, while the other half is sourced from offshore via the shelfbreak jet, with little input from the Greenland Ice Sheet. These results indicate that there is a continuous pathway for Arctic-sourced fresh water along the entire East Greenland shelf from Fram Strait to Cape Farewell.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marianne S. Madsen ◽  
Shuting Yang ◽  
Christian Rodehacke ◽  
Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir ◽  
Synne H. Svendsen ◽  
...  

<p>During recent decades, increased and highly variable mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet has been observed, implying that the ice sheet can respond to changes in ocean and atmospheric conditions on annual to decadal time scales. Changes in ice sheet topography and increased mass loss into the ocean may impact large scale atmosphere and ocean circulation. Therefore, coupling of ice sheet and climate models, to explicitly include the processes and feedbacks of ice sheet changes, is needed to improve the understanding of ice sheet-climate interactions.</p><p>Here, we present results from the coupled ice sheet-climate model system, EC-Earth-PISM. The model consists of the atmosphere, ocean and sea-ice model system EC-Earth, two-way coupled to the Parallel Ice Sheet Model, PISM. The surface mass balance (SMB) is calculated within EC-Earth, from the precipitation, evaporation and surface melt of snow and ice, to ensure conservation of mass and energy. The ice sheet model, PISM, calculates ice dynamical changes in ice discharge and basal melt as well as changes in ice extent and thickness. Idealized climate change experiments have been performed starting from pre-industrial conditions for a) constant forcing (pre-industrial control); b) abruptly quadrupling the CO<sub>2</sub> concentration; and c) gradually increasing the CO<sub>2</sub> concentration by 1% per year until 4xCO<sub>2</sub> is reached.  All three experiments are run for 350 years.</p><p>Our results show a significant impact of the interactive ice sheet component on heat and fresh water fluxes into the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans. The interactive ice sheet causes freshening of the Arctic Ocean and affects deep water formation, resulting in a significant delay of the recovery of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in the coupled 4xCO<sub>2</sub> experiments, when compared with uncoupled experiments.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Slater ◽  
Andrew Shepherd ◽  
Malcolm McMillan ◽  
Amber Leeson ◽  
Lin Gilbert ◽  
...  

AbstractRunoff from the Greenland Ice Sheet has increased over recent decades affecting global sea level, regional ocean circulation, and coastal marine ecosystems, and it now accounts for most of the contemporary mass imbalance. Estimates of runoff are typically derived from regional climate models because satellite records have been limited to assessments of melting extent. Here, we use CryoSat-2 satellite altimetry to produce direct measurements of Greenland’s runoff variability, based on seasonal changes in the ice sheet’s surface elevation. Between 2011 and 2020, Greenland’s ablation zone thinned on average by 1.4 ± 0.4 m each summer and thickened by 0.9 ± 0.4 m each winter. By adjusting for the steady-state divergence of ice, we estimate that runoff was 357 ± 58 Gt/yr on average – in close agreement with regional climate model simulations (root mean square difference of 47 to 60 Gt/yr). As well as being 21 % higher between 2011 and 2020 than over the preceding three decades, runoff is now also 60 % more variable from year-to-year as a consequence of large-scale fluctuations in atmospheric circulation. Because this variability is not captured in global climate model simulations, our satellite record of runoff should help to refine them and improve confidence in their projections.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (21) ◽  
pp. 8895-8915 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Gallagher ◽  
Matthew D. Shupe ◽  
Nathaniel B. Miller

The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) plays a crucial role in the Arctic climate, and atmospheric conditions are the primary modifier of mass balance. This analysis establishes the relationship between large-scale atmospheric circulation and principal determinants of GrIS mass balance: moisture, cloud properties, radiative forcing, and temperature. Using self-organizing maps (SOMs), observations from the Integrated Characterization of Energy, Clouds, Atmospheric State, and Precipitation at Summit (ICECAPS) project are categorized by daily sea level pressure (SLP) gradient. The results describe in detail how southerly, northerly, and zonal circulation regimes impact observations at Summit Station, Greenland. This southerly regime is linked to large anomalous increases in low-level liquid cloud formation, cloud radiative forcing (CRF), and surface warming at Summit Station. An individual southerly pattern relates to the largest positive anomalies, with the most extreme 25% of cases leading to CRF anomalies above 21 W m−2 and temperature anomalies beyond 8.5°C. Finally, the July 2012 extreme melt event is analyzed, showing that the prolonged ice sheet warming was related to persistence of these southerly circulation patterns, causing an unusually extended period of anomalous CRF and temperature. These results demonstrate a novel methodology, connecting daily atmospheric circulation to a relatively brief record of observations.


2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 2865-2894 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. M. Walsh ◽  
I. M. Howat ◽  
Y. Ahn ◽  
E. M. Enderlin

Abstract. Outlet glaciers on the periphery of the Greenland Ice Sheet have undergone substantial changes in the past decade. Limited geophysical observations of the marine-terminating glaciers of eastern Greenland's Geikie Plateau and Blosseville Coast suggest rapid rates of mass loss and short-term variability in ice dynamics since 2002. Glaciers in this region terminate into the Denmark Strait, which is a thermodynamic transition zone between the Arctic and North Atlantic oceans spanning from 66° N to 69° N. We examine time series of thinning, retreat and flow speed of 38 marine-terminating glaciers along the central east Greenland coast from 2000 to 2010 and compare this record with coastal sea surface temperatures to investigate a potential relationship between warming of the sea surface and increased melt at the glacier termini. We find that glacial retreat, thinning and acceleration have been more pronounced throughout the Denmark Strait, supporting our hypothesis that ocean warming associated with shifts in the Irminger and East Greenland currents are causing increased melt at the ice-ocean interface.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 6697-6731 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. S. Koenig ◽  
A. Ivanoff ◽  
P. M. Alexander ◽  
J. A. MacGregor ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
...  

Abstract. Contemporary climate warming over the Arctic is accelerating mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) through increasing surface melt, emphasizing the need to closely monitor surface mass balance (SMB) in order to improve sea-level rise predictions. Here, we quantify accumulation rates, the largest component of GrIS SMB, at a higher spatial resolution than currently available, using Snow Radar stratigraphy. We use a semi-automated method to derive annual-net accumulation rates from airborne Snow Radar data collected by NASA's Operation IceBridge from 2009 to 2012. An initial comparison of the accumulation rates from the Snow Radar and the outputs of a regional climate model (MAR) shows that, in general, the radar-derived accumulation matches closely with MAR in the interior of the ice sheet but MAR estimates are high over the southeast GrIS. Comparing the radar-derived accumulation with contemporaneous ice cores reveals that the radar captures the annual and long-term mean. The radar-derived accumulation rates resolve large-scale patterns across the GrIS with uncertainties of up to 11 %, attributed mostly to uncertainty in the snow/firn density profile.


2001 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
pp. 545-550 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Maslowski ◽  
D. C. Marble ◽  
W. Walczowski ◽  
A. J. Semtner

AbstractResults from a regional model of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice forced with realistic atmospheric data are analyzed to understand recent climate variability in the region. The primary simulation uses daily-averaged 1979 atmospheric fields repeated for 20 years and then continues with interannual forcing derived from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts for 1979−98. An eastward shift in the ice-ocean circulation, fresh-water distribution and Atlantic Water extent has been determined by comparing conditions between the early 1980s and 1990s. A new trend is modeled in the late 1990s, and has a tendency to return the large-scale sea-ice and upper ocean conditions to their state in the early 1980s. Both the sea-ice and the upper ocean circulation as well as fresh-water export from the Russian shelves and Atlantic Water recirculation within the Eurasian Basin indicate that the Arctic climate is undergoing another shift. This suggests an oscillatory behavior of the Arctic Ocean system. Interannual atmospheric variability appears to be the main and sufficient driver of simulated changes. The ice cover acts as an effective dynamic medium for vorticity transfer from the atmosphere into the ocean.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 1801-1819 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. J. Punge ◽  
H. Gallée ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
G. Krinner

Abstract. Changing climate conditions on Greenland influence the snow accumulation rate and surface mass balance (SMB) on the ice sheet and, ultimately, its shape. This can in turn affect local climate via orography and albedo variations and, potentially, remote areas via changes in ocean circulation triggered by melt water or calving from the ice sheet. Examining these interactions in the IPSL global model requires improving the representation of snow at the ice sheet surface. In this paper, we present a new snow scheme implemented in LMDZ, the atmospheric component of the IPSL coupled model. We analyse surface climate and SMB on the Greenland ice sheet under insolation and oceanic boundary conditions for modern, but also for two different past climates, the last glacial inception (115 kyr BP) and the Eemian (126 kyr BP). While being limited by the low resolution of the general circulation model (GCM), present-day SMB is on the same order of magnitude as recent regional model findings. It is affected by a moist bias of the GCM in Western Greenland and a dry bias in the north-east. Under Eemian conditions, the SMB decreases largely, and melting affects areas in which the ice sheet surface is today at high altitude, including recent ice core drilling sites as NEEM. In contrast, glacial inception conditions lead to a higher mass balance overall due to the reduced melting in the colder summer climate. Compared to the widely applied positive degree-day (PDD) parameterization of SMB, our direct modelling results suggest a weaker sensitivity of SMB to changing climatic forcing. For the Eemian climate, our model simulations using interannually varying monthly mean forcings for the ocean surface temperature and sea ice cover lead to significantly higher SMB in southern Greenland compared to simulations forced with climatological monthly means.


Author(s):  
Daniel J Lunt ◽  
Alan M Haywood ◽  
Gavin L Foster ◽  
Emma J Stone

The Mid-Pliocene ( ca 3 Myr ago) was a relatively warm period, with increased atmospheric CO 2 relative to pre-industrial. It has therefore been highlighted as a possible palaeo-analogue for the future. However, changed vegetation patterns, orography and smaller ice sheets also influenced the Mid-Pliocene climate. Here, using a general circulation model and ice-sheet model, we determine the relative contribution of vegetation and soils, orography and ice, and CO 2 to the Mid-Pliocene Arctic climate and cryosphere. Compared with pre-industrial, we find that increased Mid-Pliocene CO 2 contributes 35 per cent, lower orography and ice-sheet feedbacks contribute 42 per cent, and vegetation changes contribute 23 per cent of Arctic temperature change. The simulated Mid-Pliocene Greenland ice sheet is substantially smaller than that of modern, mostly due to the higher CO 2 . However, our simulations of future climate change indicate that the same increase in CO 2 is not sufficient to melt the modern ice sheet substantially. We conclude that, although the Mid-Pliocene resembles the future in some respects, care must be taken when interpreting it as an exact analogue due to vegetation and ice-sheet feedbacks. These act to intensify Mid-Pliocene Arctic climate change, and act on a longer time scale than the century scale usually addressed in future climate prediction.


2002 ◽  
Vol 35 ◽  
pp. 409-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Huybrechts ◽  
Ives Janssens ◽  
Chantal Poncin ◽  
Thierry Fichefet

AbstractWe present results from a greenhouse warming experiment obtained from an atmosphere–ocean–sea-ice general circulation model that is interactively coupled with a three-dimensional model of the Greenland ice sheet. the experiment covers the period 1970–2099 and is driven by the mid-range Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SRESB2 scenario. the Greenland model is a thermomechanical high-resolution (20 km) model coupled with a viscoelastic bedrock model. the melt-and-runoff model is based on the positive degree-day method and includes meltwater retention in the snowpack and the formation of superimposed ice. the atmospheric–oceanic general circulation model (AOGCM) is a coarse-resolution model without flux correction based on the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (Paris) LMD 5.3 atmospheric model coupled with a primitive-equation, free-surface oceanic component incorporating sea ice (coupled large-scale ice–ocean (CLIO)). By 2100, average Greenland annual temperature is found to rise by about 4.5˚C and mean precipitation by about 35%. the total fresh-water flux approximately doubles over this period due to increased runoff from the ice sheet and the ice-free land, but the calving rate is found to decrease by 25%. the ice sheet shrinks equivalent to 4 cm of sea-level rise. the contribution from the background evolution is not more than 5% of the total predicted sea-level rise. We did not find significant changes in the patterns of climate change over the North Atlantic region compared with a climate-change run without Greenland fresh-water feedback.


Author(s):  
Sergey Moshonkin ◽  
Vladimir Zalesny ◽  
Anatoly Gusev

A method for solving the turbulence equations embedded in the sigma ocean general ocean circulation model is proposed. Like the general circulation model, the turbulence equations are solved using the splitting method by physical processes. The turbulence equations are split into two main stages describing transport-diffusion and generation-dissipation processes. Parameterization of turbulence in the framework of equations allows, at the generation-dissipation stage, to use both numerical and analytical solutions and to ensure high efficiency of the algorithm. The results of large-scale ocean dynamics simulation taking into account the parameterization of vertical turbulent exchange are considered. Numerical experiments were carried out using k-omega turbulence model embedded to the Institute of Numerical Mathematics Ocean general circulation Model (INMOM). Both the circulation and turbulence models are solved using the splitting method with respect to physical processes. The coupled model is used to simulate the hydrophysical fields of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans for 1948--2009. The model has a horizontal resolution of 0.25 degree and 40 sigma-levels along the vertical. The sensitivity of the solution to the changes in mixing parameterization is studied. Experiments demonstrate that taking into account the climatic annual mean buoyancy frequency improves the reproduction of large-scale ocean characteristics. There is a positive effect of Prandtl number variations for reproducing the upper mixed layer depth. The experiments also demonstrate the computational effectiveness of the proposed approach in solving the turbulence equations.


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