scholarly journals Impact of Atmospheric Circulation on Temperature, Clouds, and Radiation at Summit Station, Greenland, with Self-Organizing Maps

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (21) ◽  
pp. 8895-8915 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Gallagher ◽  
Matthew D. Shupe ◽  
Nathaniel B. Miller

The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) plays a crucial role in the Arctic climate, and atmospheric conditions are the primary modifier of mass balance. This analysis establishes the relationship between large-scale atmospheric circulation and principal determinants of GrIS mass balance: moisture, cloud properties, radiative forcing, and temperature. Using self-organizing maps (SOMs), observations from the Integrated Characterization of Energy, Clouds, Atmospheric State, and Precipitation at Summit (ICECAPS) project are categorized by daily sea level pressure (SLP) gradient. The results describe in detail how southerly, northerly, and zonal circulation regimes impact observations at Summit Station, Greenland. This southerly regime is linked to large anomalous increases in low-level liquid cloud formation, cloud radiative forcing (CRF), and surface warming at Summit Station. An individual southerly pattern relates to the largest positive anomalies, with the most extreme 25% of cases leading to CRF anomalies above 21 W m−2 and temperature anomalies beyond 8.5°C. Finally, the July 2012 extreme melt event is analyzed, showing that the prolonged ice sheet warming was related to persistence of these southerly circulation patterns, causing an unusually extended period of anomalous CRF and temperature. These results demonstrate a novel methodology, connecting daily atmospheric circulation to a relatively brief record of observations.

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min-Hee Lee ◽  
Joo-Hong Kim

Contribution of extra-tropical synoptic cyclones to the formation of mean summer atmospheric circulation patterns in the Arctic domain (≥60° N) was investigated by clustering dominant Arctic circulation patterns based on daily mean sea-level pressure using self-organizing maps (SOMs). Three SOM patterns were identified; one pattern had prevalent low-pressure anomalies in the Arctic Circle (SOM1), while two exhibited opposite dipoles with primary high-pressure anomalies covering the Arctic Ocean (SOM2 and SOM3). The time series of their occurrence frequencies demonstrated the largest inter-annual variation in SOM1, a slight decreasing trend in SOM2, and the abrupt upswing after 2007 in SOM3. Analyses of synoptic cyclone activity using the cyclone track data confirmed the vital contribution of synoptic cyclones to the formation of large-scale patterns. Arctic cyclone activity was enhanced in the SOM1, which was consistent with the meridional temperature gradient increases over the land–Arctic ocean boundaries co-located with major cyclone pathways. The composite daily synoptic evolution of each SOM revealed that all three SOMs persisted for less than five days on average. These evolutionary short-term weather patterns have substantial variability at inter-annual and longer timescales. Therefore, the synoptic-scale activity is central to forming the seasonal-mean climate of the Arctic.


1984 ◽  
Vol 30 (105) ◽  
pp. 131-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. W. Morland ◽  
G. D. Smith ◽  
G. S. Boulton

AbstractThe sliding law is defined as a basal boundary condition for the large-scale bulk ice flow, relating the tangential tractionτb, overburden pressurepb, and tangential velocityubon a smoothed-out mean bed contour. This effective bed is a lower boundary viewed on the scale of the bulk ice flow and is not the physical ice/rock or sediment interface. The sliding relation reflects on the same scale the complex motion taking place in the neighbourhood of the physical interface. The isothermal steady-state ice-sheet analysis of Morland and Johnson (1980, 1982) is applied to known surface profiles from the Greenland ice sheet and Devon Island ice cap, with their corresponding mass-balance distributions, to determineτb,pb, andubfor each case. These basal estimates are used in turn to construct, using least-squares correlation, polynomial representations for an overburden dependenceλ(pb) in the adopted form of sliding lawτb═λ(pb)ub1/mwithm ≥1.The two different data sets determine functionsλ(pb) of very different magnitudes, reflecting very different basal conditions. A universal sliding law must therefore contain more general dependence on basal conditions, but the two relations determined appear to describe the two extremes. Hence use of both relations in turn to determine profiles compatible with given mass-balance distributions can be expected to yield extremes of the possible profiles, and further to show the sensitivity of profile form to variation of the sliding relation. The theory is designed as a basis for reconstruction of former ice sheets and their dynamics which are related to the two fundamental determinants of surface mass balance and basal boundary condition.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuomas Ilkka Henrikki Heiskanen ◽  
Rune Grand Graversen

<p>The Arctic region shows some of the world's most significant signs of climate change. The atmospheric energy transport plays an important role for the Arctic climate; the atmospheric transport contributes an amount of energy into the Arctic that is comparable to that provided directly by the sun. From recently developed Fourier and wavelet based methods it has been found that the planetary component of the latent heat transport affects that Arctic surface temperatures stronger than the decomposed dry-static energy transport and the synoptic scale component of the latent heat transport. </p><p>A large concern for humanity is that the climate change in polar regions will lead to significant melting of the ice sheets and glaciers. In fact the discharge water from the Greenland ice sheet has recently increased to the extent that this ice sheet is one of the major contributorsto sea-level rise. Here we test the hypothesis that the recent rapid increase in melt of the Greenland ice sheet is linked to a shift of planetary-scale waves transporting warm and humid air over the ice sheet.</p><p>The effect of the atmospheric energy transport is investigated by correlating the divergence of energy over the Greenland ice sheet with the surface mass balance of this ice sheet. The divergence of latent heat transport is found to correlate positively with the surface mass balance along the edges of the ice sheet, and negatively in the interior. This indicates that a convergence of latent at the edges of the ice sheet lead to a increased mass discharge from the ice sheet, whilst in the interior converging latent heat indicates an accumulation of mass to the ice sheet. </p><p>To investigate the effect of transport by planetary and synoptic scale waves on the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance the mass flux component of the transport divergence is decomposed into wavenumbers through the application of a Fourier series. The divergences of transport contributions of each wavenumber are then correlated with the surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. The correlations between the surface-mass balance and divergence of transport contributions by different wavenumbers reveals the relative impact of atmospheric circulation systems, such as Rossby waves and cyclones, on the Greenland ice sheet mass balance. Further, identifying shifts in the circulation patterns over Greenland by applying self organizing maps, or similar methods, and investigations of how these circulation patterns affect the energy transport over Greenland by atmospheric waves of different scales are also pursued.<br> <br>  </p>


1999 ◽  
Vol 45 (151) ◽  
pp. 456-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Yu Zhang

AbstractThe interannual variability of glacier mass balance is expressed by the standard deviation of net balance, which varies from about ±0.1 to ±1.4 m a−1for a sample of 115 glaciers with at least 5 years of record. The standard deviation of net balance is strongly correlated with the mass-balance amplitude (half the difference between winter and summer balances) for 60 glaciers, so the amplitude can be estimated from net balance standard deviation for the other 55 glaciers where winter and summer balances are unavailable. The observed and calculated mass-balance amplitudes for the 115 glaciers show contrasts between the Arctic and lower latitudes, and between maritime and continental regions. The interannual variability of mass balance means that balances must be measured for at least a few years to determine a statistically reliable mean balance for any glacier. The net balance of the Greenland ice sheet is still not accurately known, but its standard deviation is here estimated to be about ±0.24 m a−1, in agreement with other Arctic glaciers. Mass-balance variability of this magnitude implies that the ice sheet can thicken or thin by several metres over 20–30 years without giving statistically significant evidence of non-zero balance under present climate.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 3825-3870
Author(s):  
N. Merz ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
H. Fischer ◽  
V. Varma ◽  
M. Prange ◽  
...  

Abstract. Accumulation and aerosol chemistry records from Greenland ice cores offer the potential to reconstruct variability in Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation over the last millennia. However, an important prerequisite for a reconstruction is the stable relationship between local accumulation at the ice core site with the respective circulation pattern throughout the reconstruction period. We address this stability issue by using a comprehensive climate model and performing time-slice simulations for the present, the pre-industrial, the early Holocene and the last glacial maximum (LGM). The relationships between accumulation, precipitation and atmospheric circulation are investigated on on various time-scales. The analysis shows that the relationship between local accumulation on the Greenland ice sheet and the large-scale circulation undergoes a significant seasonal cycle. As the weights of the individual seasons change, annual mean accumulation variability is not necessarily related to the same atmospheric circulation patterns during the different climate states. Within a season, local Greenland accumulation variability is indeed linked to a consistent circulation pattern, which is observed for all studied climate periods, even for the LGM, however these circulation patterns are specific for different regions on the Greenland ice sheet. The simulated impact of orbital forcing and changes in the ice-sheet topography on accumulation exhibits strong spatial variability emphasizing that accumulation records from different ice core sites cannot be expected to look alike since they include a distinct local signature. Accumulation changes between different climate periods are dominated by changes in the amount of snowfall and are driven by both thermodynamic and dynamic factors. The thermodynamic impact determines the strength of the hydrological cycle, and warmer temperatures are generally accompanied by an increase in Greenland precipitation. Dynamical drivers of accumulation changes are the large-scale circulation and the local orography having a distinct influence on the local flow characteristic and hence the amount of precipitation deposited in any Greenland region.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1739-1752 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lora S. Koenig ◽  
Alvaro Ivanoff ◽  
Patrick M. Alexander ◽  
Joseph A. MacGregor ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
...  

Abstract. Contemporary climate warming over the Arctic is accelerating mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet through increasing surface melt, emphasizing the need to closely monitor its surface mass balance in order to improve sea-level rise predictions. Snow accumulation is the largest component of the ice sheet's surface mass balance, but in situ observations thereof are inherently sparse and models are difficult to evaluate at large scales. Here, we quantify recent Greenland accumulation rates using ultra-wideband (2–6.5 GHz) airborne snow radar data collected as part of NASA's Operation IceBridge between 2009 and 2012. We use a semiautomated method to trace the observed radiostratigraphy and then derive annual net accumulation rates for 2009–2012. The uncertainty in these radar-derived accumulation rates is on average 14 %. A comparison of the radar-derived accumulation rates and contemporaneous ice cores shows that snow radar captures both the annual and long-term mean accumulation rate accurately. A comparison with outputs from a regional climate model (MAR) shows that this model matches radar-derived accumulation rates in the ice sheet interior but produces higher values over southeastern Greenland. Our results demonstrate that snow radar can efficiently and accurately map patterns of snow accumulation across an ice sheet and that it is valuable for evaluating the accuracy of surface mass balance models.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kostas Philippopoulos ◽  
Chris G. Tzanis

<p>The sensitivity of wind to the Earth’s energy budget and the changes it causes in the climate system has a significant impact on the wind energy sector. The scope of this work is to examine the association of atmospheric circulation with the wind speed distribution characteristics on different timescales over Greece. Emphasis is given to the effect of specific regimes on the wind speed distributions at different locations. The work is based on using synoptic climatology as a tool for providing information regarding wind variability. This approach allows a more detailed description of the effect of changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation on wind energy potential. The atmospheric classification methodology, upon the selection of relevant atmospheric variables and domains, includes a Principal Components Analysis for dimension reduction purposes and subsequently, the classification is performed using an artificial neural network and in particular self-organizing maps. In the resulting feature map, the neighboring nodes are inter-connected and each one is associated with the composites of the selected large-scale variables. Upon the assignment and the characterization of each day in one of the resulting patterns, a daily catalog is constructed and frequency analysis is performed. In the context of estimating wind energy potential variability for each atmospheric pattern, the fit of multiple probability functions to the surface wind speed frequency distributions is performed. The most suitable function is selected based on a set of difference and correlation statistical measures, along with the use of goodness-of-fit statistical tests. The study employs the ERA5 reanalysis dataset with a 0.25° spatial resolution from 1979/01/01 up to 2019/12/31 and the wind field data are extracted at the 10m and the 100m levels. The approach could be valuable to the wind energy industry and can provide the required scientific understanding for the optimal siting of Wind Energy Conversion Systems considering the atmospheric circulation and the electricity interconnection infrastructure in the region. Considering the emerging issue of energy safety, accurate wind energy production estimates can contribute towards the establishment of wind as the primary energy source and in meeting the increasing energy demand.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marianne S. Madsen ◽  
Shuting Yang ◽  
Christian Rodehacke ◽  
Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir ◽  
Synne H. Svendsen ◽  
...  

<p>During recent decades, increased and highly variable mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet has been observed, implying that the ice sheet can respond to changes in ocean and atmospheric conditions on annual to decadal time scales. Changes in ice sheet topography and increased mass loss into the ocean may impact large scale atmosphere and ocean circulation. Therefore, coupling of ice sheet and climate models, to explicitly include the processes and feedbacks of ice sheet changes, is needed to improve the understanding of ice sheet-climate interactions.</p><p>Here, we present results from the coupled ice sheet-climate model system, EC-Earth-PISM. The model consists of the atmosphere, ocean and sea-ice model system EC-Earth, two-way coupled to the Parallel Ice Sheet Model, PISM. The surface mass balance (SMB) is calculated within EC-Earth, from the precipitation, evaporation and surface melt of snow and ice, to ensure conservation of mass and energy. The ice sheet model, PISM, calculates ice dynamical changes in ice discharge and basal melt as well as changes in ice extent and thickness. Idealized climate change experiments have been performed starting from pre-industrial conditions for a) constant forcing (pre-industrial control); b) abruptly quadrupling the CO<sub>2</sub> concentration; and c) gradually increasing the CO<sub>2</sub> concentration by 1% per year until 4xCO<sub>2</sub> is reached.  All three experiments are run for 350 years.</p><p>Our results show a significant impact of the interactive ice sheet component on heat and fresh water fluxes into the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans. The interactive ice sheet causes freshening of the Arctic Ocean and affects deep water formation, resulting in a significant delay of the recovery of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in the coupled 4xCO<sub>2</sub> experiments, when compared with uncoupled experiments.</p>


2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 341-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. H. Mernild ◽  
N. T. Knudsen ◽  
W. H. Lipscomb ◽  
J. C. Yde ◽  
J. K. Malmros ◽  
...  

Abstract. Warming in the Arctic during the past several decades has caused glaciers to thin and retreat, and recent mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet is well documented. Local glaciers peripheral to the ice sheet are also retreating, but few mass-balance observations are available to quantify that retreat and determine the extent to which these glaciers are out of equilibrium with present-day climate. Here, we document record mass loss in 2009/10 for the Mittivakkat Gletscher (henceforth MG), the only local glacier in Greenland for which there exist long-term observations of both the surface mass balance and glacier front fluctuations. We attribute this mass loss primarily to record high mean summer (June–August) temperatures in combination with lower-than-average winter precipitation. Also, we use the 15-yr mass-balance record to estimate present-day and equilibrium accumulation-area ratios for the MG. We show that the glacier is significantly out of balance and will likely lose at least 70% of its current area and 80% of its volume even in the absence of further climate changes. Temperature records from coastal stations in Southeast Greenland suggest that recent MG mass losses are not merely a local phenomenon, but are indicative of glacier changes in the broader region. Mass-balance observations for the MG therefore provide unique documentation of the general retreat of Southeast Greenland's local glaciers under ongoing climate warming.


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