The Impact of the Transformation of Age Structure on Economic Growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 1650031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen ZHAO ◽  
Xuyang ZHU
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
Participation Rate ◽  
Market Mechanisms ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Intergenerational Redistribution ◽  
Labor Remuneration ◽  
The Impact

The impact of the transformation of the age structure of the population on economic growth is governed by a strict law. In 12 economies under the authors’ observation, the contribution from the rejuvenation of the population to economic growth is basically 6% — the Chinese Mainland makes a contribution of 6.3%. The rejuvenation of the population has stimulated economic growth, but its contribution is very small compared with the contributions from capital accumulation and technological progress. According to international experience, in the case of addressing the transformation of the age structure of the population, relying on intergenerational redistribution will exert a great negative economic impact, while reducing the intensity of that redistribution and relying on market mechanisms to adjust the level of labor remuneration can increase the employment rate and the labor participation rate, thus raising the economic growth rate to the greatest extent.

A NOTE ON THE IMPLICATIONS OF AUTOMATION FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE LABOR SHARE

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 1294-1301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klaus Prettner
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Labor Share ◽  
Long Run

We introduce automation into a standard model of capital accumulation and show that (i) there is the possibility of perpetual growth, even in the absence of technological progress; (ii) the long-run economic growth rate declines with population growth, which is consistent with the available empirical evidence; (iii) there is a unique share of savings diverted to automation that maximizes long-run growth; and (iv) automation explains around 14% of the observed decline of the labor share over the last decades in the United States.

scholarly journals The Evolution of Economic Activity in the Rural Area of Region 2 South - East

2021 ◽  
Vol 95 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Daniela – Lavinia Balasan ◽  
Dragoş Horia Buhociu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Standard Of Living ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Current State ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Impact

When we talk about economic development, we can refer to improve the standard of living and the prosperity of the population. This is due by increasing per capita income. In order to analyze economic activity, severe indicators must be studied, namely productivity, economic growth rate, labour force share, gross domestic product. In order to carry out as accurate an analysis as possible, it is required to discover the bottlenecks and problems that Region 2 South East makes and to develop a set of reservations and indications leading to the reduction and, why not, the removal of negative aspects. The main purpose of this work is to achieve a strategic plan by studying the current state and the impact of the economic system in recent times in all its forms, with a view to the development of the countryside of Region 2 South – East. I set out to create a website based on the advice of small rural entrepreneurs that evolves gathering information in realistically identifying all the strengths and concentrating them in the region’s potential innovation.

scholarly journals The changing landscape of economy: social and technological progress in explaining the informational efficiency of capital markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 940-952
Author(s):  
Iuliana Ursu
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
Bayesian Model Averaging ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Social Progress ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Market Mechanisms ◽  
The Impact

AbstractIn today’s ever-changing landscape of economy, one of the fundamental problems remains whether market mechanisms are functioning in an efficient way, and which are the variables impacting those levels of efficiency. The main objectives of the present paper are to contribute to a better understanding of market mechanisms, by testing the Efficient market hypothesis on its weak form at a macroeconomic level, and to assess the impact of technological and social progress, measured through different variables, on markets informational efficiency. We use an adapted version of L. Kristoufek si M. Vosvrda (L. Kristoufek, M. Vosvrda, 2013, 184) methodology for Efficiency Index, based on long term memory (using 2 estimators), fractal dimension (using 11 estimators), and entropy (estimated through the approximate entropy), in order to assess the levels of efficiency for 20 market indices from both developed and emerging or frontier economies, from the Eurasia region. Further on, by using the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), we study the impact of technological and social progress on markets informational efficiency. Main results of the study reveal the existence of a market dynamics characterized by areas with distinctive levels of “informational efficiency”, within both developed and emerging economies, encompassing a non-negligible link between past and present, persistence or anti-persistence, and a high data complexity. Moreover, while studying the relationship between market efficiency and social and technological progress, we observe that variables such as Government Effectiveness, or Control of Corruption, have a positive impact on the levels of efficiency of capital markets, while most of the technological progress estimators (amongst which Computer, communications and other services (% of commercial service exports), or Individuals using the Internet (% of population)), have a negative impact, translated into a decrease of informational market efficiency on the short run (the rise of high frequency trading).

scholarly journals Factors affecting stock market index volatility: Empirical study

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-176
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ali Al-Rimawi ◽  
Thair Adnan Kaddumi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Impact

How is stock market price volatility affected, and what is the nature of the impact that macroeconomic variables do on the stock market price direction? The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of some selected macroeconomic variables (inflation rate (INR), interest rate (IR), economic growth rate (EGR), and foreign investment (FI)) on Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) fluctuation for the period 1999–2018. The information is based on the annual data published by industrial companies listed at ASE. The study adopted a descriptive-analytical approach, also simple and multiple linear regression analysis was employed for the mentioned purpose (Nurfadilah & Samidi, 2017). The results revealed that there is no statistically significant impact of INR, IR, EGR, and FI collectively on ASE performance (Niewińska, 2020). Individually, the results indicated that there is a statistically significant impact of all variables (INR, IR, EGR, and FI) on ASE performance. Additionally, the results concluded that foreign investment, portrayed the highest impact factor on ASE performance, followed by a change in average interest rate, then inflation rate, and the least impact attributes to the economic growth rate. Finally, the research recommends that Jordanian banks should reduce the lending interest rate to enhance investment in securities and improve economic growth rate, also Jordanian authorities should encourage foreign direct and indirect investment and make more efforts to attract more foreign investment, either in the form of tax incentives or by extending finance at low-interest rates.

The Impact of Defense Investment on Economic Growth in the Perspective of Time Series

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 44-58
Author(s):  
Bin Pan ◽  
Shih-Yung Wei ◽  
Xuanhua Xu ◽  
Wei-Chiang Hong
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Investment Risk ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

By considering the demand and supply effects of defense investment and the uncertainty of the stochastic process of the production and defense investment, this study proposes a stochastic endogenous growth model to explore the impact of defense investment on economic growth. The results suggest that the relationship between defense investment and economic growth rate is nonlinear and obtains the optimal percentage of defense investment to maximize economic growth. Moreover, the impact of defense investment volatility on economic growth rate is subject to production and defense investment interference term's covariance and representative private investment risk preference. Finally, the empirical data are used to illustrate the applicability of the proposed model.

scholarly journals Demographic Dividends Revisited

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey G. Williamson
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Transition ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Participation Rate ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Demographic Dividend ◽  
Demographic Transitions ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Foreign Capital Flows ◽  
Life Cycle Savings ◽  
The Impact

This paper revisits demographic dividend issues after almost 2 decades of debate. In 1998, David Bloom and I used a convergence model to estimate the impact of demographic-transition-driven age structure effects and calculated what the literature has come to call the “demographic dividend.” These early estimates seem to be similar to those coming from more recent overlapping generation models, when properly estimated. Research has shown that the demographic dividend is not simply a labor participation rate effect, but also a growth effect. Life-cycle savings, investment deepening, foreign capital flows, and schooling have all been greatly affected by the demographic transition. The paper discusses just how much of these positive growth effects are based on accelerating human capital accumulation induced by demand-side quality–quantity trade-offs versus a co-movement between demographic transitions and public schooling supply-side expansions. Since emigration has been driven in part by demography, it has wasted some of the demographic dividend by brain drain. In addition, within-country rural–urban migrations have also been driven in part by demographic transitions with different spatial timing. Finally, the paper shows how lifetime—not just annual—income inequality has been influenced by demographic transitions.

scholarly journals Energy Price and Energy Efficiency in China: A Linear and Nonlinear Empirical Investigation

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 4068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Hou ◽  
Yilin Li ◽  
Yong Tan ◽  
Yuanjie Hou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Energy Price ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Development Level ◽  
Linear And Nonlinear ◽  
The Impact

The empirical conclusions regarding the relationship between energy price and energy efficiency are relatively mixed. This paper systematically examines the influence of energy price on energy efficiency in China based on data from 30 provinces between 2003 and 2017, using linear and nonlinear effect analysis. We found that the impact of energy price on energy efficiency in China was positive in general. However, there existed heterogeneous effects of energy price on energy efficiency in various regions, and the effect differed with differences in energy efficiency levels based on the panel quantile regression analysis. Finally, the nonlinear effect analysis based on the panel threshold model indicated that the effect of energy price on energy efficiency increased with the rise of the environmental regulation level and economic growth rate, while it decreased with the ascent of the degree of energy price distortion and economic development level. In particular, when the value of a region’s economic development level and economic growth rate was within a certain range, the impact was not statistically significant. Overall, these findings contribute to a deeper understanding regarding the effect of energy price on energy efficiency in China.

scholarly journals Scientific Culture and Economic Growth in the Long-Run: On a Capital Perspective

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Pei-xiao Qi ◽  
Nian Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Human Capital Accumulation ◽  
Scientific Culture ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Culture Capital ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Capital Growth ◽  
Capital Growth Rate

The cultural capital can be as a kind of asset that embodies, stores and produces the cultural values except for producing the economic values. With the further progress of modern civilization, scientific culture, on an economics perspective, as a combination of intangible and tangible capital, more and more becomes the one of important engine to make economic sustainable growth in the long run for a country. Based on the framework by Barro and Turnvosky, this paper constructed an economic growth model including the factor of scientific culture and mainly found that the impact of scientific culture capital growth rate on human capital accumulation is positive, and then affects economic growth rate. And the greater scientific culture capital growth rate influences the human capital accumulation, the higher economic growth rate is.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document