scholarly journals Decomposition of China’s Carbon Emissions Intensity from 1995 to 2010: An Extended Kaya Identity

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Qing-Xiang Ou

This paper employs an extended Kaya identity as the scheme and utilizes the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI II) as the decomposition technique based on analyzing CO2emissions trends in China. Change in CO2emissions intensity is decomposed from 1995 to 2010 and includes measures of the effect of Industrial structure, energy intensity, energy structure, and carbon emission factors. Results illustrate that changes in energy intensity act to decrease carbon emissions intensity significantly and changes in industrial structure and energy structure do not act to reduce carbon emissions intensity effectively. Policy will need to significantly optimize energy structure and adjust industrial structure if China’s emission reduction targets in 2020 are to be reached. This requires a change in China’s economic development path and energy consumption path for optimal outcomes.

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Liu ◽  
Wenqing Pan

This paper combines Theil index method with factor decomposition technique to analyze China eight regions’ inequality of CO2 emissions per capita, and discuss energy structure, energy intensity, industrial structure, and per capita output’s impacts on inequality. This research shows that: (1) The trend of China regional carbon inequality is in the opposite direction to the per capita CO2 emission level. Namely, as the per capita CO2 emission levels rise, regional carbon inequality decreases, and vice versa. (2) Per capita output factor reduces regional carbon inequality, whereas energy structure factor and energy intensity factor increase the inequality. (3) More developed areas can reduce the carbon inequality by improving the energy structure, whereas the divergence of energy intensity in less developed areas has increased to expand the carbon inequity. Thus, when designing CO2 emission reduction targets, policy makers should consider regional differences in economic development level and energy efficiency, and refer to the main influencing factors. At the same time, upgrading industrial structure and upgrading energy technologies should be combined to meet the targets of economic growth and CO2 emission reduction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing-min Wang ◽  
Yu-fang Shi ◽  
Xue Zhao ◽  
Xue-ting Zhang

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is a typical developed region in China. The development of economy has brought lots of carbon emissions. To explore an effective way to reduce carbon emissions, we applied the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model to find drivers behind carbon emission from 2003 to 2013. Results showed that, in Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, economic output was main contributor to carbon emissions. Then we utilized the decoupling model to comprehensively analyze the relationship between economic output and carbon emission. Based on the two-level model, results indicated the following: (1) Industry sector accounted for almost 80% of energy consumption in whole region. The reduced proportion of industrial GDP will directly reduce the carbon emissions. (2) The carbon factor for CO2/energy in whole region was higher than that of Beijing and Tianjin but lower than that of Hebei. The impact of energy structure on carbon emission depends largely on the proportion of coal in industry. (3) The energy intensity in whole region decreased from 0.79 in 2003 to 0.40 in 2013 (unit: tons of standard coal/ten thousand yuan), which was lower than national average. (4) The cumulative effects of industrial structure, energy structure, and energy intensity were negative, positive, and negative, respectively.


2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 4281-4284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shao Bo Liu

Using IPCC methodology, the carbon emissions of Chinese Northeast Old Industrial Base is calculated, and the energy's synthesized impact on carbon emissions intensity is presented. The resulting shows that the carbon emissions in the three northeast provinces decreased 52.87% from 2000 to 2010, of which, Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang are individually 60.09%, 45.47% and 54.14% lower. The implications are that the energy structure is one of the main factors in carbon emission in the Old Industrial Base of Northeast China, and its industrial structure is changing greatly due to energy consumption carbon emission. To adjust optimally the energy and industrial structure, and to develop the energy technology to promote energy utilization are recommended.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 2535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Liang ◽  
Dongxiao Niu ◽  
Weiwei Zhou ◽  
Yingying Fan

The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (B-T-H) region, who captures the national strategic highland in China, has drawn a great deal of attention due to the fog and haze condition and other environmental problems. Further, the high carbon emissions generated by energy consumption has restricted its further coordinated development seriously. In order to accurately analyze the potential influencing factors that contribute to the growth of energy consumption carbon emissions in the B-T-H region, this paper uses the carbon emission coefficient method to measure the carbon emissions of energy consumption in the B-T-H region, using a weighted combination based on Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) and Shapley Value (SV). The effects affecting carbon emissions during 2001–2013 caused from five aspects, including energy consumption structure, energy consumption intensity, industrial structure, economic development and population size, are quantitatively analyzed. The results indicated that: (1) The carbon emissions had shown a sustained growth trend in the B-T-H region on the whole, while the growth rates varied in the three areas. In detail, Hebei Province got the first place in carbon emissions growth, followed by Tianjin and Beijing; (2) economic development was the main driving force for the carbon emissions growth of energy consumption in B-T-H region. Energy consumption structure, population size and industrial structure promoted carbon emissions growth as well, but their effects weakened in turn and were less obvious than that of economic development; (3) energy consumption intensity had played a significant inhibitory role on the carbon emissions growth; (4) it was of great significance to ease the carbon emission-reduction pressure of the B-T-H region from the four aspects of upgrading industrial structure adjustment, making technological progress, optimizing the energy structure and building long-term carbon-emission-reduction mechanisms, so as to promote the coordinated low-carbon development.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 2262-2265
Author(s):  
Jian Hua ◽  
Jun Ren

We calculate the carbon dioxide emissions from the combustion of energy and production process of cement in Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2009.Through the indicators such as carbon emissions intensity, per capita carbon emissions, we analyze the status and trends of carbon dioxide emissions in Jiangsu Province. Based on the factors of industrial structure, energy structure and high-carbon products, we give some suggestions.


Author(s):  
Lei Wen ◽  
Linlin Huang

Purpose Climate change has aroused widespread concern around the world, which is one of the most complex challenges encountered by human beings. The underlying cause of climate change is the increase of carbon emissions. To reduce carbon emissions, the analysis of the factors affecting this type of emission is of practical significance. Design/methodology/approach This paper identified five factors affecting carbon emissions using the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) decomposition model (e.g. per capita carbon emissions, industrial structure, energy intensity, energy structure and per capita GDP). Besides, based on the projection pursuit method, this paper obtained the optimal projection directions of five influencing factors in 30 provinces (except for Tibet). Based on the data from 2000 to 2014, the authors predicted the optimal projection directions in the next six years under the Markov transfer matrix. Findings The results indicated that per capita GDP was the critical factor for reducing carbon emissions. The industrial structure and population intensified carbon emissions. The energy structure had seldom impacted on carbon emissions. The energy intensity obviously inhibited carbon emissions. The best optimal projection direction of each index in the next six years remained stable. Finally, this paper proposed the policy implications. Originality/value This paper provides an insight into the current state and the future changes in carbon emissions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Jiang ◽  
Rongrong Li ◽  
Qiuhong Wu

Residual problems are one of the greatest challenges in developing new decomposition techniques, especially when combined with the Cobb–Douglas (C-D) production function and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method. Although this combination technique can quantify more effects than LMDI alone, its decomposition result has residual value. We propose a new approach that can achieve non-residual decomposition by calculating the actual values of three key parameters. To test the proposed approach, we decomposed the carbon emissions in the United States to six driving factors: the labor input effect, the investment effect, the carbon coefficient effect, the energy structure effect, the energy intensity effect, and the technology state effect. The results illustrate that the sum of these factors is equivalent to the CO2 emissions changes from t to t-1, thereby proving non-residual decomposition. Given that the proposed approach can achieve perfect decomposition, the proposed approach can be used more widely to investigate the effects of labor input, investment, and technology state on changes in energy and emission.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Chuanhui Wang ◽  
Mengzhen Zhao ◽  
Weifeng Gong ◽  
Zhenyue Fan ◽  
Wenwen Li

Taking the Bohai Rim region as the research object and based on the relevant data of energy consumption, GDP, and energy structure from 2000 to 2019, the total carbon emissions of the provinces and cities from 2020 to 2050 were predicted. The carbon peak situation of each province and municipality in the Bohai Rim region was also analyzed. A comparative analysis of the peaks among the provinces and cities has been carried out. The results show the following: (1) it is predicted that Beijing will reach its carbon peak before 2025. Tianjin is predicted to reach its carbon peak before 2030. Renewable energy development and utilization technologies in the two municipalities are crucial to achieving carbon peaks when energy intensity is already low. (2) Shandong and Shanxi have a heavy energy structure, are coal-minded, and have high energy intensity, while the replacement rate of renewable energy is relatively low. Shandong and Shanxi are predicted to reach carbon peaks around 2030. Liaoning also has the problem of heavy industrial structure, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2027. (3) Hebei itself relies on Beijing, and its renewable energy utilization technology is relatively advanced. It is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2026. The energy intensity of Inner Mongolia has decreased rapidly, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2029. Therefore, according to the forecast results and the analysis of the similarities and differences among the provinces and cities, some specific suggestions for the optimization of the energy structure and the development of renewable energy in each province and city have been proposed in order to promote the comprehensive realization of the regional carbon peak goal in the Bohai Rim region.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 4220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiancheng Qin ◽  
Hui Tao ◽  
Minjin Zhan ◽  
Qamar Munir ◽  
Karthikeyan Brindha ◽  
...  

The realization of carbon emissions peak is important in the energy base area of China for the sustainable development of the socio-economic sector. The STIRPAT model was employed to analyze the elasticity of influencing factors of carbon emissions during 1990–2010 in the Xinjiang autonomous region, China. The results display that population growth is the key driving factor for carbon emissions, while energy intensity is the key restraining factor. With 1% change in population, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, energy intensity, energy structure, urbanization level, and industrial structure, the change in carbon emissions was 0.80%, 0.48%, 0.20%, 0.07%, 0.58%, and 0.47%, respectively. Based on the results from regression analysis, scenario analysis was employed in this study, and it was found that Xinjiang would be difficult to realize carbon emissions peak early around 2030. Under the condition of the medium-high change rates in energy intensity, energy structure, industrial structure, and with the low-medium change rates in population, GDP per capita, and urbanization level, Xinjiang will achieve carbon emissions peak at of 626.21, 636.24, 459.53, and 662.25 million tons in the year of 2030, 2030, 2040, and 2040, respectively. At last, under the background of Chinese carbon emissions peak around 2030, this paper puts forward relevant policies and suggestions to the sustainable socio-economic development for the energy base area, Xinjiang autonomous region.


2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 1657-1663
Author(s):  
Chang Cai Qin ◽  
Shu Lin Liu ◽  
Yu Feng Wang

This article has introduced and evaluated the various methods of study on carbon emissions, and makes a comparison on the research conclusion by using these methods. We has classified the influence factors of carbon emissions into three primary factors such as technical factor, structure factor and scale factor, respectively including six secondary factors such as carbon emission intensity and energy intensity; energy structure and industrial structure; economic scale, population size.


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