scholarly journals Reconstruction of Extreme Rainfall Event on September 19-20, 2017, Using a Weather Radar in Bengkulu of Sumatra Island

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Jaka A. I. Paski ◽  
Furqon Alfahmi ◽  
Donaldi S. Permana ◽  
Erwin E. S. Makmur

Extreme rainfall accompanied by strong winds hit the province of Bengkulu in the western coastal area of Sumatera Island during September 19-20, 2017, causing floods and landslides in Seluma and Central Bengkulu district. This extreme rainfall was recorded by Bengkulu Meteorological Station about 257.0 mm day−1 using rain-gauge observation. The spatial distribution of extreme rainfall cannot be seen if only using a rain-gauge observation in this location. The spatial distribution of extreme rainfall is needed to identify the impact of rainfall on landslides in large areas. The study aims to (1) develop the reconstruction of the spatial distribution of extreme rainfall using weather radar and (2) investigate the trigger that caused extreme rainfall by analyzing the synoptic-scale tropical waves. Each weather radar datum is saved in a Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator (CAPPI). To get rainfall information, the CAPPI must be derived from Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) values. In this paper, we derived CAPPI using a Marshall-Palmer reflectivity-rain rate relationship. The result shows that rainfall formed on September 20, 2017, 21.00 UTC with total daily rainfall ranged between 176 and 247 mm in both districts and the mean of total daily rainfall has exceeded the average of monthly rainfall. The analysis of tropical waves suggests that only Kelvin waves were active and served as a possible trigger factor while the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and Equatorial Rossby (ER) waves were inactive during this extreme rainfall.

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (7) ◽  
pp. 2309-2328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marlon Maranan ◽  
Andreas H. Fink ◽  
Peter Knippertz ◽  
Sabastine D. Francis ◽  
Aristide B. Akpo ◽  
...  

Abstract An intense mesoscale convective system (MCS) in the Guinea Coast region caused one of the highest ever recorded daily rainfall amounts at the Nigerian station Abakaliki on 12 June 2016 (223.5 mm). This paper provides a detailed analysis of the meso- and synoptic-scale factors leading to this event, including some so far undocumented dynamical aspects for southern West Africa. The MCS formed over the Darfur Mountains due to diurnal heating, then moved southwestward along a mid- to lower-tropospheric trough, and developed into a classical West African squall line in a highly sheared environment with pronounced midlevel dryness. Strong moisture flux convergence over Nigeria prior to the MCS passage led to extreme values in precipitable water and was caused by the formation of a local, short-lived heat low. According to the pressure tendency equation, the latter resulted from tropospheric warming due to MCS-forced subsidence as well as surface insolation in the resulting almost cloud-free atmosphere. In this extremely moist environment, the MCS strongly intensified and initiated the formation of a lower-tropospheric vortex, which resulted in a deceleration of the MCS and high rainfall accumulation at Abakaliki. Following the vorticity equation, the vortex formation was realized through strong low-level vortex stretching and upper-level vertical vorticity advection related to the MCS, which became “dynamically large” compared to the Rossby radius of deformation. Eventually, moisture supply and lifting associated with the vortex are suggested to promote the longevity of the MCS during the subsequent westward movement along the Guinea Coast.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Guallpa ◽  
Johanna Orellana-Alvear ◽  
Jörg Bendix

Weather radar networks are an excellent tool for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), due to their high resolution in space and time, particularly in remote mountain areas such as the Tropical Andes. Nevertheless, reduction of the temporal and spatial resolution might severely reduce the quality of QPE. Thus, the main objective of this study was to analyze the impact of spatial and temporal resolutions of radar data on the cumulative QPE. For this, data from the world’s highest X-band weather radar (4450 m a.s.l.), located in the Andes of Ecuador (Paute River basin), and from a rain gauge network were used. Different time resolutions (1, 5, 10, 15, 20, 30, and 60 min) and spatial resolutions (0.5, 0.25, and 0.1 km) were evaluated. An optical flow method was validated for 11 rainfall events (with different features) and applied to enhance the temporal resolution of radar data to 1-min intervals. The results show that 1-min temporal resolution images are able to capture rain event features in detail. The radar–rain gauge correlation decreases considerably when the time resolution increases (r from 0.69 to 0.31, time resolution from 1 to 60 min). No significant difference was found in the rain total volume (3%) calculated with the three spatial resolution data. A spatial resolution of 0.5 km on radar imagery is suitable to quantify rainfall in the Andes Mountains. This study improves knowledge on rainfall spatial distribution in the Ecuadorian Andes, and it will be the basis for future hydrometeorological studies.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 2201
Author(s):  
Jinn-Chyi Chen ◽  
Wen-Shun Huang

This study examined the conditions that lead to debris flows, and their association with the rainfall return period (T) and the probability of debris flow occurrence (P) in the Chenyulan watershed, central Taiwan. Several extreme events have occurred in the Chenyulan watershed in the past, including the Chi-Chi earthquake and extreme rainfall events. The T for three rainfall indexes (i.e., the maximum hourly rainfall depth (Im), the maximum 24-h rainfall amount (Rd), and RI (RI = Im× Rd)) were analyzed, and the T associated with the triggering of debris flows is presented. The P–T relationship can be determined using three indexes, Im, Rd, and RI; how it is affected and unaffected by extreme events was developed. Models for evaluating P using the three rainfall indexes were proposed and used to evaluate P between 2009 and 2020 (i.e., after the extreme rainfall event of Typhoon Morakot in 2009). The results of this study showed that the P‒T relationship, using the RI or Rd index, was reasonable for predicting the probability of debris flow occurrence.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Sauter ◽  
Christopher White ◽  
Hayley Fowler ◽  
Seth Westra

<p>Heatwaves and extreme rainfall events are natural hazards that can have severe impacts on society. The relationship between temperature and extreme rainfall has received scientific attention with studies focussing on how single daily or sub-daily rainfall extremes are related to day-to-day temperature variability. However, the impact multi-day heatwaves have on sub-daily extreme rainfall events and how extreme rainfall properties change during different stages of a heatwave remains mostly unexplored.</p><p>In this study, we analyse sub-daily rainfall records across Australia, a country that experiences severe natural hazards on a frequent basis, and determine their extreme rainfall properties, such as rainfall intensity, duration and frequency during SH-summer heatwaves. These properties are then compared to extreme rainfall properties found outside heatwaves, but during the same time of year, to examine to what extent they differ from normal conditions. We also conduct a spatial analysis to investigate any spatial patterns that arise.</p><p>We find that rainfall breaking heatwaves is often more extreme than average rainfall during the same time of year. This is especially prominent on the eastern and south-eastern Australian coast, where frequency and intensity of sub-daily rainfall extremes show an increase during the last day or the day immediately after a heatwave. We also find that although during heatwaves the average rainfall amount and duration decreases, there is an increase in sub-daily rainfall intensity when compared to conditions outside heatwaves. This implies that even though Australian heatwaves are generally characterised by dry conditions, rainfall occurrences within heatwaves are more intense.</p><p>Both heatwaves and extreme rainfall events pose great challenges for many sectors such as agriculture, and especially if they occur together. Understanding how and to what degree these events co-occur could help mitigate the impacts caused by them.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (4) ◽  
pp. 943-965 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jayesh Phadtare

Chennai and its surrounding region received extreme rainfall on 1 December 2015. A rain gauge in the city recorded 494 mm of rainfall within a span of 24 h—at least a 100-yr event. The convective system was stationary over the coast during the event. This study analyzes how the Eastern Ghats orography and moist processes localized the rainfall. ERA-Interim data show a low-level easterly jet (LLEJ) over the adjacent ocean and a barrier jet over the coast during the event. A control simulation with the nonhydrostatic Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model shows that the Eastern Ghats obstructed the precipitation-driven cold pool from moving downstream, resulting in the cold pool piling up and remaining stationary in the upwind direction. The cold pool became weak over the ocean. It stratified the subcloud layer and decelerated the flow ahead of the orography; hence, the flow entered a blocked regime. Maximum deceleration of the winds and uplifting happened at the edge of the cold pool over the coast. Therefore, a stationary convective system and maximum rainfall occurred at the coast. As a result of orographic blocking, propagation of a low pressure system (LPS) was obstructed. Because of the topographic β effect, the LPS subsequently traveled a southward path. In a sensitivity experiment without the orography, the cold pool was swept downstream by the winds; clouds moved inland. In the second experiment with no evaporative cooling of rain, the cold pool did not form; flow, as well as clouds, moved over the orography.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini ◽  
Cristóbal Soto Escobar ◽  
Oscar M. Baez-Villanueva

<p>The Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves are crucial for urban drainage design and to mitigate the impact of extreme precipitation events and floods. However, many regions lack a high-density network of rain gauges to adequately characterise the spatial distribution of precipitation events. In this work we compute IDF curves for the South-Central Chilean region (26-56°S) using the latest version of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERGv06B) for 2001-2018, with a spatial resolution of 0.10° and half-hourly temporal frequency.</p><p><br>First, we evaluated the performance of IMERGv06B against 344 rain gauge stations at daily, monthly and annual temporal scales using a point-to-pixel approach. The modified Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE’) and its components (linear correlation, bias, and variability ratio) were selected as continuous indices of performance. Secondly, we fit maximum precipitation intensities from 14 long-term rain gauge stations to three probability density functions (Gumbel, Log-Pearson Type III, and GEV II) to evaluate: i) the impact of using 15-year rainfall time series in the computation of IDF curves instead of using the typical long-term periods (~ 30 years); and ii) to select the best distribution function for the study area. The Gumbel distribution was selected to obtain the maximum annual intensities for each grid-cell within the study area for 12 durations (0.5, 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 18, 24, 48, and 72 h) and 6 return periods (T=2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years).</p><p><br>The application of the Wilcoxon Mann-Whitney test indicates that differences between IDF curves obtained from 15 years of records at the 14 long-term rain gauges and those derived from 25 years of record (or more) are not statistically significant, and therefore, 15 years of record are enough (although not optimal) to compute the IDF curves. Also, our results show that IMERGv06B is able to represent the spatial distribution of precipitation at daily, monthly and annual temporal scales over the study area. Moreover, the obtained precipitation intensities showed high spatial variability, mainly over the Near North (26.0-32.2°S) and the Far South (43.7-56.0°S). Additionally, the intensities from Central Chile (32.2-36.4°S) to the Near South (36.4-43.7°S) were systematically higher compared to the intensities described in older official governmental reports, suggesting an increase in precipitation intensities during recent decades.</p>


2004 ◽  
Vol 55 (11) ◽  
pp. 1159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riasat Ali ◽  
Tom Hatton ◽  
Richard George ◽  
John Byrne ◽  
Geoff Hodgson

Abstract. Over one million hectares of the wheatbelt of Western Australia (WA) are affected by secondary salinisation and this area is expected to increase to between 3 and 5 million hectares if current trends continue. Deep open drains, as an engineering solution to dryland salinity, have been promoted over the past few decades; however, the results of initial experiments were variable and no thorough analysis has been done. This research quantifies the effects of deep open drains on shallow and deep groundwater at farm and subcatchment level. Analysis of rainfall data showed that the only dry year (below average rainfall) after the construction of drainage in the Narembeen area of WA (in 1998 and 1999) was 2002. The dry year caused some decline in groundwater levels in the undrained areas but had no significant impact in the drained areas. The study found that the effect of drains on the groundwater levels was particularly significant if the initial water levels were well above the drain bed level, permeable materials were encountered, and drain depth was adequate (2.0–3.0 m). Visual observations and evidence derived from this study area suggested that if the drain depth cut through more permeable, macropore-dominated siliceous and ferruginous hardpans, which exist 1.5–3 m from the soil surface, its efficiency exceeded that predicted by simple drainage theory based on bulk soil texture. The effect of drains often extended to distances away (>200 m) from the drain. Immediately following construction, drains had a high discharge rate until a new hydrologic equilibrium was reached. After equilibrium, flow largely comprised regional groundwater discharge and was supplemented by quick responses driven by rainfall recharge. Comparison between the hydrology of the drained and undrained areas in the Wakeman subcatchment showed that, in the valley floors of the drained areas, the water levels fluctuated mainly between 1.5 and 2.5 m of the soil surface during most of the year. In the valley floors of the undrained areas, they fluctuated between 0 and 1 m of the soil surface. The impact of an extreme rainfall event (or unusual wet season) on drain performance was predicted to vary with distance from the drain. Within 100 m from the drain, water levels declined relatively quickly, whereas it took a year before the water levels at 200–300 m away from the drain responded. The main guidelines that can be recommended based on the results from this study are the drain depth and importance of ferricrete layer. In order to be effective, a drain should be more than 2 m deep and it should cut through the ferricrete layer that exists in many landscapes in the wheatbelt.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingxiang Shu ◽  
Asaad Y. Shamseldin ◽  
Evan Weller

AbstractThis study quantifies the impact of atmospheric rivers (ARs) on rainfall in New Zealand. Using an automated AR detection algorithm, daily rainfall records from 654 rain gauges, and various atmospheric reanalysis datasets, we investigate the climatology of ARs, the characteristics of landfalling ARs, the contribution of ARs to annual and seasonal rainfall totals, and extreme rainfall events between 1979 and 2018 across the country. Results indicate that these filamentary synoptic features play an essential role in regional water resources and are responsible for many extreme rainfall events on the western side of mountainous areas and northern New Zealand. In these regions, depending on the season, 40–86% of the rainfall totals and 50–98% of extreme rainfall events are shown to be associated with ARs, with the largest contributions predominantly occurring during the austral summer. Furthermore, the median daily rainfall associated with ARs is 2–3 times than that associated with other storms. The results of this study extend the knowledge on the critical roles of ARs on hydrology and highlight the need for further investigation on the landfalling AR physical processes in relation to global circulation features and AR sources, and hydrological hazards caused by ARs in New Zealand.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongxiong Xu ◽  
Bo Du

When typhoon Danas (2013) was located at northeast of Taiwan during 6–8 October 2013, a torrential rainfall brought by typhoon Fitow (2013) occurred over the east of China. Observations show that the rainband of Fitow, which may be impacted by Danas, caused the rainfall over north of Zhejiang. The Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecast (ARW-WRF) model was used to investigate the possible effects of typhoon Danas (2013) on this rainfall event. Results show that the model captured reasonably well the spatial distribution and evolution of the rainband of Fitow. The results of a sensitivity experiment removing Danas vortex, which is conducted to determine its impact on the extreme rainfall, show that extra moist associated with Danas plays an important role in the maintenance and enhancement of the north rainband of Fitow, which resulted in torrential rainfall over the north of Zhejiang. This study may explain the unusual amount of rainfall over the north of Zhejiang province caused by interaction between the rainband of typhoon Fitow and extra moisture brought by typhoon Danas.


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