scholarly journals An Estimation Model on Electricity Consumption of New Metro Stations

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Zhao Yu ◽  
Yun Bai ◽  
Qian Fu ◽  
Yao Chen ◽  
Baohua Mao

Electricity consumption of metro stations increases sharply with expansion of a metro network and this has been a growing cause for concern. Based on relevant historical data from existing metro stations, this paper proposes a support vector regression (SVR) model to estimate daily electricity consumption of a newly constructed metro station. The model considers some major factors influencing the electricity consumption of metro station in terms of both the interior design scheme of a station (e.g., layout of the station and allocation of facilities) and external factors (e.g., passenger volume, air temperature and relative humidity). A genetic algorithm with five-fold cross-validation is used to optimize the hyper-parameters of the SVR model in order to improve its accuracy in estimating the electricity consumption of a metro station (ECMS). With the optimized hyper-parameters, results from case studies on the Beijing Subway showed that the estimating accuracy of the proposed SVR model could reach up to 95% and the correlation coefficient was 0.89. It was demonstrated that the proposed model could outperform the traditional methods which use a back-propagation neural network or multivariate linear regression. The method presented in this paper can be an adequate tool for estimating the ECMS and should further assist in the delivery of new, energy-efficient metro stations.

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinfu Song ◽  
Gang Liang ◽  
Changzu Li ◽  
Weiwei Chen

In recent years, the phenomenon of wind and solar energy abandoned in Xinjiang’s new energy has become severe, the contradiction between the supply and demand of the power grid is obvious, and the proportion of power in the energy consumption structure is relatively low, thus hindering the development of Xinjiang’s green power. In this context, the focus of Xinjiang’s power has shifted to promote the development of electric energy replacement. Therefore, using the Xinjiang region as an example, we first select the important indicators such as the terminal energy substitution in Xinjiang, added value of the secondary industry, population, terminal power consumption intensity, and per capita disposable income. Subsequently, eight combined forecasting models based on the grey model (GM), multiple linear regression (MLR), and error back propagation neural network (BP) are constructed to predict and analyse the electricity consumption of the whole society in Xinjiang. The results indicate the optimal weighted combination forecasting model, GM-MLR-BP of the induced ordered weighted harmonic averaging operator (IOWHA operator), exhibits better prediction accuracy, and the effectiveness of the proposed method is proven.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 3003
Author(s):  
Ting Pan ◽  
Haibo Wang ◽  
Haiqing Si ◽  
Yao Li ◽  
Lei Shang

Fatigue is an important factor affecting modern flight safety. It can easily lead to a decline in pilots’ operational ability, misjudgments, and flight illusions. Moreover, it can even trigger serious flight accidents. In this paper, a wearable wireless physiological device was used to obtain pilots’ electrocardiogram (ECG) data in a simulated flight experiment, and 1440 effective samples were determined. The Friedman test was adopted to select the characteristic indexes that reflect the fatigue state of the pilot from the time domain, frequency domain, and non-linear characteristics of the effective samples. Furthermore, the variation rules of the characteristic indexes were analyzed. Principal component analysis (PCA) was utilized to extract the features of the selected feature indexes, and the feature parameter set representing the fatigue state of the pilot was established. For the study on pilots’ fatigue state identification, the feature parameter set was used as the input of the learning vector quantization (LVQ) algorithm to train the pilots’ fatigue state identification model. Results show that the recognition accuracy of the LVQ model reached 81.94%, which is 12.84% and 9.02% higher than that of traditional back propagation neural network (BPNN) and support vector machine (SVM) model, respectively. The identification model based on the LVQ established in this paper is suitable for identifying pilots’ fatigue states. This is of great practical significance to reduce flight accidents caused by pilot fatigue, thus providing a theoretical foundation for pilot fatigue risk management and the development of intelligent aircraft autopilot systems.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 660 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Liu ◽  
Liubin Li ◽  
Yongbin Liu ◽  
Zheng Cao ◽  
Hui Yang ◽  
...  

In real industrial applications, bearings in pairs or even more are often mounted on the same shaft. So the collected vibration signal is actually a mixed signal from multiple bearings. In this study, a method based on Hybrid Kernel Function-Support Vector Regression (HKF–SVR) whose parameters are optimized by Krill Herd (KH) algorithm was introduced for bearing performance degradation prediction in this situation. First, multi-domain statistical features are extracted from the bearing vibration signals and then fused into sensitive features using Kernel Joint Approximate Diagonalization of Eigen-matrices (KJADE) algorithm which is developed recently by our group. Due to the nonlinear mapping capability of the kernel method and the blind source separation ability of the JADE algorithm, the KJADE could extract latent source features that accurately reflecting the performance degradation from the mixed vibration signal. Then, the between-class and within-class scatters (SS) of the health-stage data sample and the current monitored data sample is calculated as the performance degradation index. Second, the parameters of the HKF–SVR are optimized by the KH (Krill Herd) algorithm to obtain the optimal performance degradation prediction model. Finally, the performance degradation trend of the bearing is predicted using the optimized HKF–SVR. Compared with the traditional methods of Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and traditional SVR, the results show that the proposed method has a better performance. The proposed method has a good application prospect in life prediction of coaxial bearings.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Rezaei ◽  
Ali Selamat ◽  
Arash Taki ◽  
Mohd Mohd Rahim ◽  
Mohammed Abdul Kadir ◽  
...  

Atherosclerotic plaque rupture is the most common mechanism responsible for a majority of sudden coronary deaths. The precursor lesion of plaque rupture is thought to be a thin cap fibroatheroma (TCFA), or “vulnerable plaque”. Virtual Histology-Intravascular Ultrasound (VH-IVUS) images are clinically available for visualising colour-coded coronary artery tissue. However, it has limitations in terms of providing clinically relevant information for identifying vulnerable plaque. The aim of this research is to improve the identification of TCFA using VH-IVUS images. To more accurately segment VH-IVUS images, a semi-supervised model is developed by means of hybrid K-means with Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO) and a minimum Euclidean distance algorithm (KMPSO-mED). Another novelty of the proposed method is fusion of different geometric and informative texture features to capture the varying heterogeneity of plaque components and compute a discriminative index for TCFA plaque, while the existing research on TCFA detection has only focused on the geometric features. Three commonly used statistical texture features are extracted from VH-IVUS images: Local Binary Patterns (LBP), Grey Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM), and Modified Run Length (MRL). Geometric and texture features are concatenated in order to generate complex descriptors. Finally, Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), kNN (K-Nearest Neighbour), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifiers are applied to select the best classifier for classifying plaque into TCFA and Non-TCFA. The present study proposes a fast and accurate computer-aided method for plaque type classification. The proposed method is applied to 588 VH-IVUS images obtained from 10 patients. The results prove the superiority of the proposed method, with accuracy rates of 98.61% for TCFA plaque.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1998
Author(s):  
Lijuan Cui ◽  
Zhiguo Dou ◽  
Zhijun Liu ◽  
Xueyan Zuo ◽  
Yinru Lei ◽  
...  

Studying the stoichiometric characteristics of plant C, N, and P is an effective way of understanding plant survival and adaptation strategies. In this study, 60 fixed plots and 120 random plots were set up in a reed-swamp wetland, and the canopy spectral data were collected in order to analyze the stoichiometric characteristics of C, N, and P across all four seasons. Three machine models (random forest, RF; support vector machine, SVM; and back propagation neural network, BPNN) were used to study the stoichiometric characteristics of these elements via hyperspectral inversion. The results showed significant differences in these characteristics across seasons. The RF model had the highest prediction accuracy concerning the stoichiometric properties of C, N, and P. The R2 of the four-season models was greater than 0.88, 0.95, 0.97, and 0.92, respectively. According to the root mean square error (RMSE) results, the model error of total C (TC) inversion is the smallest, and that of C/N inversion is the largest. The SVM yielded poor predictive results for the stoichiometric properties of C, N, and P. The R2 of the four-season models was greater than 0.82, 0.81, 0.81, and 0.70, respectively. According to RMSE results, the model error of TC inversion is the smallest, and that of C/P inversion is the largest. The BPNN yielded high stoichiometric prediction accuracy. The R2 of the four-season models was greater than 0.87, 0.96, 0.84, and 0.90, respectively. According to RMSE results, the model error of TC inversion is the smallest, and that of C/P inversion is the largest. The accuracy and stability of the results were verified by comprehensive analysis. The RF model showed the greatest prediction stability, followed by the BPNN and then the SVM models. The results indicate that the accuracy and stability of the RF model were the highest. Hyperspectral data can be used to accurately invert the stoichiometric characteristics of C, N, and P in wetland plants. It provides a scientific basis for the long-term dynamic monitoring of plant stoichiometry through hyperspectral data in the future.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 897-915 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROSHAN JOY MARTIS ◽  
CHANDAN CHAKRABORTY

This work aims at presenting a methodology for electrocardiogram (ECG)-based arrhythmia disease detection using genetic algorithm (GA)-optimized k-means clustering. The open-source ECG data from MIT-BIH arrhythmia database and MIT-BIH normal sinus rhythm database are subjected to a sequence of steps including segmentation using R-point detection, extraction of features using principal component analysis (PCA), and pattern classification. Here, the classical classifiers viz., k-means clustering, error back propagation neural network (EBPNN), and support vector machine (SVM) have been initially attempted and subsequently m-fold (m = 3) cross validation is used to reduce the bias during training of the classifier. The average classification accuracy is computed as the average over all the three folds. It is observed that EBPNN and SVM with different order polynomial kernel provide significant accuracies in comparison with k-means one. In fact, the parameters (centroids) of k-means algorithm are locally optimized by minimizing its objective function. In order to overcome this limitation, a global optimization technique viz., GA is suggested here and implemented to find more robust parameters of k-means clustering. Finally, it is shown that GA-optimized k-means algorithm enhances its accuracy to those of other classifiers. The results are discussed and compared. It is concluded that the GA-optimized k-means algorithm is an alternate approach for classification whose accuracy will be near to that of supervised (viz., EBPNN and SVM) classifiers.


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