scholarly journals Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhihao Zhang ◽  
Wenzhong Yang ◽  
Silamu Wushour
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Boosted Regression Trees ◽  
Safety Level ◽  
Accident Prediction ◽  
Road Traffic Safety

Road traffic accidents are a concrete manifestation of road traffic safety levels. The current traffic accident prediction has a problem of low accuracy. In order to provide traffic management departments with more accurate forecast data, it can be applied in the traffic management system to help make scientific decisions. This paper establishes a traffic accident prediction model based on LSTM-GBRT (long short-term memory, gradient boosted regression trees) and predicts traffic accident safety level indicators by training traffic accident-related data. Compared with various regression models and neural network models, the experimental results show that the LSTM-GBRT model has a good fitting effect and robustness. The LSTM-GBRT model can accurately predict the safety level of traffic accidents, so that the traffic management department can better grasp the situation of traffic safety levels.

scholarly journals Identification of potential traffic accident hot spots based on accident data and GIS

2020 ◽  
Vol 325 ◽  
pp. 01005
Author(s):  
Hongge Zhu ◽  
Yuntong Zhou ◽  
Yanyan Chen
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Geographic Information ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
Accident Data

The problem of road traffic safety has been widely concerned in recent years. The identification of traffic accident hot spots can effectively improve the road traffic safety and let the traffic managers formulate targeted improvement measures and suggestions. The traditional identification method of accident hot spot does not consider the spatial attribute of the accident, so it has some limitations in the identification of traffic accident hot area. Therefore, this paper first proposes a method to identify the hot spot of traffic accidents based on geographic information system (GIS). The mathematical model and machine learning model are used to explore the correlation between traffic accidents and spatial characteristics from macro and micro aspects. Finally, taking Beijing as an example, the feasibility of the research method is proved by using the accident data of Beijing in 2015 and the geographic information of Beijing. The research results of this paper can realize the spatial effective transformation of accident records, comprehensively consider the micro and macro attributes of the accident itself, realize the automatic and efficient identification of the accident hot spot. In addition, the causality analysis results between each attribute and the distribution of accident hot spots can help decision makers to formulate safety and sustainable road strategies.

scholarly journals Basic Methodology of Traffic Management for the Street and Road Network of a Large City with Traffic Lights Regulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 148-155
Author(s):  
S. V. Vitolin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Road Network ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Large City ◽  
Light Cycle ◽  
Traffic Lights ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
Network Load

The objective of the article is to develop a system of principles and methods aimed at improving management of transport flows on the street and road network of a large city with traffic lights regulation. The suggested methodology is based on the methods used in Russia and abroad to improve road traffic safety and quality, results of a survey of experts in the field of road design and traffic management, monitoring at regulated crossings, and analysis of road accidents in the city of Volgograd. The primary customer property of a regulated crossing is road safety. Elimination of causes of road traffic accidents associated with road traffic, structural geometric, signalling, and technical conditions is the most important task regarding a regulated crossing. Enhancing road traffic quality at low levels of network load supposed considering demand for transportation, increase in travel comfort, coordination, and flexibility of traffic lights operation. High degree of network load supposes that more attention is paid to traffic capacity of the street and road network elements, restrained access of vehicles to areas of greater congestion, increased duration of a green light cycle (for more than 120 seconds, if this does not affect traffic safety and network congestion degree).

scholarly journals AUDIT KESELAMATAN JALAN TOL JAGORAWI

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 403
Author(s):  
Ni Luh Shinta Putu Eka Setyarini ◽  
Bryan Ivan Lukito
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
The Road ◽  
Toll Road ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
Direct Observations ◽  
Road Safety Audit

Jagorawi toll road is a link road needed to speed up travel time from Jakarta to Bogor and Ciawi, the condition of Jagorawi is currently very congested resulting in an increasing number of traffic accidents. To improve road traffic safety on toll roads, it's necessary to carry out Road Safety Audits (RSA). Aspects of the road that become objects to examine and direct observations included geometric aspects, traffic management, pavement, road complementary buildings and street furnitures. As a result, in geometric aspect, in general the road has been designed in accordance regulations, however, there are parts of the toll road that still require repair. This research will discuss regard the condition of Jagorawi toll road based on direct observations carried out in the field by using road safety audit form for operational roads. The aim is, accident-prone areas are obtained on Jagorawi toll road with analysis of the results of direct observations, and from traffic accident data obtained from Jasa Marga Keywords: Accident Prone Areas; Road Safety Audit; Toll RoadABSTRAK Ruas jalan tol Jagorawi merupakan jalan bebas hambatan yang dibutuhkan untuk mempercepat waktu tempuh dari Jakarta ke Bogor dan Ciawi, kondisi jalan tol Jagorawi saat ini sangat padat yang berakibat kepada meningkatnya jumlah kecelakaan lalu lintas. Dalam upaya meningkatkan keselamatan lalu lintas jalan di jalan tol, maka perlu melaksanakan Audit Keselamatan Jalan (AKJ). Aspek jalan yang menjadi objek untuk diperiksa meliputi aspek geometrik jalan, manajemen lalu lintas, bangunan pelengkap jalan dan pelengkap jalan. Hasilnya, dari segi geometrik, secara umum jalan sudah dirancang sesuai dengan ketentuan yang berlaku, namun, terdapat bagian-bagian dari jalan tol yang masih memerlukan perbaikan. Penelitian ini akan membahas mengenai kondisi eksisting jalan Tol Jagorawi berdasarkan pengamatan langsung yang dilaksanakan di lapangan dengan mempergunakan formulir audit keselamatan jalan untuk jalan yang sudah operasional. Aspek yang ditinjau adalah aspek geometrik, perkerasan, bangunan pelengkap jalan dan pelengkap jalan. Sebagai hasil akhir, didapat daerah rawan kecelakaan pada ruas Tol Jagorawi dengan analisis dari hasil pengamatan langsung, dan dari data kecelakaan lalu lintas yang diperoleh dari Jasa Marga.

scholarly journals Method of Light Bulbs Analysis on Vehicles Damaged in Traffic Accidents

2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 259-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajko Horvat ◽  
Berislav Barišić-Jaman ◽  
Gordan Mršić ◽  
Igor Špoljarić ◽  
Andro Vrdoljak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Scientific Research ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Light Bulb ◽  
The Road ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
The Moment

One of the measures to increase road traffic safety in Croatia is the introduction of obligatory use of daily lights on vehicles in road traffic during driving, regardless of the visibility and the time of day. The paper describes the new original technical and technological procedure of analysing automotive light bulbs in order to find the traces of glass particles of the broken glass balloon in the marginal cases of action of small inertia forces generated as result of a traffic accident. Investigations of light bulbs in traffic accidents had been rarely done before; therefore the subject of this scientific research is the analysis of the light bulb filament used in automobiles to light the road ahead and to give light signals, i.e. all the light signalling devices on the automobile using the new technical and technological procedure by means of SEM/EDX method. The scientific research has improved the investigation procedure in analysing the light bulbs on automobiles in determining whether at the moment of the traffic accident the regulatory lights were switched on. In determining the responsibility of participants for causing the traffic accident, such a fact may sometimes be of crucial significance. KEY WORDS: traffic accident, light bulb, technical and technological procedure, lights in traffic, microscope, molten glass particles

scholarly journals Assessing inequality, irregularity, and severity regarding road traffic safety during COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Lin ◽  
Feng Shi ◽  
Weizi Li
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Los Angeles ◽  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Human Mobility ◽  
Critical Conditions ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
Accident Data ◽  
The Impact

AbstractCOVID-19 has affected every sector of our society, among which human mobility is taking a dramatic change due to quarantine and social distancing. We investigate the impact of the pandemic and subsequent mobility changes on road traffic safety. Using traffic accident data from the city of Los Angeles and New York City, we find that the impact is not merely a blunt reduction in traffic and accidents; rather, (1) the proportion of accidents unexpectedly increases for “Hispanic” and “Male” groups; (2) the “hot spots” of accidents have shifted in both time and space and are likely moved from higher-income areas (e.g., Hollywood and Lower Manhattan) to lower-income areas (e.g., southern LA and southern Brooklyn); (3) the severity level of accidents decreases with the number of accidents regardless of transportation modes. Understanding those variations of traffic accidents not only sheds a light on the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 across demographic and geographic factors, but also helps policymakers and planners design more effective safety policies and interventions during critical conditions such as the pandemic.

SOME TRAFFIC SAFETY ISSUES AT UNREGULATED PEDESTRIAN CROSSINGS IN THE CITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (12(81)) ◽  
pp. 26-32
Author(s):  
V. Volkov ◽  
E. Nabatnikova ◽  
E. Lebedev
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Hourly Interval ◽  
Safety Issues ◽  
The Road ◽  
Probability Estimates ◽  
Mode Of Transport ◽  
Speed Mode

The groups of participants of the pedestrian and automobile flows, whose actions cause the greatest danger to the occurrence of conflict situations in the zone of unregulated transition, are identified. The factors determining the likelihood of a traffic accident at an unregulated transition are systematized, for which probability estimates of the occurrence of road traffic accidents are calculated. As an estimated parameter, the hazard coefficient of a conflict point of an unregulated transition is proposed, which is determined by the ratio of the probability of a traffic accident in the real-time hourly interval to the average annual probability of a traffic accident reduced to the hourly interval. The dependences of the hazard ratio of an unregulated transition are established on the most significant factors: the speed mode of transport in the area before the transition and the state of the road surface.

scholarly journals Road Transport Accidents in Nigeria and the Role of Automotive Active Safety System

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-54
Author(s):  
Olasunkanmi Oriola Akinyemi ◽  
Hezekiah O Adeyemi ◽  
Olusegun Jinadu
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Transportation Network ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Road Accident ◽  
Active Safety ◽  
Road Accidents ◽  
Road Transportation ◽  
Road Traffic Safety

Abstract Analysis of road traffic accidents revealed that most accidents are as a result of drivers’ errors. Over the years, active safety systems (ASS) were devised in vehicle to reduce the high level of road accidents, caused by human errors, leading to death and injuries. This study however evaluated the impacts of ASS inclusions into vehicles in Nigeria road transportation network. The objectives was to measure how ASS contributed to making driving safer and enhanced transport safety. Road accident data were collected, for a period of eleven years, from Lagos State Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget, Central Office of Statistics. Quantitative analysis of the retrospective accident was conducted by computing the proportion of yearly number of vehicles involved in road accident to the total number of vehicles for each year. Results of the analysis showed that the proportion of vehicles involved in road accidents decreased from 16 in 1996 to 0.89 in 2006, the injured persons reduced from 15.58 in 1998 to 0.3 in 2006 and the death rate diminished from 4.45 in 1998 to 0.1 in 2006. These represented 94.4 %, 95 % and 95 % improvement respectively on road traffic safety. It can therefore be concluded that the inclusions of ASS into design of modern vehicles had improved road safety in Nigeria automotive industry.

Regression Analysis of Rural Road Traffic Accidents Causes

2011 ◽  
Vol 97-98 ◽  
pp. 1042-1045 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan Jiao Sun ◽  
Ru Yue Bai ◽  
Yuan Yuan Yu
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Road Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Lower Grade ◽  
The Road ◽  
Rural Road ◽  
Safety Awareness

9238 traffic accidents data are collected in rural road of China. Through the data analysis, the main causes of rural road traffic accident are presented. The external environment, the participant features, road features and accident characteristics are involved. The regression analysis in SPSS is applied to find the relationship between the accident features. Overall, the rural road traffic accident was mainly due to in the rural area there are mass travel mode, lower grade roads, poorer safety awareness of traveler and the road is lack of traffic safety facilities and so on.

scholarly journals Influence of Legislation on Road Traffic Safety

2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-81
Author(s):  
Marijan Rajsman ◽  
Georg-Davor Lisicin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
Legal Regulations ◽  
Improvement Strategy ◽  
Safety Level ◽  
The Road ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Basic Hypothesis

The objective of this paper is to analyse road traffic safety in the Republic of Croatia based on the selected indicators which were used by the legislator in bringing the Law on Road Traffic Safety which has been in force since 28 July 2004, and the achieved effects in reaching the desired safety level in the three-year period from 2005 to 2007. The aim of the research is to establish a prognostic trend of the values of the studied indicators in the time period following the enforcement of new legal regulations. Adequate safety indicator values for the respective period were analyzed using the methods of analysis and synthesis, mathematical statistics as well as trend assessment based on the found mathematical prognostic models. Based on the results of this research it was found that the basic hypothesis according to which the implementation of new legal guidelines had to result in positive change in the condition of road traffic safety, failed to be confirmed. A change in the road traffic safety improvement strategy has been proposed as well as a more significant participation and recognition of the profession and science in this field which is of great significance for the society. KEY WORDS: influence of legal regulations, road traffic safety, effects and tendencies

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document