scholarly journals Vessel Navigation Behavior Analysis and Multiple-Trajectory Prediction Model Based on AIS Data

2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
He Ma ◽  
Yi Zuo ◽  
Tieshan Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Clustering Algorithm ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Feature Representation ◽  
Trajectory Prediction ◽  
Research Issues ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Cubic Spline Curve

With the increasing application and utility of automatic identification systems (AISs), large volumes of AIS data are collected to record vessel navigation. In recent years, the prediction of vessel trajectories has become one of the hottest research issues. In contrast to existing studies, most researchers have focused on the single-trajectory prediction of vessels. This article proposes a multiple-trajectory prediction model and makes two main contributions. First, we propose a novel method of trajectory feature representation that uses a hierarchical clustering algorithm to analyze and extract the vessel navigation behavior for multiple trajectories. Compared with the classic methods, e.g., Douglas–Peucker (DP) and least-squares cubic spline curve approximation (LCSCA) algorithms, the mean loss of trajectory features extracted by our method is approximately 0.005, and it is reduced by 50% and 30% compared to the DP and LCSCA algorithms, respectively. Second, we design an integrated model for simultaneous prediction of multiple trajectories using the proposed features and employ the long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network and recurrent neural network (RNN) to pursue this time series task. Furthermore, the comparative experiments prove that the mean value and standard deviation of root mean squared error (RMSE) using the LSTM are 4% and 14% lower than those using the RNN, respectively.

scholarly journals A 4D Trajectory Prediction Model Based on the BP Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 1545-1557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-Jun Wu ◽  
Shan Tian ◽  
Lan Ma
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Clustering Algorithm ◽  
Spline Interpolation ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Maximum Absolute Error ◽  
Trajectory Prediction ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Crossing Point

Abstract To solve the problem that traditional trajectory prediction methods cannot meet the requirements of high-precision, multi-dimensional and real-time prediction, a 4D trajectory prediction model based on the backpropagation (BP) neural network was studied. First, the hierarchical clustering algorithm and the k-means clustering algorithm were adopted to analyze the total flight time. Then, cubic spline interpolation was used to interpolate the flight position to extract the main trajectory feature. The 4D trajectory prediction model was based on the BP neural network. It was trained by Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast trajectory from Qingdao to Beijing and used to predict the flight trajectory at future moments. In this paper, the model is evaluated by the common measurement index such as maximum absolute error, mean absolute error and root mean square error. It also gives an analysis and comparison of the predicted over-point time, the predicted over-point altitude, the actual over-point time and the actual over-point altitude. The results indicate that the predicted 4D trajectory is close to the real flight data, and the time error at the crossing point is no more than 1 min and the altitude error at the crossing point is no more than 50 m, which is of high accuracy.

scholarly journals Predicting remaining useful life of rolling bearings based on deep feature representation and long short-term memory neural network

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 168781401881718 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wentao Mao ◽  
Jianliang He ◽  
Jiamei Tang ◽  
Yuan Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Feature Representation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

For bearing remaining useful life prediction problem, the traditional machine-learning-based methods are generally short of feature representation ability and incapable of adaptive feature extraction. Although deep-learning-based remaining useful life prediction methods proposed in recent years can effectively extract discriminative features for bearing fault, these methods tend to less consider temporal information of fault degradation process. To solve this problem, a new remaining useful life prediction approach based on deep feature representation and long short-term memory neural network is proposed in this article. First, a new criterion, named support vector data normalized correlation coefficient, is proposed to automatically divide the whole bearing life as normal state and fast degradation state. Second, deep features of bearing fault with good representation ability can be obtained from convolutional neural network by means of the marginal spectrum in Hilbert–Huang transform of raw vibration signals and health state label. Finally, by considering the temporal information of degradation process, these features are fed into a long short-term memory neural network to construct a remaining useful life prediction model. Experiments are conducted on bearing data sets of IEEE PHM Challenge 2012. The results show the significance of performance improvement of the proposed method in terms of predictive accuracy and numerical stability.

Air Conditioning Load Prediction of an Office Building based on Long Short Term Memory Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengxiang Zhuang ◽  
Qixin Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Load Prediction ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Grey Relational Degree ◽  
Relational Degree ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Grey Relational

Background: Energy conservation has always been a major issue in our country, and the air conditioning energy consumption of buildings accounts for the majority of the energy consumption of buildings. If the building load can be predicted and the air conditioning equipment can respond in advance, it can not only save energy, but also extend the life of the equipment. Introduction: The Neural network proposed in this paper can deeply analyze the load characteristics through three gate structures, which is helpful to improve the prediction accuracy. Combined with grey relational degree method, the prediction speed can be accelerated. Method: This paper introduces a grey relational degree method to analyze the factors related to air conditioning load and selects the best ones. A Long Short Term Memory Neural Network (LSTMNN) prediction model was established. In this paper, grey relational analysis and LSTMNN are combined to predict the air conditioning load of an office building, and the predicted results are compared with the real values. Results: Compared with Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) prediction model and Support Vector Machine (SVM) prediction model, the simulation results show that this method has better effect on air conditioning load prediction. Conclusion: Grey relational degree analysis can extract the main factors from the numerous data, which is more convenient and quicker without repeated trial and error. LSTMNN prediction model not only considers the relation of air conditioning load on time series, but also considers the nonlinear relation between load and other factors. This model has higher prediction accuracy, shorter prediction time and great application potential.

Production Forecasting with the Interwell Interference by Integrating Graph Convolutional and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Enda Du ◽  
Yuetian Liu ◽  
Ziyan Cheng ◽  
Liang Xue ◽  
Jing Ma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Temporal Correlations ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
The Impact

Summary Accurate production forecasting is an essential task and accompanies the entire process of reservoir development. With the limitation of prediction principles and processes, the traditional approaches are difficult to make rapid predictions. With the development of artificial intelligence, the data-driven model provides an alternative approach for production forecasting. To fully take the impact of interwell interference on production into account, this paper proposes a deep learning-based hybrid model (GCN-LSTM), where graph convolutional network (GCN) is used to capture complicated spatial patterns between each well, and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is adopted to extract intricate temporal correlations from historical production data. To implement the proposed model more efficiently, two data preprocessing procedures are performed: Outliers in the data set are removed by using a box plot visualization, and measurement noise is reduced by a wavelet transform. The robustness and applicability of the proposed model are evaluated in two scenarios of different data types with the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The results show that the proposed model can effectively capture spatial and temporal correlations to make a rapid and accurate oil production forecast.

scholarly journals Real-time diameter of the fetal aorta from ultrasound

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (11) ◽  
pp. 6735-6744
Author(s):  
Nicoló Savioli ◽  
Enrico Grisan ◽  
Silvia Visentin ◽  
Erich Cosmi ◽  
Giovanni Montana ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Ultrasound Images ◽  
Imaging Features ◽  
Execution Speed ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Temporal Redundancy ◽  
Gated Recurrent Unit

AbstractThe automatic analysis of ultrasound sequences can substantially improve the efficiency of clinical diagnosis. This article presents an attempt to automate the challenging task of measuring the vascular diameter of the fetal abdominal aorta from ultrasound images. We propose a neural network architecture consisting of three blocks: a convolutional neural network (CNN) for the extraction of imaging features, a convolution gated recurrent unit (C-GRU) for exploiting the temporal redundancy of the signal, and a regularized loss function, called CyclicLoss, to impose our prior knowledge about the periodicity of the observed signal. The solution is investigated with a cohort of 25 ultrasound sequences acquired during the third-trimester pregnancy check, and with 1000 synthetic sequences. In the extraction of features, it is shown that a shallow CNN outperforms two other deep CNNs with both the real and synthetic cohorts, suggesting that echocardiographic features are optimally captured by a reduced number of CNN layers. The proposed architecture, working with the shallow CNN, reaches an accuracy substantially superior to previously reported methods, providing an average reduction of the mean squared error from 0.31 (state-of-the-art) to 0.09 $$\mathrm{mm}^2$$mm2, and a relative error reduction from 8.1 to 5.3%. The mean execution speed of the proposed approach of 289 frames per second makes it suitable for real-time clinical use.

scholarly journals SBS Content Detection for Modified Asphalt Using Deep Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Zhixiang Wang ◽  
Jiange Li ◽  
Zhengqi Zhang ◽  
Youxiang Zuo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Modified Asphalt ◽  
Standard Curve ◽  
Predicting Performance ◽  
Curve Method ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Fourier Transform ◽  
Styrene Butadiene

This study proposes a prediction model for accurately detecting styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) content in modified asphalt using the deep neural network (DNN). Traditional methods used for evaluating the SBS content are inaccurate and complicated because they are prone to produce errors by manual computation. Feature data of SBS content are derived from the spectra, which are obtained by the Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy test. After designing DNN, preprocessed feature data are utilized as training and testing data and are fed into the DNN via a feature matrix. Furthermore, comparative studies are conducted to verify the accuracy of the proposed model. Results show that the mean square error value decreased by 68% for DNN with noise and dimension reduction. The DNN-based prediction model showed that the correlation coefficient between the target value and the mean predicted value is 0.9978 and 0.9992 for training and testing samples, respectively, indicating its remarkable accuracy and applicability after training. In comparison with the standard curve method and the random forest method, the precision of DNN is greater than 98% for the same test conditions, achieving the best predicting performance.

scholarly journals sEMG-Based Neural Network Prediction Model Selection of Gesture Fatigue and Dataset Optimization

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Fujun Ma ◽  
Fanghao Song ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Jiahui Niu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Experimental Results ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Semg Signals ◽  
Research Studies

The fatigue energy consumption of independent gestures can be obtained by calculating the power spectrum of surface electromyography (sEMG) signals. The existing research studies focus on the fatigue of independent gestures, while the research studies on integrated gestures are few. However, the actual gesture operation mode is usually integrated by multiple independent gestures, so the fatigue degree of integrated gestures can be predicted by training neural network of independent gestures. Three natural gestures including browsing information, playing games, and typing are divided into nine independent gestures in this paper, and the predicted model is established and trained by calculating the energy consumption of independent gestures. The artificial neural networks (ANNs) including backpropagation (BP) neural network, recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) are used to predict the fatigue of gesture. The support vector machine (SVM) is used to assist verification. Mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) are utilized to evaluate the optimal prediction model. Furthermore, the different datasets of the processed sEMG signal and its decomposed wavelet coefficients are trained, respectively, and the changes of error functions of them are compared. The experimental results show that LSTM model is more suitable for gesture fatigue prediction. The processed sEMG signals are appropriate for using as the training set the fatigue degree of one-handed gesture. It is better to use wavelet decomposition coefficients as datasets to predict the high-dimensional sEMG signals of two-handed gestures. The experimental results can be applied to predict the fatigue degree of complex human-machine interactive gestures, help to avoid unreasonable gestures, and improve the user’s interactive experience.

scholarly journals A Prediction Model Based on Deep Belief Network and Least Squares SVR Applied to Cross-Section Water Quality

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1929
Author(s):  
Jianzhuo Yan ◽  
Ya Gao ◽  
Yongchuan Yu ◽  
Hongxia Xu ◽  
Zongbao Xu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Quality ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Quality Parameters ◽  
Deep Belief Network ◽  
Water Quality Parameters ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Belief Network ◽  
The Mean

Recently, the quality of fresh water resources is threatened by numerous pollutants. Prediction of water quality is an important tool for controlling and reducing water pollution. By employing superior big data processing ability of deep learning it is possible to improve the accuracy of prediction. This paper proposes a method for predicting water quality based on the deep belief network (DBN) model. First, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the network parameters of the deep belief network, which is to extract feature vectors of water quality time series data at multiple scales. Then, combined with the least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) machine which is taken as the top prediction layer of the model, a new water quality prediction model referred to as PSO-DBN-LSSVR is put forward. The developed model is valued in terms of the mean absolute error (MAE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ). Results illustrate that the model proposed in this paper can accurately predict water quality parameters and better robustness of water quality parameters compared with the traditional back propagation (BP) neural network, LSSVR, the DBN neural network, and the DBN-LSSVR combined model.

scholarly journals Score Prediction Model of MOOCs Learners Based on Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 171
Author(s):  
Yuan Zhang ◽  
Wenbo Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Learning Process ◽  
Clustering Algorithm ◽  
Dropping Out ◽  
Personalized Service ◽  
Learning Efficiency ◽  
Learning Rules

Through analyzing the behavior data of MOOCs learners, a MOOCs learner's score prediction model is constructed based on clustering algorithm and neural network in this paper. By using this model, we can find out the neglected information and hidden learning rules in the MOOCs learning process. The model can provide personalized guidance for each user and improve learning efficiency. The model can provide personalized service to help learners form personalized learn-ing strategies, and it also can alert learners with low grades and risk of dropping out.

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