Abstract P119: Non-exercise Cardiorespiratory Fitness Prediction Equations: Accuracy Over Time in Apparently Healthy Adults

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
James E Peterman ◽  
Matthew Harber ◽  
Mary Imboden ◽  
Mitchell Whaley ◽  
bradley fleenor ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiorespiratory Fitness ◽  
Heart Association ◽  
Healthy Adults ◽  
Prediction Equations ◽  
Exercise Tests ◽  
Average Percentage ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Apparently Healthy

Introduction: Mortality risk predictions are improved with routine assessment of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF). Accordingly, an American Heart Association Scientific Statement suggests routine clinical assessment of CRF in apparently healthy adults minimally using non-exercise prediction equations, which can be calculated from common health metrics. However, no study has assessed the ability of non-exercise CRF prediction equations to accurately detect longitudinal changes. Hypothesis: Changes in estimated CRF (eCRF) would be related to directly-measured changes, yet appreciable misclassification would occur at the individual level. Methods: The sample included 987 apparently healthy adults (324 females; mean±SD age 43.1±10.4 years) who completed 2 cardiopulmonary exercise tests (CPX) at least 3 months apart (3.2±5.4 years follow-up). The change in eCRF from 27 distinct non-exercise prediction equations was compared to the change in directly-measured CRF determined from CPX. A change of ≥5% was used to classify participants as having a directional increase or decrease in CRF. Analysis included Pearson product moment correlations, standard error of estimate (SEE) values, the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure to compare eCRF with directly-measured CRF, and chi-squared tests to examine the impact of follow-up time on the percentage of participants correctly identified as having a directional increase or decrease in CRF. Results: The change in eCRF from each equation was correlated to the change in directly-measured CRF ( P <0.001) with R 2 values ranging from 0.06-0.43 and SEE values ranging from 0.9-5.9 ml·kg -1 ·min -1 . For 16 of the 27 equations, the change in eCRF was significantly different from the change in directly-measured CRF. When classifying directional changes, the prediction equations correctly categorized an average of 54% of individuals as having increased, decreased, or no change in CRF. When examining the influence of follow-up time, the average percentage of individuals correctly classified as having a directional increase in CRF was greater when the time between tests was ≤8months (54%) compared to ≥2years (28%). In contrast, the average percentage correctly classified as having a directional decrease in CRF was lower with tests ≤8months apart (8%) compared to ≥2years (73%). Conclusions: As hypothesized, discernible variability was found in the accuracy between non-exercise prediction equations and the ability of equations to accurately assess changes in directly-measured CRF over time. Considering the appreciable error that prediction equations had with detecting even directional changes in CRF, these results suggest eCRF may have limited clinical utility.

Comparison of non-exercise cardiorespiratory fitness prediction equations in apparently healthy adults

2019 ◽  
pp. 204748731988124 ◽  
Author(s):  
James E Peterman ◽  
Mitchell H Whaley ◽  
Matthew P Harber ◽  
Bradley S Fleenor ◽  
Mary T Imboden ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiorespiratory Fitness ◽  
Standard Error ◽  
Prediction Equation ◽  
Cardiopulmonary Exercise Test ◽  
Healthy Adults ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Prediction Equations ◽  
Test Analysis ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Apparently Healthy

Aims A recent scientific statement suggests clinicians should routinely assess cardiorespiratory fitness using at least non-exercise prediction equations. However, no study has comprehensively compared the many non-exercise cardiorespiratory fitness prediction equations to directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness using data from a single cohort. Our purpose was to compare the accuracy of non-exercise prediction equations to directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness and evaluate their ability to classify an individual's cardiorespiratory fitness. Methods The sample included 2529 tests from apparently healthy adults (42% female, aged 45.4 ± 13.1 years (mean±standard deviation). Estimated cardiorespiratory fitness from 28 distinct non-exercise prediction equations was compared with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness, determined from a cardiopulmonary exercise test. Analysis included the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure to compare estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness, Pearson product moment correlations, standard error of estimate values, and the percentage of participants correctly placed into three fitness categories. Results All of the estimated cardiorespiratory fitness values from the equations were correlated to directly measured cardiorespiratory fitness ( p < 0.001) although the R2 values ranged from 0.25–0.70 and the estimated cardiorespiratory fitness values from 27 out of 28 equations were statistically different compared with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness. The range of standard error of estimate values was 4.1–6.2 ml·kg−1·min−1. On average, only 52% of participants were correctly classified into the three fitness categories when using estimated cardiorespiratory fitness. Conclusion Differences exist between non-exercise prediction equations, which influences the accuracy of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness. The present analysis can assist researchers and clinicians with choosing a non-exercise prediction equation appropriate for epidemiological or population research. However, the error and misclassification associated with estimated cardiorespiratory fitness suggests future research is needed on the clinical utility of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness.

T3 Are Burns a Chronic Condition: Examining Physical and Mental Functioning up to 20 Years After Injury

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S2-S3
Author(s):  
Callie Abouzeid ◽  
Audrey E Wolfe ◽  
Gretchen J Carrougher ◽  
Nicole S Gibran ◽  
Radha K Holavanahalli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Hospital Stay ◽  
National Database ◽  
Time Points ◽  
Patient Reported ◽  
Burn Survivors ◽  
Population Demographic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Introduction Burn survivors often face many long-term physical and psychological symptoms associated with their injury. To date, however, few studies have examined the impact of burn injuries on quality of life beyond 2 years post-injury. The purpose of this study is to examine the physical and mental well-being of burn survivors up to 20 years after injury. Methods Data from the Burn Model System National Database (1997–2020) were analyzed. Patient-reported outcome measures were collected at discharge with a recall of preinjury status, and then at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years after injury. Outcomes examined were the Physical Component Summary (PCS) and Mental Component Summary (MCS) of the Short Form-12. Trajectories were developed using linear mixed methods model with repeated measures of PCS and MCS scores over time and controlling for demographic and clinical variables. The model fitted score trajectory was generated with 95% confidence intervals to demonstrate score changes over time and associations with covariates. Results The study population included 420 adult burn survivors with a mean age of 42.4 years. The population was mainly male (66%) and white (76.4%) with a mean burn size of 21.5% and length of hospital stay of 31.3 days. Higher PCS scores were associated with follow-up time points closer to injury, shorter hospital stay, and younger age. Similarly, higher MCS scores were associated with earlier follow-up time points, shorter hospital stay, female gender, and non-perineal burns. MCS trajectories are demonstrated in the Figure. Conclusions Burn survivors’ physical and mental health worsened over time. Such a trend is different from previous reported results for mental health in the general population. Demographic and clinical predictors of recovery over time are identified.

scholarly journals Comparative adherence between DOAC and VKA in patients with atrial fibrillation: a 23-year retrospective observational study in Canada

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Salmasi ◽  
A Safari ◽  
M.A De Vera ◽  
L Lynd ◽  
M Koehoorn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Drug Class ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Current Evidence ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Medication Discontinuation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Rolling Windows ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Background A recent systematic review highlighted significant gaps in the evidence on atrial fibrillation (AF) patients' adherence to oral anticoagulants (OAC). Current evidence suffers from short follow-up times, focuses on the first OAC and does not take switching into account. There is also lack of observational data on adherence to warfarin due to its varying dose that complicates the calculations. As such there is lack of evidence on comparative adherence between VKAs and DOACs and whether the convenience of DOACs translates into better adherence in AF patients. Purpose Our objective was to measure AF patients' long-term OAC adherence and compare the impact of taking direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKA) on adherence, while accounting for switching. Methods Using linked, population-based administrative data containing physician billings, hospitalization and prescription records of 4.8 million British Columbians (1996–2019), incident adult cases of AF were identified. The primary measure of adherence was proportion of days covered (PDC). Consecutive rolling 90-day windows were created for each patient starting from their first OAC prescription fill date until the end of their follow-up. The PDC for each 90-day rolling window was calculated and averaged to yield mean adherence over the follow-up period for each patient. Permanent medication discontinuation resulted in a PDC of 0 for all subsequent rolling windows after their supply ran out. As such, both poor execution and non-persistence were measured simultaneously. The association between drug class and adherence was assessed using generalized mixed effect linear regression models with drug class treated as time-varying covariate to account for switching. Results The study cohort was 30,264 AF patients [mean age 72.2 years (SD11.0), 44.6% female, mean CHA2DS2-VASc 2.94 (SD1.4)] with mean follow-up of 7.7 (SD 4.8) years. The mean PDC was 0.71 (SD 0.27) with 51% of the cohort having mean PDC values below the conventional threshold of adherence (PDC&lt;0.8). Adherence dropped over time with the greatest decline in the first two years after therapy initiation. After controlling for all other confounders and accounting for switching, taking VKA compared to DOAC was, on average, associated with a 1-day decrease in number of days of medication-taking per year. Conclusion AF patients' OAC adherence was below the conventional threshold of 0.8, and dropped over time, particularly in the first two years. Drug class had no clinically meaningful impact on medication adherence. Our study highlights the need for effective adherence interventions particularly early in OAC therapy. Our findings also emphasizes that prescribers should not assume inherently better adherence for DOACs and should instead choose OAC in conversation with the patient and in accordance with their values and preferences. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Canadian Institutes of Health Research grant

Abstract MP25: Obesity, Heart Failure Risk & Cardiorespiratory Fitness

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter F Kokkinos ◽  
Puneet Narayan ◽  
Charles Faselis ◽  
Jonathan Myers ◽  
Carl Lavie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Exercise Capacity ◽  
Cardiorespiratory Fitness ◽  
Reference Group ◽  
Normal Weight ◽  
Entire Cohort ◽  
Metabolic Equivalents ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Impact

Introduction: Obesity, defined as body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m 2 , is associated with increased incidence of heart failure (HF). Increased cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), as indicated by increased exercise capacity, is associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease and HF. However, the CRF-BMI-HF interaction has not been fully explored. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that the risk of HF associated with increased BMI is moderated by increased CRF. Methods: We identified 19,881 Veterans (mean age: 58.0±11.3 years) who completed an exercise tolerance test (ETT) to assess either CRF status or suspected ischemia at two VA Medical Centers (Washington DC and Palo Alto, CA). None had documented HF at baseline or evidence of ischemia during the ETT. We established four BMI categories: <25 kg/m 2 ; 25-29.9 kg/m 2 ; 30-34.9 kg/m 2 ; and ≥35 kg/m 2 . In addition, we established four CRF categories based on age-stratified quartiles of peak metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved (mean ± SD): Least-Fit (4.5±1.2 METs; n=4,743); Low-Fit (6.6±1.3; n=5,103); Moderate-Fit (8.0±1.3 METs; n=5,084); and High-Fit (11.1±2.4 METs; n=4,951). Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals [CI] for incidence of HF across BMI categories for the entire cohort, using BMI 25-29.9 kg/m 2 (lowest HF rate) as the reference group. We then stratified the cohort by the four BMI categories and assessed HF risk across CRF categories within each stratum, using the Least-fit category as the reference group. The models were adjusted for age, race, gender, cardiac risk factors, sleep apnea, alcohol dependence, medications. Results: During follow-up (median=11.8 years), 2,193 developed HF (10.5 per 1,000 person-years of follow-up). The HF risk for normal weight individuals (18.5-24.9 kg/m2) was 10% higher (p=0.93). For obese individuals, the HF risk was 22% higher in those with BMI 30-34.9 kg/m 2 (HR=1.22; 95% CI: 1.09-1.35) and 50% higher (HR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.32-1.72) for those with BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 . When CRF (peak METs achieved) was introduced in the model, the risk for those with BMI 30-34.9 was reduced from 22% to 16% (HR=1.16; 95% CI: 1.04-1.29) and from 50% to 29% (HR=1.29; 95% CI: 1.13-1.48) among those with ≥35 kg/m 2 . For every 1-MET increase in exercise capacity, HF risk was 15% lower (HR=0.85; 95% CI: 0.83-0.87). We then assessed the impact of CRF on the risk of HF within each of the four BMI categories. The HF risk declined progressively (range: 25% to 69%; p<0.01) with increasing fitness within all BMI categories. Conclusions: The obesity-associated increased risk of HF was attenuated by increased CRF. The HF risk was progressively decreased with increased CRF within all BMI categories.

Improvement in left ventricular mechanics following medical treatment of constrictive pericarditis

Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. heartjnl-2020-317304
Author(s):  
Kimi Sato ◽  
Ayman Ayache ◽  
Arnav Kumar ◽  
Paul C Cremer ◽  
Brian Griffin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Constrictive Pericarditis ◽  
Clinical Symptoms ◽  
Heart Association ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Doppler Imaging ◽  
Clinical Resolution ◽  
Ventricular Mechanics ◽  
Anti Inflammatory ◽  
The Impact

ObjectivePatients with constrictive pericarditis (CP) with active inflammation may show resolution with anti-inflammatory therapy. We aimed to investigate the impact of anti-inflammatory medications on constrictive pathophysiology using echocardiography in patients with CP.MethodsWe identified 35 patients with CP who were treated with anti-inflammatory medications (colchicine, prednisone, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs) after diagnosis of CP (mean age 58±13; 80% male). Clinical resolution of CP (transient CP) was defined as improvement in New York Heart Association class during follow-up. We assessed constrictive pathophysiology using regional myocardial mechanics by the ratio of peak early diastolic tissue velocity (e’) at the lateral and septal mitral annulus by tissue Doppler imaging (lateral/septal e’) or the ratio of the left ventricular lateral and septal wall longitudinal strain (LSlateral/LSseptal) by two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. Longitudinal data were analysed using a mixed effects model.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 323 days, 20 patients had transient CP, whereas 15 patients had persistent CP. Transient CP had higher baseline erythrocyte sedimentation rates (ESR) (p=0.003) compared with persistent CP. There were no significant differences in LSlateral/LSseptal and lateral/septal e’. During follow-up, only transient CP showed improvement in lateral/septal e’ (p<0.001) and LSlateral/LSseptal (p=0.003), and recovery of inflammatory markers was similar between the two groups. In the logistic model, higher baseline ESR and greater improvement in lateral/septal e’ and LSlateral/LSseptal were associated with clinical resolution of CP using anti-inflammatory therapy.ConclusionsImprovement of constrictive physiology detected by lateral/septal e’ and LSlateral/LSseptal was associated with resolution of clinical symptoms after anti-inflammatory treatment. Serial monitoring of these markers could be used to identify transient CP.

scholarly journals Reconstructive surgery for Ebstein anomaly: three decades of experience

2019 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 385-392
Author(s):  
Kevin M Veen ◽  
Mostafa M Mokhles ◽  
Jolien W Roos-Hesselink ◽  
Bas R Rebel ◽  
Johanna J M Takkenberg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Tricuspid Regurgitation ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Heart Association ◽  
Reoperation Rate ◽  
Ebstein Anomaly ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
Cone Repair ◽  
Over Time

AbstractOBJECTIVESSince 1988, our centre employs vertical plication repair with deattachment and reattachment of the tricuspid valve for Ebstein anomaly. This study describes the characteristics and long-term outcomes of our single-centre cohort.METHODSData from all patients operated on between 1988 and 2016 were retrospectively collected. Kaplan–Meier analyses were done for survival data and mixed models were used to analyse longitudinally collected clinical and echocardiography data.RESULTSThirty-six patients (mean age: 25.4 ± 15.9 years, 36% male) were operated on using the Carpentier–Chauvaud 21 (58%) or Cone repair 15 (42%). One patient (3%) died in hospital. Two late deaths were observed, yielding a survival of 97 ± 3% at 25 years. Reoperation was performed in 6 patients after a mean follow-up of 14.1 ± 10.3 years, resulting in a freedom of reoperation of 80 ± 8% at 25 years. During follow-up, predicted probability of being in New York Heart Association III/IV did not exceed 10%. Modelling longitudinal evolution of tricuspid regurgitation showed no major changes over time. Additionally, a rigid ring repair was associated with a higher probability of tricuspid regurgitation, especially after the first years after the operation. A full Cone repair was associated with less progression of tricuspid regurgitation over time.CONCLUSIONSRepair of Ebstein abnomaly is associated with low mortality and morbidity, acceptable reoperation rate and excellent valve function over time, especially in patients with completed Cone repair. Therefore, we conclude that in our centre, repair of Ebstein abnomaly is a durable technique to treat patients.

scholarly journals Association between cognitive phenotype in unaffected siblings and prospective 3- and 6-year clinical outcome in their proband affected by psychosis

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Thijs J. Burger ◽  
Frederike Schirmbeck ◽  
Jentien M. Vermeulen ◽  
Piotr J. Quee ◽  
Mariken B. de Koning ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Psychotic Disorders ◽  
Cognitive Vulnerability ◽  
Familial Risk ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Cognitive Alterations ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Background Cognitive alterations are a central and heterogeneous trait in psychotic disorders, driven by environmental, familial and illness-related factors. In this study, we aimed to prospectively investigate the impact of high familial risk for cognitive alterations, unconfounded by illness-related factors, on symptomatic outcomes in patients. Methods In total, 629 probands with non-affective psychosis and their sibling not affected by psychosis were assessed at baseline, 3- and 6-year follow-up. Familial cognitive risk was modeled by three cognitive subtypes (‘normal’, ‘mixed’ and ‘impaired’) in the unaffected siblings. Generalized linear mixed models assessed multi-cross-sectional associations between the sibling cognitive subtype and repeated measures of proband symptoms across all assessments. Between-group differences over time were assessed by adding an interaction effect of time and sibling cognitive subtype. Results Probands affected by psychosis with a sibling of the impaired cognitive subtype were less likely to be in symptomatic remission and showed more disorganization across all time points. When assessing differences over time, probands of siblings with the impaired cognitive subtype showed less remission and less improvement of disorganization after 3 and 6 years relative to the other subtypes. They also showed less reduction of positive, negative and excitement symptoms at 6-year follow-up compared to probands with a sibling of the normal cognitive subtype. Conclusions Cross-sibling pathways from higher levels of familial cognitive vulnerability to worse long-term outcomes may be informative in identifying cognition-related environmental and genetic risks that impact psychotic illness heterogeneity over time.

scholarly journals Do Depressive Symptoms Shape Blacks’ Perceptions of Stress Over Time?

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
DeAnnah R Byrd ◽  
Roland J Thorpe ◽  
Keith E Whitfield
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Depressive Symptoms ◽  
Perceived Stress ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Stressful Events ◽  
Age Group ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Background and Objectives Previous studies have linked stress to multiple negative mental health outcomes, including depression. This established stress–depression association is typically examined in one direction and cross-sectionally. This study examined the bidirectional relationships between depressive symptoms and changes in perceived stress over time in Blacks. Research Design and Methods The present study uses a community-dwelling sample of 450 Black adults, aged 51–96 years old, who participated in the Baltimore Study of Black Aging—Patterns of Cognitive Aging. Perceived stress—measured by the Perceived Stress Scale—and depressive symptoms—measured using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale—were both assessed at baseline and follow-up 33 months later. Ordinary least squares regression was used to examine 2 bidirectional longitudinal relationships between (1) stress–depression and (2) depression–stress, and whether these associations are modified by age. Results Initial analyses testing the typical stress–depression relationship showed an effect in the expected direction, that is stress leading to more depressive symptoms over time, adjusting for model covariates, but the effect was not statistically significant (b = 0.014, p = .642). After accounting for baseline perceived stress level, age, sex, education, and chronic health conditions, depressive symptoms were positively associated with follow-up stress (b = 0.210, p &lt; .000). The depression–stress association further varied by age group such that the impact of baseline depression on changes in perceived stress was greatest in Blacks in their 60s versus those in their 50s (b = 0.267, p = .001), controlling for model covariates. Discussion and Implications Contrary to previous work, the results suggest that an individual’s mental health shapes his/her perception of stressful events and this relationship varies by age group. While the typical finding (stress impacting depression) was not significant, the findings reported here highlight the importance of considering the possible bidirectional nature of the relationships between psychosocial measures of stress and mental health in later life among Blacks.

scholarly journals Age and sex impact plasma NFL and t-Tau trajectories in individuals with subjective memory complaints: a 3-year follow-up study

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Filippo Baldacci ◽  
◽  
Simone Lista ◽  
Maria Laura Manca ◽  
Patrizia A. Chiesa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Plasma Vitamin ◽  
Subjective Memory Complaints ◽  
Subjective Memory ◽  
Memory Complaints ◽  
Apoe Ε4 ◽  
Biological Variables ◽  
T Tau ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

Abstract Background Plasma neurofilament light (NFL) and total Tau (t-Tau) proteins are candidate biomarkers for early stages of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). The impact of biological factors on their plasma concentrations in individuals with subjective memory complaints (SMC) has been poorly explored. We longitudinally investigate the effect of sex, age, APOE ε4 allele, comorbidities, brain amyloid-β (Aβ) burden, and cognitive scores on plasma NFL and t-Tau concentrations in cognitively healthy individuals with SMC, a condition associated with AD development. Methods Three hundred sixteen and 79 individuals, respectively, have baseline and three-time point assessments (at baseline, 1-year, and 3-year follow-up) of the two biomarkers. Plasma biomarkers were measured with an ultrasensitive assay in a mono-center cohort (INSIGHT-preAD study). Results We show an effect of age on plasma NFL, with women having a higher increase of plasma t-Tau concentrations compared to men, over time. The APOE ε4 allele does not affect the biomarker concentrations while plasma vitamin B12 deficiency is associated with higher plasma t-Tau concentrations. Both biomarkers are correlated and increase over time. Baseline NFL is related to the rate of Aβ deposition at 2-year follow-up in the left-posterior cingulate and the inferior parietal gyri. Baseline plasma NFL and the rate of change of plasma t-Tau are inversely associated with cognitive score. Conclusion We find that plasma NFL and t-Tau longitudinal trajectories are affected by age and female sex, respectively, in SMC individuals. Exploring the influence of biological variables on AD biomarkers is crucial for their clinical validation in blood.

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