Abstract 274: Prevalence of undiagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation in the United States

Author(s):  
Mintu P Turakhia ◽  
Jason Shafrin ◽  
Katalin Bognar ◽  
Jeffrey B Brown ◽  
Jeffrey Trocio ◽  
...  

Background: Because atrial fibrillation (AF) is often asymptomatic, clinically silent and therefore undiagnosed, the prevalence of AF is difficult to estimate. In fact, ischemic stroke is often the first clinical sign of AF among previously undiagnosed patients. In this study, we estimated the prevalence of undiagnosed AF using a back-calculation approach that relies on the fact that AF causes stroke but causality generally does not run from stroke to AF. Methods: We first estimated the prevalence of diagnosed non-valvular AF in the elderly (65+) and working age (18-64) U.S. population from a 5% Medicare sample and an OptumInsight commercial claims database from 2004-2010 using validated ICD9 algorithms. To estimate the prevalence of undiagnosed non-valvular AF, our back-calculation methodology used two measured inputs: (i) the number of patients who are diagnosed with new non-valvular AF in the current or subsequent quarter after a stroke; (ii) the probability that patients with non-valvular AF have a stroke, based on CHADS2 risk scores. We confirmed calibration by comparing our prevalence estimates of diagnosed AF with prior Medicare and commercial claims analyses. Results: Between 2005 and 2009, the estimated prevalence of AF gradually increased, reaching 9.9% of the elderly U.S. population and 0.88% of the working aged population by 2009. Among the Medicare AF cases in 2009, 11% of these cases (1.1% out of 9.9%) were undiagnosed; among working aged patients with AF, 8% of cases (0.07% out of 0.88%) were undiagnosed. In addition, a large share of the undiagnosed cases was at high risk of stroke. Among the undiagnosed AF cases for elderly and working age adults, 26% and 37%, respectively have a CHADS2 score of 1, and 68% and 26% have a CHADS2 score of 2+. Conclusions: Among elderly and working adult U.S. populations, a substantial proportion of individuals with undiagnosed AF have moderate to high risk of stroke. Screening for AF could favorably impact the disease burden.

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily C O’Brien ◽  
Sunghee Kim ◽  
Paul L Hess ◽  
James V Freeman ◽  
Laine Thomas ◽  
...  

Introduction: In 2014, the AHA/ACC/HRS published new atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment guidelines recommending use of a refined stroke risk score and revised threshold for oral anticoagulation (OAC) initiation. Methods: Using data from ORBIT-AF, an ongoing, national, outpatient AF registry conducted at 176 sites, we examined changes in the number of patients qualifying for OAC based on clinical stroke risk scores under 2011 ACCF/AHA/HRS versus 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS guidelines. Patients were considered recommended for OAC under the 2011 guideline with a CHADS2 score >=2 and under the 2014 guideline with a CHA2DS2-VASC score >=2. We reported the fraction of patients treated with OAC (warfarin or dabigatran) among patients qualifying for OAC under each guideline. Results: From 2009 - 2010, 10132 patients were enrolled in ORBIT-AF (median age [IQR] = 75 years [67 - 82]; 42.3% female). The proportion of patients qualifying for OAC increased from 71.8% under the 2011 guideline to 90.8% under the 2014 guideline (Figure). For patients under the age of 65, the proportion qualifying for treatment with OAC increased from 43.1% to 60.6%. Similar increases were observed for patients over the age of 65: 79.1% indicated for OAC under the 2011 guideline, compared with 98.5% under the 2014 guideline. There were 97.7% of women who qualified for OAC under the 2014 guideline, compared with 76.7% under the 2011 guideline. The fraction of indicated patients who were not receiving OAC increased under the 2014 guideline (21.9% vs. 19.9% under the 2011 guideline), with the highest undertreatment rates for patients younger than 65 (25.4%). Conclusions: The 2014 AF treatment guideline substantially increased the proportion of patients who qualified for OAC, with near-universal indication for women and for patients older than 65. Under the 2014 guideline, approximately 22% of the indicated patients in our community-based cohort did not receive OAC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Yokoyama ◽  
K Miyamoto ◽  
M Nakai ◽  
Y Sumita ◽  
N Ueda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background “Age” is one of the major concerns and determinants of the indications for catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF). There are little safety data on CA of AF according to the age. This study aimed to assess the safety of CA in elderly patients undergoing CA of AF. Methods and results We investigated the complication rate of CA of AF for the different age groups (<60 years, 60–65, 65–70, 70–75, 75–80, 80–85, and ≥85) by a nationwide database (Japanese Registry Of All cardiac and vascular Diseases [JROAD]-DPC). The JROAD-DPC included 73,296 patients (65±11 years, 52,883 men) who underwent CA of AF from 516 hospitals in Japan. Aged patients had more comorbidities and a significantly increased CHADS2 score and higher rate of female according to a higher age. The overall complication rate was 2.6% and in-hospital mortality was 0.05%. By comparing each age group, complications occurred more frequently in higher aged groups. A multivariate adjusted hazard ratio revealed an increased age was independently and significantly associated with the overall complications (odds ratio was 1.25, 1.35, 1.72, 1.86, 2.76 and 3.13 respectively; reference <60 years). Conclusions The frequency of complications was significantly higher according to a higher age. We should take note of the indications and procedure for CA of AF in aged patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Intramural Research Fund 17 (Kusano) for Cardiovascular Diseases of the National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center


2018 ◽  
Vol 88 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Fumagalli ◽  
Serena Boni ◽  
Simone Pupo ◽  
Marta Migliorini ◽  
Irene Marozzi ◽  
...  

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent arrhythmia in elderly people. Findings derived from clinical trials seem to demonstrate that a rate-control strategy of AF in aged patients improves prognosis if compared to a rhythm-control one. However, epidemiological studies concordantly show that the arrhythmia is associated to increased hospitalization and mortality rates. In last years, the proportion of patients admitted to hospital for AF has progressively increased; this trend is observed in subjects >75 and >85 years, while no change was found in younger cohorts. Importantly, in aged individuals, probably because of the loss of atrial activity, the increase of heart rate and the irregularity of RR intervals, AF begins a vicious cycle, leading from heart failure, through the compromise of functional and neurocognitive status, to overt disability, dementia and increased mortality. Evidence specifically aimed at clarifying the effects of arrhythmia management on outcomes characteristic of aged people is completely lacking. In the elderly, the question regarding the effects of a rate- or a rhythm-control strategy of AF should be considered as an aspect of a more complex strategy, addressed to reduce disability and hospitalizations, and to improve quality of life and survival.


2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (spe1) ◽  
pp. 7-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geridice Lorna de Andrade Moraes ◽  
Thiago Moura de Araújo ◽  
Joselany Áfio Caetano ◽  
Marcos Venícios de Oliveira Lopes ◽  
Maria Josefina da Silva

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk for pressure ulcers in elderly in their homes, after a period of hospitalization. METHODS: A longitudinal prospective study conducted in the homes of 40 elderly identified with risk for pressure ulcer (PU) at hospital discharge, using the Braden Scale. The monitoring was conducted over four home visits, in the period between June and August of 2010, in Fortaleza (CE) and its metropolitan region. RESULTS: The majority of the elderly were female (65%) with a medical diagnosis of cerebral vascular accident (55%). In the first and second visits, 55% and 40% of the elderly, respectively, presented high risk for PU, and the incidence of PU was 22.5%. The association of the risk scores presented significant association in the first three visits. CONCLUSION: The risk for PU development was higher in the first two weeks, after hospital discharge, but diminished for the remainder of the visits.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-53
Author(s):  
V. I. Petrov ◽  
O. V. Shatalova ◽  
A. S. Gerasimenko ◽  
V. S. Gorbatenko

Aim. To study the frequency of prescribing antithrombotic agents in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) who were hospitalized in the cardiology department of a multidisciplinary hospital.Material and methods. A retrospective one-time study of medical records of 765 patients with non-valvular AF treated in the cardiology department of a multidisciplinary hospital in 2012 and 2016 was performed.Results. All patients were stratified in three groups depending on the CHA2DS2-VASc score. The frequency of prescribing antithrombotic agents was evaluated in each group. A low risk of thromboembolic complications was found in 1% (n=3) of patients in 2012 and 0.6% (n=3) in 2016. All these patients received antithrombotic agents. CHA2DS2-VASc=1 was found in 6% (n=15) of patients with AF in 2012 and in 3.4% (n=17) in 2016. A significant number of patients in this group received anticoagulant therapy with vitamin K antagonists (warfarin) or with direct oral anticoagulants. A high risk of thromboembolic complications (CHA2DS2-VASc≥2) was found in 93% of patient (n=245) in 2012 and in 96% (n=482) in 2016. Anticoagulant therapy was prescribed in 70.2% (n=172) patients with high risk in 2012 and 80% (n=387) in 2016. However, some patients with high risk of thromboembolic complications did not have the necessary therapy.Conclusion. Positive changes in the structure and frequency of prescribing anticoagulant drugs in patients with AF and a high risk of thromboembolic complications were found during the years studied. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Unverdorben ◽  
C. von Heymann ◽  
A. Santamaria ◽  
M. Saxena ◽  
T. Vanassche ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Annually > 10% of patients with atrial fibrillation on oral anticoagulation undergo invasive procedures. Optimal peri-procedural management of anticoagulation, as judged by major bleeding and thromboembolic events, especially in the elderly, is still debated. Methods Procedures from 1442 patients were evaluated. Peri-procedural edoxaban management was guided only by the experience of the attending physician. The primary safety outcome was the rate of major bleeding. Secondary outcomes included the peri-procedural administration of edoxaban, other bleeding events, and the main efficacy outcome, a composite of acute coronary syndrome, non-hemorrhagic stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic embolic events, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and mortality. Results Of the 1442 patients, 280 (19%) were < 65, 550 (38%) were 65–74, 514 (36%) 75–84, and 98 (7%) were 85 years old or older. With increasing age, comorbidities and risk scores were higher. Any bleeding complications were uncommon across all ages, ranging from 3.9% in patients < 65 to 4.1% in those 85 years or older; major bleeding rates in any age group were ≤ 0.6%. Interruption rates and duration increased with advancing age. Thromboembolic events were more common in the elderly, with all nine events occurring in those > 65, and seven in patients aged > 75 years. Conclusion Despite increased bleeding risk factors in the elderly, bleeding rates were small and similar across all age groups. However, there was a trend toward more thromboembolic complications with advancing age. Further efforts to identify the optimal management to reduce ischemic complications are needed. Trial registration: NCT# 02950168, October 31, 2016


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Zhang ◽  
Biyan Wang ◽  
Di Liu ◽  
Jinxia Zhang ◽  
Qiuyue Tian ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Observational studies showed that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) attacks universally and its most menacing progression uniquely endangers the elderly with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether COVID-19 is causally related to increasing susceptibility and severity of atrial fibrillation (AF), the main form of CVD, remains still unknown. Methods The study aims to investigate the bidirectional causal relations of COVID-19 with AF using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Results MR evidence suggested genetically predicted severe COVID-19 was significantly associated with higher risk of AF (odds ratio [OR], 1.041; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.007-1.076; P = 0.017), while genetically predicted AF was not causally associated with severe COVID-19 (OR, 0.831; 95% CI, 1.619-1.115; P=0.217). There was limited evidence to support association of genetically proxied COVID-19 with risk of AF (OR, 1.051; 95% CI, 0.991-1.114; P=0.097), and vice versa (OR, 0.163; 95% CI, 0.004-6.790; P=0.341). MR-Egger indicated no evidence of pleiotropic bias. Conclusion Overall, severe COVID-19 may causally affect AF through independent biological pathway. Survivors from severe COVID-19 might be of high risk of AF in the future. Key words Coronavirus disease 2019; Atrial Fibrillation; Bidirectional mendelian randomization


2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 243-249
Author(s):  
Sarah A. Toftlund ◽  
Ismail Gögenur ◽  
Lau C. Thygesen

Aim: Emergency exploratory laparotomy is a high-risk procedure, but most studies are based on small sample sizes, and no nationwide studies have reported the number of patients and the mortality risk. This descriptive study reports the prevalence, incidence and 30- and 365-day mortality of all patients undergoing emergency exploratory laparotomies in Denmark from 2003 to 2014. Methods: The study population is based on the Danish National Patient Register, which includes all patient contacts with Danish hospitals, including patients undergoing emergency surgery. All patients were followed in registers on mortality. Rates and proportions were estimated using Poisson and logistic regression models. Results: The number of prevalent patients was 15,330 through the period (2003–2014) of whom 13,795 were incident patients. Prevalence increased with age and peaked at 1% for the 80- to 84-year-old age group. The overall incidence was 27 per 100,000 person-years, which strongly increased with age (87 per 100,000 person-years among men and 85 per 100,000 person-years among women). The 30-day mortality was 16.5% and the 365-day mortality was 23.1%. Both increased strongly with age and did not improve over the study period. Both 30- and 365-day mortality were higher among unmarried patients compared to married patients. Conclusions: Emergency exploratory laparotomies are common high-risk procedures especially for the elderly population. These results can be used to focus on better postoperative care to reduce the mortality.


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