scholarly journals Financial Spillovers in Asian Emerging Economies

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-118
Author(s):  
Shin-ichi Fukuda ◽  
Mariko Tanaka
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
The United States ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Common Shocks ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This paper explores financial spillovers between emerging Asia and advanced economies using principal component analysis to extract common shocks in Asia. We first investigate stock market spillovers across the regions and find that spillovers from emerging Asia became significant after the global financial crisis. However, our industry-level analysis shows that the increased spillovers can be attributed to the first principal component (PC) in the manufacturing sector rather than to the first PC in the financial sector. This implies that the rise of the Asian manufacturing sector in the global market played a key role in enhancing the stock market spillovers. We next examine bilateral spillovers in short-term and long-term rates. In the tapering period, we find significant spillovers in long-term rates from the first PC in emerging Asia to Europe and the United States. However, these spillovers were much smaller than the stock market spillovers in magnitude.

scholarly journals U.S. Economic Uncertainty Shocks and China’s Economic Activities: A Time-Varying Perspective

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 215824402110326
Author(s):  
Lin Liu
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Economic Uncertainty ◽  
Transient Effects ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Common Shocks ◽  
Uncertainty Shocks ◽  
Intensive Intervention ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This paper presents new empirical evidence concerning the time-varying responses of China’s macroeconomy to U.S. economic uncertainty shocks through a novel TVP-VAR model. The results robustly reveal that a rise in U.S. economic uncertainty would exert sizable, persistent, and significant detrimental effects on China’s gross domestic product (GDP), price level, and short-term interest rate during the period when common shocks take place, such as the global financial crisis around 2008, whereas small and transient effects in the tranquil times. Therefore, China should diversify its international linkages and gradually reduce the dependence on the United States into a certain range to shield the domestic economy, as well as improve the independence of monetary policy. Furthermore, to withstand unfavorable external shocks, China should be prudent on greater opening-up and carry out more intensive intervention when common shocks hit the world economy. Finally, investors should be alert to the potential detrimental impact of U.S. economic uncertainty on Chinese assets’ fundamentals.

scholarly journals Cointegration of Stock Market and Exchange Rate in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pribawa E Pantas ◽  
Muhamad Nafik Hadi Ryandono ◽  
Misbahul Munir ◽  
Rofiul Wahyudi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between stock market and exchange rate in Indonesia. The research method used is Johansen cointegration test. The results of this study found no cointegration between the variables tested. Thus the exchange rate, JII, and IHSG have no relationship in the long term. The fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate in recent years did not generally affect the performance of stock indices especially after the global financial crisis of 2008. This shows the capital market in Indonesia has a good performance so that it is not so sensitive to the sentiment of the decline in the rupiah against the US dollar. This finding is in line with the findings of Syahrer (2010) which states the exchange rate has no effect on the stock market.

Investigating Long-Term Behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy)

2019 ◽  
pp. 304-312
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Long Term Behavior

The main purpose of this chapter is to highlight the long-term behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy) based on the FTSE MIB major stock market index. The empirical analysis covers a long period of time from January 1999 to December 2013 and describes the daily stock price movements in order to identify both financial expansion and contraction cycles. However, Milan Stock Exchange is a developed stock market that exhibits a more stable behavior than emerging stock markets, even stylized facts are much lower in this case. The econometric analysis provides an exhaustive perspective, because selected stock market behavior has changed completely due to the negative influence of the global financial crisis.

scholarly journals The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis, Does It Sustain?

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bashar Al-Zu'bi ◽  
Hussein Salameh ◽  
Qasim Mousa Abu Eid
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

<p>This paper studies the short and long term relationship between S&amp;P500 USA stock market index and the stock market indices of 30 countries around the world over the period June 2010-April 2015. We implement OLS regression and use error correction model to examine the short and long term relationship between the variables. Empirically, we find that there is a relationship on the short and long term between S&amp;P500 and the indices of 27 countries from East Asia, Europe, Latin America, Middle East as well as the countries of Australia and Canada. These results conclude that the global financial crisis of 2007-2008 significantly and lengthy increased the already high level of co-movement between the USA financial market and the observed stock market for 27 countries around the world. The findings from our research are important; however, we believe that further research based on our findings is necessary.</p>

scholarly journals Stock Market Contagion in the Early Stages of the Global Financial Crisis: The Experience of the GCC Countries

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imad A. Moosa
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Main Hypothesis ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Market Contagion ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This study examined stock market contagion from the United States to the markets of the GCC countries during the period 2007-08. These countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates) were also experiencing accelerating debt levels, overheated real estate markets, and drying up of liquidity. The main hypothesis under investigation is that the collapse of the GCC stock markets did not result purely from contagion, in the sense that these markets did not follow closely the US market during that period. It is argued that local factors were more influential in triggering the collapse and that those markets would have collapsed with or without the global financial crisis. The empirical results show rather limited evidence for the effect of U.S. stock prices on GCC stock prices and a much more important role for oil prices. However, neither of these variables alone can explain the behaviour of GCC stock prices during the period under investigation because of the role played by the domestic factors that caused bubbles and crashes.  

scholarly journals Increasing Transparency in Capital Markets after the Global Financial Crisis: The Case of Turkey

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cüneyd Ebrar Levent
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Wall Street ◽  
Small Investors ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Transparency And Disclosure

The need for financial transparency is way beyond reducing fluctuations on financial markets, the protection of small investors or fighting against money laundering. Asian crisis in 1997, Dot-com bubble in 2000, company crises such as Enron and the global financial crisis in 2008 have shown that a crisis caused by the lack of transparency in companies might not only affect the company and its stakeholders in a negative way but also the country and the region the company is in. After the financial crisis of 2008 many countries made various arrangements in capital accounts about increasing transparency and accountability which was seen as one of the reason of the crisis in addition the short and long term precautions. Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act which came into force in the United States in July 2010 is one of the most significant arrangements. In this study, practices of increasing transparency in capital markets after global financial crisis have been discussed. In this context, in light of the new regulations and the Corporate Governance Principles, transparency and disclosure practices in Turkey have been examined. The results of these practices have been analyzed in the short term and its possible effects on capital markets, companies and shareholders have been discussed in the long term. Increasing transparency has been expected to help financial markets process more effectively and to provide benefits to all stakeholders.

scholarly journals Poland’s Economic Performance in Global and Long-term Perspective: Surprises so far and Risks in the Years Ahead

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (52) ◽  
pp. 109-117
Author(s):  
Stanisław Gomułka
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Socialist Economy ◽  
The Third ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Polish Economy ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Development Gap ◽  
Green Island

Abstract The paper is focused on economic and institutional developments in Poland during the last 30 years of transition from its centrally planned socialist economy to a market-based capitalist economy. The main purposes of the paper are three. One is to identify and explain the developments that were either surprising or specifically Polish. The second purpose is to note and explain the differences between the rate of growth of the Polish economy and that of the other emerging economies, in particular to explain ‘the green island’ phenomenon during the global financial crisis 2008-2009. The third purpose is to note and discuss the new risks that may prevent Poland to reduce further the development gap to technologically most advanced economies.

Post-Crisis Interdependence Between Islamic Unit Trust Funds and Islamic Stock Market in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
pp. 292-305
Author(s):  
Muhamad Abduh ◽  
Ruzanna Ramli
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Islamic Finance ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Unit Trust ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This chapter evaluates short- and long-term relationships between 34 Islamic unit trusts and the Islamic stock market after the global financial crisis. The study collects data from Bloomberg's database from 2009 until 2012 and employs J-J cointegration to identify the long-term relationship while Granger causality test is used to investigate how the changes in Islamic stock market can influence the changes in Islamic unit trusts in the short term. The finding indicates that 61.76 percent out of the 34 Islamic unit trusts tested do not have long-term equilibrium with the Islamic stock market. Furthermore, only a few Islamic trusts responded to the changes in the Islamic stock market. This study is important for at least two reasons: its role in filling the gap in the literature of unit trust—stock markets nexus in Islamic finance; and its findings provide relevant information that can benefit investors and fund managers.

Ocena antykryzysowej polityki gospodarczej Stanów Zjednoczonych i wybranych państw członkowskich Unii Europejskiej w latach 2005–2014

2016 ◽  
pp. 26-46
Author(s):  
Marcin Jan Flotyński
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
European Union ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Domestic Products

The global financial crisis in 2007–2009 began a period of high volatility on the financial markets. Specifically, it caused an increased amplitude of fluctuations of the level of gross domestic products, the level of investment and consumption and exchange rates in particular countries. To address the adverse market circumstances, governments and central banks took actions in order to bolster the weakening global economy. The aim of this article is to present the anti-crisis actions in the United States and selected member states of the European Union, including Poland, and an assessment of their efficiency. The analysis conducted indicates that generally the actions taken in the United States in response to the crisis were faster and more adequate to the existing circumstances than in the European Union.

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