Meteorological Characteristics and Overland Precipitation Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers Affecting the West Coast of North America Based on Eight Years of SSM/I Satellite Observations

2008 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul J. Neiman ◽  
F. Martin Ralph ◽  
Gary A. Wick ◽  
Jessica D. Lundquist ◽  
Michael D. Dettinger
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
South Coast ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
North Coast ◽  
The South ◽  
Cool Season ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
The North

Abstract The pre-cold-frontal low-level jet within oceanic extratropical cyclones represents the lower-tropospheric component of a deeper corridor of concentrated water vapor transport in the cyclone warm sector. These corridors are referred to as atmospheric rivers (ARs) because they are narrow relative to their length scale and are responsible for most of the poleward water vapor transport at midlatitudes. This paper investigates landfalling ARs along adjacent north- and south-coast regions of western North America. Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) satellite observations of long, narrow plumes of enhanced integrated water vapor (IWV) were used to detect ARs just offshore over the eastern Pacific from 1997 to 2005. The north coast experienced 301 AR days, while the south coast had only 115. Most ARs occurred during the warm season in the north and cool season in the south, despite the fact that the cool season is climatologically wettest for both regions. Composite SSM/I IWV analyses showed landfalling wintertime ARs extending northeastward from the tropical eastern Pacific, whereas the summertime composites were zonally oriented and, thus, did not originate from this region of the tropics. Companion SSM/I composites of daily rainfall showed significant orographic enhancement during the landfall of winter (but not summer) ARs. The NCEP–NCAR global reanalysis dataset and regional precipitation networks were used to assess composite synoptic characteristics and overland impacts of landfalling ARs. The ARs possess strong vertically integrated horizontal water vapor fluxes that, on average, impinge on the West Coast in the pre-cold-frontal environment in winter and post-cold-frontal environment in summer. Even though the IWV in the ARs is greater in summer, the vapor flux is stronger in winter due to much stronger flows associated with more intense storms. The landfall of ARs in winter and north-coast summer coincides with anomalous warmth, a trough offshore, and ridging over the Intermountain West, whereas the south-coast summer ARs coincide with relatively cold conditions and a near-coast trough. ARs have a much more profound impact on near-coast precipitation in winter than summer, because the terrain-normal vapor flux is stronger and the air more nearly saturated in winter. During winter, ARs produce roughly twice as much precipitation as all storms. In addition, wintertime ARs with the largest SSM/I IWV are tied to more intense storms with stronger flows and vapor fluxes, and more precipitation. ARs generally increase snow water equivalent (SWE) in autumn/winter and decrease SWE in spring. On average, wintertime SWE exhibits normal gains during north-coast AR storms and above-normal gains during the south-coast AR storms. The north-coast sites are mostly lower in altitude, where warmer-than-normal conditions more frequently yield rain. During those events when heavy rain from a warm AR storm falls on a preexisting snowpack, flooding is more likely to occur.

Estimation of the precipitable water and water vapor flux using MAX-DOAS in two typical  cities of China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongmei Ren ◽  
Ang Li ◽  
Pinhua Xie ◽  
Zhaokun Hu ◽  
Jin Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Optical Absorption Spectroscopy ◽  
Water Vapor Flux ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Two Cities

<p>      Water vapor transport affects regional precipitation and climate change. The measurement of precipitable water and water vapor flux is of great significance to the study of precipitation and water vapor transport. In the study, a new method of computing the precipitable water and estimating the water vapor transport flux using multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) were presented. The calculated precipitable water and water vapor flux were compared to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis data and the correlation coefficient of the precipitable water, the zonal and meridional water vapor flux and ECMWF are r≥0.92, r=0.77 and r≥0.89, respectively. The seasonal and diurnal climatologies of precipitable water and water vapor flux in the coastal (Qingdao) and inland (Xi’an) cities of China using this method were analyzed from June 1, 2019 to May 31, 2020. The results indicated that the seasonal and diurnal variation characteristics of the precipitable water in the two cities were similar. The zonal fluxes of the two cities were mainly transported from west to east, Qingdao's meridional flux was mainly transported to the south, and Xi'an was mainly transported to the north. The results also indicated that the water vapor flux transmitting belts appear near 2km and 1.4km above the surface in Qingdao and appeared around 2.8km, 1.6km and 1.0km in Xi'an. </p>

scholarly journals Precipitation and Water Vapor Transport in the Southern Hemisphere with Emphasis on the South American Region

2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (9) ◽  
pp. 1902-1912 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josefina Moraes Arraut ◽  
Prakki Satyamurty
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
South America ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
The South ◽  
Meridional Transport ◽  
Moisture Flow ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract December–March climatologies of precipitation and vertically integrated water vapor transport were analyzed and compared to find the main paths by which moisture is fed to high-rainfall regions in the Southern Hemisphere in this season. The southern tropics (20°S–0°) exhibit high rainfall and receive ample moisture from the northern trades, except in the eastern Pacific and the Atlantic Oceans. This interhemispheric flow is particularly important for Amazonian rainfall, establishing the North Atlantic as the main source of moisture for the forest during its main rainy season. In the subtropics the rainfall distribution is very heterogeneous. The meridional average of precipitation between 35° and 25°S is well modulated by the meridional water vapor transport through the 25°S latitude circle, being greater where this transport is from the north and smaller where it is from the south. In South America, to the east of the Andes, the moisture that fuels precipitation between 20° and 30°S comes from both the tropical South and North Atlantic Oceans whereas between 30° and 40°S it comes mostly from the North Atlantic after passing over the Amazonian rain forest. The meridional transport (across 25°S) curve exhibits a double peak over South America and the adjacent Atlantic, which is closely reproduced in the mean rainfall curve. This corresponds to two local maxima in the two-dimensional field of meridional transport: the moisture corridor from Amazonia into the continental subtropics and the moisture flow coming from the southern tropical Atlantic into the subtropical portion of the South Atlantic convergence zone. These two narrow pathways of intense moisture flow could be suitably called “aerial rivers.” Their longitudinal positions are well defined. The yearly deviations from climatology for moisture flow and rainfall correlate well (0.75) for the continental peak but not for the oceanic peak (0.23). The structure of two maxima is produced by the effect of transients in the time scale of days.

scholarly journals Water Vapor Changes Affect Cross-Seasonal Strong Drought Events in the Eastern Region of Northwest China

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Kang Liu ◽  
Yaohui Li ◽  
Wei Shen ◽  
Yulong Ren ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
The South ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
The North ◽  
Depth Study

Drought in eastern Northwest China (ENC) is severely affected by water vapor conditions. An in-depth study of the primary sources of water vapor and its characteristics, at intraseasonal and interannual timescales, was conducted. This information is crucial for further study of the causes and mechanisms of extreme droughts and floods in the ENC. This study evaluated the spatial distribution and transport characteristics of water vapor over ENC during the 1981–2019 period based on the fifth generation of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalyzes data of the global climate (ERA5). We studied the water vapor transport routes, water vapor convergence, water vapor budgets as well as the changes in water vapor fluxes and budgets over time in four areas surrounding ENC. The Mediterranean Sea, Black Sea, Caspian Sea, Indian Ocean, Bay of Bengal, and the South China Sea were the main sources of water vapor in ENC, supplemented by mid to high-latitude continental sources. The monthly change in water vapor flux in ENC exhibited the peak on July. The transport of water vapor in ENC was mainly toward the east and north. For most cross-seasonal drought events, the water vapor output is the main way in the south boundary and the west boundary. However, for the longest duration of cross-seasonal strong drought events, it is characterized by that the water vapor output is the main way in the south boundary, while the water vapor input in the north boundary is obviously weak. Water vapor paths in cross-seasonal strong drought events are analyzed, by which the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model (HYSPLIT). The intensity of the subtropical high in the western Pacific is weak and the position is south, which corresponds to the occurrence of cross-seasonal strong drought in the ENC.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Atmospheric River Predictions by the WRF Model Using Aircraft and Regional Mesonet Observations of Orographic Precipitation and Its Forcing

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 1097-1113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Martin ◽  
F. Martin Ralph ◽  
Reuben Demirdjian ◽  
Laurel DeHaan ◽  
Rachel Weihs ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Regional Model ◽  
Global Model ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
Vapor Flux

Abstract Accurate forecasts of precipitation during landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs) are critical because ARs play a large role in water supply and flooding for many regions. In this study, we have used hundreds of observations to verify global and regional model forecasts of atmospheric rivers making landfall in Northern California and offshore in the midlatitude northeast Pacific Ocean. We have characterized forecast error and the predictability limit in AR water vapor transport, static stability, onshore precipitation, and standard atmospheric fields. Analysis is also presented that apportions the role of orographic forcing and precipitation response in driving errors in forecast precipitation after AR landfall. It is found that the global model and the higher-resolution regional model reach their predictability limit in forecasting the atmospheric state during ARs at similar lead times, and both present similar and important errors in low-level water vapor flux, moist-static stability, and precipitation. However, the relative contribution of forcing and response to the incurred precipitation error is very different in the two models. It can be demonstrated using the analysis presented herein that improving water vapor transport accuracy can significantly reduce regional model precipitation errors during ARs, while the same cannot be demonstrated for the global model.

scholarly journals Influence of Boreal Winter Intraseasonal Variation of Aleutian Low on Water Vapor Transport and Atmospheric Rivers

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yating Xiong ◽  
Qiuyu Chen ◽  
Xuejuan Ren
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Aleutian Low ◽  
Intraseasonal Variation ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
The North ◽  
North Pacific Region ◽  
The North Pacific

The Aleutian Low (AL) operates multiple time scales. The intraseasonal variation of AL is responsible for the subseasonal variability over the pan-North Pacific region. Atmospheric water vapor transport and atmospheric rivers (ARs) changes associated with the intraseasonal variation of AL are investigated over the North Pacific region for the winters of 1979–2014 in this study. The AL’s intraseasonal variation with a peak period of 40 days is identified. A total of 43 events that demonstrate the AL’s feature of strengthening and then weakening is picked and used for composition analysis. During the AL’s strengthening stage, eastward water vapor transport is dominant to the west of 150° W over the mid-basin. Meanwhile, poleward transport is dominant between 150–125° W. During the AL’s weakening stage, the eastward transport is weakened, and the poleward transport is concentrated over the center basin. Accompanied by the AL’s intraseasonal intensity oscillation, the frequency of ARs firstly increases, and then decreases over the ARs’ climatological mean body region over the North Pacific. The moisture source over the western North Pacific is hoarded during non-AR days, while the moisture sinks over the northeastern North Pacific during the AL’s strengthening stage, and the moisture sources over the center basin during the AL’s weakening stage converge during AR days. Hydroclimate effects on anomalies in precipitation over the west coast of North America are also analyzed.

Extreme Surface Winds During Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers: The Modulating Role of Near-Surface Stability

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terence J. Pagano ◽  
Duane E. Waliser ◽  
Bin Guan ◽  
Hengchun Ye ◽  
F. Martin Ralph ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Surface Winds ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Extreme Surface ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
Explained Variance

AbstractAtmospheric rivers (ARs) are long and narrow regions of strong horizontal water vapor transport. Upon landfall, ARs are typically associated with heavy precipitation and strong surface winds. A quantitative understanding of the atmospheric conditions that favor extreme surface winds during ARs has implications for anticipating and managing various impacts associated with these potentially hazardous events. Here, a global AR database (1999–2014) with relevant information from MERRA-2 reanalysis, QuikSCAT and AIRS satellite observations are used to better understand and quantify the role of near-surface static stability in modulating surface winds during landfalling ARs. The temperature difference between the surface and 1 km MSL (ΔT; used here as a proxy for near-surface static stability), and integrated water vapor transport (IVT) are analyzed to quantify their relationships to surface winds using bivariate linear regression. In four regions where AR landfalls are common, the MERRA-2-based results indicate that IVT accounts for 22-38% of the variance in surface wind speed. Combining ΔT with IVT increases the explained variance to 36-52%. Substitution of QuikSCAT surface winds and AIRS ΔT in place of the MERRA-2 data largely preserves this relationship (e.g., 44% compared to 52% explained variance for USA West Coast). Use of an alternate static stability measure–the bulk Richardson number–yields a similar explained variance (47%). Lastly, AR cases within the top and bottom 25% of near-surface static stability indicate that extreme surface winds (gale or higher) are more likely to occur in unstable conditions (5.3%/14.7% during weak/strong IVT) than in stable conditions (0.58%/6.15%).

scholarly journals Assessment of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Reforecasts of the Occurrence, Intensity, and Location of Atmospheric Rivers along the West Coast of North America

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (10) ◽  
pp. 3343-3362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle M. Nardi ◽  
Elizabeth A. Barnes ◽  
F. Martin Ralph
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
North America ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
The West ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
Landfall Location

AbstractAtmospheric rivers (ARs)—narrow corridors of high atmospheric water vapor transport—occur globally and are associated with flooding and maintenance of the water supply. Therefore, it is important to improve forecasts of AR occurrence and characteristics. Although prior work has examined the skill of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models in forecasting atmospheric rivers, these studies only cover several years of reforecasts from a handful of models. Here, we expand this previous work and assess the performance of 10–30 years of wintertime (November–February) AR landfall reforecasts from the control runs of nine operational weather models, obtained from the International Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Project database. Model errors along the west coast of North America at leads of 1–14 days are examined in terms of AR occurrence, intensity, and landfall location. Occurrence-based skill approaches that of climatology at 14 days, while models are, on average, more skillful at shorter leads in California, Oregon, and Washington compared to British Columbia and Alaska. We also find that the average magnitude of landfall integrated water vapor transport (IVT) error stays fairly constant across lead times, although overprediction of IVT is common at later lead times. Finally, we show that northward landfall location errors are favored in California, Oregon, and Washington, although southward errors occur more often than expected from climatology. These results highlight the need for model improvements, while helping to identify factors that cause model errors.

A Climatological Study of National Weat her Service Watches, Warnings, and Advisories and Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in the Western U.S. 2006–2018

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel M. Bartlett ◽  
Jason M. Cordeira
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Flash Flooding ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Central Regions ◽  
Heavy Snow

AbstractAtmospheric rivers (ARs) are synoptic-scale phenomena associated with long, narrow corridors of enhanced low-level water vapor transport. Landfalling ARs may produce numerous beneficial (e.g. drought amelioration and watershed recharge) and hazardous (e.g. flash flooding and heavy snow) impacts that may require the National Weather Service (NWS) to issue watches, warnings, and advisories (WWAs) for hazardous weather. Prior research on WWAs and ARs in California found that 50–70% of days with flood-related and 60–80% of days with winter weather-related WWAs occurred on days with landfalling ARs in California. The present study further investigates this relationship for landfalling ARs and WWAs during the cool seasons of 2006–2018 across the entire western U.S. and considers additional dimensions of AR intensity and duration. Across the western U.S., regional maxima of 70–90% of days with WWAs issued for any hazard type were associated with landfalling ARs. In the Pacific Northwest and Central regions, flood-related and wind-related WWAs were also more frequently associated with more intense and longer duration ARs. While a large majority of days with WWAs were associated with landfalling ARs, not all landfalling ARs were necessarily associated with WWAs (i.e., not all ARs are hazardous). For example, regional maxima of only 50–70% of AR days were associated with WWAs issued for any hazard type. However, as landfalling AR intensity and duration increased, the association with a WWA and the “hazard footprint” of WWAs increased quasi-exponentially across the western U.S.

scholarly journals Meteorological Drought Changes and Related Circulation Characteristics in Yulin City of the Northern Shaanxi from 1961 to 2015

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1196
Author(s):  
Yixing Yin ◽  
Lijuan Zhang ◽  
Xiaojun Wang ◽  
Wucheng Xu ◽  
Wenjun Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Precipitation Process ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
The South ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Northern Shaanxi ◽  
Yulin City

This study explored the spatio-temporal patterns of meteorological drought change and the mechanisms of drought occurrence in Yulin City of the northern Shaanxi by using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis and composite analysis based on the meteorological observation data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from 1961 to 2015. The main findings of the research are as follows: (1) In the annual and seasonal drought series, there is a non-significant trend toward drought in summer, while there are non-significant trends toward wetness for the other series. Overall, the frequency of drought is low in the southeast and high in the west and the north of the study area. (2) EOF1 is characterized by a uniform pattern in the whole region, i.e., there is a feature of consistent drought or flood in Yulin City. EOF2, EOF3 and EOF4 mainly indicate opposite characteristics of the changes of floods and droughts in the eastern/western parts and the southeast/other parts in the study area. (3) In the summer of the typical drought (flood) years, the study area is controlled by the northwest airflow behind the trough (zonal airflow at the bottom of low-pressure trough), and the meridional circulation (zonal circulation) is distributed in the mid-latitudes, which is conducive to the intrusion of cold air into the south (north) of China. The cold and warm air intersection area is to the south (to the north). The water vapor flux is weak (strong) and the water vapor divergence (convergence) prohibits (enhances) the precipitation process in the study area.

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