scholarly journals The Early Development of the 2015/16 Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Disruption

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 821-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pu Lin ◽  
Isaac Held ◽  
Yi Ming
Keyword(s):  
Wave Packet ◽  
Early Development ◽  
Wave Structure ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Tropical Waves ◽  
Momentum Fluxes ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract An unprecedented disruption of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) started to develop from late 2015. The early development of this event is analyzed using the space–time spectra of eddies from reanalysis data. While the extratropical waves propagating horizontally into the tropics were assumed to be the main driver for the disruption, it was not clear why these waves dissipated near the jet core instead of near the jet edge as linear theory predicts. This study shows that the drastic deceleration of the equatorial jet was largely brought about by a single strong wave packet, and the local winds experienced by the wave packet served as a better indicator of the wave breaking latitude than the zonal mean winds. Surprisingly, tropical mixed Rossby–gravity waves also made an appreciable contribution to the deceleration of the equatorial westerly jet by the horizontal eddy momentum fluxes, especially before January 2016. The horizontal eddy momentum fluxes associated with the tropical waves arise from the deformation of the wave structure when background westerlies increase with height. These horizontal eddy momentum anomalies from the tropical waves are commonly observed in the reanalysis data but are typically much weaker than those in the 2015/16 winter. The possibility exists that exceptionally strong equatorially trapped waves precondition the flow to disruption by an extratropical disturbance.

scholarly journals On the Momentum Budget of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rolando R. Garcia ◽  
Jadwiga H. Richter
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Equatorial Waves ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Community Climate Model ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Momentum Budget ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Community Climate

Abstract This study documents the contribution of equatorial waves and mesoscale gravity waves to the momentum budget of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in a 110-level version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model. The model has high vertical resolution, 500 m, above the boundary layer and through the lower and middle stratosphere, decreasing gradually to about 1.5 km near the stratopause. Parameterized mesoscale gravity waves and resolved equatorial waves contribute comparable easterly and westerly accelerations near the equator. Westerly acceleration by resolved waves is due mainly to Kelvin waves of zonal wavenumber in the range k = 1–15 and is broadly distributed about the equator. Easterly acceleration near the equator is due mainly to Rossby–gravity (RG) waves with zonal wavenumbers in the range k = 4–12. These RG waves appear to be generated in situ during both the easterly and westerly phases of the QBO, wherever the meridional curvature of the equatorial westerly jet is large enough to produce reversals of the zonal-mean barotropic vorticity gradient, suggesting that they are excited by the instability of the jet. The RG waves produce a characteristic pattern of Eliassen–Palm flux divergence that includes strong easterly acceleration close to the equator and westerly acceleration farther from the equator, suggesting that the role of the RG waves is to redistribute zonal-mean vorticity such as to neutralize the instability of the westerly jet. Insofar as unstable RG waves might be present in the real atmosphere, mixing due to these waves could have important implications for transport in the tropical stratosphere.

scholarly journals Analysis of Arctic Spring Ozone Anomaly in the Phases of QBO and 11-year Solar Cycle for 1979–2011

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yousuke Yamashita ◽  
Hideharu Akiyoshi ◽  
Masaaki Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Early Spring ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Negative Anomaly ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Arctic ozone amount in winter to spring shows large year-to-year variation. This study investigates Arctic spring ozone in relation to the phase of quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)/the 11-year solar cycle, using satellite observations, reanalysis data, and outputs of a chemistry climate model (CCM) during the period of 1979–2011. For this duration, we found that the composite mean of the Northern Hemisphere high-latitude total ozone in the QBO-westerly (QBO-W)/solar minimum (Smin) phase is slightly smaller than those averaged for the QBO-W/Smax and QBO-E/Smax years in March. An analysis of a passive ozone tracer in the CCM simulation indicates that this negative anomaly is primarily caused by transport. The negative anomaly is consistent with a weakening of the residual mean downward motion in the polar lower stratosphere. The contribution of chemical processes estimated using the column amount difference between ozone and the passive ozone tracer is between 10–20% of the total anomaly in March. The lower ozone levels in the Arctic spring during the QBO-W/Smin years are associated with a stronger Arctic polar vortex from late winter to early spring, which is linked to the reduced occurrence of sudden stratospheric warming in the winter during the QBO-W/Smin years.

scholarly journals Observational evidences of the influences of tropospheric subtropical and midlatitude stratospheric westerly jets on the equatorial stratospheric intraseasonal oscillations

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Karthick Kumar Reddy ◽  
T. K. Ramkumar ◽  
S. Venkatramana Reddy
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Lower Atmosphere ◽  
Theoretical Modelling ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Medium Range Weather Forecast ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Longitudinal Sector ◽  
Vertical Propagation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Subtropical Westerly Jet

Abstract. Using six Global Positioning System (GPS) Radio Occultation (RO) satellites (SAC-C, METOP-A and COSMIC/FORMOSAT-3, CNOFS, GRACE and TerraSAR-X) determined height profiles (1–40 km) of atmospheric temperature over the Indian tropical station of Gadanki and the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) Interim Reanalyses (ERA-Interim) zonal wind and temperature data for four years (2009–2012), the present work reports that the tropospheric Subtropical Westerly Jet (SWJ) and the Midlatitude Stratospheric Westerly Jet (MStWJ) play important roles in controlling differently the vertical propagation of tropical Intra Seasonal Oscillations (ISO) with different period bands from the troposphere up to the stratosphere during Northern winters. In the months of December–May (Northern winter to summer, NWTS) of all these years, there is significant 10–20 day and 20–40 day oscillations in the troposphere up to the height of 13 km and above this it reappears at all heights above 21 km. The 40–80 day oscillation also shows similar characteristics except that it almost disappeared during NWTS months of the year 2010–2011 in the stratosphere. The absence of these signals in the intervening heights of ~ 17–20 km is explained on the basis that these two bands actually propagate from the tropical to subtropical region near the tropopause and then reappears in the tropical stratosphere after refracted by the subtropical westerly jet. The poleward and equatorward propagation of these bands in the troposphere and stratosphere respectively are found using the ERA-interim data. Further the two longer period bands of ISO show strong quasi-biennial oscillation in the lower atmosphere with opposite phases (when one band shows maximum the other one shows minimum in a particular year) between these two bands. It is also observed that the phase of the tropical stratospheric Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) has significant control on the strength of the Mid latitude stratospheric westerly jet (MStWJ) that in turn controls the refraction of the tropical tropospheric longer (40–80 days, Longer period ISO; LISO) but not the smaller periods of ISO (SISO) back to the tropical stratosphere. In accordance with earlier theoretical modelling studies, the westerly phase of the lower stratospheric QBO occurred during NWTS months of 2010–2011 over the Indian longitudinal sector causes severe disruption of the MStWJ at 30 km height. This disruption caused the prevention of refraction back again to the tropical stratosphere of significant tropospheric LISO that arrived from the tropics through the tropopause. Further, in these four years, it is observed no direct vertical propagation of tropical tropospheric ISO to the stratosphere. The interannual variations in the tropical stratospheric LISO are related strongly to the phase of the equatorial lower stratospheric QBO in zonal wind and the strength of the MStWJ.

scholarly journals The Emergence of Shallow Easterly Jets within QBO Westerlies

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hitchcock ◽  
Peter H. Haynes ◽  
William J. Randel ◽  
Thomas Birner
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Eddy Fluxes ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

A configuration of an idealized general circulation model has been obtained in which a deep, stratospheric, equatorial, westerly jet is established that is spontaneously and quasi-periodically disrupted by shallow easterly jets. Similar to the disruption of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) observed in early 2016, meridional fluxes of wave activity are found to play a central role. The possible relevance of two feedback mechanisms to these disruptions is considered. The first involves the secondary circulation produced in the shear zones on the upper and lower flanks of the easterly jet. This is found to play a role in maintaining the aspect ratio of the emerging easterly jet. The second involves the organization of the eddy fluxes by the mean flow: the presence of a weak easterly anomaly within a tall, tropical, westerly jet is demonstrated to produce enhanced and highly focused wave activity fluxes that reinforce and strengthen the easterly anomalies. The eddies appear to be organized by the formation of strong potential vorticity gradients on the subtropical flanks of the easterly anomaly. Similar wave activity and potential vorticity structures are found in the ERA-Interim for the observed QBO disruption, indicating this second feedback was active then.

scholarly journals Dynamics of the Disrupted 2015/16 Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (15) ◽  
pp. 5661-5674 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
Steven Pawson ◽  
Leslie R. Lait
Keyword(s):  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Wind Variability ◽  
Momentum Fluxes ◽  
Horizontal Momentum ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Global Reanalysis ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

A significant disruption of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) occurred during the Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter of 2015/16. Since the QBO is the major wind variability source in the tropical lower stratosphere and influences the rate of ascent of air entering the stratosphere, understanding the cause of this singular disruption may provide new insights into the variability and sensitivity of the global climate system. Here this disruptive event is examined using global reanalysis winds and temperatures from 1980 to 2016. Results reveal record maxima in tropical horizontal momentum fluxes and wave forcing of the tropical zonal mean zonal wind over the NH 2015/16 winter. The Rossby waves responsible for these record tropical values appear to originate in the NH and were focused strongly into the tropics at the 40-hPa level. Two additional NH winters, 1987/88 and 2010/11, were also found to have large tropical lower-stratospheric momentum flux divergences; however, the QBO westerlies did not change to easterlies in those cases.

scholarly journals Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Extratropical Winter Stratosphere in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model and in Reanalysis Data

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 1402-1419 ◽  
Author(s):  
James A. Anstey ◽  
Theodore G. Shepherd ◽  
John F. Scinocca
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Empirical Orthogonal Functions ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract The interannual variability of the stratospheric polar vortex during winter in both hemispheres is observed to correlate strongly with the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in tropical stratospheric winds. It follows that the lack of a spontaneously generated QBO in most atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) adversely affects the nature of polar variability in such models. This study examines QBO–vortex coupling in an AGCM in which a QBO is spontaneously induced by resolved and parameterized waves. The QBO–vortex coupling in the AGCM compares favorably to that seen in reanalysis data [from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40)], provided that careful attention is given to the definition of QBO phase. A phase angle representation of the QBO is employed that is based on the two leading empirical orthogonal functions of equatorial zonal wind vertical profiles. This yields a QBO phase that serves as a proxy for the vertical structure of equatorial winds over the whole depth of the stratosphere and thus provides a means of subsampling the data to select QBO phases with similar vertical profiles of equatorial zonal wind. Using this subsampling, it is found that the QBO phase that induces the strongest polar vortex response in early winter differs from that which induces the strongest late-winter vortex response. This is true in both hemispheres and for both the AGCM and ERA-40. It follows that the strength and timing of QBO influence on the vortex may be affected by the partial seasonal synchronization of QBO phase transitions that occurs both in observations and in the model. This provides a mechanism by which changes in the strength of QBO–vortex correlations may exhibit variability on decadal time scales. In the model, such behavior occurs in the absence of external forcings or interannual variations in sea surface temperatures.

scholarly journals Tropical Waves and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in a 7-km Global Climate Simulation

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (9) ◽  
pp. 3771-3783 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura A. Holt ◽  
M. Joan Alexander ◽  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
Andrea Molod ◽  
William Putman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Healthy Population ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Tropical Waves ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Very High

Abstract This study investigates tropical waves and their role in driving a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-like signal in stratospheric winds in a global 7-km-horizontal-resolution atmospheric general circulation model. The Nature Run (NR) is a 2-yr global mesoscale simulation of the Goddard Earth Observing System Model, version 5 (GEOS-5). In the tropics, there is evidence that the NR supports a broad range of convectively generated waves. The NR precipitation spectrum resembles the observed spectrum in many aspects, including the preference for westward-propagating waves. However, even with very high horizontal resolution and a healthy population of resolved waves, the zonal force provided by the resolved waves is still too low in the QBO region and parameterized gravity wave drag is the main driver of the NR QBO-like oscillation (NR-QBO). The authors suggest that causes include coarse vertical resolution and excessive dissipation. Nevertheless, the very-high-resolution NR provides an opportunity to analyze the resolved wave forcing of the NR-QBO. In agreement with previous studies, large-scale Kelvin and small-scale waves contribute to the NR-QBO driving in eastward shear zones and small-scale waves dominate the NR-QBO driving in westward shear zones. Waves with zonal wavelength < 1000 km account for up to half of the small-scale (<3300 km) resolved wave forcing in eastward shear zones and up to 70% of the small-scale resolved wave forcing in westward shear zones of the NR-QBO.

scholarly journals Role of equatorial planetary and gravity waves in the 2015–16 quasi-biennial oscillation disruption

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min-Jee Kang ◽  
Hye-Yeong Chun ◽  
Rolando R. Garcia
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Wave Mode ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Negative Wave ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. In February 2016, the descent of the westerly phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) was unprecedentedly disrupted by the development of easterly winds. Previous studies have shown that extratropical Rossby waves propagating into the deep Tropics were the major cause of the 2015–16 QBO disruption. However, a large portion of the negative momentum forcing associated with the disruption still stems from equatorial planetary and small-scale gravity waves, which calls for detailed analyses by separating each wave mode compared with climatological QBO cases. Here, the contributions of resolved equatorial planetary waves [Kelvin, Rossby, mixed-Rossby gravity (MRG), and inertia-gravity (IG) waves] and small-scale convective gravity waves (CGWs) obtained from an offline CGW parameterization to the 2015–16 QBO disruption are investigated using MERRA-2 global reanalysis data from October 2015 to February 2016. In October and November 2015, anomalously strong negative forcing by MRG and IG waves weakened the QBO jet at 0°–5° S near 40 hPa, leading to Rossby wave breaking at the QBO jet core in the southern hemisphere. From December 2015 to January 2016, exceptionally strong Rossby waves propagating horizontally (vertically) continuously decelerated the southern (northern) flank of the jet. In February 2016, when the westward CGW momentum flux at the source level was much stronger than its climatology, CGWs began to exert considerable negative forcing at 40–50 hPa near the equator, in addition to the Rossby waves. The enhancement of the negative wave forcing in the Tropics stems mostly from strong wave activity in the troposphere associated with increased convective activity and the strong westerlies (or weaker easterlies) in the troposphere, except that the MRG wave forcing is more likely associated with increased barotropic instability in the lower stratosphere.

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