scholarly journals Fast and Slow Components of the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to CO2 Forcing

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 1091-1105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo Ceppi ◽  
Giuseppe Zappa ◽  
Theodore G. Shepherd ◽  
Jonathan M. Gregory

Abstract Poleward shifts of the extratropical atmospheric circulation are a common response to CO2 forcing in global climate models (GCMs), but little is known about the time dependence of this response. Here it is shown that in coupled climate models, the long-term evolution of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) induces two distinct time scales of circulation response to steplike CO2 forcing. In most GCMs from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project as well as in the multimodel mean, all of the poleward shift of the midlatitude jets and Hadley cell edge occurs in a fast response within 5–10 years of the forcing, during which less than half of the expected equilibrium warming is realized. Compared with this fast response, the slow response over subsequent decades to centuries features stronger polar amplification (especially in the Antarctic), enhanced warming in the Southern Ocean, an El Niño–like pattern of tropical Pacific warming, and weaker land–sea contrast. Atmosphere-only GCM experiments demonstrate that the SST evolution drives the difference between the fast and slow circulation responses, although the direct radiative effect of CO2 also contributes to the fast response. It is further shown that the fast and slow responses determine the long-term evolution of the circulation response to warming in the representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario. The results imply that shifts in midlatitude circulation generally scale with the radiative forcing, rather than with global-mean temperature change. A corollary is that time slices taken from a transient simulation at a given level of warming will considerably overestimate the extratropical circulation response in a stabilized climate.

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (10) ◽  
pp. 3187-3208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengge Su ◽  
Xiaolan Duan ◽  
Deliang Chen ◽  
Zhenchun Hao ◽  
Lan Cuo

Abstract The performance of 24 GCMs available in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) is evaluated over the eastern Tibetan Plateau (TP) by comparing the model outputs with ground observations for the period 1961–2005. The twenty-first century trends of precipitation and temperature based on the GCMs’ projections over the TP are also analyzed. The results suggest that for temperature most GCMs reasonably capture the climatological patterns and spatial variations of the observed climate. However, the majority of the models have cold biases, with a mean underestimation of 1.1°–2.5°C for the months December–May, and less than 1°C for June–October. For precipitation, the simulations of all models overestimate the observations in climatological annual means by 62.0%–183.0%, and only half of the 24 GCMs are able to reproduce the observed seasonal pattern, which demonstrates a critical need to improve precipitation-related processes in these models. All models produce a warming trend in the twenty-first century under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (rcp8.5) scenario; in contrast, the rcp2.6 scenario predicts a lower average warming rate for the near term, and a small cooling trend in the long-term period with the decreasing radiative forcing. In the near term, the projected precipitation change is about 3.2% higher than the 1961–2005 annual mean, whereas in the long term the precipitation is projected to increase 6.0% under rcp2.6 and 12.0% under the rcp8.5 scenario. Relative to the 1961–2005 mean, the annual temperature is projected to increase by 1.2°–1.3°C in the short term; the warmings under the rcp2.6 and rcp8.5 scenarios are 1.8° and 4.1°C, respectively, for the long term.


2021 ◽  
Vol 922 (2) ◽  
pp. 239
Author(s):  
P. Rannou ◽  
M. Coutelier ◽  
E. Rivière ◽  
S. Lebonnois ◽  
M. Rey ◽  
...  

Abstract On Titan, methane is responsible for the complex prebiotic chemistry, the global haze, most of the cloud cover, and the rainfall that models the landscape. Its sources are located in liquid reservoirs at and below the surface, and its sink is the photodissociation at high altitude. Titan’s present and past climates strongly depend on the connection between the surface sources and the atmosphere upper layers. Despite its importance, very little information is available on this topic. In this work, we reanalyze two solar occultations made by Cassini before the northern spring equinox. We find a layer rich in methane at 165 km and at 70°S (mixing ratio 1.62% ± 0.1%) and a dryer background stratosphere (1.1%–1.2%). In the absence of local production, this reveals an intrusion of methane transported into the stratosphere by convective circulation. On the other hand, methane transport through the tropopause at a global scale appears quite inhibited. Leaking through the tropopause is an important bottleneck of Titan’s methane cycle at all timescales. As such, it affects the long-term evolution of Titan’s atmosphere and the exchange fluxes with the surface and subsurface reservoirs in a complex way. Global climate models accounting for cloud physics, thermodynamical feedbacks, and convection are needed to understand the methane cycle, and specifically the humidification of the stratosphere, at the present time, and its evolution under changing conditions at a geological timescale.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-49
Author(s):  
Michael Rollings ◽  
Timothy M. Merlis

AbstractReanalysis and other observationally-based estimates suggest the tropics have expanded more than simulated by coupled climate models with historical radiative forcing. Previous research has attempted to reconcile this discrepancy by using climate model simulations with constrained tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) to account for the role of internal variability. Here the relationships between Hadley cell extent and internal SST variability and long-term warming are analysed using purely observational techniques. Using linearly independent components of SST variability with reanalysis datasets, the statistical relationship between Pacific variability and Hadley cell extent is quantified by timescale. There is a strong correlation between North Pacific decadal SST variability and Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell extent. Conversely, there is a weaker observed relation between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Hadley cell extent when low-frequency variability is filtered out of the ENSO signal. The observed linear sensitivity of Hadley cell width to long-termwarming agrees with coupled general circulation model experiments when accounting for uncertainties, and there is a statistically significant relationship between Northern Hemisphere Hadley cell extent and long-term warming during boreal autumn.


Author(s):  
Chaithra. H. U ◽  
Vani H.R

Now a days in Wireless Local Area Networks (WLANs) used in different fields because its well-suited simulator and higher flexibility. The concept of WLAN  with  advanced 5th Generation technologies, related to a Internet-of-Thing (IOT). In this project, representing the Network Simulator (NS-2) used linked-level simulators for Wireless Local Area Networks and still utilized IEEE 802.11g/n/ac with advanced IEEE 802.11ah/af technology. Realization of the whole Wireless Local Area Networking linked-level simulators inspired by the recognized Vienna Long Term Evolution- simulators. As a outcome, this is achieved to link together that simulator to detailed performances of Wireless Local Area Networking with Long Term Evolution, operated in the similar RF bands. From the advanced 5th Generation support cellular networking, such explore is main because different coexistences scenario can arise linking wireless communicating system to the ISM and UHF bands.


2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (15) ◽  
pp. 33-40
Author(s):  
Javier Enrique Arévalo Peña

En la planeación de las próximas generaciones de redes inalámbricas es importante contar con estudios de radio propagación que permitan establecer diseños adecuados para ofrecer los servicios proyectados por las nuevas tecnologías a los usuarios móviles. En este artículo se presentan aspectos relacionados con el comportamiento de cobertura de radio propagación del modelo propuesto por el 3GPP (3rd Generation Partnership Project) para un entorno urbano en una red LTE (Long Term Evolution) empleando sistemas de antenas convencionales y sistemas de antena adaptativas (AAS). Para ello se utiliza la herramienta de software ICS Designer y se establece como escenario los alrededores la Fundación Universidad Autónoma de Colombia ubicada en el centro urbano de la ciudad de Bogotá D. C.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document