Automated temporal tracking of coherently evolving density fronts in numerical models

Abstract Oceanic density fronts can evolve, be advected, or propagate as gravity currents. Frontal evolution studies require methods to temporally track evolving density fronts. We present an automated method to temporally track these fronts from numerical model solutions. First, at all time steps contiguous density fronts are detected using an edge detection algorithm. A front event, defined as a set of sequential-in-time fronts representing a single time-evolving front, is then identified. At time step i, a front is compared to each front at time step i + 1 to determine if the two fronts are matched. An i front grid point is trackable if the minimum distance to the i + 1 front falls within a range. The i front is forward-matched to the i + 1 front when a sufficient number of grid points are trackable and the front moves onshore. A front event is obtained via forward tracking a front for multiple time steps. Within an event, the times that a grid point can be tracked is its connectivity and a pruning algorithm using a connectivity cutoff is applied to extract only the coherently evolving components. This tracking method is applied to a realistic 3-month San Diego Bight model solution yielding 81 front events with duration ≥ 7 hours, allowing analyses of front event properties including occurrence frequency and propagation velocity. Sensitivity tests for the method’s parameters support that this method can be straightforwardly adapted to track evolving fronts of many types in other regions from both models and observations.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinyue Qi ◽  
Hongxia Ge ◽  
Rongjun Cheng

In the actual traffic environment, the driver’s aggressive driving behaviors are closely related to the traffic conditions at the next-nearest grid point at next time step. The driver adjusts the acceleration of the driving vehicle by predicting the density of the front grid points. Considering the driver’s aggressive effect and the relative flow difference integral, a novel two-lane lattice hydrodynamic model is presented in this paper. The linear stability method is used to analyze the current stability of the new model, and the neutral stability curve is obtained. The nonlinear analysis of the new model is carried out by using the theory of perturbations, and the mKdV equation describing the density of the blocked area is derived. The theoretical analysis results are verified by numerical simulation. From the analysis results, it can be seen that the driver’s aggressive effect and the relative flow difference integral can improve the stability of traffic flow comprehensively.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Siqiang Chen ◽  
Masahiro Toyoura ◽  
Takamasa Terada ◽  
Xiaoyang Mao ◽  
Gang Xu

A textile fabric consists of countless parallel vertical yarns (warps) and horizontal yarns (wefts). While common looms can weave repetitive patterns, Jacquard looms can weave the patterns without repetition restrictions. A pattern in which the warps and wefts cross on a grid is defined in a binary matrix. The binary matrix can define which warp and weft is on top at each grid point of the Jacquard fabric. The process can be regarded as encoding from pattern to textile. In this work, we propose a decoding method that generates a binary pattern from a textile fabric that has been already woven. We could not use a deep neural network to learn the process based solely on the training set of patterns and observed fabric images. The crossing points in the observed image were not completely located on the grid points, so it was difficult to take a direct correspondence between the fabric images and the pattern represented by the matrix in the framework of deep learning. Therefore, we propose a method that can apply the framework of deep learning viau the intermediate representation of patterns and images. We show how to convert a pattern into an intermediate representation and how to reconvert the output into a pattern and confirm its effectiveness. In this experiment, we confirmed that 93% of correct pattern was obtained by decoding the pattern from the actual fabric images and weaving them again.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 3517 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anh Ngoc-Lan Huynh ◽  
Ravinesh C. Deo ◽  
Duc-Anh An-Vo ◽  
Mumtaz Ali ◽  
Nawin Raj ◽  
...  

This paper aims to develop the long short-term memory (LSTM) network modelling strategy based on deep learning principles, tailored for the very short-term, near-real-time global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting. To build the prescribed LSTM model, the partial autocorrelation function is applied to the high resolution, 1 min scaled solar radiation dataset that generates statistically significant lagged predictor variables describing the antecedent behaviour of GSR. The LSTM algorithm is adopted to capture the short- and the long-term dependencies within the GSR data series patterns to accurately predict the future GSR at 1, 5, 10, 15, and 30 min forecasting horizons. This objective model is benchmarked at a solar energy resource rich study site (Bac-Ninh, Vietnam) against the competing counterpart methods employing other deep learning, a statistical model, a single hidden layer and a machine learning-based model. The LSTM model generates satisfactory predictions at multiple-time step horizons, achieving a correlation coefficient exceeding 0.90, outperforming all of the counterparts. In accordance with robust statistical metrics and visual analysis of all tested data, the study ascertains the practicality of the proposed LSTM approach to generate reliable GSR forecasts. The Diebold–Mariano statistic test also shows LSTM outperforms the counterparts in most cases. The study confirms the practical utility of LSTM in renewable energy studies, and broadly in energy-monitoring devices tailored for other energy variables (e.g., hydro and wind energy).


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 810-822 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Sonali ◽  
D. Nagesh Kumar

Worldwide, major changes in the climate are expected due to global warming, which leads to temperature variations. To assess the climate change impact on the hydrological cycle, a spatio-temporal change detection study of potential evapotranspiration (PET) along with maximum and minimum temperatures (Tmax and Tmin) over India have been performed for the second half of the 20th century (1950–2005) both at monthly and seasonal scale. From the observed monthly climatology of PET over India, high values of PET are envisioned during the months of March, April, May and June. Temperature is one of the significant factors in explaining changes in PET. Hence seasonal correlations of PET with Tmax and Tmin were analyzed using Spearman rank correlation. Correlation of PET with Tmax was found to be higher compared to that with Tmin. Seasonal variability of trend at each grid point over India was studied for Tmax, Tmin and PET separately. Trend Free Pre-Whitening and Modified Mann Kendall approaches, which consider the effect of serial correlation, were employed for the trend detection analysis. A significant trend was observed in Tmin compared to Tmax and PET. Significant upward trends in Tmax, Tmin and PET were observed over most of the grid points in the interior peninsular region.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 2969-3013 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Haywood ◽  
D. J. Hill ◽  
A. M. Dolan ◽  
B. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
F. Bragg ◽  
...  

Abstract. Climate and environments of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period (3.264 to 3.025 Ma) have been extensively studied. Whilst numerical models have shed light on the nature of climate at the time, uncertainties in their predictions have not been systematically examined. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project quantifies uncertainties in model outputs through a co-ordinated multi-model and multi-model/data intercomparison. Whilst commonalities in model outputs for the Pliocene are evident, we show substantial variation in the sensitivity of models to the implementation of Pliocene boundary conditions. Models appear able to reproduce many regional changes in temperature reconstructed from geological proxies. However, data/model comparison highlights the potential for models to underestimate polar amplification. To assert this conclusion with greater confidence, limitations in the time-averaged proxy data currently available must be addressed. Sensitivity tests exploring the "known unknowns" in modelling Pliocene climate specifically relevant to the high-latitudes are also essential (e.g. palaeogeography, gateways, orbital forcing and trace gasses). Estimates of longer-term sensitivity to CO2 (also known as Earth System Sensitivity; ESS), suggest that ESS is greater than Climate Sensitivity (CS), and that the ratio of ESS to CS is between 1 and 2, with a best estimate of 1.5.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Lavergne ◽  
Atle Macdonald Sørensen ◽  
Stefan Kern ◽  
Rasmus Tonboe ◽  
Dirk Notz ◽  
...  

Abstract. We introduce the OSI-450, the SICCI-25km and the SICCI-50km climate data records of gridded global sea-ice concentration. These three records are derived from passive microwave satellite data and offer three distinct advantages compared to existing records: First, all three records provide quantitative information on uncertainty and possibly applied filtering at every grid point and every time step. Second, they are based on dynamic tie points, which capture the time evolution of surface characteristics of the ice cover and accommodate potential calibration differences between satellite missions. Third, they are produced in the context of sustained services offering committed extension, documentation, traceability, and user support. The three records differ in the underlying satellite data (SMMR & SSM/I & SSMIS or AMSR-E & AMSR2), in the imaging frequency channels (37 GHz and either 6 GHz or 19 GHz), in their horizontal resolution (25 km or 50 km) and in the time period they cover. We introduce the underlying algorithms and provide an initial evaluation. We find that all three records compare well with independent estimates of sea-ice concentration both in regions with very high sea-ice concentration and in regions with very low sea-ice concentration. We hence trust that these records will prove helpful for a better understanding of the evolution of the Earth's sea-ice cover.


2007 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abigail Morrison ◽  
Sirko Straube ◽  
Hans Ekkehard Plesser ◽  
Markus Diesmann

Very large networks of spiking neurons can be simulated efficiently in parallel under the constraint that spike times are bound to an equidistant time grid. Within this scheme, the subthreshold dynamics of a wide class of integrate-and-fire-type neuron models can be integrated exactly from one grid point to the next. However, the loss in accuracy caused by restricting spike times to the grid can have undesirable consequences, which has led to interest in interpolating spike times between the grid points to retrieve an adequate representation of network dynamics. We demonstrate that the exact integration scheme can be combined naturally with off-grid spike events found by interpolation. We show that by exploiting the existence of a minimal synaptic propagation delay, the need for a central event queue is removed, so that the precision of event-driven simulation on the level of single neurons is combined with the efficiency of time-driven global scheduling. Further, for neuron models with linear subthreshold dynamics, even local event queuing can be avoided, resulting in much greater efficiency on the single-neuron level. These ideas are exemplified by two implementations of a widely used neuron model. We present a measure for the efficiency of network simulations in terms of their integration error and show that for a wide range of input spike rates, the novel techniques we present are both more accurate and faster than standard techniques.


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