scholarly journals A Comparison of Two Heavy Rainfall Events during the Terrain-Influenced Monsoon Rainfall Experiment (TiMREX) 2008

2014 ◽  
Vol 142 (7) ◽  
pp. 2436-2463 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan-Chi Tu ◽  
Yi-Leng Chen ◽  
Ching-Sen Chen ◽  
Pay-Liam Lin ◽  
Po-Hsiung Lin

Abstract Two contrasting localized heavy rainfall events during Taiwan’s early summer rainy season with the daily rainfall maximum along the windward mountain range and coast were studied and compared using a combination of observations and numerical simulations. Both events occurred under favorable large-scale settings including the existence of a moisture tongue from the tropics. For the 31 May case, heavy rainfall occurred in the afternoon hours over the southwestern windward slopes after a shallow surface front passed central Taiwan. The orographic lifting of the prevailing warm, moist, west-southwesterly flow aloft, combined with a sea breeze–upslope flow at the surface provided the localized lifting needed for the development of heavy precipitation. On 16 June before sunrise, pronounced orographic blocking of the warm, moist, south-southwesterly flow occurred because of the presence of relatively cold air at low levels as a result of nocturnal and rain evaporative cooling. As a result, convective systems intensified as they moved toward the southwestern coast. During the daytime, the cold pool remained over southwestern Taiwan without the development of onshore/upslope flow. Furthermore, with a south-southwesterly flow aloft parallel to terrain contours, orographic lifting aloft was absent and preexisting rain cells offshore diminished after they moved inland. Over northern Taiwan on the lee side, a sea breeze/onshore flow developed in the afternoon hours, resulting in heavy thundershowers. These results demonstrate the importance of diurnal and local effects on determining the location and timing of the occurrences of localized heavy precipitation during the early summer rainy season over Taiwan.

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1122
Author(s):  
Monica Ionita ◽  
Viorica Nagavciuc

The role of the large-scale atmospheric circulation in producing heavy rainfall events and floods in the eastern part of Europe, with a special focus on the Siret and Prut catchment areas (Romania), is analyzed in this study. Moreover, a detailed analysis of the socio-economic impacts of the most extreme flood events (e.g., July 2008, June–July 2010, and June 2020) is given. Analysis of the largest flood events indicates that the flood peaks have been preceded up to 6 days in advance by intrusions of high Potential Vorticity (PV) anomalies toward the southeastern part of Europe, persistent cut-off lows over the analyzed region, and increased water vapor transport over the catchment areas of Siret and Prut Rivers. The vertically integrated water vapor transport prior to the flood peak exceeds 300 kg m−1 s−1, leading to heavy rainfall events. We also show that the implementation of the Flood Management Plan in Romania had positive results during the 2020 flood event compared with the other flood events, when the authorities took several precaution measurements that mitigated in a better way the socio-economic impact and risks of the flood event. The results presented in this study offer new insights regarding the importance of large-scale atmospheric circulation and water vapor transport as drivers of extreme flooding in the eastern part of Europe and could lead to a better flood forecast and flood risk management.


2017 ◽  
Vol 98 (5) ◽  
pp. 999-1013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yali Luo ◽  
Renhe Zhang ◽  
Qilin Wan ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Wai Kin Wong ◽  
...  

Abstract During the presummer rainy season (April–June), southern China often experiences frequent occurrences of extreme rainfall, leading to severe flooding and inundations. To expedite the efforts in improving the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) of the presummer rainy season rainfall, the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) initiated a nationally coordinated research project, namely, the Southern China Monsoon Rainfall Experiment (SCMREX) that was endorsed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) as a research and development project (RDP) of the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP). The SCMREX RDP (2013–18) consists of four major components: field campaign, database management, studies on physical mechanisms of heavy rainfall events, and convection-permitting numerical experiments including impact of data assimilation, evaluation/improvement of model physics, and ensemble prediction. The pilot field campaigns were carried out from early May to mid-June of 2013–15. This paper: i) describes the scientific objectives, pilot field campaigns, and data sharing of SCMREX; ii) provides an overview of heavy rainfall events during the SCMREX-2014 intensive observing period; and iii) presents examples of preliminary research results and explains future research opportunities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (10) ◽  
pp. 4117-4141
Author(s):  
Feng Hsiao ◽  
Yi-Leng Chen ◽  
David Eugene Hitzl

AbstractShort-lived afternoon heavy rainfall events may form over central Oahu during seasonal transition periods (June and October) under favorable large-scale settings. These include a deep moist layer with relatively high precipitable water (>40 mm), blocking pattern in midlatitudes with a northeast–southwest moist tongue from low latitudes ahead of an upper-level trough, absence of a trade wind inversion, and weak (<3 m s−1) low-level winds. Our high-resolution (1.5 km) model results show that immediately before the storm initiation, daytime land surface heating deepens the mixed layer over central Oahu and the top of the mixed layer reaches the lifting condensation level. Meanwhile, the development of onshore/sea-breeze flows, driven by land–sea thermal contrast, brings in moist maritime air over the island interior. Finally, convergence of onshore flows over central Oahu provides the localized lifting required for the release of instability. Based on synoptic and observational analyses, nowcasting with a lead time of 2–3 h ahead of this type of event is possible. In the absence of orographic effects after removing model topography, processes that lead to heavy rainfall are largely unchanged, and subsequent development of heavy showers over central Oahu are still simulated. However, when surface heat and moisture fluxes are turned off, convective cells are not simulated in the area. These results indicate that daytime heating is crucial for the development of this type of heavy rainfall event under favorable large-scale settings.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aldo Greco ◽  
Davide Luciano De Luca ◽  
Elenio Avolio

An in-depth analysis of historical heavy rainfall fields clearly constitutes an important aspect in many related topics: as examples, mesoscale models for early warning systems and the definition of design event scenarios can be improved, with the consequent upgrading in the prediction of induced phenomena (mainly floods and landslides) into specific areas of interest. With this goal, in this work the authors focused on Calabria region (southern Italy) and classified the main precipitation systems through the analysis of selected heavy rainfall events from high resolution rain gauge network time series. Moreover, the authors investigated the relationships among the selected events and the main synoptic atmospheric patterns derived by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 Reanalysis dataset, in order to assess the possible large-scale scenarios which can induce heavy rainfall events in the study area. The obtained results highlighted: (i) the importance of areal reduction factors, rainfall intensities and amounts in order to discriminate the investigated precipitations systems for the study area; (ii) the crucial role played by the position of the averaged low-pressure areas over the Mediterranean for the synoptic systems, and by low-level temperature for the convective systems.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ewelina Walawender ◽  
Katharina Lengfeld ◽  
Tanja Winterrath ◽  
Elmar Weigl ◽  
Andreas Becker

&lt;p&gt;One of the predicted effects of climate change in Central Europe is a growing number and increasing extremity of heavy rainfalls. Thus, it is of a great importance not only to develop best possible nowcasting methods and long-term forecasting models, but also to look closer at the structure and detailed characteristics of extreme events that have already taken place.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;With this objective, the German Weather Service (DWD) has developed a Catalogue of Radar-based Heavy Rainfall Events (CatRaRE), derived from 20 years of climatological radar data for the area of Germany.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Using hourly data of about 1 km spatial resolution, an object-oriented analysis is performed to classify spatially and timely independent rainfall events exceeding the official warning level for heavy precipitation. Events with duration between 1 and 72 hours are investigated and statistically analysed. Apart from various extremity attributes, like return period, heavy precipitation, and weather extremity indices, the catalogue is enriched with additional variables (e.g. weather type, antecedent precipitation index, population density, land cover, imperviousness degree, Topographic Position Index), providing the meteorological background and helping to estimate the possible impact, each event could provoke.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Catalogue is freely available via DWD&amp;#8217;s Open Data Portal in both a tabular and spatial (GIS) format. In addition, a user friendly online Dashboard was developed to visualize the data and communicate our results to a broader audience.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We will present the CatRaRE Catalogue and results of a comprehensive analysis of all classified heavy precipitation events that occurred in Germany between 2001 and 2020. Different time scales from diurnal to multi-annual, as well as identified spatial patterns in connection with event attributes will be illustrated. Most common weather types, favouring occurrence of detected events will be outlined. Finally, we will demonstrate selected application possibilities by combining the catalogue with other datasets (e.g. fire brigade operations).&lt;/p&gt;


2019 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andung Bayu Sekaranom ◽  
Hirohiko Masunaga

AbstractThis study aims to characterize the background physical processes in the development of those heavy precipitation clouds that contribute to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) active and passive sensor differences. The combined global observation data from TRMM, CloudSat, and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) from 2006 to 2014 were utilized to address this issue. Heavy rainfall events were extracted from the top 10% of the rain events from the Precipitation Radar (PR) and TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) rain-rate climatology. Composite analyses of CloudSat and ERA-Interim were conducted to identify the detailed cloud structures and the background environmental conditions. Over tropical land, TMI tends to preferentially detect deep isolated precipitation clouds for relatively drier and unstable environments, while PR identifies more organized systems. Over the tropical ocean, TMI identifies heavy rainfall events with notable convective organization and clear regional gradients between the western and eastern Pacific Ocean, while PR fails to capture the eastward shallowing of convective systems. The PR–TMI differences for the moist and stable environments are reversed over tropical land.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 2500
Author(s):  
Douglas Miller ◽  
Malarvizhi Arulraj ◽  
Ralph Ferraro ◽  
Christopher Grassotti ◽  
Bob Kuligowski ◽  
...  

Two heavy rainfall events occurring in early 2020 brought flooding, flash flooding, strong winds, and tornadoes to the southern Appalachian Mountains. Part I of the study examined large-scale atmospheric contributions to the atmospheric river-influenced events and subsequent societal impacts. Contrary to expectations based on previous work in this region, the event having a lower event accumulation and shorter duration resulted in a greater number of triggered landslides and prolonged downstream flooding outside of the mountains. One purpose of this study (Part II) is to examine the local atmospheric conditions contributing to the rather unusual surface response to the shorter duration heavy rainfall event of 12–13 April 2020. A second purpose of this study is to investigate the utility of several spaced-based QPE and vertical atmospheric profile methods in illuminating some of the atmospheric conditions unique to the April event. The embedded mesoscale convective elements in the warm sector of the April event were larger and of longer duration than of the other event in February 2020, leading to sustained periods of convective rain rates. The environment of the April event was convectively unstable, and the resulting available potential energy was sustained by relatively dry airstreams at the 700 hPa level, continuously overriding the moist air stream at low levels attributed to an atmospheric river.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 2452
Author(s):  
Douglas Miller ◽  
John Forsythe ◽  
Sheldon Kusselson ◽  
William Straka III ◽  
Jifu Yin ◽  
...  

Two heavy rainfall events occurring in early 2020 brought flooding, flash flooding, strong winds and tornadoes to the southern Appalachian Mountains. The atmospheric river-influenced events qualified as extreme (top 2.5%) rain events in the archives of two research-grade rain gauge networks located in two different river basins. The earlier event of 5–7 February 2020 was an event of longer duration that caused significant flooding in close proximity to the mountains and had the higher total accumulation observed by the two gauge networks, compared to the later event of 12–13 April 2020. However, its associated downstream flooding response and number of landslides (two) were muted compared to the April event (21). The purpose of this study is to understand differences in the surface response of the two events, primarily by examining the large-scale weather pattern and available space-based observations. Both storms were preceded by anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking events that led to a highly amplified 500 hPa wave during the February storm (a broad continent-wide 500 hPa cyclone during the April storm) in which the accompanying low-level cyclone moved slowly (rapidly). Model analyses and space-based water vapor observations of the two events indicated a deep sub-tropical moisture source during the February storm (converging sub-tropical low-level moisture streams and a dry mid-tropospheric layer during the April storm). Systematic differences of environmental stability were reflected in differences of storm-averaged rain rate intensity, with large-scale atmospheric structures favoring higher intensities during the April storm. Space-based observations of post-storm surface conditions suggested antecedent soil moisture conditioned by rainfall of the February event made the widespread triggering of landslides possible during the higher intensity rains of the April event, a period exceeding the 30 day lag explored in Miller et al. (2019).


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