An Empirical Investigation of Debt Overhang on Selected Asian Countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 66 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 396-399
Author(s):  
Arindam Das ◽  
Nilotpal Mukherjee
Keyword(s):  
Growth And Development ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Country Level ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

The impact of external debt on investment is a very popular issue which has been empirically tested by many scholars. But when such debt becomes unsustainable it threatens sustainable economic development of a country. Since the inception of debt crisis in the 1980s, when and how external debt burden creates a debt overhang paradox is a controversial issue. Debt overhang is a paradox because debt is expected to stimulate growth and development of a country, but contrary to this expectation debt after crossing a threshold limit hinders such growth and development. This article examines whether huge external debt build over time really has a detrimental effect on investment at the country level. The present study has been conducted on 18 Asian countries of the world for the period from 2000 to 2015 by using the data from the World Development Indicators. Panel regression technique has been applied to examine the impact of external debt on investment. A Granger causality test has also been conducted on external debt and investment to find out whether external debt has any causal impact on investment. The result shows the existence of the debt overhang paradox.

scholarly journals Environmental Degradation, Economic Growth and Non-renewable Energy in Selected South Asian Countries: Trivariate Analysis From DCCE-MG Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bosede Ngozi ADELEYE ◽  
Darlington AKAM ◽  
Nasiru INUWA ◽  
Henry Tumba JAMES ◽  
Denis BASILA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Environmental Degradation ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Country Level ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This study investigates and provides evidence on the impact of economic growth and non-renewable energy on environmental degradation. Using unbalanced panel data from 1990 to 2018 on five South Asian countries and engaging the dynamic common correlated effects-mean group (DCCE-MG) technique of Ditzen (2016, 2018), findings support the energy-led degradation hypothesis while the growth-led degradation hypothesis does not hold but both are supported from FMOLS and DOLS robustness checks. In order words, non-renewable energy and economic growth significantly drive environmental degradation. Country-level results are mixed with Nepal evidencing energy-led degradation, Pakistan shows growth-led degradation while India indicates growth-led sustainability. Supportively, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (2012) non-Granger causality test establishes: (1) energy-led and growth-led degradation, (2) feedback causal relation between environmental degradation and non-renewable energy, and (3) unidirectional causality from growth to non-renewable energy i.e. “conservation” hypothesis. Policy implications are discussed.

An Econometric Analysis on the Relationship between Globalisation and Inequality in South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-89
Author(s):  
Jacques de Jongh
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Global Integration ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The World ◽  
Distribution Of Resources ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Globalisation has had an unprecedented impact on the development and well-being of societies across the globe. Whilst the process has been lauded for bringing about greater trade specialisation and factor mobility many have also come to raise concerns on its impact in the distribution of resources. For South Africa in particular this has been somewhat of a contentious issue given the country's controversial past and idiosyncratic socio-economic structure. Since 1994 though, considerable progress towards its global integration has been made, however this has largely coincided with the establishment of, arguably, the highest levels of income inequality the world has ever seen. This all has raised several questions as to whether a more financially open and technologically integrated economy has induced greater within-country inequality (WCI). This study therefore has the objective to analyse the impact of the various dimensions of globalisation (economic, social and political) on inequality in South Africa. Secondary annual time series from 1990 to 2018 were used sourced from the World Bank Development indicators database, KOF Swiss Economic Institute and the World Inequality database. By using different measures of inequality (Palma ratios and distribution figures), the study employed two ARDL models to test the long-run relationships with the purpose to ensure the robustness of the results. Likewise, two error correction models (ECM) were used to analyse the short-run dynamics between the variables. As a means of identifying the casual effects between the variables, a Toda-Yamamoto granger causality analysis was utilised. Keywords: ARDL, Inequality, Economic Globalisation; Social Globalisation; South Africa

scholarly journals AN ANALYTICAL STUDY OF TOTAL FDI INFLOW, OUTFLOW AND NET FDI OF FIVE SOUTH ASIAN COUNTRIES OVER THE PERIOD 1992–2019

2021 ◽  
pp. 417-435
Author(s):  
Sushanta Kumar Tarai ◽  
Prof. Sudhakar Patra
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Analytical Study ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
The World Bank

This present research aims to analyze the total FDI inflow, outflow and net FDI of five South Asian countries over the period 1992–2019.This study is based on 28years Time series data taken from the World Bank Development Indicators. In order to compare the FDI inflow, outflow and net FDI inflow of India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal over the period 1992–2019,both descriptive and inferential statistical tools such as correlation test, paired t test, the familiar linear regression model, Granger-Causality test, percentage analysis and tables, are used for analysis, hypothesis testing and interpretation of data. This study used various secondary data. Economic development of the developing countries like India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Nepal largely rely on FDI. However, the study also reveals that in the last two decades, India received 23 times more FDI than Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Nepal. For attracting more FDI, these nations require to create more congenial and favorable atmosphere towards the foreign investors. It is also concluded that the after implementing make in India campaign investing countries in total FDI inflow are increased. KEYWORDS: FDI inflow, FDI outflow, GDP growth.

scholarly journals COVID-19 and/with dengue infection: A curse in an overburdened healthcare system

2020 ◽  
pp. 004947552097594
Author(s):  
Prateek Kumar Panda ◽  
Indar Kumar Sharawat
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Health Care Services ◽  
Emergency Services ◽  
Dengue Infection ◽  
History Taking ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Hospital Emergency ◽  
Care Services ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

While the world battles to wrestle with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, regions with endemic dengue fever are confronting the possibility of a double pandemic that could completely overpower health care services administrations. Simultaneous outbreaks of dengue and COVID-19, as well as probable cases of overlapping infections, have already started in Latin America and certain Asian countries. There, the healthcare framework is already overburdened and such a deadly duo may completely overwhelm hospital emergency services quite apart from a country’s economy. Precise epidemiological and contact history-taking joined with due attention to false-positive dengue serology and the chance of co-infections are key devices for frontline doctors to overcome this seemingly insurmountable challenge.

scholarly journals A note on the relationship between COVID-19 and stock market return: evidence from South Asia

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Arafat Rahman ◽  
Md Mohsan Khudri ◽  
Muhammad Kamran ◽  
Pakeezah Butt
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Stock Market Return ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The transformation of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) from a regional health crisis in a Chinese city to a global pandemic has caused severe damage not only to the natural and economic lives of human beings but also to the financial markets. The rapidly pervading and daunting consequences of COVID-19 spread have plummeted the stock markets to their lowest levels in many decades especially in South Asia. This concern motivates us to investigate the stock markets’ response to the COVID-19 pandemic in four South Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. This study aims to investigate the causal impact of the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases on stock market returns using panel data of the countries stated above. Design/methodology/approach This study collects and analyzes the daily data on COVID-19 spread and stock market return over the period May 28, 2020 to October 01, 2020. Using Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel Granger non-causality test, the empirical results demonstrate that the COVID-19 spread measured through its daily confirmed cases in a country significantly induces stock market return. This paper cross-validates the results using the pairwise Granger causality test. Findings The empirical results suggest unidirectional causality from COVID-19 to stock market returns, indicating that the spread of COVID-19 has a dominant short-term influence on the stock movements. To the best of the knowledge, this study provides the first empirical insights into the impact of COVID-19 on the stock markets of selected South Asian countries taking the cross-sectional dependence into account. The results are also in line with the findings of other existing literature on COVID-19. Moreover, the results are robust across the two tests used in this study. Originality/value The findings are equally insightful to the fund managers and investors in South Asian countries. Taking into account the possible impact of COVID-19 on stock markets’ returns, investors can design their optimal portfolios more effectively. This study has another important implication in the sense that the impact of COVID-19 on the stock markets of South Asian countries may have spillover effects on other developing or even developed countries.

scholarly journals A Country-Level Analysis of Worldwide Official Financing by International Financial Institutions

sjesr ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-146
Author(s):  
Abdul Basit ◽  
Tehmina Fiaz Qazi ◽  
Abdul Aziz Khan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
International Financial Institutions ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Country Level ◽  
The World ◽  
Grey Relational Grade ◽  
Grey Relational

This study aims to evaluate worldwide official financial flows by international financial institutions to selected 123 countries of the world. The design of the study is composed of a review of literature elicited from research databases, extraction of secondary data of World Development Indicators (WDI) 2020, and mathematical analysis. In real time, cross-sectional country-level data, a classical process of Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) has been applied. Results of the study show that Argentina, Ethiopia, Bangladesh, India, Egypt, Arab Rep., Kenya, Costa Rica, Vietnam, Chad, Tanzania, Colombia, Uzbekistan, Nepal, Indonesia, Nigeria, Rwanda, Cameroon, and Uganda have exceptionally high grey relational grade meaning thereby, having an effective system of obtaining official international financial flows. Zimbabwe, Russian Federation, Botswana, Afghanistan, Bulgaria, South Africa, Burundi, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Pakistan, Peru, Romania, and Ukraine have poor grey relational grade meaning thereby, having a relatively weak system of obtaining official financial flows. It is a unique study that provides extensive information on the official financial flows of more than a hundred countries of the world and provides the basis for the informed opinion of policymakers, political governments, economic policymakers, researchers, and academia. It also provides valuable information useful for international financial institutions.

scholarly journals Tourist development between security and terrorism: empirical evidence from Europe and the United States

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 219-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariya Stankova ◽  
Tsvetomir Tsvetkov ◽  
Lyubov Ivanova
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Value Added ◽  
The United States ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Financial Outcomes ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

Research background: Today’s world is torn between extreme conservatism and duality, in opposition, trying to break the classical framework of freedom in the movement of people. In the context of complex global relations, this impulse, especially related to the travels for tourism purposes, raises new issues concerning the safety and security. The tourism industry has a priority for the economic development of many countries in the world and is a large source of export earnings and, at the same time, an important factor in the balance of payments of a significant part of the national economies in the world. The growing importance of the tourism industry, however, puts tourist destinations worldwide at the forefront of new challenges, one of which is terrorism. In this environment, new relationships are emerging and this reflects on the development strategies, as well as on the financial outcomes of tourism industry which are also largely affected. Purpose of the article: Respecting the new realities, the study explores the link between the risk of terrorism and the revenues from international tourism. Its main purpose is to investigate the impact of terrorism on the financial revenues from tourism in the European countries and the United States. The research is deter-mined by the perception that the financial flows from the international tourism are the quantitative manifestation of the hidden effects of the terrorism. Methods: The research method includes a regression cross-section analysis and Granger Causality test. The survey is panel and includes 37 countries from Europe tourism region and the United States from Americas’ tourism region (according UNWTO) for the period 2012–2017. Findings & Value added: In conclusion, the effects of terrorism on the studied regions have been summarized, establishing dependence between terrorism and tourism, which illustrates a specific creative-destructive reflections of terrorism on tourism with regions particularities.

scholarly journals CAN ISLAMIC BANKING DEVELOPMENT SPUR FINANCIAL INCLUSION IN OIC MEMBER COUNTRIES?

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 170-185
Author(s):  
Kamalu Kabiru ◽  
Wan Hakimah Binti Wan Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Positive Impact ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Adult Age ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
The Moment ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Banking Development

Islamic financial instruments of profit-loss-sharing and redistributions are capable of including people hitherto outside the formal financial system into mainstream formal finance thereby increasing the level of financial inclusion. Globally, OIC member countries have the highest number of adult age 15 and above without access to a formal bank account (53.7%). The primary purpose of this study is to investigate how does Islamic banking can increases the level of financial inclusion in OIC member countries. The work employed the use of system GMM, second-generation cointegration test and causality test to achieve this objective. The data used in this study were obtained from world development indicators, GLOBAL Findex and OIC statistical database from 2013 to 2018. The result found that Islamic banking significantly affects the level of financial inclusion in OIC member countries, and the impact found to be positive and significant when the interaction of Islamic banking and institution were used. Moreover, Islamic banking is found to cause financial inclusion, with no bidirectional causality. Other independent variables, GDP per capita, Institution and domestic to private sector are found to have positive impact on financial inclusion. The results confirmed that, Islamic banking has positive impact on financial inclusion in OIC member countries. In order to promote financial inclusion the policymakers in OIC member countries should consider improving the level of Islamic banking development, so that more people outside the formal financial system will be included. Keywords: Islamic banking development, Financial inclusion, Generalised Methods of the Moment (GMM), Organisation for Islamic Cooperation (OIC) member countries

scholarly journals Impact of Trade Openness on Food Security: Evidence from Panel Data for Central Asian Countries

Foods ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 3012
Author(s):  
Zhilu Sun ◽  
Defeng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Food Security ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Central Asian ◽  
The World ◽  
Central Asian Countries ◽  
The Impact

The problem of food insecurity has become increasingly critical across the world since 2015, which threatens the lives and livelihoods of people around the world and has historically been a challenge confined primarily to developing countries, to which the countries of Central Asia, as typical transition countries, cannot be immune either. Under this context, many countries including Central Asian countries have recognized the importance of trade openness to ensure adequate levels of food security and are increasingly reliant on international trade for food security. Using the 2001–2018 panel data of Central Asian countries, based on food security’s four pillars (including availability, access, stability, and utilization), this study empirically estimates the impact of trade openness and other factors on food security and traces a U-shaped (or inverted U-shaped) relationship between trade openness and food security by adopting a panel data fixed effect model as the baseline model, and then conducts the robustness test by using the least-squares (LS) procedure for the pooled data and a dynamic panel data (DPD) analysis with the generalized method of moments (GMM) approach, simultaneously. The results show that: (1) a U-shaped relationship between trade openness and the four pillars of food security was found, which means that beyond a certain threshold of trade openness, food security status tends to improve in Central Asian countries; (2) gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, GDP growth, and agricultural productivity have contributed to the improvement of food security. Employment in agriculture, arable land, freshwater withdrawals in agriculture, population growth, natural disasters, and inflation rate have negative impacts on food security; and (3) this study confirms that trade policy reforms can finally be conducive to improving food security in Central Asian countries. However, considering the effects of other factors, potential negative effects of trade openness, and vulnerability of global food trade network, ensuring reasonable levels of food self-sufficiency is still very important for Central Asian countries to achieve food security. Our research findings can provide scientific support for sustainable food system strategies in Central Asian countries.

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