scholarly journals Recurrence risk stratification based on a competing-risks nomogram to identify patients with esophageal cancer who may benefit from postoperative radiotherapy

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 175883592110619
Author(s):  
Xiao Chang ◽  
Junqiang Chen ◽  
Wencheng Zhang ◽  
Jinsong Yang ◽  
Shufei Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Competing Risks ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Postoperative Radiotherapy ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Background: A reliable model is needed to estimate the risk of postoperative recurrence and the benefits of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell cancer (TESCC). Methods: The study retrospectively reviewed 3652 TESCC patients in stage IB-IVA after radical esophagectomy, with or without PORT. In one institution as the training cohort ( n = 1620), independent risk factors associated with locoregional recurrence (LRR), identified by the competing-risks regression, were used to establish a predicting nomogram, which was validated in an external cohort ( n = 1048). Area under curve (AUC) values of receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to evaluate discrimination. Risk stratification was conducted using a decision tree analysis based on the cumulative point score of the LRR nomogram. After balancing the baseline of characteristics between treatment groups by inverse probability of treatment weighting, the effect of PORT was evaluated in each risk group. Results: Sex, age, tumor location, tumor grade, and N category were identified as independent risk factors for LRR and added into the nomogram. The AUC values were 0.638 and 0.706 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Three risk groups were established. For patients in the intermediate- and high-risk groups, PORT significantly improved the 5-year overall survival by 10.2% and 9.4%, respectively ( p < 0.05). Although PORT was significantly associated with reduced LRR in the low-risk group, overall survival was not improved. Conclusion: The nomogram can effectively estimate the individual risk of LRR, and patients in the intermediate- and high-risk groups are highly recommended to undergo PORT.

Postoperative PET/CT for detection of early recurrence (ER) after surgery for squamous cell carcinomas (SCC) of the oral cavity (OC).

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6060-6060
Author(s):  
Yao Yu ◽  
Heiko Schöder ◽  
Jung Kang ◽  
Sean Matthew McBride ◽  
C. Jillian Tsai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Postoperative Radiotherapy ◽  
Prospective Trial ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Distant Metastases ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Pet Ct

6060 Background: Patients with ER after surgery and prior to postoperative radiation (RT) for SCC of the OC have aggressive biology and poor prognosis. After the introduction of a PET/CT simulator in our department, we incorporated post-operative PET/CT as part of RT planning. We hypothesized PET/CT would improve detection of macroscopic disease before postoperative RT. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of patients treated with postoperative radiotherapy between 2005 and 2019 for OC SCC. Clinicopathologic risk factors were recorded. Intermediate risk factors (IRFs) included pT3-4 disease, nodal disease, perineural invasion (PNI), lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and close ( < 5mm) surgical margins (SM); extranodal extension (ENE) and positive SM were considered high-risk factors (HRF). Patients were stratified into risk groups based upon the number and type of risk factors: 0-1 IRFs, 2 IRFs, ≥3 IRFs, and any HRF. Patients were considered to have ER if they had biopsy confirmed recurrence, or if the imaging or exam was sufficiently suspicious, after discussion with the head and neck team, to warrant treatment to definitive doses of RT (70 Gy). Results: Our cohort included 391 patients with SCC of the OCC who were treated with postoperative radiotherapy. 61% of patients were male, 35% had pT3-4 disease, 36% had pN2a-3 disease, 53% had PNI, 20% had LVI, 30% had ENE, and 14% had positive SM. The most common sites were oral tongue (46%), alveolar ridge (18%), and buccal mucosa (13%). 237 (61%) patients underwent postoperative PET/CT planning, and 165 patients (41%) were planned with CT only. Patients screened with post-operative PET/CT were more likely to be diagnosed with ER (46/237, 19.4%) than those simulated with CT only (6/154, 3.9%, p < 0.0001). Among patients simulated with PET/CT, 7%, 9%, 14%, and 35% of patients were diagnosed with ER for patients with 0-1 IRFs, 2 IRFs, ≥3 IRFs, and any HRF, respectively. Median follow-up was 4.1 years (95% CI 3.6 – 4.5). Among 52 patients with ER, 24 (49.0%) had local, 41 (83.7%) had regional, and 5 (10.2%) had distant recurrence. 17 (33%) of ER were biopsy proven. For patients with ER, 3-year freedom from locoregional recurrence, distant-metastasis free survival, and overall survival were 45.2% (95% CI 32% - 64%), 55% (95% CI 42% – 72%), and 43% (95% CI 30% - 61%), respectively. For patients without ER, use of postoperative PET/CT was associated with improved disease-free survival (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.46 – 0.98, p = 0.041) and overall survival (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.38 – 0.91, p = 0.019). Conclusions: Postoperative PET/CT may increase detection ER compared to CT simulation alone and improve risk stratification. Patients with ER are at high risk of locoregional failure, distant metastases, and mortality, despite salvage therapy. A prospective trial is underway at our institution to systemically study the role of PET/CT for detection of ER.

A Risk Score Integrating BAALC, ERG and WT1 Expression Can Be Used To Improve Risk Stratification In Acute Promyelocytic Leukemia

Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 1323-1323
Author(s):  
Anna Hecht ◽  
Florian Nolte ◽  
Daniel Nowak ◽  
Verena Nowak ◽  
Benjamin Hanfstein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Expression Levels ◽  
Improve Risk Stratification

Abstract Introduction With current therapy regimens over 75% of patients with de novo acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) can be cured. Approaches to further improve patient outcome by stratifying patients at the time of initial diagnosis according to their individual risk and to adjust therapy accordingly have been based on clinical features only. Molecular markers have not been established for risk stratification as yet. Recently, we have shown that high expression levels of the genes brain and acute leukemia, cytoplasmic (BAALC) and ets related gene (ERG) are associated with inferior outcome in APL patients. In addition, data indicate that aberrant expression of the gene Wilms’ tumor 1 (WT1) is a negative prognostic factor with regard to overall survival (OS) after complete remission (CR) and relapse free survival (RFS) in APL. In this study we evaluated the prognostic relevance of a combined score integrating the expression levels of the above mentioned genes to further improve risk stratification in APL patients. Methods Expression levels of BAALC, ERG and WT1 of 62 patients with newly diagnosed APL were retrospectively analyzed in bone marrow mononuclear cells using multiplex reverse transcriptase quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). Median age of patients was 47 years (range: 19 to 82y). All patients gave informed consent. Patients were diagnosed and treated in the German AML Cooperative Group (AMLCG) study with a treatment of simultaneous ATRA and double induction chemotherapy including high-dose ara-C, consolidation and maintenance chemotherapy. The following gene expression levels were identified as negative risk factors in preceding studies: BAALC expression ≥25th percentile (BAALChigh), ERG expression >75th percentile (ERGhigh) and WT1 expression ≤25th percentile or ≥75th percentile (WT1low/high). A risk score was developed as follows: for the presence of one of the mentioned risk factors one scoring point was assigned to a respective patient, i.e. a maximum of 3 points (one point for BAALChigh, ERGhigh and WT1low/high, respectively) and a minimum of 0 points (i.e. presenting with none of the aforementioned risk factors) could be allocated to one patient. Accordingly, patients were divided into four risk groups: 7 patients scored 0 points (= low risk), 27 patients scored 1 point (= intermediate 1 risk), 19 patients scored 2 points (= intermediate 2 risk) and 9 patients scored 3 points (= high risk). Subsequently, OS, RFS and relapse free interval (RFI) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and a log-rank test was used to compare differences between the four risk groups (p<0.05). Results The integrative risk score divided patients into four groups with significantly different outcome. The low risk group showed a RFS of 100% at 10 years of follow-up compared to the intermediate 1 risk group with 81%, the intermediate 2 risk group with 58% and the high risk group with a RFS of 42% only (median survival: 4.6y) (p=0.02). In accordance, the RFI differed significantly between the four groups: low risk 100%, intermediate 1 risk 100%, intermediate 2 risk 89% and high risk 71% (p=0.049). There was no statistically significant difference between the 4 groups with regard to OS in the entire patient cohort. However, there was a clear trend towards a difference in OS in patients who achieved a CR after induction therapy: low risk 100%, intermediate 1 risk 81%, intermediate 2 risk 68% and high risk 53% survival at 10 years of follow-up (p=0.09). Conclusion Integration of expression levels of the genes BAALC, ERG and WT1 into a scoring system identifies 4 risk groups with significantly different outcome with regard to RFS and RFI. It might be a promising approach to guide therapeutic decisions in patients with APL. However, multivariate analyses and validation of these data in an independent patient cohort is warranted. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Impact of metastasectomy on progression free and overall survival in metastatic renal cell carcinoma: Analysis of the REMARCC registry.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 753-753
Author(s):  
Margaret Frances Meagher ◽  
Ricardo Autorino ◽  
Maximilian Kriegmair ◽  
Maria Carmen Mir ◽  
Jose Rubio ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Renal Cell ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

753 Background: The role of metastasectomy has been in flux as treatment paradigms for management of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) have shifted. We examined outcomes of surgical metastasectomy stratified in the setting of different mRCC risk groups. Methods: Multicenter retrospective analysis of patients from the REMARCC (REgistry of MetAstatic RCC) database. The cohort was subdivided by Motzer RCC criteria (low, intermediate, and high risk), and impact of metastasectomy was analyzed via multivariable analysis (MVA) and Kaplan Meier analyses (KMA). Primary outcome was progression free survival (PFS) and secondary outcome was overall survival (OS). Results: 438 patients (46 low risk, 262 intermediate risk, 140 high risk) with median follow-up 16 months were analyzed. Metastasectomy was performed in 18 (39%), 63 (24%), and 32 (23%) of low, intermediate and high risk groups (p=0.04). Risk groups differed significantly with respect to ECOG performance status (p<0.001), metastases at diagnosis (low 1.72, intermediate 3.49, high 6.45, p<0.001), hemoglobin (p<0.001) and LDH (p<0.001). MVA for PFS revealed age (OR=1.03, p=0.05), BMI (OR=1.05, p=0.01), and higher risk category [vs. low (referent) intermediate OR=7.4, p<0.001, high OR=3.4, p=0.01] to be independent risk factors. MVA for OS revealed age (OR=1.03, p=0.02), BMI (OR=1.06, p=0.01), and higher risk category [low (referent) vs. intermediate OR=2.8, p=0.03, high OR=2.3, p=0.01] to be independent risk factors. KMA for PFS demonstrated that metastasectomy was associated with longer PFS in intermediate (24.0 vs. 6.7 months, p=0.01) but not high risk (4.2 vs. 4.0 months, p=0.58) and low risk (p=0.51) groups. KMA for OS demonstrated that metastasectomy was associated with longer median OS in the intermediate (56.9 vs. 29.3 months, p=0.01) and high risk (18.2 vs. 10.5, p=0.01), but not low risk (p=0.21) groups. Conclusions: Receipt of metastasectomy was associated with improved PFS in intermediate risk and improved OS in intermediate and high risk mRCC patients. These findings challenge prevailing assumptions about utility of metastasectomy. Further investigation is requisite to refine criteria for employment.

A Novel Risk Classification Model Predicts Overall Survival and Locoregional Surgery Benefit in Colorectal Patients with Distant Metastasis at the Initial Diagnosis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mo Chen ◽  
Tian-en Li ◽  
Pei-zhun Du ◽  
Junjie Pan ◽  
Zheng Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Intermediate Risk

Abstract Background and aims: In this research, we aimed to construct a risk classification model to predict overall survival (OS) and locoregional surgery benefit in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with distant metastasis.Methods: We selected a cohort consisting of 12741 CRC patients diagnosed with distant metastasis between 2010 and 2014, from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly assigned into training group and validation group at the ratio of 2:1. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to screen independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed and assessed by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. A novel risk classification model was further established based on the nomogram.Results: Ultimately 12 independent risk factors including race, age, marriage, tumor site, tumor size, grade, T stage, N stage, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, lung metastasis and liver metastasis were identified and adopted in the nomogram. The C-indexes of training and validation groups were 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.81) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78), respectively. The risk classification model stratified patients into three risk groups (low-, intermediate- and high-risk) with divergent median OS (low-risk: 36.0 months, 95% CI 34.1-37.9; intermediate-risk: 18.0 months, 95% CI 17.4-18.6; high-risk: 6.0 months, 95% CI 5.3-6.7). Locoregional therapies including surgery and radiotherapy could prognostically benefit patients in the low-risk group (surgery: hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.71; radiotherapy: HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.98) and intermediate risk group (surgery: HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.54-0.68; radiotherapy: HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.95), but not in the high-risk group (surgery: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.82-1.29; radiotherapy: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81-1.31). And all risk groups could benefit from systemic therapy (low-risk: HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.80; intermediate-risk: HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.47-0.54; high-risk: HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.53).Conclusion: A novel risk classification model predicting prognosis and locoregional surgery benefit of CRC patients with distant metastasis was established and validated. This predictive model could be further utilized by physicians and be of great significance for medical practice.

Validation of Postpartum Hemorrhage Admission Risk Factor Stratification in a Large Obstetrics Population

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halley Ruppel ◽  
Vincent X. Liu ◽  
Neeru R. Gupta ◽  
Lauren Soltesz ◽  
Gabriel J. Escobar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Loss ◽  
Postpartum Hemorrhage ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk ◽  
Present On Admission

Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the California Maternal Quality Care Collaborative (CMQCC) admission risk criteria for stratifying postpartum hemorrhage risk in a large obstetrics population. Study Design Using detailed electronic health record data, we classified 261,964 delivery hospitalizations from Kaiser Permanente Northern California hospitals between 2010 and 2017 into high-, medium-, and low-risk groups based on CMQCC criteria. We used logistic regression to assess associations between CMQCC risk groups and postpartum hemorrhage using two different postpartum hemorrhage definitions, standard postpartum hemorrhage (blood loss ≥1,000 mL) and severe postpartum hemorrhage (based on transfusion, laboratory, and blood loss data). Among the low-risk group, we also evaluated associations between additional present-on-admission factors and severe postpartum hemorrhage. Results Using the standard definition, postpartum hemorrhage occurred in approximately 5% of hospitalizations (n = 13,479), with a rate of 3.2, 10.5, and 10.2% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Severe postpartum hemorrhage occurred in 824 hospitalizations (0.3%), with a rate of 0.2, 0.5, and 1.3% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. For either definition, the odds of postpartum hemorrhage were significantly higher in medium- and high-risk groups compared with the low-risk group. Over 40% of postpartum hemorrhages occurred in hospitalizations that were classified as low risk. Among the low-risk group, risk factors including hypertension and diabetes were associated with higher odds of severe postpartum hemorrhage. Conclusion We found that the CMQCC admission risk assessment criteria stratified women by increasing rates of severe postpartum hemorrhage in our sample, which enables early preparation for many postpartum hemorrhages. However, the CMQCC risk factors missed a substantial proportion of postpartum hemorrhages. Efforts to improve postpartum hemorrhage risk assessment using present-on-admission risk factors should consider inclusion of other nonobstetrical factors.

scholarly journals Risk stratification in pediatric low-grade glioma and glioneuronal tumor treated with radiation therapy: an integrated clinicopathologic and molecular analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 1203-1213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sahaja Acharya ◽  
Jo-Fen Liu ◽  
Ruth G Tatevossian ◽  
Jason Chiang ◽  
Ibrahim Qaddoumi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Radiation Therapy ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Glioneuronal Tumor ◽  
Low Grade ◽  
Diffuse Astrocytoma ◽  
Prognostic Features

Abstract Background Management of unresectable pediatric low-grade glioma and glioneuronal tumor (LGG/LGGNT) is controversial. There are no validated prognostic features to guide use of radiation therapy (RT). Our study aimed to identify negative prognostic features in patients treated with RT using clinicopathologic and molecular data and validate these findings in an external dataset. Methods Children with non-metastatic, biopsy-proven unresectable LGG/LGGNT treated with RT at a single institution between 1997 and 2017 were identified. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to stratify patients into low- and high-risk prognostic groups based on overall survival (OS). CNS9702 data were used for validation. Results One hundred and fifty patients met inclusion criteria. Median follow-up was 11.4 years. RPA yielded low- and high-risk groups with 10-year OS of 95.6% versus 76.4% (95% CI: 88.7%–98.4% vs 59.3%–87.1%, P = 0.003), respectively. These risk groups were validated using CNS9702 dataset (n = 48) (4-year OS: low-risk vs high-risk: 100% vs 64%, P &lt; 0.001). High-risk tumors included diffuse astrocytoma or location within thalamus/midbrain. Low-risk tumors included pilocytic astrocytoma/ganglioglioma located outside of the thalamus/midbrain. In the subgroup with known BRAF status (n = 49), risk stratification remained prognostic independently of BRAF alteration (V600E or fusion). Within the high-risk group, delayed RT, defined as RT after at least one line of chemotherapy, was associated with a further decrement in overall survival (P = 0.021). Conclusion A high-risk subgroup of patients, defined by diffuse astrocytoma histology or midbrain/thalamus tumor location, have suboptimal long-term survival and might benefit from timely use of RT. These results require validation.

A Risk Score to Predict CMV Viremia within the First 100 Days after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation Based on Pre-Transplant Parameters

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3877-3877
Author(s):  
Feras Alfraih ◽  
John Kuruvilla ◽  
Naheed Alam ◽  
Anna Lambie ◽  
Vikas Gupta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Stem Cell ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cmv Infection ◽  
Allogeneic Hsct ◽  
Very High

Abstract Introduction: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a major infectious complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Risk of CMV infection varies between patients and individualized strategies for monitoring and therapy for CMV are needed. In this study, we attempted to establish a clinical score based on patient and transplant characteristics in order to predict the probability for early CMV viremia (CMV-V) within the first 100 days after HSCT. Methods: A total of 548 patients were evaluated after receiving HSCT between 2005 and 2012 at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. CMV sero-negative recipients with CMV sero-negative donors (R-D-) were excluded. CMV-V was diagnosed in peripheral blood samples obtained on two occasions either by PCR (>200 IU/ml) or antigenemia testing (>2 positive cells/100000). A total of 378 patients were included into the study. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for CMV-V. A weighted score was assigned to each factor based on the odds ratios determined by the multivariable analysis. A total score was calculated for each patient and used for assignment into one of 4 risk categories, the low risk (score 0-1), the intermediate (score 2-3), the high (score 4-5) and the very high (score 6-8). Median age for all patients was 51 years (range 17-71) and 173 (46%) were female. Matched related donors were used for two hundred fifteen patients (57%). Two hundred forty-three patients (64%) were transplanted for myeloid and 108 (29%) for lymphoid malignancies. One hundred thirteen patients (30%) were CMV sero-positive with a negative donor (R+D-) while 191 (51%) were recipient and donor CMV sero-positivity (R+D+). Graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis included CSA/MMF (n=200, 52%), and CSA/MTX (n=178, 48%). Myeloablative conditioning regimens were administered to 220 patients (58%), 158 patients (42%) were treated with a reduced intensity regimen. Three hundred-thirty seven patients (89%) received peripheral blood stem cells as a stem cell source. In vivo T cell depletion (TCD) with alemtuzumab was used in 138 (37%). Results: CMV-V occurred in 246 (64%) patients by day 100 post HSCT. The impact of patient and HSCT characteristics on the risk of CMV-V was assessed by multivariable analysis. The significant factors were CMV sero-status R+D- and R+D+, TCD, GVHD prophylaxis with MMF administration of myeloablative preparative regimens (Table 1). Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT CMV-V rates on the 4 new risk categories amounted to 93% in the very high-risk, 78% in high-risk, 41% in intermediate-risk and 11% in low-risk group (Fig 1). The risk score was also predictive for the occurrence of multiple CMV-V reactivations with rates of 71%, 45%, 19% and 4% for the very high, high, intermediate and low-risk groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) rate at 2 years was 33%(n=56) in the very high-risk group compared to 50% in other-risk groups (n=147) (P=0.01) (Fig 2). Non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 53% in the very high-risk versus 33% in other-risk groups (P<0.001). However, there was no difference on cumulative incidence of relapse between the groups (P=0.3). The cumulative incidence of grades 1-4 acute GVHD, grades 2-4, grades 3-4 at day 120 and overall chronic GVHD at 2 years was 68%, 47%, 25% and 39% in very high-risk group versus 65%, 52%, 21% and 52% in other-risk groups, suggesting slightly lower incidence of chronic GVHD in very high-risk vs other-risk groups. Conclusion: We present a new clinical scoring system to stratify the risk of early CMV viremia after allogeneic HSCT based on patients and HSCT characteristics. Identifying the risk for each patient would facilitate decision making with respect to strategies including CMV prophylaxis, pre-emptive treatment or inclusion into clinical trials, as well directing the CMV monitoring policy post-transplant. In addition, the risk score was associated with higher risk of overall mortality and NRM in the very high-risk versus other-risk groups. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Chemotherapy-associated thrombosis in cancer outpatients: Risk factors and decision making of a prophylactic approach.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e20647-e20647
Author(s):  
Martina Torchio ◽  
Benvenuto Franceschetti ◽  
Carla Cavali ◽  
Sonia Zanirato ◽  
Angelo Olgiati ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Scoring System ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Venous Catheter ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Factors Analysis ◽  
Negative Predictor

e20647 Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE), is a negative predictor of survival in pts with advanced cancer. International guidelines don’t recommend routine prophlaxis but suggest to consider pts, undergoing chemotherapy (CT), with high risk of VTE. Many clinical risk factors for cancer-associated VTE have been evaluated in a 5 parameter-based (body mass index, platelet and leucocyte counts, hemoglobin value and tumor site) scoring system, the Khorana score, utilized to indicate a prophylactic approach. We prospectively applied this score in cancer outpts beginning CT and an implementation based on 6 addictional factors analysis (sex, age, central venous catheter, CT-agents, antiangiogenetic drugs, erithropoiesis stimulating agent) to evaluate their impact in pts assignment into risk groups. Methods: We studied adult pts, followed at our Department from August 2011 to December 2012, with advanced cancers (breast, NSCLC, colorectal, pancreatic/gastric, urogenital, LNH, Hodgkin's disease, HD, and MM), receiving a first or second line standard CT. We stratified pts into three risk groups (score 0= low; score 1-2=intermediate; score 3-4-5=high) considering both the Khorana scoring system and its implementation. Results: We analyzed 169 pts (103F/66M, median age 62.3, range 35-80 yrs), pt population included: 38 breast, 32 colorectal, 31 LNH, HD and MM, 27 urogenital, 22 NSCLC and 19 pancreatic/gastric. With the Khorana score 49 pts were assigned to the low risk, 87 pts to the intermediate risk (57 with score=1, 28 with score=2), 16 pts (9.4%) to the high risk group (9 with score=3, 4 with score=4, 3 with score=5). When we considered 11 parameters 37 pts (21.8%) were assigned to the high risk group. Conclusions: A more comprehensive quantification of VTE risk, also considering new independent factors, is mandatory for a correct decision making of an antithrombotic-prophylactic approach.

The Prognosis and Risk Stratification Based on Pelvic Lymph Node Characteristics in Patients With Locally Advanced Cervical Squamous Cell Carcinoma Treated With Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 1472-1479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Li ◽  
Li-Chun Wei ◽  
Ying Zhang ◽  
Li-Na Zhao ◽  
Wei-Wei Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Lymph Node ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Figo Stage ◽  
Cervical Squamous Cell Carcinoma ◽  
High Risk Group

BackgroundThe purpose of this study is to determine the prognostic significance of pelvic lymph node (PLN) characteristics and perform risk stratification in patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced cervical squamous cell carcinoma.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the records of 609 patients with Federation Internationale de Gynecologie et d’Obstetrique (FIGO) stage II to IVa who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy, compared overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and pelvic recurrence-free survival between patients with or without PLN involvement. We further analyzed prognostic factors for OS and DMFS including FIGO stage, tumor volume, and lymph node (LN) characteristics in 300 patients with PLN involvement.ResultsThe 3-year OS rate was 81.7% versus 92.8% (P = 0.002) and the 3-year DMFS rate was 79.3% versus 92.7% (P = 0.006) in patients with or without PLN involvement, respectively. With univariable analysis, FIGO stage, LN-volume, LN-number, LN-diameter, and matted/necrotic LN affected both OS and DMFS. Based on multivariable analysis, we created a risk stratification model. For OS, the independent risk factors were FIGO stage III or IVa, LN-volume of 3 cm3 or more, LN-diameter of 1.5 cm or more, and matted/necrotic LN. The low-risk group (no risk factors), mid-risk group (1 or 2 risk factors), and high-risk group (3 or 4 risk factors) had a 3-year OS of 96.6%, 84.9%, and 64.7%, respectively (P = 0.005). For DMFS, LN-diameter of 1.5 cm or more, LN-number of 3 or more, and matted/necrotic LN were the independent risk factors. The subgroups for DMFS were the low-risk group (no risk factors), the mid-risk group (1 risk factor), and the high-risk group (2 or 3 risk factors), and the 3-year DMFS was 92.4%, 76.2%, and 64.6%, respectively (P = 0.001).ConclusionsThe prognosis was significantly poorer for patients with high-risk lymph node characteristics. Using this risk stratification, we should select the most appropriate and individualized treatment modality to improve outcomes in those patients with a poorer prognosis.

scholarly journals The Effect of Ethnicity on Preterm Birth and its Influence on the Risk Factors for Prematurity

2019 ◽  
pp. 180-192
Author(s):  
P Bachkangi ◽  
AH Taylor ◽  
JC Konje
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Preterm Birth ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Individual Risk Factor ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Gestational Age At Delivery ◽  
Very High

Preterm birth (PTB) affects 9.6% of pregnancies worldwide and is associated with a very high perinatal mortality that depends on the gestational age at delivery. As a result, PTB has a significant health and financial impact on health systems, families and societies. Its aetiology is not fully understood, but in most cases it is multifactorial, with several maternal, paternal, and epidemiological factors associated with increased risk. Other factors include parental ethnicity, maternal age and body mass index, socioeconomic status, and where the families live. This review examines the influence of ethnicity as an individual risk factor for PTB. It also explores its influence on the epidemiology of PTB and demonstrates that data on certain ethnicities are lacking, despite the fact that these ethnic clusters are within the very ‘high-risk groups’ that are adequately represented in some Western societies. This review examines the influence of ethnicity as an individual risk factor for PTB and also explores its influence on the different epidemiological aspects. A thorough revisit of the ethnic epidemiology unveiled other unnoticed risk factors that if addressed appropriately prematurity can be prevented. Moreover, certain ethnicities were not within the attention of researchers, despite the facts that they are very ‘high-risk groups’ and are also adequately represented in some Western societies.

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