Improving emergency evacuation planning with mobile phone location data

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 964-980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ling Yin ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Zhile Yang ◽  
Qiao Wan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Management ◽  
Mobile Phone ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Experimental Result ◽  
Evacuation Planning ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Knowledge Database ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Evacuation Plans

Timely responses to emergencies are critical for urban disaster and emergency management, particularly in densely populated mega-cities. Researchers and personnel involved in urban emergency management nowadays rely on computers to carry out complex evacuation planning. Agent-based modeling, which supports the representation of interactions among individuals and between individuals and their environments, has become a major approach to simulating evacuations wherein spatial–temporal dynamics and individual conditions need attention, such as congestion in urban areas. However, the development of optimal evacuation plans based upon agent-based evacuation simulations can be very time-consuming. In this study, to shorten the computation time to provide a timely response in an efficient way, we develop a knowledge database to store evacuation plans for typical population distributions generated by mobile phone location data. Subsequently, we use the prepared knowledge database (offline) to accelerate real-time (online) processes in searching for near-optimal evacuation plans. Our experimental result demonstrates that the evacuation plans generated with a knowledge database always outperform those that are generated without a knowledge database. Specifically, the knowledge database can reduce the computation time by an average of 96.76%, with an average fitness value improvement of 21.86%. This result confirms the effectiveness of our proposed approach in improving agent-based evacuation planning. With the rapid development of human sensor data collection and analysis, the estimation of a more accurate population distribution will become easier in future. Thus, we believe that the proposed approach of developing a knowledge database based on population distribution patterns will provide a more feasible alternative solution for evacuation planning in the practice of urban emergency management.

scholarly journals Migration statistics relevant for malaria transmission in Senegal derived from mobile phone data and used in an agent-based migration model

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1s) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adrian M. Tompkins ◽  
Nicky McCreesh
Keyword(s):  
Mobile Phone ◽  
Malaria Transmission ◽  
Gravity Model ◽  
Mobile Phone Data ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Migration Model ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Home Location ◽  
One Year ◽  
Overnight Stays

One year of mobile phone location data from Senegal is analysed to determine the characteristics of journeys that result in an overnight stay, and are thus relevant for malaria transmission. Defining the home location of each person as the place of most frequent calls, it is found that approximately 60% of people who spend nights away from home have regular destinations that are repeatedly visited, although only 10% have 3 or more regular destinations. The number of journeys involving overnight stays peaks at a distance of 50 km, although roughly half of such journeys exceed 100 km. Most visits only involve a stay of one or two nights away from home, with just 4% exceeding one week. A new agent-based migration model is introduced, based on a gravity model adapted to represent overnight journeys. Each agent makes journeys involving overnight stays to either regular or random locations, with journey and destination probabilities taken from the mobile phone dataset. Preliminary simulations show that the agentbased model can approximately reproduce the patterns of migration involving overnight stays.

scholarly journals Modeling Population Spatial-Temporal Distribution Using Taxis Origin and Destination Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3727
Author(s):  
Fatema Rahimi ◽  
Abolghasem Sadeghi-Niaraki ◽  
Mostafa Ghodousi ◽  
Soo-Mi Choi
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Proposed Model

During dangerous circumstances, knowledge about population distribution is essential for urban infrastructure architecture, policy-making, and urban planning with the best Spatial-temporal resolution. The spatial-temporal modeling of the population distribution of the case study was investigated in the present study. In this regard, the number of generated trips and absorbed trips using the taxis pick-up and drop-off location data was calculated first, and the census population was then allocated to each neighborhood. Finally, the Spatial-temporal distribution of the population was calculated using the developed model. In order to evaluate the model, a regression analysis between the census population and the predicted population for the time period between 21:00 to 23:00 was used. Based on the calculation of the number of generated and the absorbed trips, it showed a different spatial distribution for different hours in one day. The spatial pattern of the population distribution during the day was different from the population distribution during the night. The coefficient of determination of the regression analysis for the model (R2) was 0.9998, and the mean squared error was 10.78. The regression analysis showed that the model works well for the nighttime population at the neighborhood level, so the proposed model will be suitable for the day time population.

Research on Experimental Method for the Working Force between Packer Rubber and Casing Tube

2014 ◽  
Vol 518 ◽  
pp. 138-143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zun Ce Wang ◽  
Feng Xia Lv ◽  
Meng Yu Cao ◽  
Hou Zhen Wen ◽  
Yan Xu
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Normal Pressure ◽  
Research Process ◽  
Experimental Result ◽  
Testing System ◽  
Maximum Deviation ◽  
Gas Wells ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Oil And Gas Wells ◽  
Experiment Method

On application of BDI STS-WIFI testing system and Dasylab software, the testing process for strain of the casing tube with the packer rubber being seated is carried out. From the process the different friction force and normal pressure of specified seating pressure are achieved, by which the empirical formula is matched. Setting the experimental result as the boundary condition, the calculation result of the practical location of the five-stage packer on basis of oil and gas wells rod string mechanics is obtained, the maximum deviation of which is 0.1m compared with the magnetic location data. The research process on the experiment method proves its accuracy in laboratory while promoting the precision of the block location of the multistage packer in practical well casing tube.

A Comparison between Agent-Based and GIS-Based Tsunami Evacuation Simulations: A Case Study for Tofino, BC

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Kim ◽  
Tomoyuki Takabatake ◽  
Ioan NISTOR ◽  
Tomoya Shibayama
Keyword(s):  
Information Systems ◽  
Geographical Information Systems ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Evacuation Planning ◽  
Loss Of Life ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Agent Based Modelling ◽  
Validation Tool

Soft measures such as evacuation planning are recommended to mitigate the loss of life during tsunamis. Two types of evacuation models are widely used: (1) Agent-based modelling (ABM) defines sets of rules that individual agents in a simulation follow during a simulated evacuation. (2) Geographical information systems (GIS) are more accessible to city planners, but cannot incorporate the dynamic behaviours found in ABMs. The two evacuation modelling methodologies were compared through a case study by assessing the state of evacuation preparedness and investigating potential mitigation options. The two models showed different magnitudes for mortality rates and facility demand but had similar trends. Both models agreed on the best solution to reduce the loss of life for the community. GIS may serve as a useful tool for initial investigation or as a validation tool for ABMs. ABMs are recommended for use when modelling evacuation until GIS methodologies are further developed.

Fast Motion Estimation Algorithm Based on Real Time Monitoring

2011 ◽  
Vol 383-390 ◽  
pp. 5028-5033
Author(s):  
Xue Mei Xu ◽  
Qin Mo ◽  
Lan Ni ◽  
Qiao Yun Guo ◽  
An Li
Keyword(s):  
Motion Estimation ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Estimation Algorithm ◽  
Video Encoding ◽  
Experimental Result ◽  
Fast Motion Estimation ◽  
Motion Activity ◽  
Search Patterns ◽  
Motion Estimation Algorithm

In the video encoding system, motion estimation plays an important role at the front-end of encoder, which can eliminate inter redundancy efficiently and improve encoding efficiency. However, traditional motion estimation algorithm can’t be used in real-time application like video monitoring due to its computational complexity. In order to improve real-time efficiency, an improved motion estimation algorithm is proposed in this paper. The essential ideas consist of early termination rules, prediction of initial search point, and determination of motion type. Furthermore, our algorithm adopts different search patterns for certain motion activity. Experimental result shows that the improved algorithm reduces the computation time significantly while maintaining the image quality, and satisfies real time requirement in monitoring system.

scholarly journals Challenges in Contact Tracing by Mining Mobile Phone Location Data for COVID-19: Implications for Public Governance in South Africa

10.28945/4736 ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 101-124
Author(s):  
Paul Kariuki ◽  
Lizzy O Ofusori ◽  
Prabhakar Rontala Subramanniam ◽  
Moses Okpeku ◽  
Maria L Goyayi
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Mobile Phone ◽  
Contact Tracing ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Public Governance ◽  
The Public ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Pertinent Data ◽  
Privacy And Confidentiality

Aim/Purpose: The paper’s objective is to examine the challenges of using the mobile phone to mine location data for effective contact tracing of symptomatic, pre-symptomatic, and asymptomatic individuals and the implications of this technology for public health governance. Background: The COVID-19 crisis has created an unprecedented need for contact tracing across South Africa, requiring thousands of people to be traced and their details captured in government health databases as part of public health efforts aimed at breaking the chains of transmission. Contact tracing for COVID-19 requires the identification of persons who may have been exposed to the virus and following them up daily for 14 days from the last point of exposure. Mining mobile phone location data can play a critical role in locating people from the time they were identified as contacts to the time they access medical assistance. In this case, it aids data flow to various databases designated for COVID-19 work. Methodology: The researchers conducted a review of the available literature on this subject drawing from academic articles published in peer-reviewed journals, research reports, and other relevant national and international government documents reporting on public health and COVID-19. Document analysis was used as the primary research method, drawing on the case studies. Contribution: Contact tracing remains a critical strategy in curbing the deadly COVID-19 pandemic in South Africa and elsewhere in the world. However, given increasing concern regarding its invasive nature and possible infringement of individual liberties, it is imperative to interrogate the challenges related to its implementation to ensure a balance with public governance. The research findings can thus be used to inform policies and practices associated with contact tracing in South Africa. Findings: The study found that contact tracing using mobile phone location data mining can be used to enforce quarantine measures such as lockdowns aimed at mitigating a public health emergency such as COVID-19. However, the use of technology can expose the public to criminal activities by exposing their locations. From a public governance point of view, any exposure of the public to social ills is highly undesirable. Recommendations for Practitioners: In using contact tracing apps to provide pertinent data location caution needs to be exercised to ensure that sensitive private information is not made public to the extent that it compromises citizens’ safety and security. The study recommends the development and implementation of data use protocols to support the use of this technology, in order to mitigate against infringement of individual privacy and other civil liberties. Recommendation for Researchers: Researchers should explore ways of improving digital applications in order to improve the acceptability of the use of contact tracing technology to manage pandemics such as COVID-19, paying attention to ethical considerations. Impact on Society: Since contact tracing has implications for privacy and confidentiality it must be conducted with caution. This research highlights the challenges that the authorities must address to ensure that the right to privacy and confidentiality is upheld. Future Research: Future research could focus on collecting primary data to provide insight on contact tracing through mining mobile phone location data. Research could also be conducted on how app-based technology can enhance the effectiveness of contact tracing in order to optimize testing and tracing coverage. This has the potential to minimize transmission whilst also minimizing tracing delays. Moreover, it is important to develop contact tracing apps that are universally inter-operable and privacy-preserving.

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