IPSS-Independent Cytogenetic Risk Categorization in Primary Myelofibrosis.

Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2909-2909 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kebede Hussein ◽  
Animesh D. Pardanani ◽  
Daniel van Dyke ◽  
Curtis A. Hanson ◽  
Ayalew Tefferi

Abstract Abstract 2909 Poster Board II-885 Background: Previous studies have identified sole abnormalities of del(20q) and del(13q) as prognostically favorable cytogenetic markers in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) (Tefferi et al. BJH 2001;113:763). A more recent study (Tam et al. Blood 2009;113:4171) confirmed these findings and suggested additional cytogenetic markers of prognosis. In the current study with larger numbers of informative patients studied at time of diagnosis, we wanted to validate these observations and examine the prognostic interaction between cytogenetic risk categorization and the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS). Methods: Patients with cytogenetic information at diagnosis were selected from the Mayo Clinic database of WHO-defined PMF. Specific cytogenetic categories were considered only in the presence of at least 5 informative patients; otherwise, they were included in the category of “other cytogenetic abnormalities”. Follow-up information was updated in July, 2009. Survival curves were prepared by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by the log-rank test. Cox regression model was used for multivariable analysis. Results: 200 patients were studied (median age, 62 years; 63% males). The IPSS risk distributions were low in 66 patients, intermediate (int)-1 in 64, int-2 in 44 and high in 26. Cytogenetic findings at diagnosis were abnormal in 83 (42%) patients and included sole del(20q) in 21, complex (i.e. 3 or more abnormalities) in 13, sole del(13q) in 8, sole +8 in 7, sole +9 in 6, and other abnormalities in 28 patients. Median survivals in low, int-1, int-2 and high IPSS risk groups were 188, 71, 47 and 26 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Median survival in patients with sole +9 was not reached and in those with sole del(13q), sole del(20q), normal karyotype, complex abnormalities and sole +8 was 112, 108, 80, 37 and 27 months, respectively, while it was 46 months for patients with other cytogenetic abnormalities (p = 0.01). Accordingly, sole abnormalities of +9, del(20q) and del(13q) were categorized as being favorable (n = 35) and complex abnormalities and sole +8 as unfavorable (n = 20); the respective median survivals were 112 and 34 months (p=0.002; Figure). Multivariable analysis confirmed the IPSS-independent prognostic value of cytogenetic risk categorization and the intra-IPSS risk prognostic distinction was most apparent in the int-1 group: median survival was 35 and 81 months in the presence of unfavorable or favorable cytogenetic markers, respectively (p=0.0009; Figure). Conclusion: The current study identifies sole +9, along with del(13q) and del(20q), as favorable and sole +8, along with complex abnormalities, as unfavorable cytogenetic markers of prognosis in PMF. Cytogenetic risk categorization in PMF has an IPSS-independent prognostic value that is important in patient selection for specific therapy. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (21) ◽  
pp. 4122-4122
Author(s):  
Domenica Caramazza ◽  
Kebede Begna ◽  
Naseema Gangat ◽  
Rakhee Vaidya ◽  
Sergio Siragusa ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 4122 Background: We have previously identified sole +9, 13q- or 20q- as “favorable” and sole +8 or complex karyotype as “unfavorable” cytogenetic abnormalities in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) (Blood 2010; 115: 496). The purpose of the current study, which includes more than twice the number of patients included in previous studies, was to identify additional prognostically-relevant cytogenetic abnormalities in PMF and refine cytogenetic risk categorization for overall and leukemia-free survival. Methods: Clinical and laboratory data were collected from consecutive patients with PMF seen at our institution and in whom cytogenetic information at or within 1 year of diagnosis was available. Diagnosis of PMF and acute myeloid leukemia were according to the World Health organization (WHO) criteria. Results: A total of 433 patients with PMF were included in the current study. Median age at diagnosis was 65 years. IPSS risk distributions were low in 12% of patients, intermediate-1 in 25%, intermediate-2 in 24% and high in 39%. JAK2V617F mutational frequency was 60%. Cytogenetic findings were normal in 275 (64%) patients. Among the 158 (36%) patients with abnormal karyotype, 109 (69% of abnormal cases) represented sole abnormalities, 23 (15%) two abnormalities and 26 (17%) three or more (i.e. complex) abnormalities. In an effort to identify cytogenetic categories of similar prognosis, each one of 12 operational cytogenetic categories was separately compared with both normal and complex karyotype. Accordingly, we were able to devise a two-tired cytogenetic risk stratification with highly significant differences in overall and leukemia-free survival (Figures 1 and 2): unfavorable (complex karyotype or sole or two abnormalities that include +8, -7/7q-, i(17q), inv(3), -5/5q-, 12p- or 11q23 rearrangement) and favorable (all other cytogenetic findings including normal karyotype). Median survivals of patients with favorable and unfavorable karyotype were 5.2 and 2.0 years, respectively (p<0.0001). The corresponding 5-year survival rates were 51% and 8% (HR 3.1, 95% CI 2.2–4.3; p<0.0001). Multivariable analysis confirmed the IPSS-independent prognostic value of cytogenetic risk categorization (p<0.0001; HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.5–3.1) and also identified thrombocytopenia (platelet count < 100 × 109/L) as another independent predictor of inferior survival (p<0.0001; HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.4–2.6). A similar multivariable analysis showed that cytogenetic risk profile (p=0.001; HR 4.1, 95% CI 1.7–9.6) and platelet count (p=0.04; HR 2.3, 95% CI 1.0–5.0), but not IPSS (p=0.27), predicted leukemia-free survival; the 5-year leukemic transformation rates for unfavorable and favorable karyotype were 46% and 7%, respectively (HR 5.5, 95% CI 2.5–12.0; p<0.0001). These results, in terms of both overall and leukemia-free survival analysis, did not change when patients receiving allo-SCT were censored at the time of their transplant. Among patients with favorable karyotype; the incidences of leukopenia and thrombocytopenia were highest in patients with sole 20q- (41% and 38%, respectively) and lowest in those with sole 13q- (0% and 0%, respectively). Conclusions: The current study provides the rationale and necessary details for incorporating cytogenetic findings and platelet count in future prognostic models for PMF. The study also revealed a highly significant association between sole 20q- and both leukopenia and thrombocytopenia, which suggests a 20q- haploinsufficient gene effect. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 1909-1909
Author(s):  
Ayalew Tefferi ◽  
Sergio Siragusa ◽  
Rakhee Vaidya ◽  
Susan Schwager ◽  
Kebede Hussein ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 1909 Poster Board I-932 Background: The International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) for primary myelofibrosis (PMF) utilizes five independent predictors of inferior survival; of these, a hemoglobin level <10 g/dL has the highest impact on survival (Cervantes et al. Blood 2009;113:2895). In the current study, we examined the additional prognostic impact of transfusion need at diagnosis or becoming transfusion-dependent in the first year of diagnosis. These events were also correlated with JAK2 or TET2 mutational status. Methods: Patients were selected from the Mayo Clinic PMF database based on availability of bone marrow histology and IPSS-relevant information at diagnosis and follow-up transfusion history at one year from diagnosis. WHO criteria were used for PMF diagnosis. Patients who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation were censored at time of transplant. Patient records were updated in July, 2009. Survival curves were constructed using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by the log-rank test. Multivariable survival was analysed using Cox regression model. Results: A consecutive cohort of 254 patients was studied (median age 59 years; range 28-87; 159 males). IPSS risk category was low, intermediate (int)-1, int-2 and high in 75, 71, 62 and 46 patients, respectively. JAK2V617F was present in 118 (62%) of 192 patients and TET2 mutations in 6 (13%) of 45 patients evaluated. Transfusion need at diagnosis was documented in 62 patients whereas an additional 22 patients became transfusion-dependent during the first year of their diagnosis. The remaining 170 patients remained transfusion-independent for at least one year post-diagnosis. To date, 139 patients have died. In patients who are alive, median follow-up was 5.3 years. Median survivals in IPSS high, Int-2, Int-1 and low risk patients were, 3, 3.9, 6.8 and 12.8 years, respectively (p<0.0001). Median survival for patients requiring transfusions at diagnosis was similar to that of patients who became transfusion-dependent in their first year of diagnosis, and both were significantly shorter than the median survival seen in patients who remained transfusion-free during the first year post-diagnosis: 2.9, 2.2 and 9.7 years, respectively (p<0.0001; figure). Multivariable analysis confirmed the IPSS-independent prognostic value of transfusion status-based risk stratification. Neither JAK2 nor TET2 mutational status correlated with transfusion need. Conclusions: In PMF, becoming transfusion-dependent in the first year of diagnosis is prognostically as detrimental as requiring transfusions at initial presentation. These events are not affected by JAK2 or TET2 mutational status and confer an IPSS-independent adverse prognosis. The ability to identify Int-1 risk patients with shortened survival (Figure) holds major treatment implications. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2895-2895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayalew Tefferi ◽  
Terra Lasho ◽  
Christy Finke ◽  
Kebede Hussein ◽  
Michelle Elliott ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2895 Poster Board II-871 Background: Recent studies have reported a significant association between JAK2V617F acquisition and a specific JAK2 germline haplotype; rs12343867 (located at intron 14 of the JAK2 gene) is one of several SNPs that tag this haplotype. We performed rs12343867 SNP analysis in a consecutive cohort of patients with primary myelofibrosis (PMF) in order to study the clinical and laboratory correlates of the particular JAK2 haplotype and its effect on survival. Methods: Study patients were recruited form the Mayo Clinic database for PMF. Molecular studies were performed on DNA extracted from stored bone marrow. rs12343867 SNP genotyping was performed by a commercially available Taqman assay. Quantitative JAK2V617F analysis was done according to previously published methods. Standard statistical methods were used to test significance of associations between SNP genotype and other variables. Survival analysis was performed by the Kaplan-Meier method and comparisons made by the log-rank test. Cox regression model was used for multivariable analysis. Results: 132 patients with PMF were studied (median age 62, range 28-82; 82 males). Risk distribution according to the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) for PMF were low in 39 (29%) patients, intermediate-1 in 41 (31%), intermediate-2 in 25 (20%) and high in 27 (20%). 77 (58%) patients were JAK2V617F positive; median mutant allele burden was 26% (range 1-85) and 21 patients displayed > 50% mutant allele burden. The rs12343867 genotype distributions were C/C 22%, C/T 44% and T/T 34% . The corresponding figures in JAK2V617F positive/negative cases were 31%/9%, 38%/53%, 31%/38% (p=0.01). Among the 21 patients with > 50% JAK2V617F allele burden, 14 (67%) displayed the C/C allele, 2 C/T and 5 T/T. The specific SNP genotype was not significantly affected by age (p=0.33), sex (p=0.46), leukocyte count (p=0.39), platelet count (p=0.09), or IPSS risk category (p=0.63). Patients were followed for a median of 54 months and during this period 73 (55%) deaths were documented. The T/T SNP genotype was significantly associated with shortened survival, compared to either C/C or C/T (p=0.001; Figure). Multivariable analysis showed this association to be independent of IPSS, JAK2V617F mutational status, age or sex. The adverse prognostic effect of the T/T genotype was also apparent when JAK2V617F negative (p=0.01) or positive (p=0.06) cases were analyzed separately. Conversely, JAK2 mutational status or allele burden did not affect survival in patients with T/T or C/C allele. Conclusion: The current study illustrates the non-random haplotype distribution of JAK2V617F in patients with PMF. More importantly, a non-JAK2 haplotype, tagged by the rs12343867 T allele, was associated with inferior survival that is not accounted for by IPSS or JAK2V617F mutational status. These findings, together with previous observations regarding shortened survival associated with low JAK2V617F allele burden, suggest the presence of molecular events in PMF that are more aggressive than JAK2V617F and not necessarily linked to the JAK2 haplotype. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 4060-4060
Author(s):  
Ayalew Tefferi ◽  
Christy Finke ◽  
Terra L Lasho ◽  
Emnet A Wassie ◽  
Ryan A Knudson ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Spliceosome pathway gene mutations are recurrent in myeloid malignancies with the highest frequencies reported for myelodysplastic syndromes associated with ring sideroblasts (MDS-RS; 85%), MDS without RS (44%) and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML; 55%) (Nature 2011;478:64). SF3B1 mutations were the most frequent (75%) in MDS-RS and SRSF2 mutations in CMML (28%); U2AF1 mutational frequencies were 12% in MDS without RS and 8% in CMML. We have previously described SRSF2 (Blood. 2012;120:4168) and SF3B1 (Leukemia. 2012;26:1135) mutations in 17% and 6.5% of patients with primary myelofibrosis (PMF); prognostic relevance was shown for the former but not the latter. Objectives The objectives of the current study were to i) describe the incidence of U2AF1 mutations in PMF and their correlation with clinical features, karyotype and other mutations and ii) examine the prognostic significance of U2AF1 mutations in PMF, in the context of both conventional prognostic models and other prognostically-relevant mutations. Methods Information on clinical and laboratory parameters and karyotype was available in all study patients, at time of referral, which coincided with time of sample collection for mutation screening. Risk stratification was according to the Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System (DIPSS)-plus system. U2AF1 and other mutations were analyzed using standard PCR techniques and bidirectional sequencing; for U2AF1, two hot spots that included residues S34 and Q157 were amplified. Results A total of 251 PMF patients (median age 63 years; 160 males) were studied. DIPSS-plus risk distribution was high in 32%, intermediate-2 in 38%, intermediate-1 in 17% and low in 13% of the patients. The frequency of each DIPSS-plus adverse feature was as follows: age >65 years (42%), transfusion need (32%), hemoglobin <10 g/dL (47%), leukocyte count >25 x 10(9)/L, (16%), platelet count <100 x 10(9)/L (22%), ≥1% blasts (57%), constitutional symptoms (35%), and unfavorable karyotype (9%). Karyotype was normal in 156 (63%) patients. At a median follow-up of 48 months, 158 (63%) deaths and 27 (11%) leukemic transformations were recorded. Mutational frequencies Forty-one (16.3%) patients harbored U2AF1 mutations: 16 (39%) Q157P, 10 (24%) Q157R, 8 (20%) S34F, 4 (10%) S34Y and one each for Q157P/E159A, Q157R/S34Y and Q157-Y158insYE. Frequencies for other mutations were 11% for SRSF2, 7.3% for SF3B1, 31% for ASXL1, 5.5% for EZH2, 5% for IDH1/2 and 58% for JAK2V617F. U2AF1 mutations were usually, but not always, exclusive of other spliceosomal mutations: one patient expressed all three spliceosomal mutations. The frequency of any one of the three spliceosomal mutations was 34%. Clinical correlates U2AF1 mutations were significantly associated with older age (p=0.02), JAK2V617F (p=0.002), mutant ASXL1 (p=0.04), transfusion need (p<0.0001), hemoglobin <10 g/dL (p<0.0001), platelets <100 x 10(9)/L (p<0.0001) and normal karyotype (p=0.006). The associations with anemia, thrombocytopenia, JAK2V617F and normal karyotype were inter-independent; the frequency of U2AF1 mutations in the presence of anemia was 29%, transfusion need 36%, thrombocytopenia 35%, JAK2V617F 23% and normal karyotype 21%. Prognostic interactions U2AF1 mutations were associated with inferior overall (p=0.004) but not leukemia-free (p=0.6) survival. However, the survival association was fully accounted for by the above-mentioned clustering of U2AF1 mutations with anemia and thrombocytopenia. Similarly, although multivariable analysis of U2AF1, SRSF2, ASXL1, EZH2 and IDH mutations identified the first three as being independently predictive of poor survival, only ASXL1 and SRSF2 remained significant when either anemia or thrombocytopenia was included as a co-variate. Conclusions U2AF1 mutations are the most frequent spliceosome pathway mutations in PMF, cluster with normal karyotype and JAK2V617F, and are strongly associated with anemia and thrombocytopenia; the latter suggests a pathogenetic contribution to ineffective hematopoiesis in PMF. The current study also suggests that more than one third of patients with PMF carry a spliceosome mutation. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 115 (3) ◽  
pp. 496-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kebede Hussein ◽  
Animesh D. Pardanani ◽  
Daniel L. Van Dyke ◽  
Curtis A. Hanson ◽  
Ayalew Tefferi

Abstract Among 200 patients with primary myelofibrosis, karyotype at diagnosis was abnormal in 83 (42%). To assess their individual prognostic impact, specific cytogenetic abnormalities with more than or equal to 5 informative cases were identified and the rest grouped separately as “other abnormalities.” Median survival in patients with sole +9 (n = 6), sole 20q− (n = 21), sole 13q− (n = 8), normal karyotype (n = 117), “other abnormalities” (n = 28), complex karyotype (n = 13), and sole +8 (n = 7) were “not reached,” 112, 105, 80, 46, 34, and 28 months, respectively (P = .01). Accordingly, 4 cytogenetic risk groups were considered: (1) favorable (sole +9, 20q−, or 13q−), (2) normal, (3) unfavorable (complex karyotype or sole +8), and (4) “other abnormalities.” Multivariable analysis confirmed the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS)–independent prognostic value of both 4-way and 2-way (ie, favorable/normal vs unfavorable/other abnormalities; IPSS-adjusted hazard ratio = 0.37; 95% confidence interval, 0.24-0.58) cytogenetic risk categorization (P < .01). The ability to prognostically dissect a specific IPSS category has major therapeutic implications.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 1849-1849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiziano Barbui ◽  
Arianna Masciulli ◽  
Marco Scarano ◽  
Gianni Tognoni ◽  
Sara Sisti ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The promising development of perspectives in innovative therapeutic interventions in myelofibrosis (MF) makes the establishment of large collaborative networks ready to assure reliable comparability of cases and increasingly relevant data. This will provide assurance regarding efficiency and consistency in the development of clinical and epidemiological knowledge. We report here the results of the pilot phase of ERNEST, whose acronym defines its purpose: European Registry for Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: towards a better understanding of Epidemiology, Survival and Treatment. This project promoted by the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) collaboration is coordinated by the Fondazione Mario Negri Sud (Italy) and supported by an unrestricted educational grant by Novartis. Patients and Methods In order to test the feasibility of a prospective epidemiological outcome-oriented registry across centers, expected to vary in the characteristics of their populations and care practices, a retrospective analysis was implemented based on a strictly pre-defined protocol. Patients with Primary Myelofibrosis (PMF), Post- Essential Thrombocythemia Myelofibrosis (PET-MF) and Post- Polycythemia Vera Myelofibrosis (PPV-MF) which were diagnosed in the participant centers between January 2001 and December 2012, with available follow-up information, were eligible for inclusion. Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney test were used to compare data at presentation by diagnosis for categorical and continuous variables respectively. Standard time-to-event methods were used for data analysis, including log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier survival graphs, and Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios along with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Multivariable analysis was performed adjusting for unbalanced and relevant prognostic covariates. Results From February 2013 to May 2014, we received data of 1209 evaluable patients from 13 centers in 5 European countries (Italy, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, Sweden): 61% were PMF, 20% PET-MF and 19% PPV-MF (median age: 66 years). 23%, 37% and 40% of diagnosis were performed between 2001-2004, 2005-2008 and 2009-2012 respectively. Variability was found for the presence of constitutional symptoms (from 43% in PET-MF to 49% in PPV-MF); an excess of splenomegaly emerged in PPV-MF cohort (84% vs 74% and 75% in PMF and PET-MF respectively). Mean value + SD of Hb, WBC and PLT were: 13.9 + 16.5 g/dl, 17.4 + 30.8 109/l, 372 + 316 109/l respectively with higher levels of Hb and WBC in PPV-MF patients than PET-MF and PMF (p<0.001). No variability was seen for presence of peripheral blasts and cytogenetic abnormalities. During follow-up (median duration: 2 years) 405 patients (33.5%) died without any differences among diagnosis subtypes. Leukemic transformation was experienced by 8% of the whole cohort (9% in PMF, 7% in PET-MF and 8%in PPV-MF). A multivariable’s Cox analysis was performed on the whole cohort including sex, diagnosis and International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) as covariates of interest. Besides male sex [Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.49 (95% CI (1.21-1.83), p<0.001] the prognostic significance of IPSS was confirmed with an HR 2.19 [(95% CI (1.64-2.92), p<0.001] for IPSS 2, and HR 4.20 [(95% CI (3.20-5.53), p<0.001] for IPSS >3, as compared with the reference category of patients with IPSS 0-1. As shown in Figure 1, an exploratory analysis documented different patterns of predictivity when the analysis was stratified according to the diagnosis subtypes. The determinants of the prognostic value of IPSS in PPV-MF vs PET-MF (and PMF, data not shown) would certainly deserve fully adjusted analysis in prospective well defined cohorts of patients. Conclusions The intensive quality control needed to assure the reliability, representativeness and the comparability of the data across international centers with expertise in this field confirms both the interest, but also the challenge of a cooperative epidemiological effort capable of representing a knowledge producing shared resource in the area of MF and other rare disease. Based also on the methodological and operational challenge resulting from this pilot study, a prospective study has been activated starting on September 2013. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Zhao ◽  
Xiangjun Kong ◽  
Hongbing Wang

Abstract Background: Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers, with high morbidity and mortality. MiRNAs are proved to play important roles in various human cancers. In our study, we aimed to explore the prognostic value of miR-181 in lung cancerMethods: Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (QRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression level of miR-181 in lung cancer tissues and the paired non-cancerous tissues. The relationship between miR-181 expression and clinicopathologic parameters were analyzed by chi-square test. Kaplan-Meier method with log rank test was applied for overall survival analysis. Furthermore, the Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of miR-181 in lung cancer.Results: Down-regulated miR-181 expression was observed in lung cancer tissues (P<0.001), moreover, its expression was significantly correlated with TNM stage (P=0.015) and metastasis (P=0.000). In addition, lung cancer patients with lower miR-181 expression level had poorer overall survival than those with higher expression (log rank test, P=0.011). Cox regression analysis suggested that miR-181 was an independent prognostic factor for lung cancer (HR=1.961, 95%CI=1.135-3.388, P=0.016).Conclusion: MiR-181 may be a tumor suppressor gene in lung cancer, which can predict outcomes for the patients.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (21) ◽  
pp. 2671-2677 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Teresa Voso ◽  
Susanna Fenu ◽  
Roberto Latagliata ◽  
Francesco Buccisano ◽  
Alfonso Piciocchi ◽  
...  

Purpose The definition of disease-specific prognostic scores plays a fundamental role in the treatment decision-making process in myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), a group of myeloid disorders characterized by a heterogeneous clinical behavior. Patients and Methods We applied the recently published Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) to 380 patients with MDS, registered in an Italian regional database, recruiting patients from the city of Rome (Gruppo Romano Mielodisplasie). Patients were selected based on the availability of IPSS-R prognostic factors, including complete peripheral-blood and bone marrow counts, informative cytogenetics, and follow-up data. Results We validated the IPSS-R score as a significant predictor of overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival (LFS) in MDS (P < .001 for both). When comparing the prognostic value of the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS), WHO Prognostic Scoring System (WPSS), and IPSS-R, using the Cox regression model and the likelihood ratio test, a significantly higher predictive power for LFS and OS became evident for the IPSS-R, compared with the IPSS and WPSS (P < .001 for both). The multivariate analysis, including IPSS, WPSS, age, lactate dehydrogenase, ferritin concentration, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, transfusion dependency, and type of therapy, confirmed the significant prognostic value of IPSS-R subgroups for LFS and OS. Treatment with lenalidomide and erythropoiesis-stimulating agents was shown to be an independent predictor of survival in the multivariate analysis. Conclusion Our data confirm that the IPSS-R is an excellent prognostic tool in MDS in the era of disease-modifying treatments. The early recognition of patients at high risk of progression to aggressive disease may optimize treatment timing in MDS.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 392-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naseema Gangat ◽  
Domenica Caramazza ◽  
Rakhee Vaidya ◽  
Geeta George ◽  
Kebede Begna ◽  
...  

Purpose The Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System (DIPSS) for primary myelofibrosis (PMF) uses five risk factors to predict survival: age older than 65 years, hemoglobin lower than 10 g/dL, leukocytes higher than 25 × 109/L, circulating blasts ≥ 1%, and constitutional symptoms. The main objective of this study was to refine DIPSS by incorporating prognostic information from karyotype, platelet count, and transfusion status. Patients and Methods Mayo Clinic databases for PMF were used to identify patients with available bone marrow histologic and cytogenetic information. Results Seven hundred ninety-three consecutive patients were selected and divided into two groups based on whether or not their referral occurred within (n = 428; training set) or after (n = 365; test set) 1 year of diagnosis. Multivariable analysis identified DIPSS, unfavorable karyotype, platelets lower than 100 × 109/L, and transfusion need as independent predictors of inferior survival. Hazard ratio (HR) –weighted adverse points were assigned to these variables to develop a composite prognostic model using the training set. The model was subsequently validated in the test set, and its application to all 793 patients resulted in median survivals of 185, 78, 35, and 16 months for low, intermediate-1 (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.6), intermediate-2 (HR, 4.9; 95% CI, 3.2 to 7.7), and high-risk groups (HR, 10.7; 95% CI, 6.8 to 16.9), respectively (P < .001). Leukemia-free survival was predicted by the presence of thrombocytopenia or unfavorable karyotype (10-year risk of 31% v 12%; HR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.9 to 5.6). Conclusion DIPSS plus effectively combines prognostic information from DIPSS, karyotype, platelet count, and transfusion status to predict overall survival in PMF. In addition, unfavorable karyotype or thrombocytopenia predicts inferior leukemia-free survival.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2339-2339
Author(s):  
Andrea Rinaldi ◽  
Michael Mian ◽  
Davide Rossi ◽  
Francesco Forconi ◽  
Clara Deambrogi ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2339 Poster Board II-316 BACKGROUND: CLL, the most common adult-onset leukemia in the Western world, has a heterogeneous clinical course. Many advances have led to a better understanding of its pathogenesis and to improvements in treatment strategies, but striking solutions are still missing. We conducted a study to evaluate the impact of genomic aberrations on the clinical course. METHODS: From January 1980 to May 2008, 395 frozen samples of CLL patients, were prospectively collected in four centers. Extracted DNA was analyzed with Affymetrix Human Mapping 6.0 arrays. Normal matched DNA was analyzed for one fourth of the cases. Correlations between minimal common regions (MCR) and clinical parameters were evaluated with the Fisherôs-exact test and their impact on OS with the log-rank test. A p-value after Bonferroni multiple test correction (MTC) (p-adj.) <0.05 was considered as statistically significant. Up to now 266 samples have been analyzed. RESULTS: Analysis of the clinical parameters (CPs) and known risk factors (Rai/Binet, age, doubling time, LDH, beta2, IGVH status, p53 mutations, telomere length, CD38, 11q, 17p) was consistent to previous published series. ZAP70 did not affect the clinical course, likely due inter-laboratories variability. After a median follow up of 53 months, 143/239 (60%) of the patients have started therapy and 63/261 (24%) died. 5-yr OS was 82%. Fisher test between the MCRs and CPs revealed an inverse relation between the presence of trisomy 12 by FISH and del13q14.3, an association between del17p and losses of 8p regions and between CD38 and 12q gain. Before MTC, 46 MCRs had a significant impact on OS and 67. After MTC, 3 regions maintained their role: 8p22 loss (38/248, 15%, p-adj.=0.002, median OS: 26 months vs. 48), 17p13.3-11.2 loss (20/248, 8%, p-adj.=0.001; median OS: 10 months vs. 48). In univariate analysis, the log-rank test among pts with 8p-/17p- (8/248, 3%), 8p- (30/248, 12%), 17p- (12/248, 5%), wild type (198/248, 80%) was statistically significant (p<0.001; see figure). Importantly, none of the analyzed clinical and biological parameters was associated with this aberration. CONCLUSIONS: Loss of 8p22 designated a CLL subgroup with a worse outcome among all patients and in the subset with 17p loss. Our data suggested that this aberration might constitute an independent prognostic factor to be evaluated in independent studies. Results, including a Cox regression model, will be presented on all 395 cases. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


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