Changes in diabetes prevalence and corresponding risk factors - findings from 3- and 6-year follow-up of PURE Poland cohort study

Abstract STUDY QUESTION Do daughters of older mothers have lower fecundability? SUMMARY ANSWER In this cohort study of North American pregnancy planners, there was virtually no association between maternal age ≥35 years and daughters’ fecundability. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY Despite suggestive evidence that daughters of older mothers may have lower fertility, only three retrospective studies have examined the association between maternal age and daughter’s fecundability. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION Prospective cohort study of 6689 pregnancy planners enrolled between March 2016 and January 2020. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO) is an ongoing pre-conception cohort study of pregnancy planners (age, 21-45 years) from the USA and Canada. We estimated fecundability ratios (FR) for maternal age at the participant’s birth using multivariable proportional probabilities regression models. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE Daughters of mothers ≥30 years were less likely to have previous pregnancies (or pregnancy attempts) or risk factors for infertility, although they were more likely to report that their mother had experienced problems conceiving. The proportion of participants with prior unplanned pregnancies, a birth before age 21, ≥3 cycles of attempt at study entry or no follow-up was greater among daughters of mothers <25 years. Compared with maternal age 25–29 years, FRs (95% CI) for maternal age <20, 20–24, 30–34, and ≥35 were 0.72 (0.61, 0.84), 0.92 (0.85, 1.00), 1.08 (1.00, 1.17), and 1.00 (0.89, 1.12), respectively. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION Although the examined covariates did not meaningfully affect the associations, we had limited information on the participants’ mother. Differences by maternal age in reproductive history, infertility risk factors and loss to follow-up suggest that selection bias may partly explain our results. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS Our finding that maternal age 35 years or older was not associated with daughter’s fecundability is reassuring, considering the trend towards delayed childbirth. However, having been born to a young mother may be a marker of low fecundability among pregnancy planners. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) PRESTO was funded by NICHD Grants (R21-HD072326 and R01-HD086742) and has received in-kind donations from Swiss Precision Diagnostics, FertilityFriend.com, Kindara.com, and Sandstone Diagnostics. Dr Wise is a fibroid consultant for AbbVie, Inc. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER n/a

Download Full-text

Gait Disorder among Elderly People, Psychomotor Disadaptation Syndrome: Post-Fall Syndrome, Risk Factors and Follow-Up – A Cohort Study of 70 Patients

Gerontology ◽

10.1159/000511356 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 1-8

Author(s):

Maxence Meyer ◽

Florentin Constancias ◽

Thomas Vogel ◽

Georges Kaltenbach ◽

Elise Schmitt

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Fear Of Falling ◽

Functional Mobility ◽

General Physician ◽

Major Health ◽

Mobility Assessment ◽

Control Study ◽

Major Health Issue

Introduction: Falls among older people are a major health issue and the first cause of accidental death after 75 years of age. Post-fall syndrome (PFS) is commonly known and yet poorly studied. Objective: Identify risk factors for PFS and do a follow-up 1 year later. Methods: We included all patients over 70 years of age hospitalized after suffering a fall in a case-control study, and then followed them in a cohort study. PFS was retained in case of functional mobility decline (transferring, walking) occurring following a fall in the absence of an acute neurological, orthopedic or rheumatic pathology directly responsible for the decline. The data initially collected were: clinical (anamnestic, emergency and departmental/ward evolution, medical history, lifestyle, treatments, clinical examination items); and imaging if the patient had been subjected to brain imaging in the last 3 years prior to inclusion. Regarding the follow-up at 1 year, we collected from the general physician the occurrence and the characteristics of new falls, functional mobility assessment, hospitalization and death. Results: Inclusion took place from March 29, 2016 to June 7, 2016 and follow-up until June 30, 2017. We included 70 patients. A total of 29 patients exhibited a PFS (41.4 %). Risk factors for PFS included age, walking disorder prior to the fall, the use of a walking aid prior to the fall, no unaccompanied outdoor walk in the week before the fall, visual impairment making close reading impossible, stiffness in ankle dorsiflexion, grip strength and the fear of falling. Among patients with PFS, 52.9% could still perform a transfer at 1 year and 64.7% could still walk against 80.7% and 85.2%, respectively, for patients without PFS. Conclusion: The study showed the existence of body functions/structure impairments and activity limitations prior to the fall among patients exhibiting a PFS. This suggests the existence of a pre-fall syndrome, i.e., a psychomotor disadaptation syndrome existing prior to the fall. Among the 8 risk factors, fear of falling, vision impairment and muscle strength could be targeted for improvement. The diagnosis of PFS could be a marker of loss of functional mobility at 1 year.

Download Full-text

Neonatal Severe Hyperbilirubinemia Online Registry in Jiangsu Province: protocol for a multicentre, prospective, open, observational cohort study

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2020-040797 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (2) ◽

pp. e040797

Author(s):

Qianqian Li ◽

Xiaoyi Deng ◽

Junmei Yan ◽

Xiaofan Sun ◽

Xiaoyue Dong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Observational Cohort Study ◽

Jiangsu Province ◽

Survival Status ◽

Bilirubin Encephalopathy ◽

Brainstem Response ◽

Observational Cohort ◽

Severe Hyperbilirubinemia

IntroductionSevere hyperbilirubinaemia in newborns can be easily complicated by acute bilirubin encephalopathy or even kernicterus, which could lead to neurological sequelae or death. However, there is no systematic study of the management of severe hyperbilirubinaemia in China. The Neonatal Severe Hyperbilirubinemia Online Registry study aims to investigate the management of jaundice before admission, risk factors and outcomes of severe hyperbilirubinaemia in a real-world setting in China.Methods and analysisThis is a prospective, multicentre, open, observational cohort study. From May 2020 to April 2023, more than 2000 patients with neonatal severe hyperbilirubinaemia from 13 tertiary hospitals in Jiangsu Province will join the study. Demographic data and treatment information will be collected from their clinical data. Management measures for jaundice before admission will be collected by the WeChat applet (called ‘Follow-up of jaundice’) after being provided by the patient’s guardian using a mobile phone. Follow-up data will include cranial MRI examination results, brainstem auditory-evoked potential or automatic auditory brainstem response, physical examination results and Griffiths Development Scales-Chinese at the corrected ages of 3–6 months and 1 and 2 years. Results and conclusions will be recorded using ‘Follow-up of jaundice.’ In-hospital outcomes, including severity of hyperbilirubinaemia (severe, extreme, hazardous), acute bilirubin encephalopathy (mild, moderate, severe) and survival status (death or survival), will be collected at discharge. Follow-up outcomes will include loss to follow-up, survival status and kernicterus (yes or no) at 2 years. The research will enhance our comprehensive knowledge of jaundice management before admission, risk factors and outcomes of severe hyperbilirubinaemia in China, which will ultimately help to reduce the incidence of neonatal severe hyperbilirubinaemia.Ethics and disseminationOur protocol has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Nanjing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital. We will present our findings at national conferences and peer-reviewed paediatrics journals.Trial registration numberNCT04251286.

Download Full-text

Uptake and detection rate of a stepwise cardiometabolic disease detection program in primary care—a cohort study

European Journal of Public Health ◽

10.1093/eurpub/ckz201 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 30 (3) ◽

pp. 402-407

Author(s):

Daphne M Stol ◽

Monika Hollander ◽

Ilse F Badenbroek ◽

Mark M J Nielen ◽

François G Schellevis ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Primary Care ◽

Cohort Study ◽

High Risk ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Additional Risk ◽

High Risk Patients ◽

Detection Program ◽

Risk Patients

Abstract Background Early detection and treatment of cardiometabolic diseases (CMD) in high-risk patients is a promising preventive strategy to anticipate the increasing burden of CMD. The Dutch guideline ‘the prevention consultation’ provides a framework for stepwise CMD risk assessment and detection in primary care. The aim of this study was to assess the outcome of this program in terms of newly diagnosed CMD. Methods A cohort study among 30 934 patients, aged 45–70 years without known CMD or CMD risk factors, who were invited for the CMD detection program within 37 general practices. Patients filled out a CMD risk score (step 1), were referred for additional risk profiling in case of high risk (step 2) and received lifestyle advice and (pharmacological) treatment if indicated (step 3). During 1-year follow-up newly diagnosed CMD, prescriptions and abnormal diagnostic tests were assessed. Results Twelve thousand seven hundred and thirty-eight patients filled out the risk score of which 865, 6665 and 5208 had a low, intermediate and high CMD risk, respectively. One thousand seven hundred and fifty-five high-risk patients consulted the general practitioner, in 346 of whom a new CMD was diagnosed. In an additional 422 patients a new prescription and/or abnormal diagnostic test were found. Conclusions Implementation of the CMD detection program resulted in a new CMD diagnosis in one-fifth of high-risk patients who attended the practice for completion of their risk profile. However, the potential yield of the program could be higher given the considerable number of additional risk factors—such as elevated glucose, blood pressure and cholesterol levels—found, requiring active follow-up and presumably treatment in the future.

Download Full-text

Endothelin-1 predicts incident diabetic peripheral neuropathy in Type 2 Diabetes: a cohort study

Acta Endocrinologica ◽

10.1530/eje-19-0523 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 182 (4) ◽

pp. 429-438

Author(s):

Sharon Li Ting Pek ◽

Su Chi Lim ◽

Keven Ang ◽

Pek Yee Kwan ◽

Wern Ee Tang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Blood Pressure ◽

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Peripheral Neuropathy ◽

Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy ◽

Diabetes Duration ◽

Endothelin 1

Introduction Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is a common microvascular complication in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Apart from hyperglycemia, few modifiable risk factors have been identified. Endothelin-1 is a potent vasoconstrictor peptide, implicated in the causal pathway of microangiopathy. We investigated whether baseline plasma endothelin-1 and other metabolic and vascular risk factors predicted the incidence of DPN. Design This is a 3-year observational, cohort study. Methods In patients with T2D (n = 2057), anthropometric data, fasting blood, and urine were collected for biochemistry and urine albumin/creatinine measurements. Forearm cutaneous endothelial reactivity was assessed by iontophoresis and laser Doppler flowmetry/imaging. Measurements were repeated on follow-up. Incident DPN was considered present if an abnormal finding in monofilament (<8 of 10 points) or neurothesiometer testing was ≥25 volts on either foot at 3-year follow-up, but normal at baseline. Plasma endothelin-1 was assessed by ELISA. Results At baseline, mean age of patients was 57.4 ± 10.8 years old and prevalence of DPN was 10.8%. Of the 1767 patients without DPN, 1250 patients returned for follow-up assessment ((2.9 ± 0.7) years), with a 10.7% incidence of DPN. Patients with incident DPN had significantly higher baseline endothelin-1 (1.43 (1.19–1.73) vs 1.30 (1.06–1.63)) pg/mL, P < 0.0001. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards ratio showed a 1-s.d. increase in log endothelin-1 (adjusted HR: 4.345 (1.451–13.009), P = 0.009), systolic blood pressure (per 10-unit) (adjusted HR: 1.107 (1.001–1.223), P = 0.047) and diabetes duration (adjusted HR: 1.025 (1.004–1.047), P = 0.017) predicted incident DPN, after adjustment for glycemic control, eGFR, albuminuria, peripheral arterial disease and retinopathy status. Conclusion Higher baseline endothelin-1, blood pressure and diabetes duration were significant and independent predictors for incident DPN. Validation of our findings in independent cohorts and molecular mechanistic studies will help better our understanding on the role of endothelin-1 in DPN.

Download Full-text

Causes of Raynaud’s phenomenon and the predictive laboratory and capillaroscopy features for the evolution to a definite connective tissue disease

Rheumatology ◽

10.1093/rheumatology/keab668 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Saeedeh Shenavandeh ◽

Mehrnoush Ajri ◽

Sahand Hamidi

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Prognostic Factors ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Predictive Marker ◽

Number Of Patients ◽

Laboratory Results ◽

Secondary Causes ◽

Scleroderma Pattern

Abstract Objective In patients with RP, capillaroscopy is useful for discriminating primary from secondary causes. There are certain capillaroscopy and lab values as predictive factors leading to a known CTD. We conducted the present study to evaluate the causes of RP in our area and followed the studied subjects to find prognostic factors indicating a definite CTD or remaining a UCTD. Methods In this retrospective cohort study we included all adult patients with RP who were referred for capillaroscopy from 2010 to 2019. All the patients with primary and secondary RP with follow-up were evaluated for demography, laboratory results and capillaroscopy to find the risk factors of their progression to a CTD. Results A total of 760 of 776 patients were included, with 679 being female (89.3%) and 81 (10.7%) male. There were 660 subjects (90.8%) with secondary RP [mostly UCTD (48.2%) and then SSc (16.4%)] and 67 (9.2%) with primary RP; 109 patients were followed up and 42 (42%) of those with secondary RP developed a definite CTD. The scleroderma pattern and some capillary changes on capillaroscopy and/or positive ANA had statistically significant differences for CTD transition. Conclusion We had a small number of patients with primary RP. The most prevalent causes of secondary RP in our patients were UCTD and SSc. Some capillaroscopy and laboratory results alone or in combination could be used as a predictive marker for the transition of patients with UCTD to CTD.

Download Full-text

Risk Factors for Mortality Among Mid-Aged and Older Chinese: A Prospective Cohort Study Using 9-Year Follow-Up of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.3839462 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Xinxin Chen ◽

Jinquan Gong ◽

Qinqin Meng ◽

Gewei Wang ◽

Stephen Yafeng Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Longitudinal Study ◽

Prospective Cohort Study ◽

Prospective Cohort ◽

Older Chinese

Download Full-text

Serum procalcitonin levels predict disseminated intravascular coagulation in patients with sepsis shock: A retrospective cohort study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-36566/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Guang Fu ◽

Xi-si He ◽

Hao-li Li ◽

Hai-chao Zhan ◽

Jun-fu Lu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Septic Shock ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation ◽

Area Under The Curve ◽

Multivariable Logistic Regression Model ◽

Intravascular Coagulation ◽

The Relationship ◽

Conventional Risk Factors

Abstract Background Complication of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is a determinant of the prognosis in patients with sepsis shock. Procalcitonin (PCT) has been advocated as a marker of bacterial sepsis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between serum PCT levels and DIC with sepsis shock Methods A cohort study was designed which included patients that admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018 and the follow-up to discharge. 164 septic shock patients were divided into DIC and non-DIC groups according to international society of thrombosis and homeostasis (ISTH). PCT was measured at the admission to ICU, and all the participants received routine biochemical coagulation test subsequently. Results PCT levels were considerably higher in septic shock patients who developed DIC than those who did not (54.6[13.6–200]vs12.6[2.4–53.3]ng/ml), respectively, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression model revealed that PCT level was significantly associated with risk of DIC independent of conventional risk factors. In addition, curve fitting showed a linear relationship between PCT and DIC score. The Receiver Operating characteristic(ROC) curve suggested that the optimal cut-off point for PCT to predicting DIC induced by septic shock was 42.0 ng/ml, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.701(95% CI [0.619–0.784], P < 0.001). More importantly, incorporating PCT with other risk factors into the prediction model significantly increased the AUC for prediction of DIC induced by sepsis shock (0.801vs 0.706; P = 0.012). Conclusions Our study suggests that PCT levels on admission is significantly and independently associated with DIC development subsequently with septic shock, combining PCT levels with other risk factors could significantly improve the prediction of DIC induced by sepsis shock.

Download Full-text

Determinants of Poor Glycemic Control in Patients with Kidney Transplants: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study in Canada

Canadian Journal of Kidney Health and Disease ◽

10.1177/2054358120922628 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 7 ◽

pp. 205435812092262

Author(s):

Daniel Chan Chun Kong ◽

Ayub Akbari ◽

Janine Malcolm ◽

Mary-Anne Doyle ◽

Stephanie Hoar

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Peritoneal Dialysis ◽

Glycemic Control ◽

Kidney Transplant ◽

Deceased Donor ◽

Poor Glycemic Control ◽

Single Center ◽

Readmission Rates

Background: Kidney transplant immunosuppressive medications are known to impair glucose metabolism, causing worsened glycemic control in patients with pre-transplant diabetes mellitus (PrTDM) and new onset of diabetes after transplant (NODAT). Objectives: To determine the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of both PrTDM and NODAT patients. Design: This is a single-center retrospective observational cohort study. Setting: The Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada. Participant: A total of 132 adult (>18 years) kidney transplant patients from 2013 to 2015 were retrospectively followed 3 years post-transplant. Measurements: Patient characteristics, transplant information, pre- and post-transplant HbA1C and random glucose, follow-up appointments, complications, and readmissions. Methods: We looked at the prevalence of poor glycemic control (HbA1c >8.5%) in the PrTDM group before and after transplant and compared the prevalence, follow-up appointments, and rate of complications and readmission rates in both the PrTDM and NODAT groups. We determined the risk factors of developing poor glycemic control in PrTDM patients and NODAT. Student t-test was used to compare means, chi-squared test was used to compare percentages, and univariate analysis to determine risk factors was performed by logistical regression. Results: A total of 42 patients (31.8%) had PrTDM and 12 patients (13.3%) developed NODAT. Poor glycemic control (HbA1c >8.5%) was more prevalent in the PrTDM (76.4%) patients compared to those with NODAT (16.7%; P < .01). PrTDM patients were more likely to receive follow-up with an endocrinologist ( P < .01) and diabetes nurse ( P < .01) compared to those with NODAT. There were no differences in the complication and readmission rates for PrTDM and NODAT patients. Receiving a transplant from a deceased donor was associated with having poor glycemic control, odds ratio (OR) = 3.34, confidence interval (CI = 1.08, 10.4), P = .04. Both patient age, OR = 1.07, CI (1.02, 1.3), P < .01, and peritoneal dialysis prior to transplant, OR = 4.57, CI (1.28, 16.3), P = .02, were associated with NODAT. Limitations: Our study was limited by our small sample size. We also could not account for any diabetes screening performed outside of our center or follow-up appointments with family physicians or community endocrinologists. Conclusion: Poor glycemic control is common in the kidney transplant population. Glycemic targets for patients with PrTDM are not being met in our center and our study highlights the gap in the literature focusing on the prevalence and outcomes of poor glycemic control in these patients. Closer follow-up and attention may be needed for those who are at risk for worse glycemic control, which include older patients, those who received a deceased donor kidney, and/or prior peritoneal dialysis.

Download Full-text

Different Contributions of Dyslipidemia and Obesity to the Natural History of Type 2 Diabetes: 3-Year Cohort Study in China

Journal of Diabetes Research ◽

10.1155/2019/4328975 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 2019 ◽

pp. 1-10 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Lu Liu ◽

Xiaoling Guan ◽

Zhongshang Yuan ◽

Meng Zhao ◽

Qiu Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Natural History ◽

Glucose Tolerance ◽

Serum Triglyceride ◽

Glycemic Status ◽

History Of

Aim. It is known that different stages of type 2 diabetes represent distinct pathophysiological changes, but how the spectrum of risk factors varies at different stages is not yet clarified. Hence, the aim of this study was to compare the effect of different metabolic variables on the natural history of type 2 diabetes. Methods. A total of 5,213 nondiabetic (normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and prediabetes) Chinese older than 40 years participated this prospective cohort study, and 4,577 completed the 3-year follow-up. Glycemic status was determined by standard oral glucose tolerance test both at enrollment and follow-up visit. Predictors for conversion in glycemic status were studied in a corresponding subcohort using the multiple logistic regression analysis. Results. The incidence of prediabetes and diabetes of the cohort was 93.6 and 42.2 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. After a 3-year follow-up, 33.1% of prediabetes patients regressed to NGT. The predictive weight of body mass index (BMI), serum triglyceride, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure in different paths of conversions among diabetes, prediabetes, and NGT differed. Specifically, BMI was the strongest predictor for regression from prediabetes to NGT, while triglyceride was most prominent for onset of diabetes. One SD increase in serum triglyceride was associated with a 1.29- (95% CI 1.10–1.52; P=0.002) or 1.12- (95% CI 1.01–1.27; P=0.039) fold higher risk of diabetes for individuals with NGT or prediabetes, respectively. Conclusion. Risk factors for different stages of diabetes differed, suggesting personalized preventive strategies for individuals with different basal glycemic statuses.

Download Full-text