scholarly journals Higher long-term visit-to-visit glycemic variability predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Chi Hsu ◽  
Yen-Yun Yang ◽  
Shu-Lin Chuang ◽  
Chih-Chieh Yu ◽  
Lian-Yu Lin

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Glycemic variability (GV) is associated with risk of micro- and macrovascular diseases. However, whether the GV can increase the risk of AF remains unknown. Methods The cohort study used a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Between 2014 and 2019, a total of 27,246 adult patients with T2DM were enrolled for analysis. Each individual was assessed to determine the coefficients of variability of fasting glucose (FGCV) and HbA1c variability score (HVS). The GV parameters were categorized into quartiles. Multivariate Cox regression models were employed to estimate the relationship between the GV parameters and the risk of AF, transient ischemic accident (TIA)/ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with T2DM. Results The incidence rates of AF and TIA/ischemic stroke were 21.31 and 13.71 per 1000 person-year respectively. The medium follow-up period was 70.7 months. In Cox regression model with full adjustment, the highest quartile of FGCV was not associated with increased risk of AF [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96–1.29, p = 0.148] or TIA/ischemic stroke (HR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.83–1.31, p = 0.736), but was associated with increased risk of total mortality (HR: 1.33, 95% CI 1.12–1.58, p < 0.001) and non-cardiac mortality (HR: 1.41, 95% CI 1.15–1.71, p < 0.001). The highest HVS was significantly associated with increased risk of AF (HR: 1.29, 95% CI 1.12–1.50, p < 0.001), total mortality (HR: 2.43, 95% CI 2.03–2.90, p < 0.001), cardiac mortality (HR: 1.50, 95% CI 1.06–2.14, p = 0.024) and non-cardiac mortality (HR: 2.80, 95% CI 2.28–3.44, p < 0.001) but was not associated with TIA/ischemic stroke (HR: 0.98, 95% CI 0.78–1.23, p = 0.846). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed significantly higher risk of AF, cardiac and non-cardiac mortality according to the magnitude of GV (log-rank test, p < 0.001). Conclusions Our data demonstrate that high GV is independently associated with the development of new-onset AF in patients with T2DM. The benefit of maintaining stable glycemic levels to improve clinical outcomes warrants further studies.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Chi Hsu ◽  
Yen-Yun Yang ◽  
Shu-Lin Chuang ◽  
Chih-Chieh Yu ◽  
Lian-Yu Lin

Abstract BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Glycemic variability (GV) is associated with risk of micro- and macrovascular diseases. However, whether the GV can increase the risk of AF remains unknown.MethodsThe cohort study used a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Between 2014 and 2019, a total of 27246 adult patients with T2DM were enrolled for analysis. Each individual was assessed to determine the coefficients of variability of fasting glucose (FGCV) and HbA1c variability score (HVS). The GV parameters were categorized into quartiles. Multivariate Cox regression models were employed to estimate the relationship between the GV parameters and the risk of AF, transient ischemic accident (TIA)/ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with T2DM.ResultsThe incidence rates of AF and TIA/ischemic stroke were 21.31 and 13.71 per 1000 person-year respectively. The medium follow-up period was 70.7 months. In Cox regression model with full adjustment, the highest quartiles of FGCV was not associated with increased risk of AF (Hazard ratio (HR): 1.11, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.96-1.29, p=0.165) or TIA/ischemic stroke (HR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.82-1.29, p=0.821), but was associated with increased risk of total mortality (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.13-1.60, p<0.001) and non-cardiac mortality (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.17-1.72, p<0.001). The highest HVS was significantly associated with increased risk of AF (HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.12-1.48, p<0.001), total mortality (HR: 2.44, 95% CI: 2.04-2.91, p<0.001), cardiac mortality (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.04-2.10, p=0.028) and non-cardiac mortality (HR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.31-3.14, p<0.001) but was not associated with TIA/ischemic stroke (HR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.79-1.26, p=0.989). The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly higher risk of AF, cardiac and non-cardiac mortality according to the magnitude of GV(log-rank<0.001). ConclusionsHigher GV is independently associated with the development of new-onset AF in patients with T2DM. Reducing GV may be a potential new therapeutic target to prevent AF.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Chi Hsu ◽  
Yen-Yun Yang ◽  
Shu-Lin Chuang ◽  
Yi-Wei Chung ◽  
Lian-Yu Lin

Abstract Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Obesity commonly accompanies with T2DM and increases AF incidence. However, the dose-relationship of body mass index (BMI) and the risk of AF has seldom been studied in diabetes patients.Methods: This cohort study was conducted utilizing a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Between 2014 and 2019, a total of 64339 adult patients with T2DM were enrolled for analysis. The BMI was measured and categorized into several groups including underweight (BMI <18.5), normal range (18.5≤BMI <24), overweight (24≤BMI <27), obesity class 1 (27≤BMI <30), obesity class 2 (30≤BMI <35), and obesity class 3 (BMI≥35). Multivariate Cox regression models and spline regression model were employed to estimate the relationship between BMI and the risk of AF in patients with T2DM.Results: The incidence rate of AF was 1.97 per 1000 person-year during a median follow-up period of 70.7 months. In multivariate Cox regression model, by using normal BMI as reference group, individuals with underweight (HR 1.47, 95%CI 1.19-1.81, p<0.001) was significantly associated with increased risk of AF while overweight was significantly associated with reduced risk of AF (HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.76-0.91, p<0.001). The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the risk of AF was highest in the underweight group, followed by obesity class 3, while the overweight group had the least incidence of AF (log-rank test, p<0.001). Cubic restrictive spline model showed a “J-shaped” or “L-shape” relationship between BMI and the risk AF.Conclusions: We found that underweight carries the highest risk of AF in Asian patients with T2DM.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gautam R Shroff ◽  
Craig A Solid ◽  
Charles A Herzog

Background: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and non valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of ischemic stroke; but evidence regarding ischemic stroke and warfarin use in the literature is limited. We evaluated temporal trends in ischemic stroke and warfarin use among the US Medicare population with and without DM. Methods: One-year cohorts of patients with Medicare as primary payer, 1992-2010, were created using the Medicare 5% sample. ICD-9-CM codes were used to identify AF, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and comorbidities; ≤3 consecutive prothrombin-time claims were used to identify warfarin use. Results: Demographic characteristics between 1992 (n=40255) and 2010 (n=80314) respectively were (proportions): age 65-74 years (37%, 32%); age ≤ 85 years (20%, 25%); white (94%, 93%); hypertension (46%, 80%); DM (20%, 32%), chronic kidney disease (5%, 18%). Ischemic stroke rates among Medicare AF patients with DM decreased by 71% (1992, 2010) from 65 to 19 /1000 patient-years; warfarin utilization increased from 28% to 62% respectively (Figure 1A). Among Medicare AF patients without DM, ischemic stroke rates decreased by 68% from 44 to 14/ 1000 patient-years; warfarin use increased 26% to 59% respectively (Figure 1B). About 38% Medicare AF pts with DM did not receive anticoagulation in 2010. Conclusion: Medicare patients with and without DM had a similar reduction in ischemic stroke rates; and similar increase in warfarin utilization over the study period. A significant proportion of Medicare pts with DM did not receive anticoagulation with warfarin for AF in 2010; this population deserves future attention.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Lacalzada Almeida ◽  
V Armarnani Armarnani ◽  
J Garcia-Niebla ◽  
M M Izquierdo-Gomez ◽  
R Elosua ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The association between advanced interatrial block (aIAB) and atrial fibrillation (AF) is known as “Bayes' Syndrome”. There is little information on the prognostic role that new speckle tracking echocardiographic (STE) imaging techniques could play in it. Purpose We have examined the relationship between left atrial (LA) STE and the prediction of new-onset AF and/or stroke in IAB patients. Methods Observational study with 98 outpatients: 55 (56.2%) controls with normal ECG, 21 (21.4%) with partial IAB (pIAB) and 22 (22.4%) with aIAB. The end-point was new-onset AF, ischemic stroke, and the composite of both. Results During a mean follow-up of 1.9 (1.7–2.3) years, 20 patients presented the end-point (18 new-onset AF and 2 strokes): 8 (14.5%) in the control group, 3 (14.3%) in pIAB and 9 (40.9%) in aIAB, p=0.03. In multivariable comprehensive Cox regression analyses, a decrease of strain rate during the booster pump function phase (SRa) was the only variable independently related to the appearance in the evolution of the end-point, in the first model (age, P wave duration and SRa): HR 19.9 (95% CI, 3.12–127.5), p=0.002 and in the second (age, presence of aIAB and SRa): HR 24.2 (95% CI, 3.15–185.4), p=0.002. Conclusions In patients with IAB, a decrease in absolute value of LA SRa with STE predicts new-onset AF and ischemic stroke. Acknowledgement/Funding None


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Chi Hsu ◽  
Yen-Yun Yang ◽  
Shu-Lin Chuang ◽  
Yi-Wei Chung ◽  
Chih-Hsien Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Obesity commonly accompanies T2DM, and increases the risk of AF. However, the dose-relationship between body mass index (BMI) and AF risk has seldom been studied in patients with diabetes. Methods This cohort study utilized a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Between 2014 and 2019, 64,339 adult patients with T2DM were enrolled for analysis. BMI was measured and categorized as underweight (BMI < 18.5), normal (18.5 ≤ BMI < 24), overweight (24 ≤ BMI < 27), obesity class 1 (27 ≤ BMI < 30), obesity class 2 (30 ≤ BMI < 35), or obesity class 3 (BMI ≥ 35). Multivariate Cox regression and spline regression models were employed to estimate the relationship between BMI and the risk of AF in patients with T2DM. Results The incidence of AF was 1.97 per 1000 person-years (median follow-up, 70.7 months). In multivariate Cox regression, using normal BMI as the reference group, underweight (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.25–1.87, p < 0.001) was associated with a significantly higher risk of AF, while overweight was associated with significantly reduced risk of AF (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.73–0.89, p < 0.001). Kaplan–Meier analysis showed AF risk was highest in the underweight group, followed by obesity class 3, while the overweight group had the lowest incidence of AF (log-rank test, p < 0.001). The cubic restrictive spline model revealed a “J-shaped” or “L-shaped” relationship between BMI and AF risk. Conclusions Underweight status confers the highest AF risk in Asian patients with T2DM.


Author(s):  
Johan Holm ◽  
Buster Mannheimer ◽  
Rickard E Malmström ◽  
Erik Eliasson ◽  
Jonatan D Lindh

Abstract Purpose To study the association between interacting drugs and bleeding or thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation outpatients treated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods Population-based cohort study of outpatients treated with NOACs in Sweden from 2008 to 2017. Patients with atrial fibrillation and newly initiated NOAC treatment were identified in the Prescribed Drug Register. Comorbidities and outcome data were retrieved from the Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register. Cox-regression analyses were performed to evaluate the primary endpoints any severe bleed and ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack/stroke unspecified during the first six months of treatment. Secondary endpoints were gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, ischemic stroke, and venous thromboembolism. Results Increased risk of any severe bleed was found when NOAC treatment, and drugs with pharmacodynamic effect on bleeding were combined, compared to NOAC only. An increased risk with these combinations was evident for apixaban (hazard ratio (HR) 1.47; 95% CI 1.33–1.63), rivaroxaban (HR 1.7; 95% CI 1.49–1.92), and dabigatran (HR 1.26; 95% CI 1.05–1.52). For apixaban, there was an increased risk of any severe bleed when combined with CYP3A4 and/or P-glycoprotein (P-gp) inhibitors (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.01–1.5). The use of inducers of CYP3A4 and/or P-gp was low in this cohort, and effects on ischemic stroke/TIA/stroke unspecified could not be established. Conclusion Increased risk of bleeding was seen for pharmacodynamic and pharmacokinetic interactions with NOACs. Prescribers need to be vigilant of the effect of interacting drugs on the risk profile of patients treated with NOACs.


EP Europace ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Kezerle ◽  
M A Tsadok ◽  
A Akriv ◽  
B Feldman ◽  
M Leventer-Roberts ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Pfizer Israel Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased risk of embolic complications in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Whether the risk of stroke in AF patients remains the same among the wide spectrum of disease is yet to be determined. Aim Among individuals with AF and DM, to assess the incidence rates and risk of ischemic stroke and mortality by baseline HbA1C levels. Methods We conducted a prospective, historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services (CHS) electronic medical records database. The study population included all CHS members ≥ 21 years old, with a first diagnosis of NVAF between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2016 and a minimal follow-up period of 1 year. Among those patients identified as diabetics, we compared three groups of patients according to HBA1C levels at the time of AF diagnosis: &lt;7.0%, between 7-9% and ≥ 9%. Results A total of 44,451 cases were identified. The median age was 75 years (IQR 65-83) and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow up of 38 months, the incidence of stroke per 100 person-years in the three study groups was: 1.9 in patients with HBA1C &lt;7%, 2.37 in the intermediary group and 2.72 in those with HBA1C &gt;9%. In both univariate and multivariate analyses, higher levels of HBA1C were associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with a dose-dependent response when compared to individuals with HBA1C &lt;7% (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 1.32 {95% CI 1.12-1.55}for levels between 7-9% and AHR 1.64 {95% CI 1.28-2.09}) even after adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASC individual risk factors and use of oral anti-coagulants. The risk for overall mortality did not differ significantly between groups, with a slight elevation in the HBA1C &gt;9% group after adjusted analysis {aHR = 1.17 (1.07- 1.28)} Conclusion: In this observational cohort of patients with incident newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, HBA1C levels were associated with an increased risk of stroke in a dose-dependent manner even after accounting for other recognized risk factors for stroke in this population. Abstract Figure. Kaplan-Meier for stroke-free survival


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J J Komen ◽  
T Forslund ◽  
A K Mantel - Teeuwisse ◽  
O H Klungel ◽  
B Wettermark ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anticoagulation treatment reduces the risk of stroke but increases the risk of bleeding in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. There is little data on survival after a stroke or a severe bleed. Objective To analyze 90-day mortality in AF patients after an ischemic stroke, an intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) or a gastrointestinal bleed (GIB) and assess associations with the type of antithrombotic treatment preceding the event. Methods From the Stockholm Healthcare database (n=2.3 million inhabitants) we selected all AF patients suffering from an ischemic stroke, an intracranial bleed, or a severe GIB requiring acute hospital care between July 2011 and August 2018 and assessed 90-day mortality rates. We assessed current use of warfarin, non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOAC), or antiplatelet agents at the time of the event. We used a Cox regression to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), adjusting for components of the Charlson Comorbidity Index, the CHADsVASc score, the HAS-BLED score, comedication, and year of inclusion, for the association between treatment preceding the event and mortality. In addition, we performed log-rank tests in propensity score matched cohorts. Results Of 105 313 patients with AF, 6 017 were included after an ischemic stroke, 3 006 after an ICH, and 4 291 after a GIB. 90-day mortality rates were 25.1%, 31.6% and 16.2%, respectively. Patients suffering from an ischemic stroke were the oldest at 81.6±9.8 (S.D:) years of age followed by patients suffering from an ICH (80.2±9.8 years) or a GIB (78.7±10.5 years). A large proportion of patients suffering ischemic stroke (72%) had no anticoagulant treatment preceding the event. After ICH, there was a significantly increased risk of mortality in warfarin compared to NOAC treated patients after adjusting for confounders (aHR: 1.36 CI: 1.04–1.78). Patients receiving antiplatelets or no treatment had significantly higher mortality rates than patients on NOAC treatment, both after an ischemic stroke and a GIB, but there was no significant difference between warfarin and NOACs (aHR 0.84 CI: 0.63–1.12 after ischemic stroke, aHR 0.91 CI: 0.66–1.25 after GIB). Propensity score matched analyses yielded similar results. Survival curves after event Conclusion Mortality rates are high in AF patients suffering from an ischemic stroke, an ICH, or a GIB. NOAC treatment was associated with a lower 90-day mortality after ICH than warfarin, but no such difference was found after ischemic stroke or GIB. After ischemic stroke and GIB, mortality rates were higher in antiplatelet treated and untreated patients compared to NOAC treated patients. Acknowledgement/Funding Swedish Heart Lung Foundation


CJEM ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (S1) ◽  
pp. S55-S56
Author(s):  
D. Hung ◽  
M. Butler ◽  
S. Campbell

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia treated in the emergency department (ED) and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Studies have shown that only oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy reduces risk of AF related stroke. Our objective was to measure the prescribing practices for OACs for new onset AF at a tertiary ED and two surrounding community EDs, and identify rates of adverse effects within 90 days. The findings of this study will provide quality assurance information for the management of patients with new onset AF. This information has the potential to promote adherence to prescribing guidelines for AF in the ED and the reduction of common adverse events such as ischemic stroke. Methods: We conducted a retrospective chart review of 385 patients with new onset AF who presented to the ED between November 2014 to Mach 2018. We defined new onset as symptoms &lt;48 hours and had AF confirmed with electrocardiogram. We recorded the selected therapy choice of cardioversion and/or rate control, gender, age, and assessed CHADS-65 score. We recorded who was prescribed OAC and those who were referred to cardiology, family medicine, or did not have a documented follow up plan. Patients with a previous history of AF or current anticoagulant therapy were excluded. We recorded if any patients returned to the ED within 90 days with ischemic stroke, AF recurrence, myocardial infarction, other embolic disease or death. Results: 86 of 294 (29.5%) of patients who qualified under CHADS-65 received OACs appropriately. 64 of 66 (97.0%) of patients who did not qualify under CHADS-65 did not receive OACs appropriately. 5 patients overall returned within 90 days with ischemic stroke, 4 of those were not prescribed OACs, however this was not statistically significant (P = 0.999). Conclusion: This data suggests that physicians in the study are under-prescribing OACs relative to published guidelines. A larger study is necessary to elucidate the effect of ED OAC prescribing patterns on long-term patient outcome.


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