scholarly journals Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: Prognostic Factors at Presentation in a Resource-Limited Center

2021 ◽  
pp. 56-62
Author(s):  
Kaladada Ibitrokoemi Korubo ◽  
Uchechukwu Prince Okite ◽  
Sampson Ibekwe Ezeugwu

PURPOSE Determining chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) prognosis using the International Prognostic Index markers such as TP53 and immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region gene mutation in a resource-limited setting is difficult to achieve because of cost and equipment unavailability. The aim of this study is to determine prognostic factors easily available to hematologists in low- or medium-income countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS This was a retrospective study conducted at the University of Port Harcourt Teaching Hospital, Nigeria. Data were retrieved from CLL patient records from January 2004 to December 2019 (15 years). Data collected were analyzed using SPSS software version 25. RESULTS A total of 46 records were reviewed, with a median age of 55 years and a male:female ratio of 1:1.2. All patients were symptomatic at presentation, with splenomegaly (91.3%), anemia (82.6%), and lymphadenopathy (76.1%) predominating. About 89.1% of the patients presented at Binet stage C and/or high-risk Rai (Rai stages III and IV) with 10.9% presenting at Binet stage B and/or intermediate-risk Rai (Rai stage II). Only 13% of the patients had immunophenotyping done with 6.5% being done for the Matutes CLL score. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was 15.7% with a median survival of 26 months. WBC count and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) > 100 × 109/L were significant poor prognostic markers ( P = .013 and .021, respectively). Thirty-five (76.1%) received chemotherapy, and they had a better median survival than those who did not (26 v 17.5 months). The most common regimen used was cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and prednisolone for 15 (42.9%) patients. CONCLUSION WBC count and ALC > 100 × 109/L were poor prognostic markers. Patients who received chemotherapy had a better OS.

Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 3121-3121
Author(s):  
Ilaria Del Giudice ◽  
Francesca Romana Mauro ◽  
Maria Stefania De Propris ◽  
Simona Santangelo ◽  
Marilisa Marinelli ◽  
...  

Abstract In chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) the distribution and prognostic impact of genetic and molecular markers has been assessed on retrospective series of patients in different phases of the disease. Our aim was to assess the distribution and clinical significance of a comprehensive panel of clinical and biologic parameters prospectively evaluated at presentation in all young patients diagnosed with CLL at our Institution, taking advantage of the fact that in Italy individuals with a lymphocytosis are referred to the hematologist for the diagnostic work-up. From November 2002 to June 2008, 105 young CLL patients (<60 years-old) were diagnosed with CLL and included in this study. There were 56 males and 49 females, with a median age of 52 years-old. 81% were in Binet stage A, 19% in stages B/C. Rai stage 0 was recorded in 63% of patients, I/II in 31%, III/IV in 6%. The median white blood cell (WBC) count was 18.8 × 109/L (range 5.8–236.6). Prognosis was evaluated as the time from diagnosis to first treatment (TFI, treatment-free interval), since only 3 patients died after a median follow-up of 32.4 months (range 1 to 88). The median TFI was 43.9 months. Clinical features included: gender, WBC count, Binet and Rai stage. Serological and biologic parameters included: beta2-microglobulin, LDH, IgG immunoglobulin levels, lymphocyte morphology, T-cell subsets, IgVH mutational status, CD38 and ZAP-70 expression, cytogenetic abnormalities evaluated by FISH, p53 protein expression and p53 gene sequencing (exon 5 to 8). The distribution of the prognostic markers is summarized in the table. Raised beta2-microglobulin and LDH were present only in 5% and 15% of cases, respectively. The CD4/CD8 ratio was normal in almost all cases. The proportion of unmutated IgVH, CD38 and ZAP-70 positive cases was about one third of the cohort of CLL patients at diagnosis. The incidence of del(17p) (cut off >20% cells) and del(11q) (cut off >10% cells) was 2% and 7%, respectively. Patients with del(17p) or del(11q) exclusively showed unmutated IgVH and ZAP-70+, and were mostly CD38+. p53 mutations were present in 4 cases, 3 with unmutated IgVH and del(17p) and 1 with mutated IgVH and no del(17p). In univariate analysis, the following variables resulted associated to a short TFI: advanced stage Binet B/C and Rai I/IV (<0.0001), WBC count (<0.0001), proportion of CD3+ cells <16% (0.0002), raised beta2-microglobulin (<0.0001) and LDH (<0.0001), unmutated IgVH (<0.0001), CD38+ (<0.0001), ZAP-70+ (<0.0018), adverse cytogenetic abnormalities (del(17p), del(11q), +12) (<0.0001). Atypical CLL morphology showed a trend for significance (0.06). Multivariate analysis on TFI - including WBC count (as continuous variable), CD3 %, LDH, IgVH mutation status, ZAP-70 and CD38 expression and corrected with interaction between WBC and IgVH status - was focused on the 84 patients with Binet stage A. High WBC count, raised LDH, unmutated IgVH resulted as unfavorable prognostic factors, whilst the proportion of CD3+ cells was associated with a better outcome. Neither ZAP-70 or CD38 showed an independent prognostic value. In CLL cases with discordant expression of ZAP-70 and IgVH mutation status (25% of cases), the latter appeared to be more relevant than ZAP-70 in determining the TFI. In conclusion, unmutated IgVH, raised LDH, WBC count and a low proportion of CD3+ cells at diagnosis are significant predictors of TFI in early stage CLL. This group represents about one third of young patients at diagnosis. Adverse FISH abnormalities are present only in a small subgroup of cases in the early phases of the disease. Young CLL patients at diagnosis N° of cases % Raised beta2-microglobulin (>3400 ng/l) 5/102 5% Raised LDH 16/105 15% Hypo IgG 21/98 21% Atypical morphology 27/104 26% CD3+ cells (<16%) 60/105 57% CD4/CD8 (<1) 3/101 3% IgVH mutated (≥98%) 67/103 65% IgVH unmutated (<98%) 36/103 35% CD38 ≥7% 25/104 24% ZAP-70 ≥10% 39/100 39% Del(17p) >20% 2/104 2% Del(11q) >10% 7/104 7% +12 >5% 7/104 7% Del(13q) >5% isolated 59/104 57% Normal (none of the above) 29/104 28% p53 protein expression 3/100 3% p53 gene mutation 4/105 4%


Haematologica ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 105 (11) ◽  
pp. 2598-2607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonia Jaramillo ◽  
Andreas Agathangelidis ◽  
Christof Schneider ◽  
Jasmin Bahlo ◽  
Sandra Robrecht ◽  
...  

Almost one-third of all patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) express stereotyped B cell receptor immunoglobulins (BcR IG) and can be assigned to distinct subsets, each with a particular BcR IG. The largest stereotyped subsets are #1, #2, #4 and #8, associated with specific clinicobiological characteristics and outcomes in retrospective studies. We assessed the associations and prognostic value of these BcR IG in prospective multicenter clinical trials reflective of two different clinical situations: i) early-stage patients (watch-and-wait arm of the CLL1 trial) (n=592); ii) patients in need of treatment, enrolled in 3 phase III trials (CLL8, CLL10, CLL11), treated with different chemo-immunotherapies (n=1861). Subset #1 was associated with del(11q), higher CLL international prognostic index (CLL-IPI) scores and similar clinical course to CLL with unmutated immunoglobulin heavy variable (IGHV) genes (U-CLL) in both early and advanced stage groups. IGHV-mutated (M-CLL) subset #2 cases had shorter time-to-first-treatment (TTFT) versus other M-CLL cases in the early-stage cohort (HR: 4.2, CI: 2-8.6, p<0.001), and shorter time-to-next-treatment (TTNT) in the advanced-stage cohort (HR: 2, CI: 1.2-3.3, p=0.005). M-CLL subset #4 was associated with lower CLL-IPI scores and younger age at diagnosis; in both cohorts, these patients showed a trend towards better outcomes versus other M-CLL. U-CLL subset #8 was associated with trisomy 12. Overall, this study shows that major stereotyped subsets have distinctive characteristics. For the first time in prospective multicenter clinical trials, subset # 2 appeared as an independent prognostic factor for earlier TTFT and TTNT and should be proposed for risk stratification of patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fortunato Morabito ◽  
Giovanni Tripepi ◽  
Riccardo Moia ◽  
Anna Grazia Recchia ◽  
Paola Boggione ◽  
...  

The prognostic role of lymphocyte doubling time (LDT) in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) was recognized more than three decades ago when the neoplastic clone’s biology was almost unknown. LDT was defined as the time needed for the peripheral blood lymphocyte count to double the of the initial observed value. Herein, the LDT prognostic value for time to first treatment (TTFT) was explored in our prospective O-CLL cohort and validated in in two additional CLL cohorts. Specifically, newly diagnosed Binet stage A CLL patients from 40 Italian Institutions, representative of the whole country, were prospectively enrolled into the O-CLL1-GISL protocol (clinicaltrial.gov identifier: NCT00917540). Two independent cohorts of newly diagnosed CLL patients recruited respectively at the Division of Hematology in Novara, Italy, and at the Hospital Clinic in Barcelona, Spain, were utilized as validation cohorts. In the training cohort, TTFT of patients with LDT &gt;12 months was significantly longer related to those with a shorter LDT. At Cox multivariate regression model, LDT ≤ 12 months maintained a significant independent relationship with shorter TTFT along with IGHV unmutated (IGHVunmut) status, 11q and 17p deletions, elevated β2M, Rai stage I-II, and NOTCH1 mutations. Based on these statistics, two regression models were constructed including the same prognostic factors with or without the LDT. The model with the LTD provided a significantly better data fitting (χ2 = 8.25, P=0.0041). The risk prediction developed including LDT had better prognostic accuracy than those without LDT. Moreover, the Harrell’C index for the scores including LDT were higher than those without LDT, although the accepted 0.70 threshold exceeded in both cases. These findings were also confirmed when the same analysis was carried out according to TTFT’s explained variation. When data were further analyzed based on the combination between LDT and IGHV mutational status in the training and validation cohorts, IGHVunmut and LDT&gt;12months group showed a predominant prognostic role over IGHVmut LTD ≤ 12 months (P=0.006) in the O-CLL validation cohort. However, this predominance was of borden-line significance (P=0.06) in the Barcelona group, while the significant prognostic impact was definitely lost in the Novara group. Overall, in this study, we demonstrated that LDT could be re-utilized together with the more sophisticated prognostic factors to manage the follow-up plans for Binet stage A CLL patients.


Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 2084-2084
Author(s):  
Christine Mayr ◽  
Cathrine Schulz ◽  
Stephan Stilgenbauer ◽  
Alexander Kröber ◽  
Hartmut Döhner ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The course of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is highly variable. Therefore, there is a need for prognostic factors that are readily performed and have a high predictive power. Methods: The occurrence of translocations, a recently identified prognostic factor in CLL (Blood2006;107:742–751), was studied in 148 previously untreated, mostly early-stage patients and compared with respect to treatment-free survival (TFS) to several prognostic factors (Binet stage, mutational status of immunoglobulin genes, CD38, thymidine kinase serum concentration and cytogenetic aberrations detected by interphase FISH). To investigate chromosomal translocations, we applied a new method, CpG oligodeoxynucleotide stimulation that allows efficient preparation of metaphase spreads from CLL cells. Results: The occurrence of translocations classified the majority of patients with poor prognosis. If translocations were investigated in addition to the currently used prognostic factors they identified those patients who were classified to be in a low-risk group based on traditionally used criteria, who had in fact a high risk for progression. Vice versa, patients in the high-risk groups for progression who did not have translocations had a long TFS. There was a substantial overlap of patients who had translocations and additional risk factors. But when we omitted patients who had translocations in addition to a given risk factor, we found that the respective risk factor lost its prognostic significance for the remaining patients. The two factors that retained their prognostic power in these patients were translocations and the Binet stage. This could suggest that the prognostic significance of the currently used factors derives from their frequent co-occurrence with translocations. Finally, multivariate analyses demonstrated that Binet stage (p=0.02) and translocations (p=0.0005) are the factors with the highest impact on TFS in our study cohort. Conclusion: We present a method for efficient preparation of metaphase spreads in CLL cells in order to investigate chromosomal translocations. The occurrence of translocations is an independent prognostic marker in CLL. Finally, translocations occur not as a late event in the course of the disease and may define a new biological subgroup in this disease entity.


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 1066-1066
Author(s):  
Basile Stamatopoulos ◽  
Nathalie Meuleman ◽  
Dominique Bron ◽  
Benjamin Haibe-Kains ◽  
Pascale Saussoy ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: MicroRNAs (or miR) are a novel class of small noncoding RNA involved in gene regulation. Aberrant microRNA expression has been recently associated with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) outcome. Currently, the heterogeneous evolution of this disease can be predicted by several prognostic factors. Nevertheless, a better individualization of the outcome in a given patient is still of utmost interest. Methods: In the current study, we investigated the expression of two microRNAs, miR-29c and miR-223, compared them to other biological or clinical markers and proposed a quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) score to better assess CLL outcome. All cut-offs were calculated by ROC curve analysis maximising the correlation with the immunoglobulin variable heavy chain (IgVH) mutational status; statistical differences were evaluated by Mann Whitney test or Kruskal-Wallis test ; treatment-free (TFS) and overall (OS) survival differences were investigated by log-rank test or Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR). Results: miR-29c and miR-223 expression decreased significantly with progression along Binet Stage A to C (P=0.0010 and P=0.0183, respectively), and were significantly lower in poor prognosis subgroups defined by cytogenetic abnormalities, IgVH mutational status, lymphocyte doubling time, solubleCD23, β2-microglobulin, ζ-associated protein 70 (ZAP70), lipoprotein lipase (LPL) and CD38 expression. Furthermore, miR-29c and miR-223 could predict TFS (n=110, P=0.0015 and P&lt;0.0001, respectively) and OS (n=110, P=0.0234 and P=0.0008, respectively). Regarding all these results, we developed a qPCR score (from 0 to 4 poor prognostic markers) combining miR-29c, miR-223, ZAP70 and LPL in order to stratify treatment and death risk in a 110 patient cohort with a median follow-up of 72 months (range, 2–312). Patients with a score of 0/4, 1/4, 2/4, 3/4, and 4/4 had a median TFS of &gt;312, 129, 80, 36 and 19 months, respectively (HR=17.00, P&lt;0.0001). Patient with a score of 0–1/4, 2–3/4 and 4/4 had a median OS of &gt;312, 183 and 106 months, respectively (HR=13.69, P=0.0001). Interestingly, during the first 50 months after diagnosis, only 10% of patients with a 0/4 score required a treatment, when compared to 100% of the 4/4. Furthermore, during the total follow-up (312 months), patients with a 4/4 score had a 27-fold higher risk to be treated and a 31-fold higher risk to die comparing to patients with a 0/4 score. This score was validated by a 10-fold cross-validation (prediction accuracy of 82%). Finally, in Binet stage A patients (n=77), this score remained relevant and significant for TFS and OS prediction (HR=18.56, P&lt;0.0001 and HR=12.5, P=0.0068, respectively). Conclusions: we showed that (i) miR-29c and miR-223 levels were decreased in poor prognosis patients regarding several well-known prognostic factors; (ii) a low level of these two microRNAs is thus associated to disease aggressiveness, tumor burden and poor clinical evolution; (iii) we also showed that these two microRNAs could predict TFS and OS; (iv) we proposed a qPCR score to better individualize evolution of a particular CLL patient. This score will help to identify patients who will need early therapy and require thus a closer follow-up.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2375-2375
Author(s):  
Stefano Molica ◽  
Sonia Fabris ◽  
Giovanna Cutrona ◽  
Massimo Gentile ◽  
Emanuela Anna Pesce ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2375 Poster Board II-352 A prognostic index based on widely available clinical and laboratory features was recently proposed to predict survival in patients with previously untreated patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) by MD Anderson investigators. However, whether proposed clinical risk categories may surrogate new biological variables of prognostic relevance (i.e., mutational status of the IgVH gene regions, ZAP-70 or CD-38 expression, cytogenetic abnormalities) is unclear thus far. In a series of 160 asymptomatic Binet stage A patients enrolled in a Gruppo Italiano Studio Linfomi (GISL) multicentre trial designed to validate prospectively biological parameters in early CLL as well as to assess the impact on clinical outcome of an early versus delayed policy of treatment with subcutaneous alemtuzumab in the high biological risk, we evaluated whether clinical categories derived from newly proposed prognostic index reflected biological risk. Since the original prognostic index was derived from a database including cases with more advanced disease we used an optimal cutoff search to determine how to best split Binet stage A patients in different prognostic groups. To this purpose an independent patient cohort consisting of 310 Binet stage A patients included in a GIMEMA (Gruppo Italiano Malattie EMatologiche Maligne dell'Adulto) database was used. According to recursive partitioning (RPART) model, a classification tree was built that identified two subsets of patients who scored respectively: 0-3 (low risk) and 4-7 (high risk). Therefore, by prognostic index, 48.7% and 51.2% of 160 asymptomatic stage A patients, respectively, met criteria of low risk and high risk disease. In our prospective series high- risk score was more frequently associated with both unmutated IgVH status (P=0.009) and higher CD38-expression (P=0.002); in contrast only a trend towards an increased ZAP-70 expression could be found (P=0.06). As far as cytogenetic abnormalities are concerned, we observed that 11q deletion occurred more frequently among patients belonging to high-risk score (P=0.005), while cases with 13q deletion or trisomy 12 were homogeneously distributed among low- and high-risk patient category(P=0.151 and P=0.452, respectively). We did not consider suitable for correlation analysis 17p deletion since observed only in 2 out of 160 Binet stage A patients. In conclusion, our results demonstrate in a prospective cohort of patients with early CLL that clinical categories of a revised score index may surrogate biological parameters of prognostic relevance. The observation reinforces the revised IWCLL guidelines recommendations to assess the risk of CLL patients on clinical basis and to deserve biological studies to patients eligible for clinical trials. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 5570-5570
Author(s):  
Maciej Putowski ◽  
Marta Podgórniak ◽  
Marta Piróg ◽  
Joanna Knap ◽  
Jacek Zawislak ◽  
...  

Abstract The clinical course of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is highly heterogeneous, from stable to a rapidly progressive. The variety of prognostic factors has been already described, nevertheless they are not fully efficient in predicting the course of CLL, especially when the disease is diagnosed at an early stage. Recently, beside well established cytogenetic prognostic factors, novel molecular mutations of predictive value have been identified. Many of them have been thoroughly characterized, including TP53 mutation, which is commonly considered as a strong, negative prognostic factor. The use of next-generation sequencing technology has also revealed previously unknown genomic alterations, such as neurogenic locus notch homolog protein1 (NOTCH1), splicing factor 3B subunit 1 (SF3B1) or myeloid differentiation primary response 88 (MYD88). These new mutations could partly explain the CLL heterogeneity and help in identifying clinically relevant groups of patients. The aim of the study was to characterize CLL patients with NOTCH1, MYD88 and SF3B1 mutations with regard to molecular and immunological prognostic markers in CLL. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were obtained from 369 CLL patients at the moment of diagnosis and the median age reached 65 years. Sixty percent of the patients were male. Distribution of disease stages according to the Rai classification was the following: 0 stage=93, I stage=52, II stage=69, III stage=14, IV stage=26. Clinically, the prognostic significance in terms of time to first treatment (TTFT) was assessed for 202 CLL patients. DNA samples were extracted from PBMCs obtained after Ficoll density gradient centrifugation. NOTCH1 c.7544_7545delCT (n=316) in PEST domain (exon 34) and MYD88 L265P (n=323) mutations were investigated by ARMS PCR. Screening for SF3B1 (n=364) mutations K700, E622/R625 and H662/K666 (exons 14 and 15) were performed using HRM analysis and the results were confirmed by Sanger sequencing. The IGHV gene mutations were investigated by Sanger sequencing. NOTCH1 mutations were found in 19/316 (6.0%) patients. Patients harbouring NOTCH1 mutations prevalently have unfavourable prognostic factors including unmutated IGHV gene status, expression of CD38 (>30%) and expression of ZAP-70 (>20%). The complete analysis of correlations between NOTCH1, MYD88 and SF3B1 mutations and prognostic markers in CLL are presented in Table 1. Analysis of IGHV subsets in patients with NOTCH1 mutation revealed frequent presence of subset #1 in n=2/19 (10.5%), which is associated with particularly poor prognosis in CLL. Patients belonging to subsets #5, #6, #201 and #202 were also present, each in single NOTCH1 mutated CLL case (5.2%). MYD88 mutation occurred in 12/323 (3.7%), of whom one patient was characterized as subset #2 and another as subset #4. MYD88 mutations were nearly equally distributed in patients with mutated/unmutated IGVH status (5 vs. 7). SF3B1 mutations occurred in 17/364 (4.7%) patients, furthermore two of them carrying negative prognostic features of subsets #2 and one subset #1. Patients belonging to subsets #3 and #6 were also present. Certain negative prognostic factors accompany poor clinical outcome. The assessment of median TTFT revealed the significant differences between patients from various prognostic groups (Fig. 1). Patients with unmutated IGHV gene status were characterized by significantly shorter TTFT than patients harbouring the mutation (p<0.0001). The similar correlation occurs in patients with ZAP-70 positive (p=0.04) and CD38 positive (p=0.0003). There were no significant differences in patients with mutated and unmutated NOTCH1 and MYD88, while in patients harbouring SF3B1 mutation the tendency to lower median TFTT was revealed (p=0.08). Interestingly, the significant difference in median TTFT was observed in groups of men and women, showing the better outcome in female patients (median 10 vs 28 months, p=0.01). NOTCH1 and SF3B1 mutations accompany certain biological markers of unfavourable prognosis. Undeniably, the mutations may contribute to the identification of poor-risk CLL patients and in combination with conventional lesions of CLL may be the key to accurate estimation of the disease prognosis. Acknowledgments: This work was supported by Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education Scientific Grant "The best from the best" ("Najlepsi z Najlepszych") No. 506-0000-39-0000. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 814-814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Hoster ◽  
Martin Dreyling ◽  
Michael Unterhalt ◽  
Joerg Hasford ◽  
Wolfgang Hiddemann

Abstract On behalf of the German Low Grade Lymphoma Study Group (GLSG) and the European MCL Network. Background: There is no generally established prognostic classification system for patients with mantle cell lymphoma (MCL), as the International Prognostic Index (IPI) and the Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI) have been developed based on data of patients with diffuse large cell and follicular lymphoma, respectively. Methods: The data of 455 patients with advanced stage MCL treated first-line within three clinical trials of GLSG and European MCL Network have been analyzed to clarify the prognostic relevance of IPI and FLIPI and to derive a new prognostic index of overall survival (OS). Age, sex, ECOG performance status, Ann Arbor stage, B-symptoms, number of extranodal sites, number of involved nodal areas, tumor size, serum LDH activity, WBC count, platelet count, hemoglobin, albumin, β2-microglobulin and cell proliferation (Ki-67) were considered as candidate prognostic factors. Statistical methods included Kaplan-Meier estimates and logrank test for the validation of IPI and FLIPI and multiple Cox regression with backward variable selection for the derivation of the new prognostic index. Results: IPI showed a significant impact on OS, but low-intermediate and high-intermediate risk groups comprised more than two thirds of the patients and were not well separated. According to the FLIPI, only 6% of the patients were classified as low risk and almost two thirds of the patients as high risk, and low and intermediate risk groups were not separated. Four of the candidate prognostic factors were independently associated with OS, namely age, ECOG performance status, LDH and WBC count. The relative risk was 1.42 (95% confidence interval 1.18 to 1.72, p = 0.0002) for an increased age by ten years, 2.01 (1.19 to 3.39, p = 0.0088) for an ECOG greater than one, 1.51 (1.13 to 2.02, p = 0.0059) for a 2 fold elevation of LDH and 2.56 (1.66 to 3.95, p &lt; 0.0001) for a 10 fold increase of WBC count. According to these four parameters, patients could be classified into a low risk (44% of the patients, median OS not reached), an intermediate risk (35%, median OS 51 months), and a high risk group (21%, median OS 29 months). Discussion: IPI and FLIPI showed only modest prognostic discrimination in our external validation data set of patients with advanced stage MCL. In contrast, age, ECOG performance status, LDH and WBC were identified as independent prognostic factors of OS, and three reasonably sized and well separated risk groups were defined. With four clinical prognostic factors readily determined in clinical routine, our new prognostic index (MIPI) is superior to the IPI. Bootstrap validation confirmed the separation of three risk groups, but external validation is still needed. The MIPI may prove to be an important tool to facilitate risk-adapted treatment decisions for patients with advanced stage MCL.


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