Association of gender, age, and ethnicity with survival in patients with pancreas cancer
e15587 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer death in the United States. However little is still known about factors that influence its development and progression. Recent data suggest that PC is, at least in part, an estrogen- dependent disease; there is growing epidemiological evidence that aspects of reproductive history and hormonal exposure are associated with risk of this disease. It was shown that age at menarche of <13 is associated with less risk of PC. However no data are available whether gender is associated with outcome in patients with PC. The purpose of this study was to test whether age, gender or ethnicity influence the outcome in PC. Methods: The data of the 50,302 adults diagnosed with PC between 1988 and 2004 were extracted from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results public use database. These included 24,240 patients diagnosed with localized pancreatic cancer (LPC) and 26,062 patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (MPC). Demographic, clinical variables and survival time were retrieved. The primary endpoint was overall survival. We constructed Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate association between patient characteristics and survival in LPC and MPC separately. Pair interactions were also tested. Results: On multivariate analysis gender, age, race, marital status, tumor size, grade, histology, type of treatment and lymph node involvement were found to be independent predictors of survival. Females had a significant longer survival, with an HR of 0.959 (95% CI: 0.932–0.987) among patients with LPC and an HR of 0.918 (95%CI: 0.894–0.942) among patients with MPC. Each age group displayed a significant longer survival than its correspondent older age group. When we combined age and gender in the analysis, females had a longer survival than males in each single age group in the MPC group. In the LPC group the longer survival of female patients was only observed in the youngest age group. Conclusions: This is the first and largest study to address gender and outcome in PC. Our data suggest that the estrogen pathway may play an important prognostic role in patient with this disease. These data also warrant further in vitro and in vivo investigations on the mechanisms of estrogen and pancreas progression. No significant financial relationships to disclose.