Correlation of N-telopeptide of type I collagen (NTX) with survival and fractures in patients (pts) with bone metastases from renal cell carcinoma (RCC)
e16016 Background: The osteolysis marker NTX has shown prognostic significance in pts with bone metastases from a broad range of solid tumors, but its potential in pts with RCC has not been investigated. Methods: This was an exploratory correlative analysis of NTX levels and outcomes in the RCC subset of pts treated with zoledronic acid (ZOL) in a 21-month phase III trial (Rosen et al. J Clin Oncol. 2002). In North American pts in this study, urinary NTX was measured approximately every 3 mo and was expressed per mmol creatinine (CR). Endpoints included overall survival (OS), disease progression in bone, and pathologic fractures. Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals for pts with elevated NTX (NTX ≥ 64 nmol/mmol CR) versus normal NTX (< 64 nmol/mmol CR) were calculated by Cox regression for baseline and most recent (≤ 6 mo prior) NTX assessments. Results: Among 55 ZOL-treated RCC pts, 29 had baseline NTX data (median = 60 nmol/mmol CR). Whereas baseline NTX levels showed trends for outcomes, recent NTX levels profoundly correlated with outcomes ( Table ). An elevated recent NTX measurement correlated with a > 13-fold increased risk of death and a > 11-fold increased risk of progression in bone. Correlations were also significant for first and all on-study fractures. Conclusions: In pts with RCC receiving ZOL, serial NTX assessments may provide important prognostic insight. Although based on a small sample size, correlations between recent NTX levels and outcomes in RCC pts are more profound than those previously reported in pts with other solid tumors (Brown et al. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2005). Elevated NTX could alert physicians to the need to more closely monitor bone lesions and intervene to prevent fractures in RCC pts. This may be especially important in the context of new systemic therapies that are improving the outlook in the advanced RCC setting. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]