Incidence and predictive factors of late relapse in patients with soft tissue sarcomas: Implications for prolonged follow-up.
10574 Background: There is no consensus on how to follow soft-tissue sarcoma (STS) patients after their initial management. In particular, the incidence of late relapse which would justify prolonged surveillance is unknown. Methods: Follow-up data were reviewed from 719 patients with localized STS, included in the French Sarcoma Group database from January 1990 to June 2005, and who achieved complete remission maintained for at least five years after their initial management. The outcomes of interest were the cumulative probabilities of late (> 5 years) local and metastatic relapse with death as a competing event. Estimations and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed with the cumulative incidence function. Patients who did not experience the event of interest or death over the course of the study were censored at their last follow-up. Results: 67 (9.3%) and 42 (5.8%) patients had late local and metastatic relapse respectively. On univariate analysis, internal trunk location, liposarcoma histological subtype, tumor size > 10 cm, R1 margins, no adjuvant radiotherapy were significantly associated with increased risk of late local relapse. On multivariate analysis, internal trunk location (HR= 3.9, 95% CI 2.2-6.7, p<0.001) and tumor size > 10 cm (HR= 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-4, p=0.03) were the two factors independently associated with local relapse. On univariate analysis, leiomyosarcoma histological subtype, and grade > 1 were significantly associated with increased risk of late metastatic relapse. On multivariate analysis, grade > 1 (HR= 4.7, 95% CI 1.1-21, p=0.04) was the sole factor independently associated with the risk of late metastatic relapse. Conclusions: Late relapse of STS (> 5 years after initial management) is relatively uncommon. However, its existence and our results emphasize the critical role of long-term follow-up to detect late local recurrence in patients with retroperitoneal or very large STS and late metastatic recurrence in patients with high grade disease.