Exploratory analysis of left- versus right-sided colorectal carcinoma in RAISE: A randomized, double-blind, phase 3 trial of ramucirumab (RAM) + FOLFIRI versus placebo (PBO) + FOLFIRI.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 668-668 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Craig Portnoy ◽  
Radka Obermannova ◽  
Gyorgy Bodoky ◽  
Jana Prausová ◽  
Rocio Garcia-Carbonero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Tumor ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Tumor Location ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Model Estimate ◽  
Primary Tumor Site ◽  
Primary Tumor Location

668 Background: Ramucirumab is a human IgG1 monoclonal antibody antagonist of VEGFR-2. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in 2nd line FOLFIRI based treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) were improved with RAM therapy versus PBO in the RAISE trial. Recent work suggests mCRC primary tumor location is both prognostic and predictive; with improved OS and therapy-specific sensitivity observed in left (L)- vs right (R)-sided tumors. Given these findings, the RAISE trial data was subjected to post-hoc analysis to determine if sidedness influenced RAM efficacy. Methods: Primary tumor site was obtained. L-CRC was defined as the splenic flexure, descending and sigmoid colon, and rectum, while R-CRC included transverse, ascending colon and cecum. OS/PFS in L and R subgroups were analyzed via Kaplan-Meier method and unstratified log-rank test (treatments within subgroup), unstratified Cox proportional hazards model (estimate hazard ratio [HR] and 95% CI), and Wald test (treatment-by-subgroup interaction). Results: Tumor location was available for 1012/1072 (94%) patients, 699 L- and 313 R-CRC. Baseline characteristics were balanced between arms. RAM treatment enhanced L-CRC median OS by 2.5 mo (median 14.5 vs 12.0 mo) with a HR (95% CI) = 0.807 (0.675, 0.965), P = 0.019; compared to a 1.1 mo increase in median OS in R-CRC vs PBO (12.7 vs 11.6) with a HR (95% CI) = 0.971 (0.750, 1.258), P = 0.823; and, RAM enhanced L-CRC median PFS by 1.6 mo (6.0 vs 4.4 mo) and HR (95% CI) = 0.776 (0.664, 0.906), P = 0.001 compared to a 1.1 mo increase in median PFS R-CRC vs PBO (5.6 vs 4.5) with a HR (95% CI) = 0.855 (0.674, 1.084), P = 0.197. The treatment-by-subgroup interaction for both OS and PFS was not significant ( P = 0.276, 0.578, respectively). Conclusions: Despite L-CRC patients having longer OS/PFS and a seemingly stronger RAM treatment effect than R-CRC, the non-significant interaction test cannot verify sidedness as being predictive of RAM efficacy. The current study confirms ramucirumab benefits mCRC patients regardless primary tumor location. Clinical trial information: NCT01183780.

Erlotinib after initial platinum-doublet chemotherapy in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) wild-type (WT) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): Results of a combined patient-level analysis of the BR.21 and SATURN trials.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8080-8080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond U Osarogiagbon ◽  
Federico Cappuzzo ◽  
Tudor-Eliade Ciuleanu ◽  
Larry Leon
Keyword(s):  
Egfr Mutation ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Egfr Mutations ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Mutation Status ◽  
The Impact

8080 Background: Two double-blind, prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled trials demonstrated survival benefit in unselected populations with advanced NSCLC in the 2nd/3rd line (BR.21) and maintenance setting (SATURN). The efficacy of erlotinib in patients with EGFR WT NSCLC has been questioned. We examined the impact of erlotinib vs placebo in confirmed EGFR WT patients in both studies. Methods: Combined re-analysis of progression-free survival (PFS) (from date of randomization to investigator-assessed progression or death from any cause), and overall survival (OS) (from date of randomization to death from any cause) in patients with known WT EGFR. PFS and OS were estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves and compared by 2-sided log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for potential confounders. Sensitivity analyses assessed comparability of patients with known and unknown EGFR mutation status to determine generalizability of the two study populations. Results: 74% of the BR.21 population (n=150) and 89% of the SATURN population (n=388) with known EGFR mutation status had WT EGFR. PFS and OS for individual and combined analyses are shown (Table). Adjusting for non-randomized therapy after study therapy discontinuation, HR for OS was 0.74 (0.61–0.91); p<0.01. Baseline characteristics were similar for patients with known and unknown EGFR status, suggesting generalizability of the EGFR WT data. Erlotinib benefit was sustained in all clinical subsets. Conclusions: Erlotinib provided a consistent and significant improvement in survival for patients with EGFR WT NSCLC in both studies, individually and in combination. The benefit of erlotinib does not appear to be limited to patients with activating EGFR mutations. [Table: see text]

Placebo controlled, double blind, prospective, randomized study on the effect of octreotide LAR in the control of tumor growth in patients with metastatic neuroendocrine midgut tumors (PROMID): Results on long-term survival.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4030-4030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudolf Arnold ◽  
Michael Wittenberg ◽  
Anja Rinke ◽  
Carmen Schade-Brittinger ◽  
Behnaz Aminossadati ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cause Of Death ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Randomized Study ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Study Entry ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Octreotide Lar

4030 Background: Octreotide LAR (O) compared to placebo (P) lengthens significantly time to tumor progression (TTP) in patients with metastatic midgut neuroendocrine tumors (Rinke et al. 2009). The antiproliferative response was more pronounced in patients with low (≤ 10%) hepatic tumor load (HL). To investigate whether this beneficial effect also affects overall survival (OS), patients included in the PROMID trial were followed until January 2013 at least once a year. Methods: Between July 2001 and January 2008, 42 and 43 patients were randomly assigned to receive O or P. Post study treatment was at the discretion of the local investigator. Data on cause of death and on post study treatment were documented. OS was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Treatment groups (O vs. P; HL at study entry ≤ 10% vs. >10%) were compared using the log rank test and hazard ratios were estimated with the use of the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: 41 of 85 patients died until January 2013. 19 in the octreotide and 22 in the placebo arm. Median OS for all 85 patients was 85 months, “not reached” in the O arm and 84 months in the P arm (p=0.59, HR=0.85 [CI 0.46; 1.56]). Cause of death was unrelated to the tumor disease in 8 patients. 26 of 64 patients (10 in the O vs. 16 in the P arm) died in the HL ≤ 10% subgroup and 15 of 21 patients (9 in the O vs. 6 in the P arm) in the HL > 10 % (p=0.002, HR=2.7). Median OS in the HL ≤ 10% subgroup was “not reached” (octreotide) vs 80.5 months (placebo) (p=0.14, HR=0.56 [CI 0.25; 1.23]). In the HL > 10% subgroup the respective numbers were 35 vs. 84 months (p=0.14, HR=2.18 [CI 0.75; 6.33]). Post study treatment in the O and P groups included octreotide LAR (29 vs. 38 patients), hepatic CHE (5 vs. 12 patients), PRRT (13 vs. 13 patients) and CHT (4 vs. 5 patients). Conclusions: Octreotide LAR not only prolongs TTP but also extends OS in the subgroup of patients with metastatic midgut NETs and a low HL (≤ 10% at study entry) but not in the high (HL > 10%) subgroup. Almost all patients who were randomized at study entry in the P group received octreotide LAR after disease progression, but these experienced a less favourable OS in the low HL subgroup. Clinical trial information: NCT00171873.

scholarly journals Clinical features associated with the efficacy of chemotherapy in patients with glioblastoma (GBM): a surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) analysis

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jieqiong Wen ◽  
Wanbin Chen ◽  
Yayun Zhu ◽  
Pengbo Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Tumor Location ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Multivariable Analyses ◽  
End Results

Abstract Background Glioblastoma (GBM) is a highly malignant brain tumor with poor survival and prognosis. Randomized trials have demonstrated that chemotherapy improves survival in patients with GBM. This study aims to examine the clinical characteristics that are potentially associated with the efficacy of chemotherapy and the risk factors of GBM. Methods A total of 25,698 patients diagnosed with GBM were identified between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). The clinical and demographic variables between groups were examined by Student’s t-test and Pearson’s chi-square test. GBM-specific survival (GBMSS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test. Univariable and multivariable analyses were also performed using the Cox proportional hazards model to identify statistically significant prognostic factors. Results Patients who received chemotherapy had better overall survival (median OS 13 vs. Three months, HR = 1.9224, 95%CI 1.8571–1.9900, p < 0.0001) and better GBMSS (median GBMSS of 12 vs. Three months, HR = 1.9379, 95%CI 1.8632–2.0156, p < 0.0001), compared to patients who did not. Further subgroup analysis revealed that among patients who underwent chemotherapy, those who were younger, with a supratentorial tumor, received surgery, or radiotherapy had both improved OS and GBMSS. Age, race, tumor location, tumor size, and treatments were identified as independent prognostic factors by multivariable analyses for patients with glioblastoma. Conclusion Patients with GBM who were younger (< 65 years), underwent surgery, or radiotherapy can benefit more from chemotherapeutic regimens. Age, race, tumor size, tumor location, surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy were factors associated with the prognosis of patients with GBM.

scholarly journals The correlation between gain of chromosome 8q and survival in patients with clear and papillary renal cell carcinoma

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Mehrazin ◽  
Essel Dulaimi ◽  
Robert G. Uzzo ◽  
Karthik Devarjan ◽  
Jianming Pei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Renal Cell ◽  
Cytogenetic Analysis ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Renal Tumors ◽  
Rank Test

Background: The proto-oncogene c-MYC, located on chromosome 8q, can be upregulated through gain of 8q, causing alteration in biology of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of c-MYC through chromosome 8q gain and to correlate findings with cancer-specific mortality (CSM), and overall survival (OS). Methods: Cytogenetic analysis by conventional or Chromosomal Genomic Microarray Analysis (CMA) was performed on 414 renal tumors. Nonclear and nonpapillary RCC were excluded. Impact of gain in chromosome 8q status on CSM, OS, and its correlation with clinicopathological variables were evaluated. CSM and OS were assessed using log-rank test and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 297 RCC tumors with cytogenetic analysis were included. Gain of 8q was detected in 18 (6.1%) tumors (9 clear cell and 9 papillary RCC), using conventional method ( n = 11) or CMA ( n = 7). Gain of 8q was associated with higher T stage ( p < 0.001), grade ( p < 0.001), nodal involvement ( p = 0.005), and distant metastasis ( p < 0.001). No association between gain of 8q and age ( p = 0.23), sex ( p = 0.46), and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI, p = 0.59) were seen. Gain of 8q was associated with an 8.38-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.83–18.34, p < 0.001] and 3.31-fold (95% CI, 1.56–7.04, p = 0.001) increase in CSM and decrease in OS, respectively, at a median follow up of 56 months. Conclusion: Chromosome 8q harbors the proto-oncogene c-MYC, which can be upregulated by gain of 8q. Our findings suggest that gain of 8q, can predict aggressive tumor phenotype and inferior survival in RCC.

scholarly journals Blood eosinophils on hospital admission for COPD exacerbation do not predict the recurrence of moderate and severe relapses

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 00543-2020
Author(s):  
Balázs Csoma ◽  
András Bikov ◽  
Ferenc Tóth ◽  
György Losonczy ◽  
Veronika Müller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Forced Expiratory Volume ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Full Blood Count ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Severe Exacerbation ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Exacerbation Of Copd

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.

Treatment of metastatic disease with immune checkpoint inhibitors nivolumab and pembrolizumab: Effect of performance status on clinical outcomes.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e18689-e18689
Author(s):  
Leah Wells ◽  
Michael Cerniglia ◽  
Audrey C. Jost ◽  
Gregory Joseph Britt
Keyword(s):  
Disease Control ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Time To Death ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Line Of Therapy

e18689 Background: While guidelines exist for appropriate use of chemotherapy in the metastatic setting based on performance status, such recommendations are less readily available for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We sought to determine if there is a relationship between Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status and outcomes on immunotherapy in patients treated for metastatic disease at our community-based oncology practice. Methods: 253 patients were identified as receiving nivolumab or pembrolizumab for stage IV malignancy at Cancer Centers of Colorado-SCL Health, between June 2018 and November 2020. Patients initiated on therapy after May 2020 were excluded from analysis, due to insufficient (less than 6 months) follow-up time. The remaining 183 patients were included in a retrospective cohort study comparing patients with ECOG 0, ECOG 1, and ECOG 2-4. Sex, age, type of cancer, and line of therapy were collected. Time on therapy was also calculated. Best response to therapy was determined (disease control or progressive disease). These baseline factors and outcomes were compared using ANOVA for numeric variables and chi-square tests of association for categorical variables. Time from initiation of ICI to death or hospice was also investigated and compared using a log-rank test. In addition, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was developed for the outcome, time to death/hospice, versus the predictors ECOG status, age, gender, and line of therapy. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated. Results: Of the 183 patients included in analysis, 31.7% had an ECOG of 0, 48.6% an ECOG of 1, and 19.7% an ECOG of 2-4. Non-small cell lung cancer and melanoma represented the majority of patients in each group. Gender and line of therapy did not differ between groups. There was a significant difference in age (p = 0.02) with mean age 62, 66, and 70 in ECOG 0,1, and 2-4, respectively. 54.6% of patients remained on therapy for at least 6 months (182 days), and there was no significant difference between groups in ability to complete 6 months of therapy (p = 0.32). For ECOG 0, 1, and 2-4, disease control was achieved in 67.2%, 59.6 %, and 41.7%, respectively (p = 0.048). Analysis of time to death/hospice with a log rank test and Kaplan Meier plot showed a significant difference between groups (p < 0.001). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model revealed that patients with ECOG 0 had significantly longer time to death/hospice compared to patients in both other groups, after controlling for age, gender, and line of therapy (ECOG 1 vs. 0: HR 2.5, CI 1.27-4.9; ECOG 2-4 vs. 0: HR 2.83, CI 1.31-6.13). Conclusions: In this single institution retrospective study of patients receiving nivolumab or pembrolizumab for metastatic cancer, ECOG 0 was associated with disease control and increased time before death or transition to hospice.

scholarly journals Subclinical Cognitive Impairment and Listing for Kidney Transplantation

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 567-575 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aditi Gupta ◽  
Robert N. Montgomery ◽  
Victor Bedros ◽  
John Lesko ◽  
Jonathan D. Mahnken ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Kidney Transplant ◽  
Cognitive Assessment ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Montreal Cognitive Assessment ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Assessment Score ◽  
Lower Likelihood

Background and objectivesCognitive impairment is common in patients with kidney disease and can affect physicians’ perception and/or patients’ ability to complete the pretransplant evaluation. We examined whether cognitive impairment influences the likelihood for transplant listing and whether patients with cognitive impairment take longer to be listed.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe conducted a single-center longitudinal cohort study. Patients presenting for their index kidney transplant evaluation were screened for cognitive impairment using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. A score <26 indicated cognitive impairment. The transplant selection committee was blinded to the scores. Kaplan–Meier analysis assessed time to active listing by level of cognition. A Cox proportional hazards model that included age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking, coronary artery disease, and diabetes was constructed to evaluate the association between Montreal Cognitive Assessment score and listing for transplant.ResultsIn total, 349 patients who underwent Montreal Cognitive Assessment testing at their initial visit were included in the analysis. Patients with cognitive impairment were more likely to be older, black, and smokers. The time to listing in patients with cognitive impairment was longer than the time to listing in those with no cognitive impairment (median time, 10.6 versus 6.3 months; log rank test P=0.01). Cognitive impairment was independently associated with a lower likelihood of being listed for transplant (hazard ratio, 0.93 per unit lower Montreal Cognitive Assessment score; 95% confidence interval, 0.88 to 0.99; P=0.02). A lower proportion of patients with cognitive impairment were listed compared with patients without cognitive impairment at 1 month (2% versus 11%), 6 months (17% versus 37%), and 1 year (23% versus 41%), (P<0.001 for all).ConclusionsCognitive impairment is associated with a lower likelihood of being listed for kidney transplant, and is associated with longer time to transplant listing.

scholarly journals Spirit-Quieting Traditional Chinese Medicine may Improve Survival in Prostate Cancer Patients with Depression

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 218
Author(s):  
Po-Hung Lin ◽  
Shun-Ku Lin ◽  
Ren-Jun Hsu ◽  
See-Tong Pang ◽  
Cheng-Keng Chuang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Chinese Medicine ◽  
Traditional Chinese Medicine ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Survival Curve ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cancer Type

Depression is associated with higher mortality in prostate cancer. However, whether traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) for depression improves outcomes in patients with prostate cancer is unclear. This retrospective cohort study evaluated the association between TCM for depression and mortality in patients with prostate cancer. During the period 1998–2012, a total of 248 prostate cancer patients in Taiwan with depression were enrolled and divided into three groups: TCM for depression (n = 81, 32.7%), TCM for other purposes (n = 53, 21.3%), and no TCM (n = 114, 46.0%). During a median follow-up of 6.2 years, 12 (14.8%), 13 (24.5%), and 36 (31.6%) deaths occurred in the TCM for depression, TCM for other purposes, and no TCM groups, respectively. After adjusting age at diagnosis, urbanization, insured amount, comorbidity disease, and prostate cancer type, TCM for depression was associated with a significantly lower risk of overall mortality based on a multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards model (hazard ratio 0.42, 95% confidence interval: 0.21–0.85, p = 0.02) and Kaplan–Meier survival curve (log-rank test, p = 0.0055) compared to no TCM. In conclusion, TCM for depression may have a positive association with the survival of prostate cancer patients with depression.

CD38 Variation in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 4576-4576
Author(s):  
Ryan D. Nipp ◽  
J. Brice Weinberg ◽  
Alicia D. Volkheimer ◽  
Evan D. Davis ◽  
Youwei Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cd38 Expression ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Maximum Minimum

Abstract Abstract 4576 Background: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) has a highly variable clinical course. Some patients require treatment early while others can be monitored without therapy. CD38 expression has been shown in multiple cohorts to have prognostic significance. An elevated percentage of CD38 positive CLL lymphocytes at the time of diagnosis is correlated with a more rapid need for therapy and a shorter overall survival. The extent to which CD38 varies during the course of CLL, including after therapy, has only been evaluated in a limited fashion. Methods: From a cohort of over 500 CLL patients at the Duke University and Durham VA Medical Centers, we selected 136 patients in whom we had measured CD38 expression by flow cytometry on two or more occasions. We determined the first, maximum, minimum, and range (maximum – minimum) CD38 values. We compared these values to other molecular prognostic markers using Wilcoxon tests and assessed the prognostic significance of these values using Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier analyses. Results: Of the 136 patients, 70% were male and 88% Caucasian, with a median age of 60. The majority had low clinical stage at diagnosis—either Rai stage 0 (68%) or 1 (19%). Molecular prognostic markers were also generally favorable. Eighty-two (67%) patients had mutated IGHV status, 69 (51%) were ZAP70 negative, and 76 (63%) had either 13q deletion or normal cytogenetics, determined by fluorescent in situ hybridization. CD38 expression was measured a median of 5.5 times (2 – 19). The median time between the first and last CD38 measurements was 1206 days (81 – 4109). The median values were 6% (0.6 – 99) for maximum CD38, 1.5% (0 to 84.5) for minimum CD38, and 4.9% (0.2 to 95.3) for CD38 range. Maximum, minimum, and CD38 range were significantly lower in patients with mutated compared to unmutated IGHV status (p < 0.005 for all parameters, Wilcoxon rank sum test). Elevated maximum and CD38 range were significantly associated with a more rapid time to therapy (TTT) and shorter overall survival (OS) in a univariate Cox proportional hazards model (p < 0.03 for all, Wald test). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model including first CD38 and maximum CD38 values, only maximum CD38 remained statistically significant. We found that patients with high CD38 variation (CD38 range greater than the median) had significantly shorter TTT and OS than patients with low CD38 variation (p = 0.002 for both, log rank test). Using receiver operator characteristic analyses, we determined that the best cut-off for dichotomizing the first CD38 according to TTT and OS in the entire Duke/Durham VA CLL cohort was 11%. Using this cut-off, 15 patients (11%) converted from CD38 negative to CD38 positive. Using the standard 30% cut-off, 14 patients (10%) converted from CD38 negative to CD38 positive. Patients with a first CD38 measurement less than 11% and subsequent measurements above 11% had a favorable OS, similar to patients with low CD38 for all measurements (p = 0.002, log rank test). However, patients with a first CD38 measurement less than 30% who had subsequent measurements above 30% had an inferior OS, similar to patients with high CD38 for all measurements (p = 0.006, log rank test). Lastly, among 24 patients with CD38 measurements before and after first therapy, the percentage of CD38 positive cells increased in 19 patients (79%), with a median value of 3.2% before to 6.9% after therapy (p = 0.005, Wilcoxon signed rank test). Conclusions: CD38 values vary as patients transition across the disease trajectory. This variation appears to have prognostic significance, with high variation associated with faster time to first therapy and shorter overall survival. Additionally, in our cohort, a patient's maximum CD38 value had more prognostic significance than a single initial measurement. Thus, longitudinally measuring CD38 throughout the clinical course of CLL could aid in the management of CLL patients, refining the initial prognostic assessment, and improving patient counseling and decision making. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Tumor IGF-1 expression as a predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in advanced pancreatic cancer (APC).

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4054-4054 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milind M. Javle ◽  
Rachna T. Shroff ◽  
Gauri R. Varadhachary ◽  
Robert A. Wolff ◽  
David R. Fogelman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Predictive Biomarker ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Primary Study ◽  
Study Objective ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Hazards Model

4054 Background: IGF-1 up-regulates PC proliferation and invasiveness through activation of PI3K/Akt signaling pathway and down-regulates PTEN. We investigated IGF-1 expression in tissue and blood as potential predictive markers in phase II study of IGF1R-directed monoclonal antibody, MK-0646 in APC. Prior phase I established the MTD of MK0646 at 5 mg/kg with gemcitabine (G) and erlotinib (E) and 10 mg/kg with G alone. Methods: Patients (pts) with stage IV, previously untreated APC, ECOG PS 0-1, adequate hematologic and organ function were enrolled. Arm A: G 1,000 mg/m2 over 100 min, weekly x 3, MK-0646 weekly x 4; Arm B: G 1000 mg/m2 and MK-0646 + E 100 mg daily. Arm C (control) was G 1,000 mg/m2 + E 100 mg. Cycles were repeated every 4 weeks. Pts were equally randomized in the 3 arms. Primary study objective was progression-free survival (PFS). Pre-treatment peripheral blood samples were measured for IGF-1 level by ELISA; archival core biopsies were analyzed for IGF-1 mRNA expression. RNA extraction from FFPE samples used Roche Transcriptor First Strand cDNA Synthesis Kit. TaqMan PreAmp technique was used to amplify target cDNA prior to TaqMan RT-PCR analysis. Cox proportional hazards model for PFS analyzed the interaction between tissue IGF-1 expression and treatment. Results: 50 pts were enrolled (A=15, B=16,C=16 pts, 3 ineligible). Median PFS of arms A, B and C were 5.5 months (95% CI: 3.9 – NA), 3.0 months (95% CI:1.8 – 5.6) and 2.0 months (95% CI: 1.8 – NA), respectively (log-rank test; p = 0.17). Median OS of A was 11.3 months (95% CI: 8.9 – NA), B 8.9 months (95% CI: 5.3 – NA) and C 5.7 months (95% CI: 2.0 – NA) (log-rank test; p = 0.44). 35 archival core biopsies were analyzed, 21 had adequate tissue for analysis. Using a Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model for PFS, where IGF-1 was dichotomized at the median, there was a 76% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death in arm A as compared with the control (arm C) at high IGF-1 level (p = 0.16). When IGF-1 was fitted as a continuous variable, this reduction was 96% (p = 0.08). There was no correlation between tissue and serum IGF-1. Conclusions: Tissue expression of IGF-1 level may represent a promising predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in APC.

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