Comparison of mortality and second primary oropharyngeal malignancies by human papilloma virus (HPV) status in patients (pts) with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) using an updated Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e17518-e17518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan Holstead ◽  
Rehana Rasul ◽  
Anne Golden ◽  
Nagashree Seetharamu

e17518 Background: Prognosis and patterns of failure differ between HPV positive (pos) and HPV negative (neg) OPSCC. HPV neg have an increased risk of developing head, neck, and lung SPM due to field cancerization. Second primary OPSCC in HPV pos pts may be due to persistent risk for HPV-mediated carcinogenesis and compromised immune status. The rate and location of SPM in HPV pos pts is not as well described and HPV-specific surveillance guidelines are yet to be determined. Methods: Retrospective cohort study from a custom SEER database of OPSCC diagnosed from 2013-2015 was conducted. Differences in overall survival (OS) and SPM were compared by HPV status using Gray’s test. Cox proportional hazard models were performed, adjusting for age, race, sex, year of diagnosis, tumor grade, stage, and first treatment. Results: 12,895 pts were identified, with a mean age of 61.8 (SD = 9.97) years, mostly male (83.2%), and white (87.3%), with 45.0% HPV pos, 15.3% HPV neg, and 39.7% HPV unknown (unk). Proportion of HPV pos pts increased from 2013-2015 (40.7%-49.2%). HPV pos pts tended to have higher stage and grade of tumor. Most patients were treated with chemotherapy and radiation. Median duration of follow up was 13 (5-22) months. HPV pos had significantly lower unadjusted 2-year mortality compared to neg or unk (13.7% vs. 38.9% vs. 32.8%, p < 0.001). Median OS for HPV pos, HPV neg and HPV unk was 29 months (m), 25.6 m, and 24.45 m respectivey (p < 0.0001). From the multivariable Cox regression, HPV neg pts had 2.25 times the risk (95% CI: 1.99-2.54) of death compared to HPV pos pts. Incidence of OP SPM was similar (0.008-0.011%) in all three HPV cohorts (aHR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.49-1.54). Conclusions: Our study strongly supports the prognostic value of HPV status. Incidence of OP SPM is similar in HPV pos and neg OPSCC suggesting that similar surveillance strategies should be employed for all OPSCC pts. Limitations of the study include lack of data on smoking and alcohol use, high rate of HPV unk pts, and SEER-imposed restriction to SPM occurring only in the OP region.

2014 ◽  
Vol 170 (6) ◽  
pp. 821-828 ◽  
Author(s):  
Débora Rodrigues Siqueira ◽  
Lucieli Ceolin ◽  
Carla Vaz Ferreira ◽  
Mírian Romitti ◽  
Silvana Cavalcante Maia ◽  
...  

Background: RET polymorphisms have been involved in the clinical presentation and prognosis of multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2 (MEN2)-associated medullary thyroid carcinoma.ObjectiveTo investigate the effect of RET variants on the penetrance of pheochromocytoma (PHEO) in MEN2 patients. Methods: The RET variants L769L, S836S, and G691S/S904S were evaluated in a cohort of 153 MEN2 patients attending a tertiary teaching hospital. A comparison of RET variant frequencies between patients with and without PHEO was performed. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analysis were used to estimate the effect of RET variants on the age-dependent penetrance.ResultsA total of 48 (31.4%) patients presented with MEN2-associated PHEOs. The mean age at diagnosis was 35.5±13.4 years, 60.4% of patients were women, and 92.8% had RET mutations at codon 634. The frequencies of RET polymorphisms were as follows: 20.1% L769L, 4.75% S836S, and 17.3% S904S/G691S. We did not observe any association between the frequencies of L769L, S836S, or S904S/G691S variants and PHEO development (all P>0.05). However, individuals carrying two RET polymorphic alleles had an increased estimated risk of PHEO (2.63; 95% CI, 1.4–5.0; P=0.004) and were younger at diagnosis when compared with those with one or no polymorphism (29.6±6.3 and 39.3±14.4 years respectively; P=0.006). Accordingly, additional analysis using Cox proportional hazard models demonstrated that the presence of two RET variants was associated with an increased risk for early PHEO development (hazard ratio, 5.99 (95% CI, 2.24–16.03); P<0.001).ConclusionsRET polymorphic alleles have an additive effect on the estimated risk of age-related PHEO penetrance in MEN2 patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
Author(s):  
Einar Smith ◽  
Celine Fernandez ◽  
Olle Melander ◽  
Filip Ottosson

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, but the pathogenesis is not completely understood. The application of metabolomics could help in discovering new metabolic pathways involved in the development of the disease. Methods and Results We measured 112 baseline fasting metabolites of 3770 participants in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study; these participants were free of prevalent AF. Incident cases of AF were ascertained through previously validated registers. The associations between baseline levels of metabolites and incident AF were investigated using Cox proportional hazard models. During 23.1 years of follow‐up, 650 cases of AF were identified (incidence rate: 8.6 per 1000 person‐years). In Cox regression models adjusted for AF risk factors, 7 medium‐ and long‐chain acylcarnitines were associated with higher risk of incident AF (hazard ratio [HR] ranging from 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00–1.18 to 1.14, 95% CI, 1.05–1.24 per 1 SD increment of acylcarnitines). Furthermore, caffeine and acisoga were also associated with an increased risk (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06–1.28 and 1.08; 95% CI, 1.00–1.18, respectively), while beta carotene was associated with a lower risk (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82–0.99). Conclusions For the first time, we show associations between altered acylcarnitine metabolism and incident AF independent of traditional AF risk factors in a general population. These findings highlight metabolic alterations that precede AF diagnosis by many years and could provide insight into the pathogenesis of AF. Future studies are needed to replicate our finding in an external cohort as well as to test whether the relationship between acylcarnitines and AF is causal.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haozhe Cui ◽  
Qian Liu ◽  
Yuntao Wu ◽  
Liying Cao

Abstract Background Previous studies has shown a significant relationship between baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the long-term effect of TyG index and incident CVD remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between cumulative TyG index and the risk of CVD.Method In this study, we recruited individuals participating in Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2013 without stroke, myocardial infarction, and cancer in the four consecutive examinations. Cumulative TyG index was calculated by multiplying the average TyG index and the time between the two consecutive examinations. Cumulative TyG index levels were categorized into four quartile groups: Q1 group, ≤50.65 (as reference group), Q2 group, 50.65-53.86, Q3 group, 53.86-57.44, Q4 group, >57.44. The effect of Cumulative TyG index on CVD incidence was estimated by multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models.Result A total of 44,087 individuals participated in the final analysis. After a mean follow-up of 6.52±1.14 years, incident CVD, MI and stroke occurred in 2057, 395 and 1695, respectively. The multivariable-adjusted COX regression model showed the HR (95% CI) of CVD were Q2 1.25(1.08-1.44), Q3 1.22(1.05-1.40) and Q4 1.39(1.21-1.61), compared to Q1 group. Consistent results were obtained in the subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses.Conclusion Cumulative TyG index was associated with increased risk of CVD. Maintaining a healthy level of TyG index within the desirable range and better control of cumulative TyG index is important for prevention of CVD.


2021 ◽  
pp. bjsports-2020-103555
Author(s):  
Francesco Della Villa ◽  
Martin Hägglund ◽  
Stefano Della Villa ◽  
Jan Ekstrand ◽  
Markus Waldén

BackgroundStudies on subsequent anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) ruptures and career length in male professional football players after ACL reconstruction (ACLR) are scarce.AimTo investigate the second ACL injury rate, potential predictors of second ACL injury and the career length after ACLR.Study designProspective cohort study.SettingMen’s professional football.Methods118 players with index ACL injury were tracked longitudinally for subsequent ACL injury and career length over 16.9 years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis with HR was carried out to study potential predictors for subsequent ACL injury.ResultsMedian follow-up was 4.3 (IQR 4.6) years after ACLR. The second ACL injury rate after return to training (RTT) was 17.8% (n=21), with 9.3% (n=11) to the ipsilateral and 8.5% (n=10) to the contralateral knee. Significant predictors for second ACL injury were a non-contact index ACL injury (HR 7.16, 95% CI 1.63 to 31.22) and an isolated index ACL injury (HR 2.73, 95% CI 1.06 to 7.07). In total, 11 of 26 players (42%) with a non-contact isolated index ACL injury suffered a second ACL injury. RTT time was not an independent predictor of second ACL injury, even though there was a tendency for a risk reduction with longer time to RTT. Median career length after ACLR was 4.1 (IQR 4.0) years and 60% of players were still playing at preinjury level 5 years after ACLR.ConclusionsAlmost one out of five top-level professional male football players sustained a second ACL injury following ACLR and return to football, with a considerably increased risk for players with a non-contact or isolated index injury.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mesnad Alyabsi ◽  
Fouad Sabatin ◽  
Majed Ramadan ◽  
Abdul Rahman Jazieh

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most diagnosed cancer among males and third among females in Saudi Arabia, with up to two-third diagnosed at advanced stage. The objective of our study was to estimate CRC survival and determine prognostic factors. Methods Ministry of National Guard- Health Affairs (MNG-HA) registry data was utilized to identify patients diagnosed with CRC between 2009 and 2017. Cases were followed until December 30th, 2017 to assess their one-, three-, and five-year CRC-specific survivals. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess survival from CRC. Results A total of 1012 CRC patients were diagnosed during 2009–2017. Nearly, one-fourth of the patients presented with rectal tumor, 42.89% with left colon and 33.41% of the cases were diagnosed at distant metastasis stage. The overall one-, three-, and five-year survival were 83, 65 and 52.0%, respectively. The five-year survival was 79.85% for localized stage, 63.25% for regional stage and 20.31% for distant metastasis. Multivariate analyses showed that age, diagnosis period, stage, nationality, basis of diagnosis, morphology and location of tumor were associated with survival. Conclusions Findings reveal poor survival compared to Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) population. Diagnoses at late stage and no surgical and/or perioperative chemotherapy were associated with increased risk of death. Population-based screening in this population should be considered.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Lotte Gerritsen ◽  
Emma L. Twait ◽  
Palmi V. Jonsson ◽  
Vilmundur Gudnason ◽  
Lenore J. Launer ◽  
...  

Background: Late-life depression (LLD) is related to an increased risk of developing dementia; however, the biological mechanisms explaining this relationship remain unclear. Objective: To determine whether the relationship between LLD and dementia can be best explained by the glucocorticoid cascade or vascular hypothesis. Methods: Data are from 4,354 persons (mean age 76±5 years) without dementia at baseline from the AGES-Reykjavik Study. LLD was assessed with the MINI diagnostic interview (current and remitted major depressive disorder [MDD]) and the Geriatric Depression Scale-15. Morning and evening salivary cortisol were collected (glucocorticoid cascade hypothesis). White matter hyperintensities (WMH; vascular hypothesis) volume was assessed using 1.5T brain MRI. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we estimated the associations of LLD, cortisol levels, and WMH volume with incident all-cause dementia, AD, and non-AD dementia. Results: During 8.8±3.2 years of follow-up, 843 persons developed dementia, including 397 with AD. Current MDD was associated with an increased risk of developing all-cause dementia (HR = 2.17; 95% CI 1.66–2.67), with risks similar for AD and non-AD, while remitted MDD was not (HR = 1.02; 95% CI 0.55–1.49). Depressive symptoms were also associated with increased risk of dementia, in particular non-AD dementias. Higher levels of evening cortisol increased risk of dementia, but this was independent of MDD. WMH partially explained the relation between current MDD and dementia risk but remained increased (HR = 1.71; 95% CI 1.34–2.08). Conclusion: The current study highlights the importance of LLD in developing dementia. However, neither the glucocorticoid cascade nor the vascular hypotheses fully explained the relation between depression and dementia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 845-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raquel Garcia ◽  
Rosa Abellana ◽  
Jordi Real ◽  
José-Luis del Val ◽  
Jose Maria Verdú-Rotellar ◽  
...  

BackgroundInformation regarding the effect of social determinants of health on heart failure (HF) community-dwelling patients is scarce. We aimed to analyse the presence of socioeconomic inequalities, and their impact on hospitalisations and mortality, in patients with HF attended in a universal healthcare coverage system.MethodsA retrospective cohort study carried out in patients with HF aged >40 and attended at the 53 primary healthcare centres of the Institut Català de la Salut in Barcelona (Spain). Socioeconomic status (SES) was determined by an aggregated deprivation index (MEDEA). Cox proportional hazard models and competing-risks regression based on Fine and Gray’s proportional subhazards were performed to analyse hospitalisations due to of HF and total mortality that occurred between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2012.ResultsMean age was 78.1 years (SD 10.2) and 56% were women. Among the 8235 patients included, 19.4% died during the 4 years of follow-up and 27.1% were hospitalised due to HF. A gradient in the risk of hospitalisation was observed according to SES with the highest risk in the lowest socioeconomic group (sHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.27 to 1.68). Nevertheless, overall mortality did not differ among the socioeconomic groups.ConclusionsIn spite of finding a gradient that linked socioeconomic deprivation to an increased risk of hospitalisation, there were no differences in mortality regarding SES in a universal healthcare coverage system.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (10) ◽  
pp. 2990-2996
Author(s):  
Alexander Copelan ◽  
Gerald Drocton ◽  
M. Travis Caton ◽  
Eric R. Smith ◽  
Daniel L. Cooke ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Do children have an increased risk for brain arteriovenous malformation (AVM) recurrence compared with adults and does this risk vary depending on initial presentation with AVM rupture? Methods: We retrospectively studied 115 patients initially presenting with brain AVM under age 25 years who underwent complete surgical resection of the AVM as documented by digital subtraction angiography (DSA) and had delayed follow-up DSA to evaluate for AVM recurrence after apparent initial cure. Results: The mean time from baseline DSA to follow-up DSA was 2.3 years, ranging from 0 to 15 years. Twelve patients (10.4% of the 115 patient cohort and 16.7% of 72 patients with hemorrhage at initial presentation) demonstrated AVM recurrence on follow-up DSA. All patients with recurrence initially presented with intracranial hemorrhage, and intracranial hemorrhage was a significant predictor of recurrence (log rank P =0.037). Among patients with initial hemorrhage, the 5-year recurrence rate was 17.8% (95% CI, 8.3%–35.7%). All recurrences occurred in patients who were children at the time of their initial presentation; the oldest was 15 years of age at the time of initial AVM surgery. The 5-year recurrence rate for children (0–18 years of age) with an initial presentation of hemorrhage was 21.4% (95% CI, 10.1%–41.9%). Using Cox regression, we found the risk of AVM recurrence decreased by 14% per each year increase in age at the time of initial surgical resection (hazard ratio=0.86 [95% CI, 0.75–0.99]; P =0.031). Conclusions: There is a high rate of recurrence of apparently cured brain AVMs in children who initially present with AVM rupture. Imaging follow-up is warranted to prevent re-rupture.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8038-8038
Author(s):  
Amrita Y. Krishnan ◽  
Matthew Mei ◽  
Canlan Sun ◽  
Jennifer Berano-Teh ◽  
Stephen J. Forman ◽  
...  

8038 Background: Studies from the CALGB and IFM have suggested an increased incidence of SPM post ASCT in patients on lenalidomide maintenance. Patients with MM as well as patients post ASCT are inherently at higher risk of SPM. Therefore, assessment of risk factors associated with SPM would be useful in therapeutic decisions re preASCT therapy and post ASCTmaintenance. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 841 consecutive MM patients who underwent at least one ASCT at City of Hope from 1989 to 2009. Sixty cases with 70 SPMs were identified. A nested case-control study was also conducted to understand the role of therapeutic exposures associated with SPMs. Controls were MM patients post ASCT matched by year of HCT (±5 years). Results: The median length of follow up was 3.3 yrs. (range 0.3-19.9). Median age at ASCT was 56 yrs (range 18-77). 62% had received a single autologous HCT, 27% tandem autologous HCT, 11% had received multiple HCTs (72 had a second allogeneic HCT)). The overall cumulative incidence of any SPM was 7.4% at 5 years and 15.9% at 10 years; the cumulative incidence of SPMs for patients >55 years approached 21.9% at 10 years. The cumulative incidence of MDS/AML was 1.8% and of solid tumors was 13.0%. Factors examined included age, race, sex, number and individual therapeutic exposures ( pre-ASCT, conditioning, and post-ASCT), disease status at ASCT. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed non-Hispanic whites (RR=2.4, 95% CI, 1.2-4.6, p=0.01) and older age (>55) at diagnosis of MM (RR=2.3, 95% CI, 1.3-4.1, p=0.004) to be associated with an increased risk of developing SPMs. Only cumulative thalidomide exposure (both pre-ASCT and post-ASCT) demonstrated a trend toward a positive association (OR=3.5, 95% CI, 0.6-19.4, p=0.15). Six patients (3 cases and 3 controls) were exposed to lenalidomide prior to development of SPM (OR=1.0, 95% CI, 0.14-7.10). Conclusions: This single institution analysis identified non-hispanic whites and older age to be associated with increased risk of developing SPM in pts post ASCT for MM. The trend towards increased risk with thalidomide exposure may be suggestive of a class effect from IMIDs that is not restricted to lenalidomide alone.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10537-10537
Author(s):  
Myles JF Smith ◽  
Alyson L. Mahar ◽  
Calvin Law ◽  
Yoo-Joung Ko

10537 Background: There have been reports of a high frequency of metachronous cancers in patients diagnosed with GIST. The purpose of this study was to identify and describe patients with GIST who develop second primary cancers, and to calculate standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) to quantify the risk of additional malignancy. Methods: This was a retrospective, population-based cohort study using SEER data. Individuals diagnosed with GIST from 2001-2009 were identified as having a malignant primary tumor in the digestive tract, and included the following sites: C15.0-C26.9; C48.0-48.8; C49.4-49.5; C80.9 and a recorded histology code of 8935 and 8936. This restricted timeframe was imposed to account for changes in the recording of GIST incidence. Individuals with a previous cancer diagnosis or diagnosed post mortem only were excluded. Multiple primary SIRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using SEER*Stat software (V.7.1.0) and compared to general population rates. The SIR was interpreted as an estimate of relative risk (RR). Comparison of characteristics between single and multiple cancer GIST patients was performed using chi-square tests, p-values of <0.05 were considered significant. Results: We identified n=1397 cases of GIST, of which 1291 analyzed. We observed a statistically significant increased incidence of second tumours in patients with a primary GIST (n=78, RR 1.36, 95% CI:1.1-1.7). Older age (p<0.001) and tumor grade (p=0.014) were associated with second primaries, with grade being the only significant variable remaining after logistic regression. In both sexes we observed a significantly increased incidence of kidney cancer (RR 4.3, 95% CI: 1.7-8.9). In females there was a 3 fold higher incidence of colon cancer (RR 2.96 95% CI: 1.2-6.1). Conclusions: Patients with a diagnosis of GIST have a higher incidence of second cancers when compared with standardized incidence in the general population. High grade GISTs were associated with an additional malignancy. Both sexes were observed to have increased incidence of kidney cancer, with females at an increased risk of developing colon cancer. As part of GIST surveillance, screening for colon cancer in females and kidney cancer in both sexes may be considered.


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