Predictive and prognostic value of HER2 gene expression and HER2 amplification in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) enrolled in CALGB/SWOG 80405 (Alliance).
4086 Background: The randomized phase III CALGB/SWOG 80405 trial found no difference in overall survival (OS) in first-line mCRC pts treated with either bevacizumab (Bev) or cetuximab (Cet) combined with the same chemotherapy. We investigated the potential prognostic and predictive value of HER2 amplification and HER2 gene expression using NGS and Nanostring data. Methods: Primary tumor DNA from 559 patients (pts) was profiled for HER2 amplification by NGS (Foundation One). Tumor tissue from 925 pts was tested for Nanostring gene expression using an 800 gene panel. OS and progression free survival (PFS) were the endpoints as time-to-event variables. Cox proportional hazard models with gene expression fitted with linear spline (one internal knot at median) were used, adjusting for pts baseline characteristics, treatment assignment, and molecular features (microsatellite instability, BRAF, all RAS). Results: Of 505 tumors with both NGS and Nanostring data, 16 harbored HER2 amplification (copy number variation > 6), limited to microsatellite stable tumors and significantly associated with HER2 expression ( P < 0.001) and wild-type RAS ( P = 0.036). HER2 amplification was neither prognostic nor predictive for OS or PFS. Conversely, HER2 expression higher than median was associated with longer PFS ( P = 0.018) but not OS ( P = 0.13). Among pts with HER2 not amplified, higher HER2 expression was associated with better OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95%CI, 0.72-0.97; P = 0.016) and PFS (HR, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.74-0.98; P = 0.027) when the expression was less than median. Additionally, in pts with no HER2 amplification and HER2 expression lower than median, treatment with Cet was associated with worse PFS compared to Bev (HR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.12-1.90; P = 0.005). This effect was not observed with expression higher than median regardless of HER2 amplification status. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the largest analysis of HER2 amplification and gene expression in mCRC pts treated with standard therapy. Our results provide novel insight on the predictive and prognostic value of HER2 gene expression in pts treated with Cet- and Bev-based regimens. Upon validation, these findings could inform pts selection and the design of more effective treatment options for pts with low HER2 expression. Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.