Preoperative Prediction of Long-term Outcome in Poor-grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Neurosurgery ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 529-538 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Mocco ◽  
Evan R. Ransom ◽  
Ricardo J. Komotar ◽  
J Michael Schmidt ◽  
Robert R. Sciacca ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVE: To evaluate which presentation indices, demographics, and clinical information predict 12-month outcome in poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and to provide a preoperative index of prognosis. METHODS: Data were obtained on all patients with poor-grade (Hunt and Hess Grades IV and V) aneurysmal SAH from a prospectively maintained SAH database and health outcomes project. Demographics, medical history, presenting clinical condition, and health outcomes were analyzed. Survival analysis was performed and Kaplan-Meier curves were generated. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify significant predictors of poor outcome at 12 months after hemorrhage, as measured by the modified Rankin disability scale. RESULTS: Survival curves for open surgery and endovascular treatment did not differ significantly. Overall, 40% of the 98 definitively treated patients had a favorable outcome at 12 months. Multivariable analysis identified patient age older than 65 years (P < 0.001), hyperglycemia (P < 0.03), worst preoperative Hunt and Hess Grade V (P < 0.0001), and aneurysm size of at least 13 mm (P < 0.002) as significant predictors of poor outcome. These variables were weighted and used to compute a poor-grade aneurysmal SAH Prognosis Score (hereafter, Prognosis Score) for each patient. A Prognosis Score of 0 was associated with a 90% favorable outcome; Prognosis Score of 1 with 83%; Prognosis Score of 2 with 43%; Prognosis Score of 3 with 8%; Prognosis Score of 4 with 7%; and a Prognosis Score of 5 with 0%. CONCLUSION: Outcome in poor-grade aneurysmal SAH is strongly predicted by patient age, worst preoperative Hunt and Hess clinical grade, and aneurysm size. Hyperglycemia on admission after poor-grade aneurysmal SAH increases the likelihood of poor outcome, and is a potentially modifiable risk factor. The Prognosis Score is a useful tool for preoperatively assessing the likelihood of a favorable outcome for poor-grade aneurysmal SAH patients.

2018 ◽  
Vol 129 (4) ◽  
pp. 876-882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Po-Chuan Hsieh ◽  
Yi-Ming Wu ◽  
Alvin Yi-Chou Wang ◽  
Ching-Chang Chen ◽  
Chien-Hung Chang ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEDiverse treatment results are observed in patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Significant initial perfusion compromise is thought to predict a worse treatment outcome, but this has scant support in the literature. In this cohort study, the authors correlate the treatment outcomes with a novel poor-outcome imaging predictor representing impaired cerebral perfusion on initial CT angiography (CTA).METHODSThe authors reviewed the treatment results of 148 patients with poor-grade aSAH treated at a single tertiary referral center between 2007 and 2016. Patients with the “venous delay” phenomenon on initial CTA were identified. The outcome assessments used the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at the 3rd month after aSAH. Factors that may have had an impact on outcome were retrospectively analyzed.RESULTSCompared with previously identified outcome predictors, the venous delay phenomenon on initial CTA was found to have the strongest correlation with posttreatment outcomes on both univariable (p < 0.0001) and multivariable analysis (OR 4.480, 95% CI 1.565–12.826; p = 0.0052). Older age and a higher Hunt and Hess grade at presentation were other factors that were associated with poor outcome, defined as an mRS score of 3 to 6.CONCLUSIONSThe venous delay phenomenon on initial CTA can serve as an imaging predictor for worse functional outcome and may aid in decision making when treating patients with poor-grade aSAH.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 63 (6) ◽  
pp. 1088-1094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erdem Güresir ◽  
Jürgen Beck ◽  
Hartmut Vatter ◽  
Matthias Setzer ◽  
Rüdiger Gerlach ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVE To analyze the incidence and impact of an intracerebral hematoma (ICH) on treatment and outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. METHODS Data of 585 consecutive patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage from June 1999 to December 2005 were prospectively entered in a database. ICH was diagnosed and size was measured by computed tomographic scan before aneurysm occlusion. Fifty patients (8.5%) presented with an ICH larger than 50 cm3. The treatment decision (coil, clip, or hematoma evacuation) was based on an interdisciplinary approach. Patients were stratified into good (Hunt and Hess Grades I–III) versus poor (Hunt and Hess Grades IV and V) grade, and outcome was assessed according to the modified Rankin Scale at 6 months. RESULTS Overall, 358 patients presented in good grade, with 4 of them having ICH (1.1%); and 227 patients presented in poor grade, with 46 of them having ICH (20.3%, P &lt; 0.01). In good-grade patients with an ICH (n = 4), a favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale score of 0–2) was achieved in 1 patient (25%), and in 246 patients (75%) without an ICH (P = 0.053; odds ratio, 0.11). A favorable outcome was achieved in 5 poor-grade patients (12.8%) with an ICH and in 40 patients (23.7%) without an ICH (P = 0.19; odds ratio, 0.47). Time to treatment was significantly shorter in patients with an ICH than without an ICH (median, 7 versus 26 h; P &lt; 0.001) and shortest in patients with favorable outcome (3.5 hours; P &lt; 0.01). CONCLUSION The current data confirm that the presence of an ICH is a predictor of unfavorable outcome. However, despite large ICHs, a significant number of patients have a good outcome. To achieve a favorable outcome, ultra-early treatment with hematoma evacuation and aneurysm obliteration seems to be mandatory.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 911-917 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mats Ryttlefors ◽  
Per Enblad ◽  
Elisabeth Ronne-Engström ◽  
Lennart Persson ◽  
Don Ilodigwe ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) from a ruptured intracranial aneurysm is a devastating disease with high mortality and morbidity. The incidence of SAH increases with advancing age. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether age is an independent predictor of angiographic vasospasm, delayed ischemic neurological deficits (DINDs), or abnormal transcranial Doppler (TCD) measurements in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. METHODS: Data from CONSCIOUS-1 (Clazosentan to Overcome Neurological Ischemia and Infarct Occurring After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage study), a dose-finding study of clazosentan, were used. Data on angiographic vasospasm, DINDs, and TCD abnormalities were prospectively recorded as well as baseline characteristics and treatment data. Patient age was considered in 3 ways: as a continuous variable, dichotomized at age 65 years, and categorized by decade. Age was investigated as the main variable, whereas other possible confounding variables were adjusted for in the multiple logistic regression modeling with each of 3 dichotomized vasospasm outcome measures, presence or absence of angiographic vasospasm, DINDs, and TCD abnormalities as the dependent variable. RESULTS: The proportions of patients with angiographic vasospasm, DINDs, and TCD abnormalities were 45%, 19%, and 81%, respectively. Age, whether considered as a continuous, dichotomous, or a categorical variable, was not significantly associated with angiographic vasospasm, DINDs, or abnormal TCD measurements. CONCLUSION: Age does not seem to be a significant predictor for cerebral vasospasm after subarachnoid hemorrhage.


2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shinya Fukuda ◽  
Yasutaka Koga ◽  
Motoki Fujita ◽  
Eiichi Suehiro ◽  
Kotaro Kaneda ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEThe harmful effects of hyperoxemia have been reported in critically ill patients with various disorders, including those with brain injuries. However, the effect of hyperoxemia on aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients is unclear. In this study the authors aimed to determine whether hyperoxemia during the hyperacute or acute phase in patients with aSAH is associated with delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and poor neurological outcome.METHODSIn this single-center retrospective study, data from patients with aSAH treated between January 2011 and June 2017 were reviewed. The patients were classified into groups according to whether they experienced DCI (DCI group and non-DCI group) and whether they had a poor outcome at discharge (poor outcome group and favorable outcome group). The background characteristics and time-weighted average (TWA) PaO2 during the first 24 hours after arrival at the treatment facility (TWA24h-PaO2) and between the first 24 hours after arrival and day 6 (TWA6d-PaO2), the hyperacute and acute phases, respectively, were compared between the groups. Factors related to DCI and poor outcome were evaluated with logistic regression analyses.RESULTSOf 197 patients with aSAH, 42 patients experienced DCI and 82 patients had a poor outcome at discharge. TWA24h-PaO2 was significantly higher in the DCI group than in the non-DCI group (186 [141–213] vs 161 [138–192] mm Hg, p = 0.029) and in the poor outcome group than in the favorable outcome group (176 [154–205] vs 156 [136–188] mm Hg, p = 0.004). TWA6d-PaO2 did not differ significantly between the groups. Logistic regression analyses revealed that higher TWA24h-PaO2 was an independent risk factor for DCI (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01–1.17, p = 0.037) and poor outcome (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06–1.29, p = 0.002).CONCLUSIONSHyperoxemia during the first 24 hours was associated with DCI and a poor outcome in patients with aSAH. Excessive oxygen therapy might have an adverse effect in the hyperacute phase of aSAH.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 779-789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian L. Hoh ◽  
Mehmet A. Topcuoglu ◽  
Aneesh B. Singhal ◽  
Johnny C. Pryor ◽  
James D. Rabinov ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVE: Although several recent studies have suggested that the incidence of vasospasm after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage is lower in patients undergoing aneurysmal coiling as compared with clipping, other studies have had conflicting results. We reviewed our experience over 8 years and assessed whether clipping, craniotomy, or coiling affects patient outcomes or the risk for vasospasm. METHODS: We included 515 patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, identified prospectively from November 2000 to February 2003 (243 patients) and retrospectively from November 1995 to October 2000 (272 patients), by using International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, codes for subarachnoid hemorrhage. We classified patients as follows: clipping (413 patients), coiling (79 patients), and craniotomy (436 patients, including all 413 patients who underwent clipping plus 23 who underwent coiling as well as craniotomy for various reasons). We studied four outcome measures: total vasospasm, symptomatic vasospasm, poor outcome (modified Rankin score 3–6), and in-hospital mortality. To assess the risk of total vasospasm and symptomatic vasospasm, we performed multivariate regression analyses adjusting for age, Fisher grade, Hunt and Hess grade, aneurysm location (anterior versus posterior circulation), and aneurysm treatment modality. To assess the risk for poor outcome and in-hospital mortality, we adjusted for all the above variables as well as for total and symptomatic vasospasm. RESULTS: In the clipping group there was 63% total vasospasm and 28% symptomatic vasospasm; in the coiling group there was 54% total vasospasm and 33% symptomatic vasospasm; and in the craniotomy group there was 64% total vasospasm and 28% symptomatic vasospasm. In the multivariate analysis, age &lt;50 years (P = 0.0099) and Fisher Grade 3 (P &lt; 0.00001) predicted total vasospasm, and Fisher Grade 3 (P &lt; 0.000001) and Hunt and Hess Grade IV or V (P = 0.018) predicted symptomatic vasospasm. Predictors of poor outcome were age ≥50 years (P &lt; 0.0001), Fisher Grade 3 (P = 0.0072), Hunt and Hess Grade IV or V (P &lt; 0.00001), symptomatic vasospasm (P &lt; 0.0001), and coiling (P = 0.0314 versus clipping and P = 0.045 versus craniotomy). Predictors of in-hospital mortality were age ≥ 50 years (P = 0.0030), Hunt and Hess Grade IV or V (P = 0.0001), symptomatic vasospasm (P &lt; 0.00001), and coiling (P = 0.008 versus clipping and P = 0.0013 versus craniotomy). There was no significant difference in total vasospasm or symptomatic vasospasm when patients who underwent clipping or craniotomy were compared with patients who underwent coiling. In patients with Hunt and Hess Grade I to III (“good grade”), clipping and craniotomy were associated with better outcome and less in-hospital mortality, but there was no difference in total vasospasm or symptomatic vasospasm versus coiling. In patients with Hunt and Hess Grade IV or V (“poor grade”), there was no difference in any outcome measure among the treatment groups. CONCLUSION: In a single-center, retrospective, nonrandomized study, performance of clipping and/or craniotomy had significantly better outcome and lower mortality at discharge than coiling in good-grade patients but had no effect on total vasospasm or symptomatic vasospasm in good- or poor-grade patients.


Author(s):  
Simon Brandecker ◽  
Alexis Hadjiathanasiou ◽  
Tamara Kern ◽  
Patrick Schuss ◽  
Hartmut Vatter ◽  
...  

Abstract Primary decompressive craniectomy (PDC) in patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) in order to decrease elevated intracranial pressure (ICP) is controversially discussed. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of PDC on long-term clinical outcome in these patients in a single-center cohort and to perform a systematic review of literature. Eighty-seven consecutive poor-grade SAH patients (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grades IV and V) were analyzed between October 2012 and August 2017 at the author’s institution. PDC was performed due to clinical signs of herniation or brain swelling according to the treating surgeon. Outcome was analyzed according to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Literature was systematically reviewed up to August 2019, and data of poor-grade aSAH patients who underwent PDC was extracted for statistical analyses. Of 87 patients with poor-grade aSAH in the single-center cohort, 38 underwent PDC and 49 did not. Favorable outcome at 2 years post-hemorrhage did not differ significantly between the two groups (26% versus 20%). Systematic literature review revealed 9 studies: Overall, a favorable outcome could be achieved in nearly half of the patients (49%), with an overall mortality of 24% (median follow-up 11 months). Despite a worse clinical status at presentation (significantly higher rate of mydriasis and additional ICH), poor-grade aSAH patients with PDC achieve favorable outcome in a significant number of patients. Therefore, treatment and PDC should not be omitted in this severely ill patient collective. Prospective controlled studies are warranted.


Author(s):  
James Feghali ◽  
Abhishek Gami ◽  
Sarah Rapaport ◽  
Matthew T Bender ◽  
Christopher M Jackson ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Given increasing life expectancy in the United States and worldwide, the proportion of elderly patients affected by aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) would be expected to increase. OBJECTIVE To determine whether an aging trend exists in the population of aSAH patients presenting to our institution over a 28-yr period. METHODS A prospectively maintained database of consecutive patients presenting to our institution with subarachnoid hemorrhage between January 1991 and December 2018 was utilized. The 28-yr period was categorized into 4 successive 7-yr quarter intervals. The age of patients was compared among these intervals, and yearly trends were derived using linear regression. RESULTS The cohort consisted of 1671 ruptured aneurysm patients with a mean age of 52.8 yr (standard deviation = 15.0 yr). Over the progressive 7-yr time intervals during the 28-yr period, there was an approximately 4-fold increase in the proportion of patients aged 80 yr or above (P &lt; .001) and an increase in mean patient age from 51.2 to 54.6 yr (P = .002). Independent of this trend but along the same lines, there was a 29% decrease in the proportion of younger patients (&lt;50 yr) from 49% to 35%. On linear regression, there was 1-yr increase in mean patient age per 5 calendar years (P &lt; .001). CONCLUSION Analyses of aSAH patients demonstrate an increase in patient age over time with a considerable rise in the proportion of octogenarian patients and a decrease in patients younger than 50 yr. This aging phenomenon presents a challenge to the continued improvement in outcomes of aSAH patients.


2002 ◽  
Vol 96 (3) ◽  
pp. 497-509 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tetsuji Inagawa

Object. The aim of this study was to examine seasonal variations in the onset of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in one hospital-based and one community-based patient series. Methods. The study population consisted of 941 patients with aneurysmal SAH who were admitted to Shimane Prefectural Central Hospital and 358 patients who were treated in Izumo City, Japan. When investigated as a whole, no significant seasonal variations were found in either population; however, in both series, statistically significant seasonal trends, with a peak in winter and a nadir in summer, were found among patients aged 59 years or younger (p < 0.05 for the hospital-based series and p < 0.005 for the community-based series), but not among those aged 60 years or older, regardless of sex. In the hospital-based series, seasonal variations were most apparent at certain times of day, with significant variations observed between 8:00 a.m. and 10:00 a.m. or 8:00 a.m. and noon (p < 0.001 and p < 0.005, respectively), regardless of patient age, and between 4:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. for patients aged 59 years or younger (p < 0.05). Consequently, seasonal variations were significant during daytime hours (between 8:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m., p < 0.005) but not during the night (between 8:00 p.m. and 8:00 a.m.). Similar tendencies were found in the community-based series. Among patients aged 59 years or younger who had no risk factors for SAH, these seasonal variations were significant in both series. In patients with untreated hypertension, who were current smokers and daily alcohol drinkers, however, no significant patterns were observed in either series, even among younger patients. Conclusions. In both hospital- and community-based studies, aneurysmal SAH appears to undergo seasonal variation, with a peak in winter and a nadir in summer. This seasonal pattern may be derived mainly from the occurrence of SAH in the morning, but may also be modified by patient age and SAH risk factors, resulting in the masking of significant seasonal patterns when all patients are considered together.


2016 ◽  
Vol 126 (6) ◽  
pp. 1764-1771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing Zhao ◽  
Hua Yang ◽  
Kuang Zheng ◽  
Zequn Li ◽  
Ye Xiong ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEAn increasing number of patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) have received endovascular treatment. Endovascular treatment of poor-grade aSAH, however, is based on single-center retrospective studies, and predictors of long-term outcome have not been well defined. Using results from a multicenter prospective registry, the authors aimed to develop preoperative and postoperative prognostic models to predict poor outcome after endovascular treatment of poor-grade aSAH.METHODSA Multicenter Poor-grade Aneurysm Study (AMPAS) was a prospective and observational registry of consecutive patients with poor-grade aSAH. From October 2010 to March 2012, 366 patients were enrolled in the registry, and 136 patients receiving endovascular treatment were included in this study. Outcome was assessed by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 12 months, and poor outcome was defined as an mRS score of 4, 5, or 6. Prognostic models were developed in multivariate logistic regression models. The area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was used to assess the model's discriminatory ability, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests were used to assess the calibration.RESULTSAt 12 months, 64 patients (47.0%) had a poor outcome: 9 (6.6%) had an mRS score of 4, 6 (4.4%) had an mRS score of 5, and 49 (36.0%) had died. Univariate analyses showed that older age (p = 0.001), female sex (p = 0.044), lower Glasgow Coma Scale score (p < 0.001), a World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade of V (p < 0.001), higher Fisher grade (p < 0.001), modified Fisher grade (p < 0.001), and wider neck aneurysm (p = 0.026) were associated with a poor outcome. There was a trend toward a worse outcome in patients with anterior communicating artery aneurysms (p = 0.080) and in those with incompletely occluded aneurysms (p = 0.063). After endovascular treatment, the presence of cerebral infarction (p = 0.039), symptomatic vasospasm (p = 0.039), and pneumonia (p = 0.006) were associated with a poor outcome. Multivariate analyses showed that the preoperative prognostic model including age, a WFNS grade of V, modified Fisher grade, and aneurysm neck size had excellent discrimination with an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.80–0.92, p < 0.001), and a postoperative model that included these predictors as well as postoperative pneumonia had excellent discrimination (AUC = 0.87, 95% CI 0.81–0.93, p < 0.001). Both models had good calibration (p = 0.941 and p = 0.653, respectively).CONCLUSIONSOlder age, WFNS Grade V, higher modified Fisher grade, wider neck aneurysm, and postoperative pneumonia were independent predictors of poor outcome after endovascular treatment of poor-grade aSAH. The preoperative model had almost the same discrimination as the postoperative model. Endovascular treatment should be carefully considered in patients with poor-grade aSAH with ruptured wide-neck aneurysms.▪ CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE Type of question: prognostic; study design: retrospective cohort trial; evidence: Class I.


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