The Main Factors of Production of the Fifth and Sixth Techno-Economic Paradigms in Modern Russia

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 36-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya ◽  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy

The purpose of this study was to obtain estimates of the spread of the new techno-economic paradigm in the Russian economy and the identification of factors of production of new paradigms. We used econometric estimates of the productivity of technical and economic paradigms. It is possible to determine the contribution of the new — the fifth and sixth paradigms in per capita GDP of Russia. In today’s economy a significant part of Russian per capita income — Not less than 220–240 thousand rubles, provided by the fifth and sixth paradigms. The main factors determining the contribution to 84% of new paradigms in per capita GDP, are new technologies and human capital. New technologies are implemented through the use of new fixed assets. The corresponding five and six paradigms of human capital measured by the share of employed workers with higher education.

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya ◽  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy

Econometric impact assessments of new technologies and human capital on a contribution of new technological ways to per capita GDP in regions of Northwest Federal District of Russia are received. Coefficients of elasticity of a contribution of new ways to per capita GDP on use of the new technologies estimated by armament the work equity new fixed assets and for use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education are estimated. The use of new technologies is the most effective in St. Petersburg, in the Murmansk, Leningrad regions and in the Komi Republic. Efficiency use of new technologies in the Pskov region is the lowest. The human capital is most effectively in the Komi Republic, the Murmansk and Leningrad regions. Efficiency use of a human capital in the Pskov region is the lowest.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

Econometric impact assessments of new technologies and human capital on a contribution of new technological ways GDP in regions of Central Federal District of Russia are received. Coefficients of elasticity of a contribution of new ways GDP on use of the new technologies estimated by armament of work by new fixed assets and for use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education are estimated. Use of new technologies is more effective in the Belgorod, Kursk, Vladimir and Lipetsk regions. Efficiency use of new technologies in the Kostroma, Ivanovo, Tver, Tambov regions is the lowest. The human capital is effectively in the Belgorod and Lipetsk regions, in Moscow. Efficiency use of a human capital in the Oryol, Ivanovo, Tambov, Bryansk and Kostroma regions is the lowest. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of a contribution of new ways to per capita GDP on use of the new technologies estimated by armament of work by new fixed assets it is reasonable to increase, first, investments into fixed assets of the region. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of a contribution of new ways to per capita GDP on use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education it is reasonable to increase, first of all, a share of workers with the highest education.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya ◽  
О. Иванова ◽  
...  

The updated econometric estimates of the influence of new technologies and human capital on the contribution of new technological structures to the per capita GDP in the regions of Russia are obtained. Coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways GDP on the use of the new technologies estimated by armament of work by new fixed assets and for use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education are estimated. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to per capita GDP on the use of the new technologies estimated by armament of work by new fixed assets it is reasonable to increase, first, investments into fixed assets of the region. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of a contribution of new ways to per capita GDP on the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education it is reasonable to increase, first of all, a share of workers with the highest education. The effectiveness of increasing the labor-efficiency of labor by new fixed assets and increasing the use of labor of workers with higher education are estimated.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The updated econometric estimates of the influence of new technologies and human capital on the contribution of new technological structures to the per capita GDP in the regions of the Central and North-Western federal districts of Russia are obtained. The article estimates coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita by the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratio of work by new fixed assets and by the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratio of labor by new fixed assets it is reasonable to increase the investments into fixed assets of the region. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education it is reasonable to increase, first of all, a share of workers with the highest education.


Author(s):  
Наталия Левкина ◽  
Nataliya Levkina ◽  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
...  

Estimates of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratioof work by new fixed assets and on the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education during an economic crisis are received. The received results allow estimating the change of efficiency of use of new technologies and the human capital in the country and in regions of Central Federal District during the crisis. In the majority of regions, it corresponds with all-Russian tendencies. However, in several regions elasticity of the contribution of the human capital has not decreased. These are Kaluga, Kostroma, Yaroslavl regions. Elasticity of the contribution of the human capital to GRP provided with new technological ways the Voronezh, Ryazan, Tula regions has significantly increased. In the same regions elasticity of the contribution of new business assets has decreased less considerably, than on average on the Russian regions. Identification of the reasons of this phenomenon demands an additional research.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The model of long-term technical and economic development of industrial and post-industrial economic systems is constructed. The system consists of several subsystems existing simultaneously. Each new subsystem, embodying a new technical and economic mode, provides a higher level of per capita income. The transition to each new stage of technical and economic development — the transition to the predominance, the dominance of the technical and economic paradigm, and the beginning of the spread of a new technical and economic paradigm occurs at the moment when the upward half-wave of the Kondratiev cycle begins to form. To establish the moments of the onset of the upward halfwaves of Kondratiev cycles and the timing of the start of the spread of new techno-economic modes, econometric models of real per capita GDP in developed countries, including a smooth and cyclic (harmonic) component, were constructed. The average duration of the third cycle in these countries was 51.9 years, the fourth cycle — 49.8 years. Because of the construction of econometric models, it was possible to evaluate the productivity of relic, fourth, fifth and sixth technical and economic paradigms in developed countries. The average value of the maximum productivity of the fourth techno-economic mode was 2594 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, the fifth — 12,245 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, the sixth — 25 374 Geri-Hemis $ 1990. The average contribution to the real per capita GDP of relict modes and the fourth mode in the period of its domination was 5004 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, which corresponds to the value of 161,379 rubles. 2008. The excess of this value in Russia provided isdue to the spread of the fifth technical and economic mode. Its significant contribution to the real per capita GDP of the country began to observe since 2001 and by 2015 reached 47%. Modeling the period of the contribution of the fifth paradigm to Russia’s per capita GDP made it possible to predict the transition to its dominance in 2040. The forecast of the transition to the domination of the fifth mode in the regions of Russia is to include this time from 2010 to 2200. Construction of production functions based on data on per capita GRP over the years made it possible to establish that investment in fixed assets and an increase in the share of employed persons with a higher education can accelerate the spread of the fifth techno-economic mode and have received estimates of their effectiveness in the regions of Russia. A feature of the regions in which new modes did not receive proliferation was the low capitalization of new fixed assets and the increased number of employees of territorial bodies of federal executive bodies.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Татьяна Аверина ◽  
Tatyana Averina ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
...  

The purpose of the work was to assess the timing of the transition of the Russian economy and the economy of individual regions of Russia to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. The contribution of the fifth technical and economic paradigm in the per capita GDP is given. Based on econometric models of economic dynamics, the time of the beginning of the domination of the fifth techno-economic paradigm in the economy of regions is estimated. The economy of individual regions has already passed to the domination of the fifth technoeconomic paradigm. In the economy of a large part of the regions, the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm can expected many years and decades hence. Estimates of the expected timeframe for the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm are received, based on the assumption of the preservation of economic development trends in 2001–2015.


Author(s):  
Наталия Левкина ◽  
Nataliya Levkina

The article presents the results of the analysis of the impact of new technologies and human capital on the contribution of new technological modes in the economy of the Siberian Federal District. Econometric estimates of the impact of new technologies and human capital on the contribution of new technological modes in per capita GRP in the Siberian Federal District`s regions of the Russian Federation were obtained. Elasticity coefficients of the contribution of new modes in per capita GRP due to new technologies evaluated with the capital labor ratio with fixed assets and the use of human capital evaluated with the share of employees having higher education were estimated. The use of new technologies is the most effective in Irkutsk region, Tomsk region, Novosibirsk region, Omsk region and Krasnoyarsk territory. The use of new technologies is inefficient in Trans-Baikal territory, Republic of Buryatia and Republic of Altai. The use of human capital is the most effective in Tomsk region, Irkutsk region and Krasnoyarsk territory. The use of human capital is inefficient in Republic of Buryatia, Republic of Tuva, Republic of Altai, Altai Territory and Trans-Baikal territory. The value of elasticity coefficients determines the necessity of increasing investments in the region either in fixed assets or to increase the share of employees having higher education.


2008 ◽  
pp. 94-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Sorokin

The problem of the Russian economy’s growth rates is considered in the article in the context of Russia’s backwardness regarding GDP per capita in comparison with the developed countries. The author stresses the urgency of modernization of the real sector of the economy and the recovery of the country’s human capital. For reaching these goals short- or mid-term programs are not sufficient. Economic policy needs a long-term (15-20 years) strategy, otherwise Russia will be condemned to economic inertia and multiplying structural disproportions.


Author(s):  
Elena Basovskaya ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy

The study of the influence of the Federal laws adopted in Russia on the rate of economic growth made it possible to establish that since 2005, lawmaking has hindered the growth of the Russian economy. In the work, a model of the dependence of the rates of economic growth on the number of employees of state authorities and local self-government obtained. The model shows that the number of employees of state authorities and local self-government determines the rate of economic growth by one third, and the increase in their number causes a decrease in the rate of economic growth. Excessive number of employees of state authorities and local self-government, enforcing these laws, inhibits economic growth. To assess the possibility of increasing human capital due to the functioning of the education system, the value of the «education premium» estimated. The obtained results of the assessment of the «premium for education» indicate that the education system in modern Russia is losing its role as a means of forming human capital. In the period from 2009 to 2019, premiums for secondary vocational, secondary (complete) general and basic general education were completely lost. The premium for higher education has more than halved; by 2027, the premium for higher education for employed workers will also be completely lost. The loss by the institution of education of the role of a means of forming human capital is due to continuous ineffective reforms in education.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document