Long-term mortality rates and associated risk factors following primary and revision knee arthroplasty

2022 ◽  
Vol 104-B (1) ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Liam Zen Yapp ◽  
Nick D. Clement ◽  
Matthew Moran ◽  
Jon V. Clarke ◽  
A. Hamish R. W. Simpson ◽  
...  

Aims The aim of this study was to determine the long-term mortality rate, and to identify factors associated with this, following primary and revision knee arthroplasty (KA). Methods Data from the Scottish Arthroplasty Project (1998 to 2019) were retrospectively analyzed. Patient mortality data were linked from the National Records of Scotland. Analyses were performed separately for the primary and revised KA cohorts. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was calculated for the population at risk. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards were used to identify predictors and estimate relative mortality risks. Results At a median 7.4 years (interquartile range (IQR) 4.0 to 11.6) follow-up, 27.8% of primary (n = 27,474/98,778) and 31.3% of revision (n = 2,611/8,343) KA patients had died. Both primary and revision cohorts had lower mortality rates than the general population (SMR 0.74 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.74); p < 0.001; SMR 0.83 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.86); p < 0.001, respectively), which persisted for 12 and eighteight years after surgery, respectively. Factors associated with increased risk of mortality after primary KA included male sex (hazard ratio (HR) 1.40 (95% CI 1.36 to 1.45)), increasing socioeconomic deprivation (HR 1.43 (95% CI 1.36 to 1.50)), inflammatory polyarthropathy (HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.68 to 1.90)), greater number of comorbidities (HR 1.59 (95% CI 1.51 to 1.68)), and periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) requiring revision (HR 1.92 (95% CI 1.57 to 2.36)) when adjusting for age. Similarly, male sex (HR 1.36 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.49)), increasing socioeconomic deprivation (HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.52)), inflammatory polyarthropathy (HR 1.24 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.37)), greater number of comorbidities (HR 1.64 (95% CI 1.33 to 2.01)), and revision for PJI (HR 1.35 (95% 1.18 to 1.55)) were independently associated with an increased risk of mortality following revision KA when adjusting for age. Conclusion The SMR of patients undergoing primary and revision KA was lower than that of the general population and remained so for several years post-surgery. However, approximately one in four patients undergoing primary and one in three patients undergoing revision KA died within tenten years of surgery. Several patient and surgical factors, including PJI, were associated with the risk of mortality within ten years of primary and revision surgery. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(1):45–52.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faisal Aziz ◽  
Berthold Reichardt ◽  
Caren Sourij ◽  
Hans-Peter Dimai ◽  
Daniela Reichart ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Previous data show a high incidence of major lower extremity amputations (LEA) in Austria. Moreover, recent data on the epidemiology of major LEA are sparse in the Country. This study estimated the incidence and mortality rates of major LEA and assessed risk factors of post major LEA mortality in individuals with diabetes.Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis of 507,180 individuals with diabetes enrolled in the Austrian Health Insurance between 2014 and 2017 was performed. Crude and age-standardized rates of major LEA (hip, femur, knee, lower leg) were estimated by extracting their procedure codes from the database. Short- (30-day, 90-day) and long-term (1-year, 5-year) all-cause cumulative mortality after major LEA was estimated from the date of amputation till the date of death. Poisson regression was performed to compare rates by characteristics and assess the annual trend. The Cox-regression was performed to identify significant risk factors of all-cause mortality after major LEA.Results: A total of 2,165 individuals with diabetes underwent major LEA between 2014 and 2017. The mean age was amputees was 73.0 ±11.3 years, 62.7% were males, and 87.3% had a peripheral vascular disease (PVD). The overall age-standardized rate was 6.44 per 100,000 population. The rate increased with age (p<0.001) and was higher (p<0.001) in males (9.38) than females (5.66). The rate was 5.71 in 2014, 6.86 in 2015, 6.71 in 2016, and 6.66 in 2017, with an insignificant annual change of 3% (p=0.825). The cumulative 30-day mortality was 13.5%, 90-day was 22.0%, 1-year was 34.4%, and 5-year was 66.7%. Age, male sex, above-knee amputation, Charlson index, and heart failure were significantly associated with both short- and long-term mortality. Cancer, dementia, heart failure, PVD, and renal disease were only associated with long-term mortality.Conclusions: The rate of major LEA remained stable between 2014 and 2017 in Austria. Short and long-term mortality rates were considerably high after major LEA. Old age, male sex, above-knee amputations, heart failure, and Charlson Index were significant predictors of both short- and long-term mortality, whereas, comorbidities such as cancer, dementia, PVD, and renal disease were significant predictors of long-term mortality only.


2019 ◽  
Vol 54 (5) ◽  
pp. 1900804 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun Lee ◽  
Jiin Ryu ◽  
Eunwoo Nam ◽  
Sung Jun Chung ◽  
Yoomi Yeo ◽  
...  

IntroductionChronic systemic corticosteroid (CS) therapy is associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with many chronic diseases. However, it has not been elucidated whether chronic systemic CS therapy is associated with increased mortality in patients with asthma. The aim of this study was to determine the effects of chronic systemic CS therapy on long-term mortality in adult patients with asthma.MethodsA population-based matched cohort study of males and females aged ≥18 years with asthma was performed using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database from 2005 to 2015. Hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval for all-cause mortality among patients in the CS-dependent cohort (CS use ≥6 months during baseline period) relative to those in the CS-independent cohort (CS use <6 months during baseline period) was evaluated.ResultsThe baseline cohort included 466 941 patients with asthma, of whom 8334 were CS-dependent and 458 607 were CS-independent. After 1:1 matching, 8334 subjects with CS-independent asthma were identified. The HR of mortality associated with CS-dependent asthma relative to CS-independent asthma was 2.17 (95% CI 2.04–2.31). In patients receiving low-dose CS, the HR was 1.84 (95% CI 1.69–2.00); in patients receiving high-dose CS, the HR was 2.56 (95% CI 2.35–2.80).ConclusionsIn this real-world, clinical practice, observational study, chronic use of systemic CS was associated with increased risk of mortality in patients with asthma, with a significant dose–response relationship between systemic CS use and long-term mortality.


2008 ◽  
Vol 137 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. O. GRADEL ◽  
M. SØGAARD ◽  
C. DETHLEFSEN ◽  
H. NIELSEN ◽  
H. C. SCHØNHEYDER

SUMMARYWe evaluated magnitude of bacteraemia as a predictor of mortality, comprising all adult patients with a first-time mono-microbial bacteraemia. The number of positive bottles [1 (reference), 2, or 3] in the first positive blood culture (BC) was an index of magnitude of bacteraemia. We used Cox's regression analysis to determine age and comorbidity adjusted risk of mortality at days 0–7, 8–30, and 31–365. Of 6406 patients, 31·1% had BC index 1 (BCI 1), 18·3% BCI 2, and 50·6% BCI 3. BCI 3 patients had increased risk of mortality for days 0–7 (1·30, 95% CI 1·10–1·55) and days 8–30 (1·37, 95% CI 1·12–1·68), but not thereafter. However, in surgical patients mortality increased only beyond day 7 (8–30 days: 2·04, 95% CI 1·25–3·33; 31–365 days: 1·27, 95% CI 0·98–1·65). Thus, high magnitude of bacteraemia predicted mortality during the first month with a shift towards long-term mortality in surgical patients.


Author(s):  
Carl Bergdahl ◽  
David Wennergren ◽  
Jan Ekelund ◽  
Michael Möller

Aims The aims of this study were to investigate the mortality following a proximal humeral fracture. Data from a large population-based fracture register were used to quantify 30-day, 90-day, and one-year mortality rates after a proximal humeral fracture. Associations between the risk of mortality and the type of fracture and its treatment were assessed, and mortality rates were compared between patients who sustained a fracture and the general population. Methods All patients with a proximal humeral fracture recorded in the Swedish Fracture Register between 2011 and 2017 were included in the study. Those who died during follow-up were identified via linkage with the Swedish Tax Agency population register. Age- and sex-adjusted controls were retrieved from Statistics Sweden and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated. Results A total of 18,452 patients who sustained a proximal humeral fracture were included. Their mean age was 68.8 years (16 to 107) and the majority (13,729; 74.4%) were women. A total of 310 (1.68%) died within 30 days, 615 (3.33%) within 90 days, and 1,445 (7.83%) within one year after the injury. The mortality in patients sustaining a fracture and the general population was 1,680/100,000 and 326/100,000 at 30 days, 3,333/100,000 and 979/100,000 at 90 days, and 7,831/100,000 and 3,970/100,000 at one year, respectively. Increasing age, male sex, low-energy trauma, type A fracture, concomitant fractures, and non-surgical treatment were all independent factors associated with an increased risk of mortality. Conclusion Compared with the general population, patients sustaining a proximal humeral fracture have a significantly higher risk of mortality up to one year after the injury. The risk of mortality is five times higher during the first 30 days, diminishing to two times higher at one year, suggesting that these patients constitute a strikingly frail group, in whom appropriate immediate management and medical optimization are required.


Circulation ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 116 (suppl_16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Niv Ad ◽  
Alan M Speir ◽  
Michelle Harrison ◽  
Sharon L Hunt ◽  
Scott D Barnett

Introduction: Aprotinin during CABG has been linked to increased rates of perioperative complications and increased long-term mortality. We report our results for the association of CABG, aprotinin use and intermediate survival. Methods: Subjects were 1,679 isolated CABG, on-pump, cases with no prior hx of renal failure or dialysis between 2001 and 2002. Aprotinin pts were additionally propensity matched to non-aprotinin pts to control for pt acuity. Increased EuroSCORE (E) indicates increased pt acuity. Results: Aprotinin pts (n=817) presented as older (63.7 vs. 61.2, p=0.05), increased E (6.5 vs. 4.1, p=0.05), and urgent operative status (61.7% vs. 41.6%, p=0.05). This group experienced greater rates of perioperative prolonged ventilation (8.7%% vs. 4.8%, p=0.01), acute renal failure (4.3% vs. 2.0%, p=0.01), 30d mortality (2.2% vs. 1.0%, p=0.06) and signif. decreased unmatched 5-year survival (86.1%, vs. 92.8%, p=0.001). Aprotinin use was not signif. assoc. with increased intermediate mortality (HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 0.66–2.41) but cases with high E (6+) were (HR: 5.47; 95% CI: 2.98–10.08). Moderate E was not signif. assoc. with mortality (HR: 1.75; 95% CI: 0.91–3.35) nor was any aprotinin-E interaction term (HR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.93–1.08). After matching, controls were signif. less at risk of mortality at 5 years, (91.3% vs. 88.1%, p=0.05; Figure 1 ). Conclusions: Our results suggest that pts with aprotinin experienced higher rates of perioperative complications; however, the pts in this group were generally at higher risk for adverse outcome. Aprotinin use may convey an increased risk of intermediate mortality, but after matching, mortality estimates are greatly reduced.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 864-871 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shoshannah Kalson-Ray ◽  
Gilles Edan ◽  
Emmanuelle Leray ◽  

Background: Few recent studies have shown that there is no longer an increased risk of suicide in patients affected with multiple sclerosis (MS). Objectives: To describe suicide cases within a large French MS cohort and assess whether MS patients are at a higher risk of suicide compared with the general population. Methods: Data derives from a study on long-term mortality of 27,603 prevalent cases from 15 MS specialist centres. Of 1,569 deceased MS patients (5.7%) on 1 January 2010, 47 were suicides. Results: The mean time between MS clinical onset and death was 13.5 years (standard deviation (SD): 9.3 years; none within the first 3 years) and was significantly shorter than for MS patients who had died from other causes (mean = 21.4 (SD = 11.6), p < 0.0001). Age at death was also lower (46.3 vs 56.7). The standardized mortality rates were around 1 in several sensitivity analyses, reflecting no excess mortality in MS compared with general population. Conclusion: Our findings indicate that an excess suicide risk may no longer be true for MS patients and highlight the changing profile of cases, occurring later in the disease course. Further studies in population-based registries are needed to confirm and explain these potential changes (e.g. treatments’ impact?).


Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1402
Author(s):  
Po-Feng Lee ◽  
Chung-Yi Li ◽  
Yen-Chin Liu ◽  
Chang-Ta Chiu ◽  
Wen-Hsuan Hou

(1) Background: The prevalence of opioid use in Taiwan increased by 41% between 2002 and 2014. However, little is known regarding the risk of mortality among long-term opioid analgesics users who do not have cancer. This study investigated this mortality risk with an emphasis on the calendar year and patients’ age and sex. (2) Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 12,990 adult individuals without cancer who were long-term users of opioid analgesics and were randomly selected from the data set of Taiwan’s National Health Insurance program from 2000 to 2012. They were then followed up through 2013. Information on the underlying causes of death was retrieved from the Taiwan Death Registry. Age, sex, and calendar year-standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) of all-cause and cause-specific mortality were calculated with reference to those of the general population. (3) Results: With up to 14 years of follow-up, 558 individuals had all-cause mortality in 48,020 person-years (cumulative mortality: 4.3%, mortality rate: 11.62 per 1000 person-years). Compared with the general population, the all-cause SMR of 4.30 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 3.95–4.66) was significantly higher: it was higher in men than in women, declined with calendar year and age, and was significantly higher for both natural (4.15, 95% CI: 3.78–4.53) and unnatural (5.04, 95% CI: 3.88–6.45) causes. (4) Conclusions: Long-term opioid analgesics use among individuals without cancer in Taiwan was associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality. The notably increased mortality in younger adults warrants attention. Strategies to reduce long-term opioid analgesics use, especially their overuse or misuse, are in an urgent need.


2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (5) ◽  
pp. 375-382
Author(s):  
Esther Cubo ◽  
Carla Collazo Riobo ◽  
Cesar Gallego-Nieto ◽  
Miren Elizari-Roncal ◽  
Teresa Barroso-Pérez ◽  
...  

<b><i>Background:</i></b> A growing body of evidence relates restless legs syndrome (RLS) to an increased risk of mortality attributable to both cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events. The aim was to investigate survival in patients with RLS. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> This was an observational, retrospective longitudinal study of a cohort of patients followed up for 11 years. RLS was diagnosed by a physician using the International RLS Study Group criteria. Mortality was analyzed using age-standardized mortality ratios (SMR: observed/expected deaths) and Cox regression analysis. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Vital status was studied in a cohort of 232 patients: 181 women (78%), 96 with RLS (41.4%) with a mean age at baseline of 49.8 ± 15.0 years and a mean RLS duration of 14.1 ± 1.9 years, and 136 non-RLS (58.6%) with a mean age of 51.3 ± 14.9 years. This RLS cohort was followed up for a period of 10.4 ± 2.0 years. As of September 2019, 17 (7.3%) patients died (6 with RLS, 6.3%), and the most frequent cause was oncological (66.7%). A total of 944 person-years of observations were available for survival analysis. RLS was not associated with increased mortality in adjusted Cox regression analysis (HR = 1.12, 95% CI: 0.40–3.15), and survival was similar to that expected for the general population (SMR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.27–1.36). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> RLS seems not to be associated with increased mortality compared to the general population. Still, studies with prospective data collection with large samples are needed to study the long-term mortality risk factors in RLS cohorts.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0242814
Author(s):  
Martin Rehm ◽  
Gisela Büchele ◽  
Raphael Simon Peter ◽  
Rolf Erwin Brenner ◽  
Klaus-Peter Günther ◽  
...  

Osteoarthritis (OA) is associated with adverse cardio-metabolic features. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity troponins T and I (hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI) are well-characterized cardiac markers and provide prognostic information. The objective was to assess the association of cardiac biomarker concentrations with long-term mortality in subjects with OA. In a cohort of 679 OA subjects, undergoing hip or knee replacement during 1995/1996, cardiac biomarkers were measured and subjects were followed over 20 years. During a median follow-up of 18.4 years, 332 (48.9%) subjects died. Median of hs-cTnT, hs-cTnI, and NT-proBNP at baseline was 3.2 ng/L, 3.9 ng/L, and 96.8 ng/L. The top quartile of NT-proBNP was associated with increased risk of mortality (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17–2.73) after adjustment for covariates including troponins (hs-cTnT HR 1.30 (95% CI 0.90–1.89), hs-cTnI HR 1.32 (95% CI 0.87–2.00) for top category). When biomarker associations were evaluated as continuous variables, only NT-proBNP (HR per log-unit increment 1.34, 95% CI 1.16–1.54) and hs-cTnI (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11–1.72) showed robust results. Elevated cardiac biomarker concentrations predicted an increased risk of long-term mortality and strongest for NT-proBNP and hs-cTnI. These results might help to identify subjects at risk and target preventive efforts early.


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