scholarly journals Candidate name order effects in New Hampshire: Evidence from primaries and from general elections with party column ballots

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. e0248049
Author(s):  
Bo MacInnis ◽  
Joanne M. Miller ◽  
Jon A. Krosnick ◽  
Clifton Below ◽  
Miriam Lindner

Research in a few U.S. states has shown that candidates listed first on ballots gain extra votes as a result. This study explored name order effects for the first time in New Hampshire, where such effects might be weak or entirely absent because of high political engagement and the use of party column ballots. In general elections (in 2012 and 2016) for federal offices and the governorship and in primaries (in 2000, 2002, and 2004), evidence of primacy effects appeared in 86% of the 84 tests, including the 2016 presidential race, when Donald Trump gained 1.7 percentage points from first listing, and Hillary Clinton gained 1.5 percentage points. Consistent with theoretical predictions, primacy effects were larger in primaries and for major-party candidates in general elections than for non-major-party candidates in general elections, more pronounced in less publicized contests, and stronger in contests without an incumbent running. All of this constitutes evidence of the reliability and generalizability of evidence on candidate name order effects and their moderators.

Zootaxa ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5021 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-65
Author(s):  
ROY A. NORTON ◽  
SERGEY G. ERMILOV

Early American acarologists proposed several species that have been recombined to the oribatid mite genus Epidamaeus (Damaeidae), but none has been redescribed to modern standards. These include E. puritanicus (Banks, 1906), E. michaeli (Ewing, 1909), E. globifer (Ewing, 1913), E. florida (Wilson, 1936), E. olitor (Jacot, 1937), and E. craigheadi (Jacot, 1939). We redescribe and illustrate these species, based on available type specimens and other material in various collections, and give an indication of their overall distributions. Juvenile instars are at least partly described for all except E. florida and E. olitor. Since these six collectively include the most encountered Epidamaeus species in the eastern USA, a diagnostic key is presented that also includes E. arcticola (Hammer, 1952), which is reliably recorded from eastern North America (New Hampshire) for the first time. A neotype is selected for E. michaeli, which is considered a senior subjective synonym of E. canadensis (Banks, 1909) [new syn.]. Synonymy of E. puritanicus with E. grandjeani (Bulanova-Zachvatkina, 1957) is rejected.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 81 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco G. Celiberto ◽  
Dmitry Yu. Ivanov ◽  
Mohammed M. A. Mohammed ◽  
Alessandro Papa

AbstractThe inclusive hadroproduction of a Higgs boson and of a jet, featuring large transverse momenta and well separated in rapidity, is proposed as a novel probe channel for the manifestation of the Balitsky–Fadin–Kuraev–Lipatov (BFKL) dynamics. Using the standard BFKL approach, with partial inclusion of next-to-leading order effects, predictions are presented for azimuthal Higgs-jet correlations and other observables, to be possibly compared with experimental analyses at the LHC and with theoretical predictions obtained in different schemes.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-30
Author(s):  
Batlang Seabo ◽  
Robert Nyenhuis

Abstract On October 23, 2019, Botswana held its twelfth free and fair election. For the first time in the history of Botswana’s electoral democracy, a former president (Ian Khama) defected from the ruling party and supported the opposition. The opposition coalition, working informally with Khama, mounted a spirited campaign against the well-oiled machine, the incumbent and long-ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP). Seabo and Nyenhuis reflect on the 2019 general election, analyze the outcome, and consider the implications for the future of Botswana’s electoral democracy. They argue that barring other factors, the BDP’s resounding victory was mainly a result of Batswana’s rejection of former president Ian Khama.


2020 ◽  
Vol 634 ◽  
pp. A84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Á. Skúladóttir ◽  
C. J. Hansen ◽  
A. Choplin ◽  
S. Salvadori ◽  
M. Hampel ◽  
...  

The slow (s) and intermediate (i) neutron (n) capture processes occur both in asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars, and in massive stars. To study the build-up of the s- and i-products at low metallicity, we investigate the abundances of Y, Ba, La, Nd, and Eu in 98 stars, at −2.4 <  [Fe/H] <  −0.9, in the Sculptor dwarf spheroidal galaxy. The chemical enrichment from AGB stars becomes apparent at [Fe/H] ≈ −2 in Sculptor, and causes [Y/Ba], [La/Ba], [Nd/Ba] and [Eu/Ba] to decrease with metallicity, reaching subsolar values at the highest [Fe/H] ≈ −1. To investigate individual nucleosynthetic sites, we compared three n-rich Sculptor stars with theoretical yields. One carbon-enhanced metal-poor (CEMP-no) star with high [Sr, Y, Zr] >  +0.7 is best fit with a model of a rapidly-rotating massive star, the second (likely CH star) with the i-process, while the third has no satisfactory fit. For a more general understanding of the build-up of the heavy elements, we calculate for the first time the cumulative contribution of the s- and i-processes to the chemical enrichment in Sculptor, and compare with theoretical predictions. By correcting for the r-process, we derive [Y/Ba]s/i = −0.85 ± 0.16, [La/Ba]s/i = −0.49 ± 0.17, and [Nd/Ba]s/i = −0.48 ± 0.12, in the overall s- and/or i-process in Sculptor. These abundance ratios are within the range of those of CEMP stars in the Milky Way, which have either s- or i-process signatures. The low [Y/Ba]s/i and [La/Ba]s/i that we measure in Sculptor are inconsistent with them arising from the s-process only, but are more compatible with models of the i-process. Thus we conclude that both the s- and i-processes were important for the build-up of n-capture elements in the Sculptor dwarf spheroidal galaxy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 1095-1116
Author(s):  
Matthew D. Cain ◽  
Stephen B. McKeon ◽  
Steven Davidoff Solomon

Intermediation in private equity involves illiquid investments, professional investors, and high information asymmetry. We use this unique setting to empirically evaluate theoretical predictions regarding intermediation. Using placement agents has become nearly ubiquitous, but agents are associated with significantly lower abnormal returns in venture and real estate funds, consistent with investor capture and influence peddling. However, returns are higher for buyout funds employing a top-tier agent and for first-time real estate and venture funds employing an agent, and are less volatile for agent-affiliated funds, consistent with a certification role. Our results suggest heterogeneous motives for intermediation in the private equity industry.


Author(s):  
Mandakini Paruthi ◽  
Priyam Mendiratta ◽  
Gaurav Gupta

Social media has emerged as a dominant digital medium platform in contemporary society. The quick development of social media has instigated changes concerning the way publics to interact with a group of people with similar ideologies, the quality of information they share, or the opportunity to acquire and share ideas. Social media use has a major influence on public relations, marketing, and political communication. Therefore, politicians are formulating their strategies to reach increasingly networked individuals. The chapter defines political engagement concept, focuses on excessive use of social media to understand how the emergence of digital citizenship is changing political engagement. In addition to this, the chapter also examines whether the use of social media exercise any effect on 2014 and 2019. General elections outcome or not and discuss the proposed conceptual framework for future empirical testing. The chapter highlights the various concerns needed to be taken care of while using social media as a marketing tool for promoting political participation and engagement.


1988 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 426-427
Author(s):  
Hideyuki Suzuki ◽  
Katsuhiko Sato

SN1987A gave us the first opportunity to study the supernova core directly by providing us the neutrino signal from the core. The observational data of the neutrino flux detected by Kamiokande[1] and IMB[2] show surprisingly good agreements with the theoretical predictions as a whole[3,4]. The fundamental concept of the collapse driven supernova explosion is confirmed for the first time. On the other hand, there are some puzzles. The most peculiar feature of the data is the 7 seconds gap of the Kamiokande data. The first 8 events of Kamiokande were detected in 2 seconds, following the 7 seconds gap and the last 3 events in 4 seconds. Of course just only 7 seconds gap is not unnatural if small neutrino flux come. But there were detected 3 events after the gap. These 3 events may not be produced by the weak flux. We can estimate the time integrated luminosity of corresponding to the last 3 events and get the large value such as 7 · 1052erg [5]. Can we get out of this inconsistency, 3 events after the 7 seconds gap? If not, we may need to consider some nonstandard mechanism of the neutrino emission at the late time. In order to investigate the probability of the case in which there is a 7 seconds gap before 3 events, we have performed Monte Carlo simulations for the simple model of neutrino flux.


2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Alsaffar ◽  
O. Aldraihem ◽  
A. Baz

Abstract A comprehensive theoretical and experimental study is presented of the bandgap behavior of periodic viscoelastic material (VEM) composites subjected to impact loading. The composites under consideration consist of an assembly of aluminum sections integrated with periodic inserts which are arranged in one-dimensional configurations. The investigated inserts are manufactured either from VEM only or VEM with local resonators (LR). A finite element model (FEM) is developed to predict the dynamics of this class of VEM composites by integrating the dynamics of the solid aluminum sections with those of VEM using the Golla-Hughes-Mctavish (GHM) mini-oscillator approach. The integrated model enables, for the first time, the accurate predictions of the bandgap characteristics of periodic viscoelastic composites unlike previous studies where the viscoelastic damping is modeled using the complex modulus approach with storage modulus and loss factor are assumed constants and independent of the frequency or the unrealistic and physically inaccurate Kelvin–Voigt viscous-damping models. The predictions of the developed FEM are validated against the predictions of the commercial finite element package ansys. Furthermore, the FEM predictions are checked experimentally using prototypes of the VEM composites with VEM and VEM/LR inserts. Comparisons are also established against the behavior of plain aluminum rods in an attempt to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed class of composites in mitigation of the structural response under impact loading. Close agreements are demonstrated between the theoretical predictions and the obtained experimental results.


2015 ◽  
Vol 109 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANDREW B. HALL

This article studies the interplay of U.S. primary and general elections. I examine how the nomination of an extremist changes general-election outcomes and legislative behavior in the U.S. House, 1980–2010, using a regression discontinuity design in primary elections. When an extremist—as measured by primary-election campaign receipt patterns—wins a “coin-flip” election over a more moderate candidate, the party’s general-election vote share decreases on average by approximately 9–13 percentage points, and the probability that the party wins the seat decreases by 35–54 percentage points. This electoral penalty is so large that nominating the more extreme primary candidate causes the district’s subsequent roll-call representation to reverse, on average, becoming more liberal when an extreme Republican is nominated and more conservative when an extreme Democrat is nominated. Overall, the findings show how general-election voters act as a moderating filter in response to primary nominations.


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